g mobility Sustainable transport at a crossroad Martina Conton May 2018 Falkenberg, Gasdagarna

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1 g mobility Sustainable transport at a crossroad Martina Conton May 2018 Falkenberg, Gasdagarna

2 Natural and bio Gas Vehicles Association at a glance members from countries 2

3 Why at the crossroad? DECARBONISATION AIR QUALITY RENEWABLE GAS March 2018, Vaasa 3

4 Second Mobility Package Proposal for post 2020 CO2 standards for Cars and Vans The preferred option for the emission target metric is to maintain the Tank to Wheel (TTW) approach with targets set in g CO2/km for the sales weighted average of the fleet because this approach is fully consistent with other policy instruments and changing the metric would not have delivered major benefits. The specific CO2 emissions reduction targets will be based on the new emissions test procedure: WLTP target for 2025 = 15% (vs 2021) target for 2030 = 30% (vs 2021) Crediting system: a manufacturer exceeding a certain benchmark level of ZEV/LEV 2025 / 2030) would be rewarded by getting a less strict CO 2 target (up to 5% bonus) definition of LEV based on TAILPIPE emissions (up to 50 g CO 2 /km) 4

5 New targets proposed by the Second Mobility Package March 2018, Vaasa 5

6 Second Mobility Package Proposal for the revision of the Clean Vehicle Directive Scope is to accelerate GHG and pollutant emissions on the path zero emission mobility by 2050 Definition clean vehicle: below 50g/CO2 km MSs should report every three years on the implementation of the directive (starting 2026) There are indications about minimum targets LDVs and HDVs for each MS HDVs with zero emissions at tailpipe or HDVs using natural gas provided they are fully operated on biomethane, which should be demonstrated by a contract to procure bio methane or other means of accessing biomethane, shall be counted as 1 vehicle contributing to the mandate. All other shall be counted as 0.5 vehicles contributing. 6

7 Third Mobility Package New proposal setting CO2 reduction target for HDVs Approach confirmed as pure tailpipe emissions (calculated through VECTO SW tool) Two steps target: 15% at 2025 compared to 2019 baseline at least 30% at 2030 compared to 2019, but subject to revision in 2022 Target are expressed in g/(km*t) (so including payload) Low emissions heavy duty vehicle LEVs if CO 2 emissions < 350 g/km, counted up to 2 with a function depending on the distance from the 350 threshold Target compliance to be demonstrated at manufacturer level (weighted average) A mechanism of CO2 emissions credit is created if the manufacturer can demonstrate to anticipate the linear trajectory between 2019 and

8 HDV CO 2 standards Natural Gas Inclusion of LNG as strategic solution: But still no intention to include WTT elements (biocng/biolng) in the EC proposal 8

9 Transport fuels CO 2 emissions comparison Manufact uring Fuel provision Tailpip e End of Life Data from Thinkstep GHG intensity study CO 2 capture mechanism is evident with renewable gas Today CO 2 emissions from electricity generation is 465 g/kwh as EU mix, 10 times higher than natural gas 9

10 Transport fuels CO 2 emissions comparison Well to Wheel Manufact uring Fuel provision Tailpip e End of Life Renewable gas can provide a significant contribution to transport decarbonisation Source: NGVA elaboration data from Thinkstep GHG Intensity Study + JEC Well to Wheel Study Version 4 10

11 Decarbonisation and tailpipe emissions TAILPIPE EMISSIONS = Vehicle efficiency Fuel consumption NET TAILPIPE EMISSIONS CONTRIBUTING TO CLIMATE CHANGE % natural gas + % renewable gas TAILPIPE EMISSIONS NOT CONTRIBUTING TO CLIMATE CHANGE DUE TO RENEWABLE FUEL 11

12 CO 2 Correction Factor CCF NGVA proposal PC + LDV HDV 12

13 Preliminary results CCF introduced in one of the drafts report ( MEP Reavault d Alonnes Bonnefoy), and in some amendments Right wing party more receptive, stronger support from IT, FR and ES delegations Green MEP introduced WTW approach for electricity MSs still defining their positions, waiting for the «big countries» to speak out European Commission (DG CLIMA) to elaborate a study to develop an LCA calculation methodology fro different fuels 13

14 Renewable Gas study with EBA Main conclusions: Anaerobic digestion, power to gas and gasification as RNG pathways considered Feedstocks considered for WTW emissions In bcm consumption 30% RNG used in transport Renewable gas production potential today 2030 Anaerobic Digestion 1.8 bcm bcm Power to Gas bcm bcm Gasification bcm bcm TOTAL 1.8 bcm bcm 30 bcm fuel demand in 2030 (today approx. 2 bcm) 9 bcm from renewable gas 14

15 Roadmap to 2030 Fleet development Market penetration 40,0% 35,0% 30,0% 25,0% 20,0% 15,0% 10,0% Gas Vehicle Roadmap towards % 25% 12,26% Fleet size Current NGVs fleet x 10 in 2030 Updated with JRC/Thinkstep study 5,0% Feedstock considered for RNG 0,0% PCV & LCV fleet Truck fleet Bus fleet Trucks Buses PCV & LCV 0 RNG pathways AD, P2G, gasification PCV mild hybridization 15

16 GHG savings thanks to the NGVs fleet Total cumulative 200 Mt CO 2 avoided from 2017 to 2030 (cursive area) More than 46% reduction CO 2 emitted when switching to NGVs in 2030 and integrating 30% renewable gas CO2 IN MT CO 2 emissions comparison between traditional fuels and natural gas 96,1 82,7 52,1 15% reduction switching from conventional fuels to natural gas 46% reduction integrating up to 30% renewable gas in 2030 in the NGVs fleet

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