Nuclear Energy s State of Play European Perspective. Andrei Goicea FORATOM Executive Manager 29 October 2018

Transcription

1 Nuclear Energy s State of Play European Perspective Andrei Goicea FORATOM Executive Manager 29 October 2018

2 Nuclear Energy s State of Play 2 1. About FORATOM 2. EU Energy Policy 3. Nuclear Energy in EU 4. Nuclear Research

3 3 ABOUT FORATOM

4 Who we are 4 FORATOM acts as the voice of the European nuclear industry in energy policy discussions with EU Institutions and other key stakeholders.

5 Membership 5 The membership of FORATOM is made up of 15 national nuclear associations representing more than 3,000 companies. Belgium Bulgaria Finland France Hungary Italy Netherlands Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Ukraine United Kingdom CEZ (Czech Republic) and PGE EJ 1 (Poland) are Corporate Members

6 Key topics 6 EU Energy Policy: Economics of nuclear EU energy mix Environment Euratom Treaty Security of energy supply Special projects - Brexit Nuclear technology: New build projects Nuclear safety Nuclear transport R&D Waste disposal Communication: Nuclear advocacy Perception of nuclear energy Promotion of nuclear energy Public opinion Young generations in nuclear

7 FORATOM Presence in Nuclear Forums 7 FORATOM is represented at a number of key nuclear-related forums including:

8 8 EU ENERGY POLICY

9 EU 2050 Low-Carbon Strategy 9 In March 2018, EU leaders asked the EC to present, within 12 months: A proposal for a Strategy for long-term EU greenhouse gas emissions reduction in accordance with the Paris Agreement This followed a similar request form the EP The strategy will structure its reflection around: modernising the economy improving citizens' quality of life fair transition & social challenges automation & clean mobility free, fair & sustainable global competition for markets, trade & investments The strategy will: analyse scenarios towards decarbonisation in line with the Paris Agreement. examine the potential & implications of deployment of innovative technologies. examine implications for security of supply, investments, climate resilience, competitiveness & socio-economic factors.

10 Key policy drivers at EU level 10 EU energy & climate goals: CO 2 emissions goals vs. RES goals Clean Energy Package (role of nuclear) Balance of power pronuclear vs. antinuclear countries New build projects facing opposition by selected EU members Future of the Euratom Treaty (EC s 2019 Work Programme)

11 EU Energy Policy 11 EU Energy Policy Focus Cutting GHG emissions Contribution to the Paris Agreement Affordable energy for consumers Security of energy supply Increasing the share of RES Limiting the number of fossil fuel power plants Robust EU-ETS system New opportunities for growth and jobs Reducing dependence on energy imports Helping RES integrate into the system (network stability & flexibility) ROLE FOR NUCLEAR

12 Key messages on nuclear 12 Nuclear energy contributes to all the Energy Union s key energy objectives Environmental: Low-carbon energy source Low environmental impact (land & resource use) Economic: 70Bn turnover/year in Europe companies 800,000+ jobs in Europe Security of energy supply: Reliable baseload electricity at affordable cost Flexibility of dispatch required to balance renewables

13 13 NUCLEAR ENERGY IN EU

14 What does nuclear contribute to Europe's economy? ,000 26% NUCLEAR REACTORS IN OPERATION IN THE EU BILLION/YEAR JOBS ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION

15 Nuclear energy in the EU 15 ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION 26% LOW-CARBON ELECTRICITY 50%

16 New build in the EU construction & plans 16 Nuclear power plants under construction Countries preparing or considering new build Countries preparing or considering new build*: Bulgaria Czech Republic Finland France Poland Romania Slovenia UK *Source: European Commission s PINC, May nuclear power plants under construction - nuclear projects being developed or planned

17 EU institutions approach towards nuclear 17 Key conclusions: European Commission s Nuclear Illustrative Programme (05/2017) Many countries in Europe will rely on nuclear to produce part of their electricity for the coming decades. Nuclear capacity in the EU will remain stable at between 95 & 105 GW by Capacity replacement investment in the EU will most likely be in the most advanced reactors, such as EPR, AP1000, VVER 1200, ACR 1000 & ABWR. Around 50 of the 129 (now 126) reactors currently in operation in the EU are to be shut down by More than 90 nuclear reactors have been shut down permanently in Europe, however only 3 have been completely decommissioned so far. The total estimated investments in the nuclear fuel cycle by 2050 are projected to be between 660 & 770 billion. Estimated investment needs in LTO (until 2050): EUR 46,9 billion

18 Future of nuclear in the EU Nuclear capacity (GW) Current capacity w/o LTO Operating in LTO New build needed to mainain nuclear share Under construction capacity Under construction & planned capacity Optimum scenario *Source: PINC, European Commission, 2017

19 FORATOM s vision 2050 study Overall, a number of key questions emerge regarding the role of nuclear in the Europe future energy trajectories Security of supply Can a EU scenario with fully decarbonized electricity mix be credible, secure and cost efficient without a significant share of nuclear? Economics How to manage nuclear plant closures and new build in different countries to avoid locking in inefficient fossil fuel technologies and emissions in transition to a decarbonised power sector? Sustainability What is the role that nuclear can play in a EU decarbonisation scenario with growing power demand driven by strong electrification of the economy? The Vision 2050 study elaborated by FTI-CL aims at delivering fact-based evidence in response to these key questions by analysing the contribution of the European nuclear sector to achieving European energy policy objectives of reliability, decarbonisation and cost efficiency. 19

20 FORATOM s Vision FORATOM s 2050 Energy Long-Term Vision The study: Analyses strategies & documents used while preparing the revision of the EU s 2050 energy and low-carbon strategy. Presents scenarios for Europe s future energy mix highlighting the contribution of nuclear energy. Explains why nuclear should play one of the key roles. FORATOM foresees the need to increase the total installed capacity from 120 GW today to around 150 GW by 2050.

21 21 NUCLEAR RESEARCH

22 Nuclear research Horizon Horizon 2020 budget (million ) 80b EC proposal (COM(2017) 698 final) for H2020 Euratom 2019/2020 additional 770 million [VALUE] million [VALUE] million b 560m 316m m [VALUE] million Fusion Fission/Safety/Radioprotection 0 Overall Fusion R&D Fission, Safety & Radiation Protection Nuclear JRC Nuclear Safety & Security JRC direct actions

23 Nuclear research Horizon Europe 23 Budget for Horizon??? Current status & next steps EC currently working on a proposal EC adopts its proposal for the next EU budget & soon after adopts its proposal for Horizon Europe (+ EP, Council) Planned launch - 01/01/2021 FORATOM activities Position Paper calling the EU to increase substantially the level of EU funding for future Euratom research Response to the EC public consultation on the next Euratom Research Framework Programme Lobbying activities

24 Nuclear research Horizon Europe 24 Areas of focus in nuclear research suggested by FORATOM: New reactor concepts LWRs safety & efficiency Ageing phenomena Example: Salt Irradiation Experiment (SALIENT) Engaged parties: Collaboration of NRG and the European Commission Reactor components & fuel Waste & disposal New recycling technologies Large research infrastructures Objective: Use thorium as a fuel for a molten salt reactor Role of EU: EC s Joint Research Centre has synthesized the fuel and will investigate samples in their laboratories after irradiation.

25 @FORATOM_nuclear FORATOMnuclear FORATOM FORATOM