The monthly number of new CDM projects is around 120

Transcription

1 CDM market trends Latin American Carbon Forum Dominican Republic, 13 October 2010 Jørgen Fenhann UNEP Risoe Centre

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3 The monthly number of new CDM projects is around 120

4 Project types Status of CDM projects Number At validation 2954 Request for registration 56 Request for review 36 Correction requested 57 Under review 26 Total in the process of registration 175 Withdrawn 49 Rejected by EB 173 Validation negative by DOE 162 Validation terminated by DOE 751 Registered, no issuance of CERs 1622 Registered. CER issued 778 Total registered 2400 Total number of projects (incl. rejected & withdrawn) 6664 Type number 2012 CERs (000) Hydro % % Wind % % Biomass energy % % Methane avoidance % % EE own generation 448 8% % Landfill gas 315 6% % EE Industry 141 3% % Fossil fuel switch 125 2% % EE Supply side 83 2% % N2O 73 1% % Coal bed/mine methane 72 1% % Solar 70 1% % EE Households 61 1% % Afforestation & Reforestation 57 1% % Fugitive 40 1% % Cement 38 1% % Transport 32 1% % EE Service % % HFCs % % Energy distrib % % PFCs and SF % % Geothermal % % Tidal % % Agriculture 1 0% 18 0% CO2 capture 3 0.1% % Total % % HFCs, PFCs & N2O reduction % % Renewables % % CH4 reduction & Cement & Coal mine/bed % % Supply-side EE % % Fuel switch % % Demand-side EE % % Afforestation & Reforestation % % Transport % %

5 The renewable energy category is rising fastest

6 The big 4 hosts about 80% of the CDM projects

7 Some regions are behind For all projects Popu CER Total in the CDM Pipeline Number of small-scale Number of full scale Number of all projects kcers 2012 kcers lation per cap. Latin America % % % % Asia & Pacific % % % % Europe and Central Asia % % % % Africa % % % % Middle-East % % % % Less developed World % % % % Latin America Brazil Number % Mexico % Chile 74 8% Colombia 65 7% Peru 38 4% Argentina 34 4% Honduras 32 4% Ecuador 24 3% Panama 19 2% Guatemala 18 2% Others 60 7% Uruguay % Costa Rica % Nicaragua 8 0.9% El Salvador 7 0.8% Dominican Republic 7 0.8% Bolivia 6 0.7% Paraguay 4 0.4% Cuba 3 0.3% Jamaica 1 0.1% Bahamas 1 0.1% Guyana 1 0.1% Total %

8 In 2008 only 31% of the projects requesting registration were registered automatically, 36% in 2009

9 How large are the time delays in the project cycle? Average times delays for all CDM projects Days Months Years Validation (start comment until request registration) Registration (request registration to registration) Average number of days from registration until the date of first issuance: Total from start comment to first issuance

10 How many CERs will be available end of 2012, due to delays, no positive validation, rejection, issuance delay and issuance succes. Expected Available Available CER's Million CERs (all types) 2012 CER's expected from existing projects in validation stage CER's expected from projects requesting registration CER's expected from registered projects Total amount of CERs expected from future projects until Total amount of CERs from existing projects produced after Total amount of CERs issued Total requesting issuance 114 Share Of Proceeds (SOP) for the Adaptation Fund Annual amount available

11 There are now 58 programmatic programmes in the CDMPipeline 19% of them in Latin America Host country PoAs Bangladesh 1 Solar PV, 1 EE households stoves, 1 Households lighting Brasil 3 Methane avoidance, 1 Landfill gas China 1 Agricultural irrigation, 4 Methane avoidance domestic manure, 1 Eff. electricity distribution Egypt 1 Transport scrapping old vehicles India 2 EE householdes lighting, 1 Biomass briquittes, 1 EE chemicals industry, 1 Eff. electricity distribution, 1 EE service eff. chillers, 1 landfill composting, 1 Solar water heating, 1 Methane avoidance Guatamala 1 EE households stoves Honduras 1 Hydro El Salvador 1 Household stoves Indonesia 1 Methane avoidance palm oil waste, 1 Mehtane avoidance composting, 1 Hydro run of river, Mexico 1 Households lighting, 1 EE households stoves Morocco 1 Landfill gas Nepal 1 Methane avoidance domestic manure Nicaragua 1 Reforestation Peru 1 Fossil fuel switch Philippines 1 Methane avoidance manure, 1 Household lighting, 1 landfill gas Senegal 1 Households lighting Singapore 2 EE service cooling, 1 EE household lighting South Africa 3 Solar water heating, 1 EE households stoves South Korea 1 EE Food industry, 1 EE own generation, 1 EE household lighting Thailand 1 Methane avoidance manure Tunesia 1 Solar water heating Uganda 1 Landfill composting Vietnam 1 Solar water heating, 3 Hydro, 1 Methane avoidance domestic manure Yemen 1 Eff. electricity distribution Total 58

12 About 7400 Million US$ has been invested in registered CDM projects in Latin America, about 10% of the global total Host country Registered All years Share of (Rejected projects excluded) projects Million US$ investments China % India % Latin America % Rest of Asia % Africa % Middle-East % Europe and Central Asia % Total %