Connecting an all-electric world

Transcription

1 Connecting an all-electric world eurelectric Power Summit 2018 Ljubljana, June 5, 2018 Session III: New Frontiers of Electrification Ralf Christian, CEO Division siemens.com/energy-management

2 All-electric world Decarbonization Decentralization Digitalization Page 2

3 The need for electric power worldwide is rising immensely and quickly 43,000 TWh ,000 TWh ,000 TWh 1990 Sources: UN Projections 2016, Global insight Page 3

4 There s a huge potential for further electrification Others (heating) 45% 4,270 TWh Transport 33% Final energy consumption EU28 in ,827 TWh Share of renewables ~30% 12,882 TWh 2,784 TWh Power 22% E-Mobility, E-Highways Electrical heating/cooling, heat pumps etc. Source: eurostat Page 4

5 Electric power is as versatile as no other energy carrier Electrified tracks account for 27% of total tracks globally 100 million e-cars on the road expected until 2030 Efficient heat pumps: 4 kwh heat with 1 kwh electric power Sources: Railway Electrification Global Market Trends, IEA Page 5

6 Electric power as most efficient type of energy applications compared to fossil fuels Combustion engine: ~30-40% Oil/gas heating: ~90-100% Efficiency x3 minimum E-car: ~80-90% Heat pump: ~ % Page 6

7 Electric power can be transmitted highly secure over long distances with minimal losses Offshore wind integration (< 80 km) Large wind integration Hydro power integration Page 7

8 Electric power allows direct power generation without using fossil fuels Worldwide Solar PV capacity growth in : GW Worldwide Wind capacity growth in : GW Worldwide Hydropower capacity growth in : GW Page 8

9 Decarbonisation Example Germany Increased renewable generation will challenge power grid 40% Share of Renewables Most likely scenario 80% Share of Renewables for 2024 Most likely scenario for MW 250 MW 100 MW 0 MW 50 MW 0 MW -250 MW -50 MW -100 MW -500 MW Past Generation follows consumption Today Generation and consumption: gap In the future Generation and consumption decoupled Source: German Power Network Development Plan Page 9

10 Connecting millions of households to offshore power from German North Sea Dolwin6 6 out of 10 direct current grid connections of German North Sea equipped by Siemens Offshore power to 5 million households 6 grid connections transmit 4.7 GW wind power to the shore Grid connection < 90 kilometers Can connect multiple offshore wind farms to the mainland Siemens projects Projects of competition Page 10

11 Revolution in distribution grid is driven by 3 trends Distributed energy systems 1 E-Mobility Smart Meters 2 3 Page 11

12 Digital applications master complexity of a prosumer-centric energy world Page 12

13 Optimized generation, managed energy trading & demand response Sello Shopping Centre Connect power production and storage to the grid to optimize demand and supply in electricity market 1,68 MW battery storage 600kW Solar PV 480,000 p.a. gains in energy market 281 tons CO 2 p.a. emission reduction 118,000 p.a. savings in energy efficiency and maintenance Page 13

14 The energy system is changing fundamentally From centralized power generation and unidirectional grid to a Gas supplier Offshore wind farm Onshore wind farm Gas plant Power to value (gases, liquids, chemicals,) Storage (gas, liquids) Hydropower plant Gas transport Heat storage Onshore wind Biomass Cogeneration District heating (cooling) Gas distribution Smart buildings Microgrid Storage E-mobility Wind or PV (private) Diesel generator decentralized and distributed energy system Fossil-fuel power plant Substation Grid control center Large-scale PV installation Substation Transformer Buildings, computer centers, nanogrid Electricity Gas Cooling/heating Smart electricity meters Page 14

15 Key take-aways All-electric world driven by decarbonization, decentralization & digitalization Huge potential for further electrification energy-efficiency is key Electric power: versatile, efficient, secure, direct clean power without fossil fuels Solutions for a smarter grid are already in place Restricted Siemens AG 2017 Page 15