BUILDING TRANSFORMATION THROUGH TRANSPARENCY

Transcription

1 BUILDING TRANSFORMATION THROUGH TRANSPARENCY A VIEW FROM INSIDE THE NW ELECTRIC INDUSTRY Robert W. Cromwell, Jr. Director, Power Contracts and Resource Acquisition

2 INTRODUCTION Learning Objectives - At the end of the session, attendees should be able to describe: NW Utility generation portfolios The current nature and possible future of West coast energy markets Smart Grid what it is and isn t. Game changers for the electric industry and its customers (2-10x) Regulatory structures Distributed generation, w or w/o PHEVs and EVs Alternative business models transactive, service provider,??? Climate Change and the hydroelectric industry 2

3 NORTHWEST UTILITY PORTFOLIOS 3

4 UTILITY SCALE GENERATION IN THE NORTHWEST Or, see: 4

5 A TALE OF TWO CITIES 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% Percent 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Biomass Coal Cogen Geotherm Landfill Natural Hydro al Gases Gas Nuclear Other Petroleum Solar Waste Wind Seattle City Light 0.32% 0.76% 0.00% 0.00% 89.84% 0.50% 0.30% 4.39% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.02% 3.86% Puget Sound Energy, Inc 0.23% 29.76% 2.11% 0.00% 42.16% 0.06% 15.55% 1.28% 0.06% 0.18% 0.00% 0.24% 8.36% 5

6 ... AND A STATE 6

7 CARBON CONTENT OF CITY LIGHT GENERATION Carbon neutral since 2005! 2012* Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory Metric Tons Emissions Source CO2 Equivalents Market Power Purchases (Retail) 109,181 Vehicles and Equipment 4,489 SF6 2,242 Refrigerants 319 Employee Air Travel 196 Heat and Emergency Generators 32 TOTAL 116,459 * 2012 is SCL's most recent GHG inventory year Lifecycle emissions by generation type: ations/orders_issued_2012/70._jaramillo_comparative. pdf 7

8 WHAT COULD CHANGE IN THE NEAR-TERM? 8

9 WHAT NEXT? New renewable generation that is available in the Northwest: Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass New loads: PHEV & EV Don t hold your breath is next RPS target year and may drive additional development. California demand maybe No meaningful load growth after energy efficiency. 9

10 CURRENT ENERGY MARKETS 10

11 NW ENERGY MARKETS 11

12 FUTURE ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS? SCED 12

13 WECC BALANCING AUTHORITY AREAS 13

14 F GEN SMART GRID YOU KNOW IT WHEN YOU SEE IT Generation Transmission/Substations Distribution System Customer End Systems Generation Automation Plant Control System Generation PCS Transmission Substation Data Integration Smart Substation Fiber Optic Backbone Energy Management System Substation Server Substation Server Distribution Feeder Distribution Feeder Distribution Network Smart Grid - Electrical Power Systems Interface Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition Energy Storage Distribution Feeder Automation Distribution Automation Smart Grid Utility IT Systems Interface Outage Management System Motor Operated Disconnect Work and Asset Management System Distribution Management System Mobile Workforce Management System Motor Operated Disconnect Distribution Network Automation Smart Meter MTR Smart Meter MTR Solar Panel Smart Meter MTR Plug-In Electric Vehicle F H2O Distributed Generation HVAC System Advanced Metering Infrastructure Automated Meter Reading AMI Communications (TBD) GEN Thermostat Water Heater Distributed Generation Demand Side Management Meter Data Management System Customer Care and Billing System Information Systems Smart Grid Systems Electrical Power Systems 14

15 GAME CHANGERS FOR OUR INDUSTRY AND YOURS Regulatory driven initiatives Cap & Trade or Carbon tax? Changes to WA or CA RPSs Distributed solar generation PHEVs and EVs Alternative business models transactive, service provider,??? D 3 15

16 PHEV & EV 16

17 SOLAR IN SEATTLE 17

18 WHAT ABOUT (MY PET ISSUE/SACRED OX)? District energy Waste heat recovery from sewer lines Electric re-generation from water falling in water mains from Cedar and Tolt Solar PV capped landfills Windmills in the city CHP systems for X Time of Use rates Demand Response programs???? 18

19 WHAT ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE? 19

20 INCREASED SAUK RIVER FLOOD MAGNITUDE CHANGES Flow (cfs) 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20, s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Decade 20

21 HOW DO WE CREATE ECONOMIC VITALITY WITHOUT GROWTH? Sustainable, life-cycle investments Plan for O&M not B&M Fixed, capital intensive infrastructure isn t getting cheaper. 21

22 OUR MISSION Building on a legacy of clean hydro power, Seattle City Light partners with customers to secure a green energy future. We are leaders in providing innovative ways to conserve electricity and invest in renewable resources. Questions? robert.cromwell@seattle.gov or