Mortality in an International Perspective

Transcription

1 Mortality in an International Perspective

2 European Studies of Population The book series European Studies of Population (ESPO) aims at disseminating population and family research, with special relevance for Europe. It may analyse past, present and/or future trends, as well as their determinants and consequences. The character of the series is multidisciplinary, including formal demographic analyses, as well as social, economic and/or historical population and family studies. The following types of studies are of primary importance: (a) internationally relevant studies, (b) European comparative studies, (c) innovative theoretical and methodological studies, and (d) policy-relevant scientific studies. The series may include monographs, edited volumes and reference works. The book series is published under the auspices of the European Association for Population Studies (EAPS). For further volumes:

3 Jon Anson Marc Luy Editors Mortality in an International Perspective 2123

4 Editors Jon Anson Social Work Ben-Gurion University of the Negev Beer Sheva Israel Marc Luy Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences Vienna Austria ISSN ISBN ISBN (ebook) DOI / Springer Dordrecht Heidelberg New York London Library of Congress Control Number: Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication, neither the authors nor the editors nor the publisher can accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (

5 All who live must die We study when and why so All may live longer

6 Contents 1 Introduction: Recent Themes in Mortality Research... 1 Jon Anson and Marc Luy 2 Estimating Life Expectancy in Small Areas, with an Application to Recent Changes in Life Expectancy in US Counties Peter Congdon 3 Socioeconomic Determinants of Mortality in Europe: Validation of Recent Models Using the Latest Available Data and Short-Term Forecasts Jeroen J. A. Spijker 4 Social Disparities in the Evolution of an Epidemiological Profile: Transition Processes in Mortality Between 1971 and 2008 in an Industrialized Middle Income Country: The Case of Hungary Katalin Kovács 5 Predicting Mortality from Profiles of Biological Risk and Performance Measures of Functioning Sarinnapha Vasunilashorn, Latrica E. Best, Jung Ki Kim and Eileen M. Crimmins 6 Approaches to the Assessment of Alcohol-Related Losses in the Russian Population V. G. Semyonova, N. S. Gavrilova, T. P. Sabgayda, O. M. Antonova, S. Yu Nikitina and G. N. Evdokushkina 7 Infant Mortality Measurement and the Rate of Progress on International Commitments: A Matter of Methods or of Guarantees of Rights? Some Evidence from Argentina María Marta Santillán Pizarro, Eleonora Soledad Rojas Cabrera and Dora Estela Celton vii

7 viii Contents 8 Avoidable Factors Contributing to Maternal Deaths in Turkey İlknur Yüksel-Kaptanoğlu, Ahmet Sinan Türkyılmaz and İsmet Koç 9 Changes in Mortality at Older Ages: The Case of Spain ( ) 207 Rosa Gómez Redondo, Juan Manuel García González and Aina Faus Bertomeu 10 Excess Mortality Risks in Institutions: The Influence of Health and Disability Status Anne Herm, Michel Poulain and Jon Anson 11 Life Expectancy Differences in Cuba: Are Females Losing Their Advantage Over Males? Madelín Gómez León and Esther María León Díaz 12 Variable Scales of Avoidable Mortality Within the Russian Population 307 T. P. Sabgayda, V. G. Semyonova, A. E. Ivanova and V. I. Starodubov 13 Long-term Mortality Changes in East Asia: Levels, Age Patterns, and Causes of Death Zhongwei Zhao, Edward Jow-Ching Tu and Jiaying Zhao Index

8 Contributors Jon Anson Department of Social Work, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel O. M. Antonova Russian State Statistics Service, Moscow, Russia Aina Faus Bertomeu Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia UNED, Departamento de Servicios Sociales y Fundamentos Histórico-Jurídicos, Madrid, Spain Latrica E. Best Department of Pan-African Studies and Department of Sociology, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, USA Eleonora Soledad Rojas Cabrera Centro de Investigaciones y Estudios sobre Cultura y Sociedad, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina Dora Estela Celton Centro de Investigaciones y Estudios sobre Cultura y Sociedad, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina Peter Congdon Department of Geography and Centre for Statistics, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK Eileen M. Crimmins Andrus Gerontology Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA Esther María León Díaz Retired Researcher, Centro de Estudios de Población y Desarrollo, Oficina Nacional de Estadísticas e Información, Havana, Cuba G. N. Evdokushkina Department of Health Statistics, Federal Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia N. S. Gavrilova Center for Demography and Economics of Ageing, NORC at the University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA ix

9 x Contributors Juan Manuel García González Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia UNED, Departamento de Servicios Sociales y Fundamentos Histórico-Jurídicos, Madrid, Spain Anne Herm IACCHOS, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain-La-Neuve, Belgium Estonian Institute for Population Studies, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia A. E. Ivanova Department of Health Statistics, Federal Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia Jung Ki Kim Andrus Gerontology Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA İsmet Koç Institute of Population Studies, Hacettepe University, Altindag Ankara, Turkey Katalin Kovács Demographic Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary Madelín Gómez León Centre d Estudis Demogràfics, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Bellaterra (Barcelona), Spain Marc Luy Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna, Austria S. Yu Nikitina Russian State Statistics Service, Moscow, Russia María Marta Santillán Pizarro Centro de Investigaciones y Estudios sobre Cultura y Sociedad, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina Michel Poulain IACCHOS, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain-La-Neuve, Belgium Estonian Institute for Population Studies, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia Rosa Gómez Redondo Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia UNED, Departamento de Servicios Sociales y Fundamentos Histórico-Jurídicos, Madrid, Spain T. P. Sabgayda Department of Health Statistics, Federal Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia V. G. Semyonova Department of Health Statistics, Federal Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia Jeroen J. A. Spijker School of Social and Political Studies, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK

10 Contributors xi V. I. Starodubov Academy of Medical Sciences, Federal Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia Ahmet Sinan Türkyılmaz Institute of Population Studies, Hacettepe University, Altindag Ankara, Turkey Edward Jow-Ching Tu National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, College of Medicine, Biology & Environment, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia Sarinnapha Vasunilashorn Division of General Medicine and Primary Care, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Brookline, MA, USA İlknur Yüksel-Kaptanoğlu Institute of Population Studies, Hacettepe University, Altindag Ankara, Turkey Zhongwei Zhao Australian Demographic and Social Research Institute (Coombs Building), Research School of Social Sciences, College of Arts and Social Sciences, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia Jiaying Zhao Canberra, Australia