Automotive industry GEAR Alexandra Kuxová European Commission Brussels -EESC 3 November 2016

Transcription

1 Automotive industry GEAR 2030 Alexandra Kuxová European Commission Brussels -EESC 3 November 2016

2 Global Crisis 6 years of consetcutive decline In February 2014 car registration noticed the first stable increse after 2008 crisis In volume terms, this result is close to March 2007 levels World New Car Registrations Source:

3 Sales Continuous sales growth in the last two years: Passenger cars: 9.25% more units sold compared to the previous year (2014 = 12.5 / 2015 = 13.7 m) +8.0% over last nine months Commercial vehicles: 12.2% more units sold compared to the previous year (2014 = 1.8 / 2015 = 2.0 m) Forecasts 2016 sales should further increase by 5.3% 27 new cars were registered per 1,000 inhabitants in the EU in 2015.

4 NEW CHALLENGES Environment / Heath Consumer/societal demands Technological Innovation Economic shift

5 Plus an extra challenge VW Scandal brought decrease in confidence of the European Automotive sector. Two ways to remedy: Regulation: Investigating and establishing the facts and enforcing the (existing) rules Changing the approval and surveillance system Accelerating adaptation of the regulatory framework for emission: the Real-Driving Emissions (RDE) package Long-term competitiveness: GEAR 2030 including actions on zero emission vehicles

6 GEAR 2030 Holistic approach Multistakeholder platform Mid- to long-term strategy Global European Automotive Roadmap for the year 2030 and beyond Objective: Strengthening the competiveness of the sector both within and outside the EU Launched 26 January 2016 (2 years) A three level structure: The High Level Group Sherpa Group Working Groups with its project teams

7 GEAR 2030 Working Groups and its Project Teams WG 1 Adaptation of the EU value chain PT 1 - Global Landscape PT 2 - Zero Emission Vehicles PT 3 - Adaptation of the value chain PT 4 Human Capital WG 2 Roadmap on highly automated & connected vehicles PT 1 - Regulatory and policy issues PT 2 - Funding and research WG 3 Global competitiveness PT 1 - General discussion on global competitiveness PT 2 - Roadmap for economic relations with China

8 PT 1 Global Landscape Analysis and selection of key trends affecting the automotive sector Analysis of possible scenarios for specific key trends Finding consensus on the industry outlook by 2030 (most probable scenario) Building a vision for 2030 (most recommended scenario)

9 PT 2 Zero Emission Vehicles General objective: Development of a strategy for a roll-out of zeroemission vehicles: Analysis of different aspects related to the success of zero-emission vehicles (cost, batteries, second hand market, incentives ) Analysis of best practices in the EU and outside of the EU to promote zeroemission vehicles Selection of the most efficient approaches to the promotion of zeroemission vehicles

10 PT 3 Value Chain Adaptation Definition of value chain in Europe in 2016 and 2030 Analysis of key trends and their impact on the European automotive value chain Determine actions which would strengthen / prevent negative impacts on the value chain

11 PT 4 Human Capital Scope of Work Identification of skill needs due to new trends tools available specific risks for SMEs and tools to mitigate them Determine possible actions at different level (EU, national, regional, industry) Strategy on vocational training to feed in Blueprint initiative

12 The roadmap on highly automated vehicles: GEAR 2030 Development of a common vision on the roll-out of these vehicles as well as setting actions regarding: 1. Regulatory and policy issues Testing Liability Connectivity Road safety 2. Financing and research issues GEAR 2030 Working Group 2

13 GEAR 2030 Working Groups 3 Trade, international harmonisation GEAR and 2030 global competitiveness: 1. To explore the way forward to facilitate global competitiveness of the EU automotive in the run up to To assess the potential of the existing EU level policy instruments promoting cross-border trade 3. To evaluate the tools and actions that ensure more predictability and can continue generating value for the EU economy and society

14 NEXT STEPS Sherpa meeting 18 November By end of 2016 : Global landscape scenarios; First recommendations for highly automated vehicles 2020 Mid term report January/February 2017 Final report May/June 2017

15 Thank you MORE INFORMATION Contact: