L ITALIA NEI SETTORI AD ALTA TECNOLOGIA: IL The bioeconomy: innovation CASO DELLE SCIENZE DELLA VITA and sustainable growth (sintesi)

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1 L ITALIA NEI SETTORI AD ALTA TECNOLOGIA: IL The bioeconomy: innovation CASO DELLE SCIENZE DELLA VITA and sustainable growth (sintesi) National Interest November Interesse nazionale maggio 2013 Prepared by Intesa Sanpaolo in collaboration with Assobiotec for Aspen Institute Italia

2 Agenda 1 The bioeconomy: what it is and what it s worth 2 Focus on biochemistry and biofuels 1

3 Bioeconomy: The European definition Innovating for Sustainable Growth: A Bioeconomy for Europe The term "Bioeconomy" means an economy using biological resources from the land and sea, as well as waste, as inputs to food and feed, industrial and energy production. It also covers the use of bio-based processes for sustainable industries. European Commission (2012) 60 final, «Strategy for a Sustainable Bioeconomy» Press Release, 13 February

4 What is the bioeconomy worth? Calculating the value of the bioeconomy calls for an operational definition that includes all «primary» users of raw natural materials. The goal is to devise a methodology based on official data, applicable to all European countries and replicable over time, and that also permits analysis of international trade flows. Such a goal encounters the limitations of official statistics, which are not always sufficiently plentiful and detailed. With this in mind, a work group (CREA, Assobiotec, Cluster Spring, Federchimica, Intesa Sanpaolo) was created to calculate what the bioeconomy is worth to Italy. 3

5 Limitations of the definition and sector statistics European Commission NACE Rev.2 National Accounts Agriculture 01 Animal and vegetal production, hunting and associated services Forestry 02 Forestry and use of forest areas Fisheries and Aquaculture 03 Fisheries and aquaculture Food Production Food, beverage and tobacco industries Textile (from natural fibers) and Tanning Industries 13 e 1511 Textile and clothing industries, and the preparation and tanning of leather and hides Wood Industry 16 Wood, wood products and cork industries with the exception of furniture, straw products and woven materials Paper Industry 17 Paper and pulp industries Bio-chemicals (biochemical products, biofuels, enzymes) 20 Chemical products manufacturing Bio-pharmaceuticals 21 Manufacturing of basic pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical preparations Bio-energy D Supply of electrical, gas, steam energy and air conditioning 4

6 Italy: 251 billion euro and 1.65 million jobs Value of the bioeconomy in Italy (Millions of euro and thousands of employed, 2015) Fatturato Turnover Occupati Employed Agricoltura, Agriculture, silvicoltura forestry and e pesca fisheries ,4 Industrie Food, beverage alimentari, and delle tobacco bevande industries e del tabacco ,3 Fabbricazione Natural textile di manufacturing fibre tessili naturali and tanning e concia ,7 Fabbricazione Wood and cork del product legno e manufacturing, dei prodotti except legno e furniture sughero, eccetto i mobili ,7 Fabbricazione Manufacture of della paper carta and e pulp dei prodotti di carta ,7 Fabbricazione Manufacture of di bio-based prodotti chimici chemical bio-based product ,4 Fabbricazione Manufacture of di bio-based prodotti farmaceutici pharmaceuticals bio-based ,1 Biocarburanti Biofuels 321 n.d. Bio-energia Bioenergy ,8 Totale Bioeconomia bioeconomy ,1 Sources: Eurostat data elaborated by work group: CREA, Intesa Sanpaolo, Assobiotec, Cluster Spring Agriculture, forestry and fisheries and Food, beverage and tobacco industries: National Accounts Manufacture of natural fiber textiles and tanning: 45% textile + tanning Manufacture of wood and cork products, except furniture and Manufacture of paper and pulp: National Accounts and SBS Manufacture of bio-based chemical products: estimates based on Input/Output tables and National Accounts Manufacture of bio-based pharmaceuticals: 20% pharmaceuticals Biofuels: Prodcom Bio-energy: National Accounts, SBS and energy statistics 5

7 An important role Bioeconomy share of total national goods production (%, billions of euro ) 30,0% 25,0% 20,0% 15,0% ,0% 5,0% 0,0% Germania Germany UK Italia Italy Francia France Spagna Spain Agricoltura, Agriculture, forestry, silvicoltura fisheries e pesca Alimentari Food Tessile Nat. textiles nat. e and concia tanning Legno Wood e and dei wood pr. Legno products Carta Paper e and dei pulp prodotti di carta Pr. Biobased chimici chemical bio-based prod. Farmaceutici Biobased pharmaceuticals bio-based Biocarburanti Biofuels Bio-energia Bioenergy Source: Intesa Sanpaolo elaboration of Eurostat data 6

8 and greater sector diversification 3,5 Index of sector diversification (inverse of Herfindhal Index, 2014) 3,0 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 0,5 0,0 Spagna Spain Regno UK Unito Francia France Germania Germany Italy Italia Source: Intesa Sanpaolo elaboration of Eurostat data 7

9 Agenda 1 The bioeconomy: what it is and what it s worth 2 Focus on biochemicals and biofuels 8

10 Bio-refineries - crucial to developing circular models 9

11 A rich and collaborative ecosystem In recent years, the biochemistry and biofuel sectors have formed their very own ecosystem involving a broad range of public and private spheres(universities, research centers, large-scale industry, SMEs, start-ups) with a high level of collaboration 10

12 that boasts a wealth of expertise Percentages of total patents and of green plastics patents out of total patents, per country (% of patent applications submitted to EPO, ) 34, , ,8 17, ,8 11, ,5 3,7 2,4 2,6 3,13,4 3,5 4,3 6,4 6,9 0 UK Switzerland Svizzera Italia Italy Netherlands Olanda Francia France Germania Germany Giappone Japan Stati USA Uniti Totale brevetti patents Green plastics Source: Report on Technology and Innovation in the Italian Green Economy, 2015, Intesa Sanpaolo elaboration of OECD data 11

13 The future: in theory a high potential for replacement Amount of chemical products theoretically produceable with renewable materials (% of production) Purely theoretical analyses estimate that, based on current technologies, 40% of chemical production could use renewable materials Regno UK Unito Germania Germany Spagna Spain Italia Italy Francia France Source: Intesa Sanpaolo elaboration of Eurostat data Apart from that estimate, which does not consider economic factors or environmental policies, the market potential is very high (33% by 2025 according to McKinsey, 35% by 2030 according to the OECD). 12

14 Our biomass production capacity needs boosting Evolution of domestic biomass production (2003=100) Var.% Germania Spagna Francia Italia Regno Unito Germany Spain France Italy Source: Intesa Sanpaolo elaboration of Eurostat data UK 13

15 to reduce dependency on foreign sources - crucial to the entire bioeconomy Biomass penetration by imports (% of imports in domestic consumption) Delta Italia Italy Germania Germany EU28 Spagna Spain UK Francia France % 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Source: Intesa Sanpaolo elaboration of Eurostat data 14

16 with a view to recycling and circularity 0,45 Domestic biomass production from agricultural residues (tons per capita) 0,40 0, ,30 0,25 0,20 0,15 0,10 0,05 0,00 Italia Italy Francia France Spagna Spain Germania Germany EU28 Source: Intesa Sanpaolo elaboration of Eurostat data 15

17 A needs estimate According to our estimates, Italy s biomass requirement will grow by an average of 1% per year in the absence of any further biochemical developments, and by1,3% in the case that bio-based production reaches 20% of all chemical production. Domestic biomass consumption by Tons Mil. Euro 2030 con forti sviluppi biochimica with significant biochemical development 2030 senza forti sviluppi biochimica without significant biochemical development Source: Intesa Sanpaolo elaboration of Eurostat data 16

18 Conclusions The Bioeconomy offers Italy a major sustainable growth development opportunity, in that it would reduce dependence on fossil based raw materials, increase competitiveness in key sectors and help to preserve territorial diversity: with a turnover 251 billion euro already in 2015, the sectors that use renewable raw materials account for nearly 20% of national goods production and provide 1.7 million jobs. Our country has a highly variegated productive fabric (with a greater balance among bioeconomy sectors than in other European nations) and a research and production nucleus concentrated particularly in the biochemcial sector, which is crucial to the development of innovative projects for land regeneration. The significant development of the bioeconomy in our country will need adequate policies to facilitate innovation. Hence the creation of a biochemical sector network of public and private actors (universities, research centers, large-scale industries, SMEs and start-ups) that offers a high level of expertise and collaboration. The crucial capacity to generate biomass is going to depend on integrated and circular production models. 17