GUIDE to Natural Refrigerants 2015 state of the industry North America & in the world

Transcription

1 GUIDE to Natural Refrigerants 2015 state of the industry North America & in the world Nina Masson, Deputy Managing Director shecco

2 looking back: the GUIDE 2013 first market overview report for Natural Refrigerants in North America captured the first CO 2 refrigeration food store map for Canada and the USA + the situation for lightcommercial (food service) featured an industry survey to depict the state of the industry today and future expectations and more

3 why a GUIDE 2015? dynamic market developments in the last 2.5 years, in several sectors efforts driven often by influential brands in food retail, consumer goods, cold storage more stakeholders involved and active: components, systems, contractors, regulators, power utilities, research

4 why a GUIDE 2015? food service sector one of the exciting sectors to watch, with internal competition between NR CO 2 commercial refrigeration market regarded as viable technology - on its way to becoming a standard industrial refrigeration driven by low-charge NH 3 systems and future uptake of CO 2

5 GUIDE North America nd edition to the 2013 GUIDE on market, technology & policy trends most comprehensive overview of Natural Refrigerant use in North America years later new design, more info graphics and interviews as part of the Accelerate brand - as a Special Edition launched in August 2015

6 GUIDE North America 2015 feature chapters on: Light-Commercial Refrigeration Commercial Refrigeration Industrial Refrigeration business directory

7 GUIDE North America 2015 GUIDE 2015 Special Supporter supported by market leaders for NR in North America. serving a variety of applications

8 GUIDE 2015: ecosystems ecosystems show the use of NR in 2015 in city & buildings industry, special applications & sports food chain by refrigerant and end use

9 NR commercial availability in the US REFRIGERATION Domestic Refrigeration 2016 Light commercial Refrigeration (plug-in) 2018 Commercial Refrigeration - centralized systems 2018 Industrial refrigeration Road Transport Refrigeration table showing per sector full commercial / semicommercial / no commercial availability of NR technology in the USA AIR-CONDITIONING Small room A/C (self-contained) 2016 Multisplit / VRF A/C Chillers Residential heat pumps Commercial and industrial heat pumps Mobile air conditioning WANTED: your opinion - please use the evaluation form in your folder and return it to the registration desk

10 2015 survey: respondents most respondents from the USA respondents from outside North America also added their view reflection of interest increasing in NR business = source: shecco, status: June 2015

11 2015 survey: respondents large & small organizations represented the most system manufacturers, contractors and component suppliers most responsive source: shecco, status: June 2015

12 2015 survey: respondents highest response rates from the commercial & industrialsized applications reflecting high dynamics for NR in larger sized equipment for refrigeration, air conditioning & heating = source: shecco, status: June 2015

13 familiarity with NR overall, familiarity with NR is above average, but there is room for improvement, especially for CO 2 hydrocarbons enjoy the highest form of familiarity among respondents in 2015 = reflection of established or increasing HC use in all three countries source: shecco, status: June 2015

14 current use of refrigerants the use of fluorinated gases is still wide-spread in North America, and even HCFCs are used by more than half of the respondents CO 2 enjoys the highest use among respondents among NR the gap between F-gases and Natural Refrigerants is shrinking = source: shecco, status: June 2015

15 north america: growing appetite for NR in the food service industry current

16 north america: growing appetite for NR in the food service industry future shecco CO 2 - ein natürliches Kältemittel als Alternative: Anwendungsmöglichkeiten, Markttrends und Stand der Technik

17 NR in the food service industry before 2013, just 16,364 HFCfree units were placed across the three countries today: 291,000+ HFC-free units placed in North America - 181,000 HC + 109,000 CO 2 = 17 times more than 3 years ago the market in NA will further accelerate, with market & regulatory changes source: shecco, status: June 2015

18 north america: growing appetite for NR in the food service industry Red Bull: 100% HC procurement plan for its Eco-Coolers 500,000+ HFC-free units worldwide Unilever has 133,245 units in North America 2 million worldwide PepsiCo have committed to purchasing only HFC-free coolers, vending machines and fountain dispensers by 2020 in the US 240,000 HFC-free units worldwide source: shecco, status: June 2015

19 north america: growing appetite for NR in the food service industry source: shecco, status: June 2014

20 light-commercial refrigeration in the world more than 4.3 million HFC-free units worldwide

21 north america: growing appetite for NR in the food service industry McDonald s deployed close to 9,500 units of HFC-free units in Europe (2012/13 CSR report) the unofficial number for 2014/15 is more around 13,500 HFC-free units in Europe this is 2% of the total unit fleet of 700,000 = huge further market potential source: Accelerate America magazine, Edition #4, March 2015,

22 food service: company profiles GUIDE 2015 contains short profiles of leading consumer goods brands global fleet using NR NA fleet using NR refrigerant of choice WANTED: updated figures + new end-users interested to be added source: shecco, status: June June 2015

23 light-commercial refrigeration nearly all experts in the lightcommercial refrigeration sector still work with HFCs those using Natural Refrigerants mostly use HCs = the NR food service sector is one of the most dynamic ones + from being non-existent a short while ago it now already features internal competition between NR source: shecco, status: June 2015

24 light-commercial refrigeration a very strong majority thinks that NR will gain market share in North America s food service sector by 2020 the trend will accelerate. with the = 2015 EPA SNAP approval of HCs in various uses 2016 proposed de-listing of high-gwp gases 2017/18 DOE energy efficiency standards source: shecco, status: June 2015

25 industrial refrigeration - trends the R22 phase-out schedule starts taking effect on endusers not yet using NH 3 move towards low-charge NH 3 = no charge limits apply + less refrigerant costs use of CO 2 in cascade / secondary NH 3 -CO 2 systems use of CO 2 transcritical systems move towards more energyefficient equipment

26 industrial refrigeration - draft numbers* overall: minimum 261 nextgeneration NR installations: low-charge NH 3: 206 CO 2 TC: 27 NH 3 -CO 2 cascade: 23 NH 3 -CO 2 secondary: 5 R1270 secondary: 1 WANTED: your data about next-generation HFC-free installations in North America, including use of HCs * data received from 7 system suppliers in Canada and the USA; source: shecco, status: June 2015

27 CO 2 secondary / cascade stores in NA the US is hitting the 200 mark for CO 2 secondary / cascade stores as we speak the most proactive States: California, Texas, Florida, Georgia - but the use is now spread across most US States! Canada stays at a low 15 stores, with Québec taking 10 out of those higher share of CO 2 cascade solutions in the south (warm ambient temperatures) = source: shecco, status: May 2015

28 CO 2 secondary / cascade stores 2012 vs 2015 end-2012 vs mid-2015 Canada had 3 CO 2 secondary / cascade stores + 12 stores the USA had 56 CO 2 secondary / cascade stores stores source: shecco, status: May 2015

29 CO 2 transcritical stores in north america with more than 100 stores Canada increases its North American CO 2 TC leadership - Québec takes a strong 70 out of that (driven by Sobey s 63 stores) the most proactive US States: California, Illinois and Ohio - the use is concentrated in the West and the East the picture for CO 2 TC solutions is inverse from CO 2 secondary / cascade: the north leads = source: shecco, status: May 2015

30 CO 2 transcritical stores 2012 vs end-2012 vs mid-2015 Canada had 37 CO 2 TC stores + 68 stores the USA had no CO 2 TC store + 17 stores (and more now planned) source: shecco, status: May 2015

31 CO 2 transcritical stores in the world europe continues to build the CO 2 TC market year on year - up from 1,300 in 2011 to 4,000+ units in 2014/15 (= conservative estimate!) the next challenge now tackled: the move to southern climates three hot spots have emerged: europe, asia (mostly japan) and north america with different technology focus (CO 2 TC vs. CO 2 cascade), store formats (large vs. CVS) & retailer commitment south africa and indonesia stand out again as a result of individual food retailers drive to go CO 2 source: shecco, status: June 2015

32 CO 2 stores in china 8 CO 2 stores in China - 1 TC 2015/16: min 17 CO 2 hybrid stores planned (Metro) NR uptake is driven by global food retail brands - now: Tesco, Metro 80% of components for CO 2 refrigeration systems now available in China CO 2 is still in the developing stage but is expected to gain traction in the next few years = source: shecco, status: May 2015

33 CO 2 transcritical stores in japan 1,000+ CO 2 TC stores 25+ brands using R744 up from 180 in early 2014 = 400%+ increase in one year = Japan as the world leader for R744 use in C-stores 1,000+ Lawson: CO 2 now standard technology for CVS, even in sub-tropical climate = 13 stores in Indonesia training of 900 technicians = maintenance activities down from 250/month in 2012 to below 10/month across all stores source: shecco Japan K.K. - status: June 2015

34 all-natural store in japan SAVE-ON: first-ever all-natural store in Japan, using CO 2 TC technology for wall side cases + R290 cabinets 1,000+ energy savings: 77% as compared to HFC units source: shecco Japan K.K. - status: June 2015

35 GUIDE China 2015 largest-ever survey about NR in China = 1,000+ responses overview of NR technology, market & policy trends in cooperation with Chinese Association of Refrigeration

36 light-commercial refrigeration in china at least 750,000 HFC-free units are placed in China today - global brands fast-track the use 85% of the Chinese industry expects an increase in NR use for that sector by 2020 the outlook for HC is rated slightly more positively than for CO 2 source: GUIDE to Natural Refrigerants in China - State of the Industry 2015, status: May 2015

37 CO 2 heat pumps in china the trend for CO 2 heat pumps for commercial use accelerates the trend for R744 in other applications today, more than 300 trials are running under partly extreme conditions = CO 2 heat pumps have become one of the most dynamic markets for NR in China aiming at 50,000 heat pumps by 2020?* * estimation of a local heat pump manufacturer, May 2015 source: GUIDE to Natural Refrigerants in China - State of the Industry 2015, status: May 2015

38 industrial refrigeration - CO 2 projects in china more than 30,000 end-users use NH 3 systems by 2017, China will most likely surpass the capacity of the US cold chain, currently at 115 million m 3 of space by december 2015, 34 CO 2 cascade / secondary projects will be completed in China s industrial refrigeration sector = NH 3 and CO 2 in industrial refrigeration were ranked 2 nd and 3 rd out of 11 applications source: GUIDE to Natural Refrigerants in China - State of the Industry 2015, status: May 2015

39 GUIDEs in 2015 GUIDE TO NATURAL REFRIGERANTS IN CHINA - STATE OF THE INDUSTRY GUIDE TO NATURAL REFRIGERANTS IN NORTH AMERICA - STATE OF THE INDUSTRY 2015 SPECIAL EDITION ACCELERATE MAGAZINE GUIDE TO NATURAL REFRIGERANTS IN JAPAN - STATE OF THE INDUSTRY 2015 SPECIAL EDITION ACCELERATE MAGAZINE OCT 2015 SEP 2015

40 GUIDE Training = reference tool for the HVAC&R industry and end-users to find the best method and provider of training analyse the training situation per refrigerant, application, industry sector 2016 provide an overview of training providers per country, incl. topics and type of refrigerants covered, type of course etc.

41 shecco - useful links Industry Platforms: shecco Publications, incl. GUIDEs Accelerate Magazine ATMOsphere conferences, side-events & network meetings: contact details: Nina Masson nina.masson@shecco.com office: mobile: mobile: