TACCIMO. A Climate Change Tool for Forest Managers. Jennifer Moore Myers USDA Forest Service Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center

Transcription

1 TACCIMO A Climate Change Tool for Forest Managers Jennifer Moore Myers USDA Forest Service Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center 2011 ESRI FedUC

2 Template for Assessing Climate Change Impacts and Management Options A USDA Forest Service Partnership Southern Research Station Southern Region Planning Steve McNulty (PI), Emrys Treasure, Jennifer Moore Myers, Robert Herring Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center, Southern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Raleigh, NC Chris Liggett (PI), David Meriwether, Paul Arndt Southern Region Planning, USDA Forest Service, Atlanta, GA Todd Pierce, Jeff Hicks, Amber Ramirez, Caroline Dougherty University of North Carolina Asheville, National Ecosystem Modeling and Assessment Center, Asheville, NC

3 Why TACCIMO? Traditional forest management tools will be effective in adapting to climate change, but these tools may need to be used in new and more frequent ways Several Forest Service mandates to address climate change impacts in forest planning and management work but few veteran climate change scientists in the agency TACCIMO was designed to bridge the gap in climate change information supply and demand, in a standardized, accessible way 400,000 Years of Antarctic CO 2 and Temperature Change

4 TACCIMO Fundamentals TACCIMO enables users to keep pace with and accurately consider climate change in natural resource management activities TACCIMO is a web based assessment and reporting tool that substantively connects science and planning information TACCIMO includes an interactive mapping tool, detailed user guides, training, and durable connections with climate change scientists 1. Planning Management conditions and capabilities to address climate change 2. Science Physical and biological impacts of climate change and potential management options 3. Report Custom and synthesized account of science and related planning

5 Climate Change Projections Climate Change Science Land and Resource Management Plans Input Output Basic Report (State & Private) Feedback Current Situation Report (CSR)

6 Input Climate Change Factors Impacting Ecosystems Direct Impacts Management Options Climate Source Literature Change Factors Impacting Supporting Ecosystems Literature Direct Geographic Impacts Location Management Options Supporting Literature Geographic Location Interactions Climate Change Science Physical and biological impacts of climate change and management options Quotations representing 350 direct impacts and 200 management options with over 500 automatically generated linkages Sourced from 125 synthesis and primary source peer reviewed publications with 350 links to supporting literature across 13 factors Direct Impacts Management Options and counting

7 Land and Resource Management Plans Connecting science with management conditions and capabilities Input Land and Resource Management Plans Desired Conditions Objectives Design Criteria Monitoring Questions Sourced directly from eastern (R8 & R9) land and resource management plans Automatically linked to TACCIMO factors by plan headings

8 Geospatial Resources Providing context to consider direct impacts and management options Input Projected Climate Change 3 Global Circulation Models 3 IPCC Scenarios 2 Climate Variables (ppt & tavg) Interactive Tools and Summaries ArcGIS Server v10, Flex Builder 3, SQL Server 2005, PHP Understanding the likely range and variability of future climate Context layers (infrastructure, ownership, etc) Interactive tools include forecasts for water supply, forest productivity, biodiversity, and others (versions 2.0 & 3.0) Geospatial selections included with the complete TACCIMO report (version 3.0) Modeling Group Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling & Analysis Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research NOAA / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory GCM CGCM3.1 HadCM3 CM2.1 Scenario SRES A2 SRES A1B SRES B1 Emissions Path "higher" emissions path "middle" emissions path "lower" emissions path

9 Live Demo

10 Content and Functionality Expanded content: scientific literature, forest plans, and climate change projections Keyword searching and report filtering Links to external content (DOI) Synthesis and expert commentary Improved report organization and appearance Connection to CC Performance Scorecard

11 GIS Viewer Additional widgets User defined areas for Climate Chart summaries Data extraction (clip, zip & ship) Watershed, zip code, address Additional report customization GCM SRES selection Additional decades, seasonal, and monthly summaries Geocoding scientific literature (spatial & content resolution) Integrator functionality to incorporate geospatial report, maps, and charts with main TACCIMO report

12 Thank You! Jennifer Moore Myers

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