WP7 Adaptation of Environmental and Sector Policies to Climate Change

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1 WP7 Adaptation of Environmental and Sector Policies to Climate Change Kristīne Āboliņa The University of Latvia Faculty of Geography and Earth Sciences

2 WP7 Adaptation of Environmental and Sector Policies to Climate Change Goal: In the context of the water environment, develop scientifically sound proposals to adapt environmental and sector policies in Latvia to the impacts of climate change.

3 Phase 2 tasks of WP7: 1. Identify possible impacts of climate change on the water environment in Latvia (in relation to environmental and development policy) in the context of resource management.

4 Possible impacts of climate change Expression of Climate Change Dry periods in Summer Impacted Human Activity Agriculture Plants experience moisture stress or die Adaptation Measures and Issues Selection of crop (I) Availability of water for variety watering

5 Potentially Impacted Sectors by Climate Change Agriculture Spatial Planning Water resource management Energy sector Forestry Civil protection. (table 7.1 in report) Partners for further cooperation: Decision makers Planners Local governments Sectors Themes for recommendations for adaptation measures (+themes for further research)

6 2. Analyse normative acts and planning documents in the context of climate change policies Need to include climate change factors in SEIA procedures Need of the vulnerability assessment Need to include the environmental risk in risk management principles

7 3. Undertake a survey of municipal and other government institutions August November 2007, n=94 respondents

8 Increase in number of dry events 48,8 25,6 25,6 Increase of flood intensity 48,2 37,3 14,5 Increase of flood events 42,2 33,7 24,1 Decrease in ground water quality 41 51,8 7,2 Increased water temperature in surface water bodies 40,5 27,4 32,7 Increased runoff 38,8 41,2 20 Increased variability in runoff 36,6 48,8 14,6 Sea level rise 36,1 54,2 9,6 Increased ground water level 34,6 28,2 37,2 Increased precipitation 30,6 41,2 28,2 Variability in strength of ice break-up flooding 30,4 41,8 27,8 Increased precipitation type variability 28,9 57,8 13,3 Decreased length of ice cover 28 51,2 20,8 Decrease in surface water quality 27,1 64,7 8,2 Precipitation decrease 21,5 27,8 50,6 Ground water level decrease 21,1 34,2 44,7 Decreased number of dry events 16,9 11,7 71,4 Decrease in the number of ice break-ups Decrease of flood intensity 13,3 4 82,7 Decrease in runoff 13 22,1 64,9 Sea level decrease 12,2 4,1 83,8 Increased number of ice break-ups 11,8 18,4 69,7 Decrease in flood events 11,8 7,9 80,3 Increased length of ice cover 10,5 7,9 81,6 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Changes will occur Changes exist No changes expected

9 results of practitioner s survey There is awareness about climate change existing and possible impacts There is awareness about need for adaptation There is a need of knowledge about adaptation instruments!!! Contradiction with real politics!!!? Very low priority of climate change and sustainability issues

10 4. Foster dialogue between climate change and water resource researchers and development planners, policy-makers in national institutions, municipal institutions and the business sector. Discussions with Ministry of Environment Discussion Club on Climate Change - The Strategic Analysis Commission under the Auspices of the President of Latvia in cooperation with the Royal Danish Embassy and the Danish Cultural Institute Participation in meetings of National development committee of Latvia about National Development Plan and National Sustainable Development Strategy British Council in Latvia project about Climate Change participation at meetings of Latvian Association of Local and Regional Governments

11 WP7 tasks for the 3rd phase (2008): 1. Based on the results of the survey of municipal and state specialists an action plan for an on-going dialogue between research programme researchers and practitioners will be developed. 2. Continuation of dialogue between climate change and water resource researchers and state and municipal level development planning specialists and the business sector. 3. Preparation of a publication on the results of the survey of state and municipal institution specialists. 4. Ensure that the results of the research programme are integrated into the Latvian climate change Not will be developed in 2008! adaptation strategy through participation in the work group.

12 Co-author of the article for the book about climate change, planned to be printed in summer 2008 by the Strategic Analysis Commission under the Auspices of the President of Latvia Co-author of article for the book about coastal zone sustainable development, planned to be printed in 2008 by Union for Europe of the Nations and the University of Latvia

13 WP7 tasks for the 3rd phase (2008): 1. Based on the results of the survey of municipal and state specialists an action plan for an on-going dialogue between research programme researchers and practitioners will be developed. 2. Continuation of dialogue between climate change and water resource researchers and state and municipal level development planning specialists and the business sector. 3. Preparation of a publication on the results of the More publications! survey of state and municipal institution specialists. 4. Ensure that the results of the research programme are integrated into the Latvian climate change Not will be developed in 2008! adaptation strategy through participation in the work group.

14 WP1 results 3 2,5 nokrišņu izmaiņas + RISK ASSESSMENT = ADDITIONAL RESEARCH PROJECT mm vidēji dienā 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 WP2 WP3 WP4 WP5 WP6 WP9 Agriculture Spatial Planning Water resource management mēneši Energy sector Forestry Civil protection nokr ref mod A2 mod B2 FIRST RESULTS OF VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT (table 7.1 in report) ADAPTATION RECOMMENDATIONS

15 Challenges for this task Line of responsibility of scientists and practitioners Exercise to use modelling results in WP2-WP6 The courage to define advices for policy (land use in agriculture) We need not only scientific publications (+Diena) Priority list of adaptation measures The possibility to compare climatic and antropogenic influence and to give recommendations (added value of project)

16 Institution Cabinet of Ministers subject Sustainable Development Strategy for Latvia Ministry of Environment Environmental Policy Guidelines Izstrādāt informatīvu ziņojumu par situāciju Latvijā pielāgošanās jomā -(foreu) Tiesību aktu projekti pielāgošanās (adaptācijas) jomā, t.sk., Baltā grāmata par adaptāciju - Vides monitoringa programmas pamatnostādņu izstrāde ( ) -Izstrādāt informatīvo ziņojumu par Atjaunojamo energoresursu izmantošanas pamatnostādņu gadam īstenošanas gaitu. - (Eiropa) Direktīvas projekts par atjaunojamo energoresursu avotu izmantošanu - Grozījumi Ūdens apsaimniekošanas likumā MK noteikumi Grozījumi MK 2004.gada 19.oktobra noteikumos Nr.858 Noteikumi par virszemes ūdensobjektu tipu raksturojumu, klasifikāciju, kvalitātes kritērijiem un antropogēno slodžu noteikšanas kārtību MK noteikumu Ūdenstilpju klasifikators izstrāde Piedalīties Ministru kabineta noteikumu projekta par aktivitātes,,hidrotehnisko būvju rekonstrukcija plūdu draudu risku novērtēšanai un samazināšanai ieviešanas nosacījumu izstrādē Programmas,,Programma par stacionāro aizsargbūvju būvniecību bīstamo vielu ierobežošanai uz Daugavā gada izpildes koordinācija. -Grozījumu nepieciešamības izvērtēšana MK noteikumos par dabas aizsardzības plānu izstrādi saistībā ar jūras teritoriju DA plānu izstrādi Other ministries River Basin Management Daugavas upju baseinu apgabala apsaimniekošanas plāns Gaujas upju baseinu apgabala apsaimniekošanas plāns Lielupes upju baseinu apgabala apsaimniekošanas plāns Ventas upju baseinu apgabala apsaimniekošanas plāns

17 Constraints for work: Underestimated amount of work to be done: The total Budget 2008 of WP7: 8252 Lats 5,5 person-months (2 scientists+1 student) The first results of some WP are not yet appearing (no results no reason for discussion with stakeholders)

18 Possibilities for 2008: Excellent, experienced and creative colleagues in our research programme!

19 Thank you!