IncREO. ( Increasing Resilience through Earth Observation. Copernicus Emergency Projects WS EC/REA, Brussels 4 December 2014

Transcription

1 IncREO ( Increasing Resilience through Earth Observation Copernicus Emergency Projects WS EC/REA, Brussels 4 December 2014 Coordinator: Dr Marc Mueller (Airbus DS Geo SA [former Spot Image SA])

2 Content Products and services developed (or planned) in the project Characteristics and conditions of these products and services

3 Project facts Copernicus project IncREO: Increasing Resilience through Earth Observation European consortium of 10 partners from industry, science and public institutions Project s life span: Jan. 13 Dec. 14 (final meeting next week) Total costs: 2,9 M / EU Funding: 1.9 M

4 Project scope IncREO addresses R&D activities for service and product development related to Risk and vulnerability mapping, including tools and products enhancing mitigation and preparedness, thereby supporting adaptation strategies and prevention capacities Resilience is understood as the capacity of a system, community or society potentially exposed to hazards to adapt, by resisting or changing in order to reach and maintain an acceptable level of functioning and structure IncREO also pursues a multi-risk approach as a fundamental basis to identify highly vulnerable and risk-prone areas (maps, web atlas etc.) Furthermore, emphasis is placed on assets mapping which is understood here as geo-locating monetary values per area unit (e.g. /m²) at different scales (nationally, regionally and locally)

5 Users addressed Veneto, Italy Civil Protection Alpago communities (Mayors) Mountain Union France Directorate General for Civil Protection and Crisis Management (DGSCGC) Central Hydro-Meteo Service for Floods Forecast (SCHAPI) Bulgaria Ministry of Interior, Fire Safety and Civil Protection Directorate General Ministry of Environment and Waters, Basin Directorate for Water Management in Black Sea Region Ministry of Interior, General Directorate of Civil Emergencies, Albania Romania Buzau County Council Ministry of Regional Development and Public Administration (MDRAP) National Directorate for Water Management (OVF [former VKKI]), Hungary

6 Service understanding and product Test site HiRAM / AM+ components Domino effect tool Simplified multi-exposure map Domino effect product (more details) Geoinformation atlas

7 Assets Mapping Objectives: Displaying monetary values per area unit, e.g. EUR/m² Support communities in identifying, analyzing and quantifying population and assets at stake in case of natural disasters Provide up to date reference data and maps in support of preparedness and prevention measures

8 Assets Mapping Only direct assets are taken into account, i.e. tangible assets such as real property and personal property (or moveable property) Method is based on net concept which reflects the current market value of an asset (not restoration costs or insured assets) Building ground costs are not included as it is assumed that the value assigned to it will not change in the case of an event External planning costs are not included (i.e. building permits) as they will not apply for a simple restoration after an event. No consideration of production downtime costs

9 Assets Mapping

10 Basic European Assets Map [EUR/sq m]

11 High-Resolution Assets Map HiRAM displays residential assets values in EUR per inhabited building VHR1/2 optical data 2D urban area detection Population figures Scale of final map product: < 1: Use of already existing data Urban Atlas and / or CLC2006 data on NUTS level (or similar data for out of Europe areas) Street / infrastructure data (e.g. OSM data) Critical infrastructure data (public facilities, energy, transport, cultural heritage sites etc.) If available, additional data such as vector files from Charta / EMS GIO activations, previous events etc. (cf. Dresden flood 2013) For providing HiRAM with monetary values per area unit the existing BEAM asset values (e.g. for private housing and household [unit: /m²]) will be used and will be more precisely located as a consequence of the VHR EO data-based building delineation component of HiRAM

12 Assets Map Plus AM+ displays the estimated population per inhabited building and includes a routing analysis applied for evacuation purposes VHR1 optical data 2D urban area detection Population figures Scale of final map product: > 1: Terrain data needed (Digital Elevation Models) 3D building extraction and calculation of building volume If available, additional data such as vector files from Charta / EMS GIO activations, previous events etc. For providing AM+ with monetary values per area unit the existing BEAM asset values (e.g. for private housing and household [unit: /m²]) will be used and will be more precisely located as a consequence of the VHR EO data-based building delineation component of AM+

13 High-Resolution Assets Map

14 Assets Map Plus

15 User feedback Mountain Union Alpago / Municipalities Very satisfied with the products Information contained in products is considered as important and innovative Having this information in digital format is an added value for their planning and management purposes

16 User feedback Civil Protection Veneto (CPV) Information content as presented in AM+ and HiRAM is truly innovative not only for CPV but also on national level. Integration of economic values to planning is a relatively new approach and the maps are supporting material for this effort CPV confirms that map products provide a comprehensive overview of the location of economic values in an area and even though it is just an estimation it provides another reference for the decision making process

17 User feedback Civil Protection Veneto (ctnd.) Maps can also be used for training staff, especially in combination with other products delivered for the Alpago area in the frame of IncREO Simulations of an event such as a landslide triggered by an earthquake as a result of IncREO s domino effect demonstrator Intersection of these results especially with AM+ product incl. routing analysis can be used for supporting rescue services during crisis situations

18 HIRAM

19 AM+

20 Feedback DGSCGC Pros The information content as displayed in the map appears reliable The informative value of the map product and its legend are comprehensible and clear The displayed information content (reference layers, added-value) and the cartography applied to the map product serve my needs The availability of the product for several sites and larger areas would provide added-value to my professional tasks. Although they are appropriately equipped for working with geoinformation products in standard GIS formats, they are also interested in the map products provided as pdf and paper version, respectively DGSCGC would be interested in an operational service providing them with preparedness and prevention products as developed and specified in IncREO Cons: They would not accept to pay for these map products in the framework of future preparedness and prevention measures

21 Wind, waves & storm surges Wave models as main components of early warning system for hydro-meteorological hazards (storms, high waves, coastal floods) along the Bulgarian Black Sea coast Resulting product is an operational forecast for this area (example for 19 June 2014 on next slide) User can access operational forecast via own account at

22 Wind, waves & storm surges

23 Storm surge hazard/risk map (1979 vs. 2012)

24 Content & Method The hazards maps show the extent and inundation in case of a storm surge along the Black Sea coastline of Bulgaria. The simulation is based on estimated maximum storm surge levels for two situations, in 1979 and 2012, with stormy conditions along the Bulgarian coastline. Values were obtained by NIMH using the numerical storm-surge model developed by MF, forced by the downscaled ERA-Interim historical reanalyses of 10 m wind and mean sea level pressure. This data is used to develop a simplified method to approximate significant wave heights and wave transformation along the coastline and in shallow water. Final inundation was modelled using the software FloodArea HPC based on a DEM with a spatial resolution of 8 m. The damage calculation is based on flood damage functions and BEAM. Specific damage functions are used to calculate the damages at different water levels for the various BEAM asset types: Residential buildings, household, both net asset values and stock in trade values of agriculture, industry and service and trade, vehicles, livestock, grasslands, forest and roads. Resulting flood hazard and risk maps are suited to support the implementation of the EU Flood Directive in Bulgaria

25 Feedback MoEnv/Black Sea ( ) The maps provide good visualization of the expected water level and potential damages in the event of flooding due to wind waves and storm-surges. The IncREO project implementation and the results obtained facilitate the collection of data and information on coastal flood hazards and risks, little studied and mapped until now.

26 Flood use case Albania Shkodra lake (severe flood in 2010) Flood maps Exposure maps Population (Critical) Infrastructure Assets maps

27 Flood use case Albania

28 Global resilience map Population density and several indices used to display the population s resilience against natural hazards

29 Global vulnerability map Population density is divided by the population s resilience index to calculate the population s vulnerability against natural hazards

30 Global sea-level rise scenarios Sea Level: 0 m Sea Level: + 3 m WorldDEM ASTER GDEM (Pixel spacing 12m) (Pixel spacing 30m) Sea Level: + 5 m Sea Level: + 10 m Test site: Toulon, France Quality of elevation reference is key in flood and sea-level rise modelling!

31 Geo-information Atlas (dynamic)

32 Products section (mostly static)

33 Summary & Outlook Focus put on product development as potential contributions to an operational emergency preparedness / prevention service (or Risk & Recovery service ) Products developed address different scales (local, regional, national, global) Sustainable use of developments in large part achieved (contribution to operational services) Transfer of solutions to other hazards and geographic regions given

34 References Co-funding: The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Community s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/ ) under grant agreement n (Increasing Resilience through Earth Observation [IncREO]) Web page incl. download of products:

35 Thank you for your attention!

36 Contact Coordinating entity: Airbus DS Geo SA (former Spot Image S.A.) IncREO coordinator ( Dr Marc Mueller Project Manager Geo-intelligence Airbus Defence and Space 5 rue des Satellites, BP14359 F Toulouse Cedex 4, France Tel: +33 (0) marc.mueller@astrium.eads.net