GAS INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS

Transcription

1 Ad Hoc Group of Experts on the Supply and Use of Gas CROATIA: GAS INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS 2006 Ante Žedelj Croplin Ltd., Zagreb Geneva - January 25, 2007

2 Contents Croatian gas market 2006 Supply and demand situation Gas transportation system developments 2006 Future gas system development Legal framework EU harmonisation drive New and on-going projects Conclusions

3 Croatian Gas Market BCM 20% 1% 1.22 BCM 2006* Total sales: 2.68 BCM 45% 22% 0.58 BCM 12% Gas distribution co's Power generation (EC) other eligibles Direct industry Petrochemicals (EC)

4 Croatian gas market breakdown

5 Supply & Demand Projection IMPORT (Rus) Domest. fields Supply gap

6 Gas Transportation System System capacity: 3,5 x 10 6 m 3 Rijeka Zagreb Karlovac Ivanić Grad Kutina Sl. Brod Osijek Pula 1657 km pipelines 142 MRS 210 metering lines novih new: km km plinovoda pipelines nova new: SCADA SCADA novih 12 MRS new: 12 MRS Map courtesy Plinacro

7 Gas Transportation System Development Plan Pula Umag DN 300/50 Kukuljanovo Omišalj DN 500/75 Lučko Zabok DN 700/75 Zabok - Rogatec DN 700/75 D.Miholjac Dravaserdahely DN 700/75 Slobodnica D. Miholjac DN 700/75 Slobodnica B.Brod DN 700/75 Bosiljevo Split DN 500/75 Dugopolje Ploče DN 500/75 Ploče Dubrovnik DN 700/75 Dubrovnik Igalo DN 700/75 Slobodnica Sotin DN 700/75 Sotin Bačko Novo Selo DN 700/75 Map courtesy Plinacro

8 Future System Capabilities 1,5-5 Bcm/year 1,5 2,5 Bcm/year mln m 3 mlrd m ,5 Bcm/year New sources of supply Sufficient capacity and power 1,5-2,5 Bcm /year 500 mln m 3 2,5 3,5 Bcm/year Transit capacity Regional connections Storage capacity 1,5 2,5 Bcm/year Map courtesy Plinacro

9 Croatian gas transportation system in European context

10 Legal Framework 2nd round of the National energy reform EU harmonisation (55/03,...) and EEC requirements Gas market liberalisation Central position of the new GAS MARKET ACT* Horizontal and vertical (legal*) unbundling Gas market opening in 2007 (non-residentials) & 2008 (full) Protected customer categories (tariff PSO) Price control (to 2011?*)

11 Energy Act Legal Framework* Law on prod., distrib. and supply of district heating Electricity Market Law Oil and Oil Products Market Law Gas Market Law* Energy Regulation Act Gas activities (functions):* Regulated: WS Supply (TCs) TSO DSO SSO LNGO Ret. Supply (TCs) Market: Production Supply (eligible cs) Trade* Secondary legislation and operational regulations expected in 2007: 6 Tariff systems for gas activities/functions (methodologies) General conditions of gas supply Security of Supply Bill 2 network codes (TSO + DSO), 2(3) regulations

12 CROATIAN GAS MARKET MODEL ( expected* open gas market structure ) SUPPLY Eligib Cs SUPPLY - OPEN MARKET COMMERCIAL GAS FLOWS SUPPLY Eligib Cs SOURCES 1 (pipeline gas) SOURCES 2 (LNG) LNG TERMINAL (LNGSO) PHYSICAL GAS FLOWS TRANSPORT (TSO) STORAGE (SSO) DISTRIBUTION (DSO) REGULATED INFRASTRUCTURE CHANNEL ELIGIBLE customers (opened) PROTECTED Customers (SoS) ELIGIBLE Customers 1 (PSO) Wh. SUPPLY PSO REGULATED SUPPLY - PSO Ret. SUPPLY PSO

13 On-going projects Infrastructure: Further gas transportation system development Next phase of national transportation system Import interconnections New production/supply: North Adriatic off-shore gas fields (INAgip)

14 New projects Infrastructure: Gas storage development New local gas storage project (0.5 Bcm) Regional storage development project (2 Bcm) New production/supply: Krk island LNG regasification terminal

15 New and on-going projects: offshore & LNG Krk LNG Map courtesy InAgip

16 North-Adria off-shore fields (INAgip) INAgip JV development since Production 2006: 1,36 BCM - Plan 2007: 1,58 BCM Map courtesy InAgip

17 Krk island LNG project Atlantic Ocean El Ferrol Sines Huelva Montoir Milford Haven Wilhelmshafen Isle of Grain Valencia Dragon Bilbao Cavaou Cartagena Arzew Zeebrugge Adriatic LNG La Spezia Fos Rosignano Livorno Brindisi Barcelona Skikda Adria LNG Mediterranean Sea Marsa El Brega Ereglisi Izmir Liquefaction Existing Liquefaction Under Construction Existing Under Construction Proposed Revythoussa Damietta Idku LNG regas terminal on the island of Krk Adria LNG consortium + Croatian partners (?) Start-up in 2012 (?) Map courtesy INA

18 Conclusions Difficult but interesting years ahead! Finalization of EU-harmonised legal framework Start-up of the new (gas related) investment cycle pipelines, storage, LNG Gas system development in southern part of Croatia Transit capability/role of Croatian gas system Role in regional gas storage

19 Difficult years?

20 I demand full unbundling! I demand full unbundling! I demand full unbundling!