George Gross Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign

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1 ECE 333 GREEN ELECTRIC ENERGY 11. Basic Concepts in Power System Economics George Gross Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 1

2 CHRONOLOGICAL LOAD FOR A SUMMER WEEK MW hours ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 2

3 A WEEKDAY CHRONOLOGICAL LOAD CURVE MW 2000 hourly load values ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 3 h

4 FRIDAY HOURLY LOAD VALUES h load (MW) h load (MW) ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 4

5 FRIDAY LOAD DURATION CURVE MW hours h ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 5

6 LOAD DURATION CURVE FOR A SUMMER WEEK MW hours % ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 6

7 q Inability to m specify the load at any specific hour m distinguish between weekday and weekend loads q Ability to LOAD DURATION CURVE CHARACTERISTICS m specify the number of hours at which the load exceeds any given value m quantify the total energy requirement for the given period in terms of the area under the LDC ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 7

8 CONVENTIONAL GENERATION UNIT ECONOMICS q The costs of generation by a conventional unit are described by an input-output curve, which specifies the level of input required to obtain a required level of output q Typically, such curves are obtained from actual measurements and are characterized by their monotonically non decreasing shapes ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 8

9 GENERATION UNIT ECONOMICS input MMBtu/h or bbl/h input output curve c min c max MWh/h output ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 9

10 INPUT OUTPUT MEASUREMENTS heat input (MMBtu/h ) output (MWh/h ) measurement heat content & flow-rate of fuel measurement energy output set control valve points ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 10

11 EXAMPLE : CWLP DALLMAN UNITS 1 AND heat input ( MMBtu/h ) output ( MWh/h ) ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 11

12 CWLP DALLMAN UNITS 1 AND 2 INPUT OUTPUT CURVE FITTING MMBtu/h 1, MWh/h ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 12

13 GENERATION UNIT ECONOMICS q The output is in MW and the input is in bbl/h or Btu/h (volume or thermal heat contents of the input fuel) q We may also think of the abscissa in units $/h since the costs of the input are obtained via a linear scaling the fuel input by the fuel unit price q We use the input-output curve to obtain the incremental input output curve which provides the costs to generate an additional MWh at a given level of output ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 13

14 GENERATION UNIT ECONOMICS input 10 6 Btu/h or bbl/h h Δ p Δh heat rate Δ = h p minimum capacity p Δ h Δ p maximum capacity MWh/h output incremental heat rate = = incremental input output ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 14

15 INCREMENTAL CHARACTERISTICS incremental heat rate 10 6 Btu/MWh minimum capacity maximum capacity output in MWh/h ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 15

16 HEAT RATE input MMBtu/h minimum capacity a possible operating point maximum capacity MWh/h output heat rate = input output incremental heat rate ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 16 = incremental input incremental output

17 HEAT RATE q The heat rate is a figure of merit widely used by the industry q The heat rate gives the inverse of the efficiency measure of a generation unit since H.R. = input output q The lower the H.R., the higher is the efficiency of the resource ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 17

18 CWLP DALLMAN UNITS 1 AND 2 H. R. & INCREMENTAL H. R. CURVES MMBtu/MWh MWh/h heat rate (H.R.) incremental heat rate (I.H.R.) ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 18

19 GENERATOR CAPACITY FACTOR q The amount of generation a generating unit produces is a function of m the generator capacity m the generator availability m the generator loading order to meet the load q A 100 % available base loaded unit with c max capacity runs around the clock and so in a T hour period generates total MWh given by E = c max T ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 19

20 GENERATOR CAPACITY FACTOR q The maximum it can generate is E max = c max T q The capacity factor κ of a base-loaded unit is κ = E E max = 1 q A cycling unit exhibits on off behavior since its loading depends on the system demand; its E max = c max T exceeds the actual generation since the unit generates only during certain periods ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 20

21 GENERATOR CAPACITY FACTOR q Therefore, a cycling unit has a c.f. κ = E < 1 E max q For example, a cycling unit of 150MW that operates typically 1,800 hours per year with no outages and at full capacity has 150 1,800 κ = 150 8,760 = = 0.21 q A peaking unit operates only for a few hours each year and consequently has a relatively small c.f. ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 21

22 GENERATOR CAPACITY FACTOR q An expensive peaker may have, say, a c.f. κ = 5% indicating that under perfect availability it operates about 438 hours a year κ q Typically, is given a definition on a yearly basis annual energy generated κ = maximum energy generated where, the denominator may account for annual maintenance and forced outages and so would imply less than 8,760 hours of operation ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 22

23 CAPACITY FACTOR MW load duration curve c A 1 A 2 c. f. = A 1 ( A 1 + A ) 2 0 % 100 % time ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 23

24 LOADING OF RESOURCES MW unit 7 unit 6 unit 5 unit 4 unit 3 unit 2 unit 1 ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 24 h

25 LOADING OF RESOURCES load total available capacity peak load intermediate load base load Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 25

26 RESOURCE FIXED AND VARIABLE COSTS q Fixed costs are those costs incurred that are independent of the operation of a resource and are incurred even if the resource is not operating q Typical components of fixed costs are: m investment or capital costs m insurance m fixed O&M m taxes ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 26

27 RESOURCE FIXED AND VARIABLE COSTS q Variable costs are associated with the actual operation of a resource q Key components of variable costs are m fuel costs m variable O&M m emission costs ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 27

28 ANNUALIZED INVESTMENT OR CAPITAL COSTS q The fixed charge rate annualizes the capital costs to produce a yearly uniform cash flow set over the life of a resource q The annual fixed costs are yearly costs = ( fixed costs) ( fixed charged rate) q Typically, the yearly charge is given on a per unit kw or MW basis ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 28

29 ANNUALIZED INVESTMENT OR CAPITAL COSTS q The fixed charge rate takes into account the interest on loans, acceptable returns for investors and other fixed cost components: however, each component is independent of the generated MWh q The rate strongly depends on the costs of capital ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 29

30 ANNUALIZED VARIABLE COSTS q The variable costs are a function of the number of hours of operation of the unit or equivalently of the capacity factor κ q The annualized variable costs may vary from year to year variable costs =! fuel # " costs $! &# heat %" rate $ & + %! variable $! number of # &# " O & M costs% " hours $ & % ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 30

31 ANNUALIZED VARIABLE COSTS q The yearly variable costs explicitly account for fuel cost escalation q Often, the yearly costs are given on a per unit kw or MW basis q We illustrate these concepts with a pulverized coal steam plant ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 31

32 EXAMPLE: COAL FIRED STEAM PLANT characteristic value units capital costs 1,400 $/kw heat rate 9,700 Btu/ kwh fuel costs 1.5 $/MBtu variable costs $/kwh annual fixed charge rate 0.16 full output period 8,000 h ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 32

33 EXAMPLE: COAL FIRED STEAM PLANT q The annualized fixed costs per kw are ( 1,400 $ / kw )( 0.16) = 224 $ / kw q The initial year annual variable costs per kw are #( $ / Btu) 9,700 Btu / kwh % $ % $ / kwh ( ) + & ( '( ( 8,000h) = 150.8$ / kw ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 33

34 EXAMPLE: COAL FIRED STEAM PLANT q Total annual costs for 8,000 h are ( ) $ / kw 8,000 h q Note, we do the example under the assumption of full output for 8,000 h and 0 output for the remaining 760 h of the year q We also neglect any possible outages of the unit and so explicitly ignore any uncertainty in the unit performance = $ / kwh ECE George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 34