The Atmosphere is unforgiving

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1 The Atmosphere is unforgiving

2 s Toronto Pearson Airport Adapting to the Changing Climate Normal Temp = Normal Temp = Normal Temp = Climate Change Ensemble Not Sign. Difference from Decade

3 Celebrity Storms: Visible impacts with extremes floods forest fires Waves and storms droughts, heat spells Saguenay flooding (1996), 26 millions m 3 of water and 9 millions tons of debris The Great Ice Storm (1998),1,5 millions customers without electricity for up to 30 days

4 What is Biodiversity? biological diversity defined as biodiversity by Tom Lovejoy By international agreement, biodiversity is the variety in the web of life at three levels: 1. genetic diversity within species 2. diversity of species 3. diversity of ecosystems Page 4

5 FORESTS IN CANADA

6 Biodiversity is Essential to Our Prosperity Natural resource sectors depend on nature s goods, services and its capacity to replenish: Forestry: $74 billion Agriculture: $35 billion Fisheries $22 billion Canada is an international nature destination. Tourism generates $52 billion, and Canadians spend $12 billion on nature-related activities As natural capital is depleted around the world, Canada s endowment becomes even more economically significant: 25% of the world s wetlands 7% of the globe s renewable freshwater 13% of the world s wilderness 10% of the world s forest, including 30% of the world s boreal forets Sustainable stewardship of biodversity secures social license for business and brands Canada as responsible global citizen 6

7 Biodiversity supplies nature s essential goods Renewable energy: Solar Wind Wave/tidal Fish, seafood, seaweed Breathable air Lumber, firewood, fibers Fertile soils for growing agricultural products Pharmaceuticals Genetic resources Habitat for aquaculture Wildlife and nature for hunting and fishing, cottage country, eco-tourism and photography, recreation and well-being Drinkable water from groundwater, streams, rivers, and lakes 7

8 Waste assimilation and services Oxygen generation Rain generation Climate control Habitat for humans Nutrient cycling Seed dispersal Photosynthesis for plant and plankton production, the basis of the food chain that produces everything we eat Pest management Pollination Erosion control Soil formation Water filtration Carbon sequestration Feeding and breeding grounds for migratory birds and other wildlife Fish nurseries Recharging aquifers Flood control 8

9 PRE-SETTLEMENT BASELINE

10 Changing Land Use and Changing Climate Protecting People and Property Resilient Communities

11 Threats to Biodiversity in Canada Land-Use Change Climate Change Insects/Disease/Fire Page 11

12 Biodiversity Monitoring Themes There are four general themes under which most forest biodiversity monitoring activities fall: Monitoring based on species at risk Monitoring based on population trends Monitoring based on status and trends in habitat Monitoring based on threats to biodiversity

13 Smithsonian Institution Biodiversity Monitoring Sites in the Americas

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17 Comparison of Proportion of Live and Dead Eastern Flowering Dogwoods in Backus Woods Number of Trees Year Dead Alive

18 Management: Building the Adaptive Capacity and Resilience Current Management Practices: Slow to respond to change Reactive adaptation Assumes environment is robust - losses will continue Adaptation actions are scale-dependent Future Adaptive Management Actions: Recognize urgency to adapt now Adopt pro-active, anticipatory adaptation Accelerate design science, planning and solutions Engage communities, partnerships and education

19 Biological Threats to Biodiversity M.B. Karsh, A. Casselman, D.C. MacIver, S. Fung, and H. Auld Page 19

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22 Planned Adaptation: Increasing Habitat Biodiversity Under Climate Change by 2020 F+2G#2H0282)7!I'#20&)2! I&$-&62+#&7<!B'7'!3CJKL4! Marianne Karsh and Don MacIver,0&8'72!,=')92!N%2)'+&$#! O&9/+2!CP!F+2G#2H0282)7!I&$-&62+#&7<!B'7'!! #$/7=2+)!M)7'+&$!&)!CKJLP!!! $?'($)'0!I&$-&62+#&7<!M5#2+6&)9! N&72#!3?IMN4! O&9/+2!LP!?'($)'0!I&$-&62+#&7<!M5#2+6&)9!N&72#! 3?IMN4!')-!7=2!>2'7!Q)&7!5<!O'8&0<!I&$-&62+#&7<! R$-20P$$$! F=+$+e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`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

23 Canada is the victim of global greenhouse gas emissions from foreign countries --- adaptation actions are already overdue

24 London Action - Existing Apartments Estimated GHG Reductions Encouraging Retrofits of Low-Rise Apartments tonnes/year Encouraging Retrofits of High-Rise Apartments tonnes/year Encouraging White/Green Roof Retrofits tonnes/year Incentives for Retrofits of Residential Buildings 500-2,000 tonnes/ year Incentives for White/Green Roof Retrofits tonnes/year Incentives for Solar Hot Water Heating Systems tonnes/year Incentives for Ground-Sourced Heat Pump Systems tonnes/year Incentives for Small-Scale Cogeneration of Heat and Power tonnes/year Mandating Retrofits of Rental Properties 2,500-10,000 tonnes/year Mandating Energy Metering of Rental Apartments 1,000-5,000 tonnes/year Action Existing Homes Estimated GHG and Other Reductions Expand Promotion of Home Energy Retrofits 2,000 8,000 tonnes / year Water Efficient Garden Consultations L water/day Financial Assistance for Retrofitting Low-Income Households 1,000 4,000 tonnes / year Incentives for Shade Tree Planting tonnes / year Incentives for Replacing Older Off-Road Equipment Reduce local air pollution Incentives for Water Efficient Toilets L water/day Incentives for Efficient Clothes Washers L water/day Mandatory Energy Audits for Major Renovations 2,000 8,000 tonnes / year Mandatory Use of Clean Wood-Burning Appliances Reduce local air pollution

25 Publications B'0082&2+D!OPD!"P!O2)2%=D!BP,!R'%E62+!')-!1P!NV'+$! 32-#P4P!LWCWP!!!"#$%&'(!)%*+'7(0#12#3'/4#&5(8( 694&%#*%:#"#&5(#*(&)'(;$'/#<%4P!N8&7=#$)&')! O2)2%=D!"PD!BP,P!R'%E62+!')-!OP!B'0082&2+!32-#P4P! LWWKP!!"#$%&'(!)%*+'(%*2(0#12#3'/4#&5(#*(&)'( ;$'/#<%4P!"-':7'($)!')-!E8:'%7#!12#2'+%=!B&6&#&$)D!.)6&+$)82)7!,')'-'D!A$+$)7$D!M)P!!STY!::P!! A1*#&1/#*+7(6<#'*<'(%*2(;2%.?3'(B"%**#*+P!.)6&+$)82)7!,')'-'D!"-':7'($)!')-!E8:'%7#! 12#2'+%=!B&6&#&$)D!A$+$)7$D!M)P!CXT!::P! Page 25

26 Thank you!