SMART CITY ASSET MANAGER

Transcription

1 SMART CITY ASSET MANAGER Jaarcongres 2016 AssetManagement Nederland 21 september 2016

2 SMART CITY ASSET MANAGER Jaarcongres AssetManagement Nederland

3 Differentiator: How cities worldwide function What are the differences in the systems of the cities? To improve quality of life.. How are we making the decisions for the smart city investments? Target: the most value for your citizen Energy Water Mobility Waste Fore and backcasting delivers the most secure decisions (althoug you never know)

4 City pyramid model systems within a city ecosystem Arcadis city approach is primarily designed to improve the quality of life. To do so, we need to have knowledge on the characteristics of the city ecosystem. 4

5 Arcadis Global Reach and cities program BUC Head Office ARCADIS NV Symphony Gustav Mahlerplein MS Amsterdam P.O.Box AB Amsterdam The Netherlands +31 (0) North America 6,800 LatAm 3,600 United Kingdom 3,600 Continental Europe 5,200 Middle East 2,200 Asia 6,000 Australia ,000+ people 400+ offices 40+ countries 30,000+ projects 15 oktober 2016

6 And Local expertise Dia 6

7 Introduction Carolien Gehrels Director Big Urban Clients programme at Arcadis since 2014 Vice Mayor and Elderman (elected positions) Amsterdam City marketing, networks and sustainable ecosystems development University of Groningen

8 The Sustainable City Index Research RANKING 100 CITIES ON 32 INDICATORS OVER THE 3 PILLARS OF SUSTAINABILITY Rating health (life expectancy and obesity), education (literacy and universities), income inequality, work-life balance, the dependency ratio, crime, green space within cities and housing and living costs. These indicators can be broadly thought of as capturing quality of life. Ranking cities on energy consumption and renewable energy share, recycling and composting rates, greenhouse gas emissions, natural catastrophe risk, drinking water, sanitation and air pollution. Examining performance from a business perspective, combining measures of transport infrastructure (rail, air and traffic congestion), ease of doing business, tourism, GDP per capita, the city s importance in global economic networks, connectivity in terms of mobile and broadband access and employment rates. Each city receives a score on the three pillars of sustainability. The city s overall score is equal to the average of these three sub-indices. October 15,

9 Choices, choices where to put the money?

10 The Amsterdam case Where to put the money? Subsystem battle Collectiveness or decentralisation? Life 4 life or shut down Metropolitan area City GVB Alliander Afval Energie Bedrijf Waternet

11 scenario s, scenario s.. how s life in attractive cities

12 Cities with projected population >10 million Pop. decline 0-15% 16-30% 31-45% Change in population from 2014 to % or more population 40mio 25mio 10mio Los Angeles Mexico City New York Bogota Lima Rio de Janeiro Sao Paulo Buenos Aires London Paris Lagos Cairo Luanda Istanbul Kinshasa Moscow Karachi Ahmadabad Hyderabad Johannesburg Beijing Chengdu Lahore Delhi Dhaka Kolkata Bangkok Bangalore Jakarta Mumbai Ho Chi Minh City Tianjin Tokyo Chongqing Guangzhau Osaka Shenzhen Manila Tokyo and Osaka expected to lose population due to low birth rates and declining immigration Luanda, Angola Its population is expected to grow to 10,4 million in 2030, from 5.3 million in 2014, the fastest growth rate among the 2030 megacities. Lagos and Kinshasa are close behind Urbanization trend Cities are in competition Cities are business hubs Cities are emotional attachment areas Source: NY times

13 Energy scenarios for example Green?? Centralized Decentralized X? Gray

14 Source, world economic forum Scenarios and dimensions Sustainable cities, waste doesn t exist anymore Sustainable innovations, automization, robotization, digital twin, Deep tunnelling vs metro renewal Brand new power supply system vs renewal Disruptive technology, smart phone, smart office refurbishment, smart grids, smart mobility, smart cities

15 Action, action.. Smart city asset managers, mobilize!

16 How to sell your system s assets in the transition towards a sustainable city Understand the city ecosystem: balance between peaple planet and profit knowing the value of your assets within the city ecosystem and within the political structure be innovative, creative and be a city marketeer understand and manage the balance between financial performance, operational / technical performance and risk

17 Risk level Smart city value enablers Strategic value box City level portfolio decisions Financial performance high Decision effectiveness high I II III Value [%] high Risk appetite Operational/ technical performance TotEx [M ] 17

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19 It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change. Leon C. Megginson

20 Arcadis. Improving quality of life.