NGPL Winter Operations Review

Transcription

1 NGPL Winter Operations Review

2 Pipeline Management Operations Review Winter Recap 2016 Summer 2016 Storage & Transport Review Winter 2016/2017 Maintenance Update Completed & Waiting New facilities Winter Readiness Winter Checklist HP Readiness Checklist Contact Lists 2

3 NGPL Facility Map Sta 206a Sta 312 Miles of pipe 9,200 Flow meters 700 Total HP 1,037,000 Total compressor stations 52 Total storage fields 12 Approximate values Winter peak day delivery 5.2 BCF Storage working capacity 288 BCF Mainline linepack 12.3 BCF Approximate values 3

4 Winter 2015/2016 Recap Winter 2015/2016 was 15 % Warmer than Normal Highest monthly system average throughput was 4.5 Bcf/day in Feb 2016 Winter 2014/2015 throughput peak was 5.2 Bcf/day in Feb 2015 Market area average throughput was 2.8 Bcf/day in January 2016 Winter market area throughput peak was 3.6 Bcf/day in Feb 2015 Met Nov 1 storage goals No pressure or deliverability issues 4

5 Chicago O Hare HDDs Actual Actual HDD's % of Normal HDD's % of Normal Nov % % Dec % % Jan % % Feb % % Mar % % % % 5

6 November -March Throughput Comparison 2015/16 Nov Mar 2014/15 Nov Mar % Change LDC 2,470 2,967-17% Power % Industrial % Interconnects 1,174 1,096 +7% Storage % TOTAL 4,142 4,579-10% All volumes are MDth 6

7 November -March Throughput Comparison Market Area Only 2015/16 Nov Mar 2014/15 Nov Mar % Change LDC 2,464 2,960-17% Power % Industrial % Interconnects % Storage % TOTAL 2,770 3,345-17% All volumes are MDth 7

8 Winter Average Daily LDC Demand Mdth/d 8

9 Summer 2016 Transport Summer 2016 Transport Summary Power generation deliveries are up 67% from 2015 Amarillo transports near max from Midcontinent Managing around integrity remediation Capacity available north of Trailblazer Gulf Coast utilization higher and less variable REX Moultrie receipts remain strong, many days > 1Bcf No restrictions on East Texas receipts Arkansas receipts averaging approximately 130,000 MMBtu/d Utilization of the Louisiana system increased due to LNG exports Deliveries into South Texas increased due to exports to Mexico 9

10 Chicago O Hare CDDs Actual Actual CDD's % of Normal CDD's % of Normal Apr 7 78% 0 0% May % % Jun % % Jul % % Aug % % Sep % % Oct 1 9% 1 9% % % 10

11 Summer 2016 Power Loads Record power plant loads recorded in July/August Top 25 days for deliveries to powerplants: 17 days in July/August Peak of 1.04 Bcf/day on July 21 8 days in

12 April -September Throughput Comparison 2015/16 Apr Sep 2014/15 Apr Sep % Change LDC 1,689 1,800-6% Power % Industrial % Interconnects 1,427 1, % Storage % TOTAL 4,125 4, % All volumes are MDth 12

13 April -September Throughput Comparison Market Area Only 2015/16 Apr - Sep 2014/15 Apr - Sep % Change LDC 1,683 1,797-6% Power % Industrial % Interconnects % Storage % TOTAL 2,316 2,367-2% All volumes are MDth 13

14 Summer Average Daily Power Demand (MDth/d) 14

15 Summer Average Daily LDC Demand (MDth/d) 15

16 NGPL Storage Data Review Injection Withdrawal 16

17 Winter 2016/2017 Projected to exceed market storage working inventory target of 116 MM Dthon Nov 1 Working inventory on Nov 1 estimated at 119 MM Dth Plan is to complete key remaining maintenance projects in November Expected changes in pipeline flows: REX receipts will increase on Gulf Coast Deliveries to LNG export facilities will continue to increase Deliveries to Mexico markets will continue Traditional supply basins: TX-OK will remain strong Midcontinent will remain at capacity 17

18 NOAA Weather 18

19 EIA Prediction EIA released its annual Winter Fuels Outlook, predicting the season will be colder than last year. Regionally, the weather should be colder than last year east of the Rockies with the Northeast and the Midwest seeing 17% colder temperatures on average and 18% in the South. That said, last year was exceedingly warm, so this winter is projected to be about 3% warmer than the average of the previous five winters before last year. The West is expected to be warmer than last year by about 2%. Source: 19

20 NGPL Maintenance Program Integrity IMP SCC General maintenance HP replacement program Updated 12 Month Rolling Maintenance Plan is posted on EBB around the 20 th of each month A detailed listing/description of the next month s outages is also posted on the 20 th of each month. 20

21 2016 NGPL Maintenance Program TYPE 2016 JOB COUNT 2015 JOB COUNT 2014 JOB COUNT Integrity O&M System Total Market Area and Storage Amarillo projects GC projects Posted Posted (with an impact) Notposted (no impact)

22 2016 Remaining Projects with Potential Impacts Gulf Coast Sta 312 Sta 206a 1 GC # EMAT 12 SCC digs remaining Expected to complete mid November 2&3 1 2 GC # AFD Waiting on final graded report Expected results mid November 3 GC # EMAT Re-run Oct 20 Expected results March

23 2016 Remaining Projects with Potential Impacts Amarillo Sta 312 Sta 206a 1 AM # MFL 2 digs required Expect to complete in early November 2 Am # Make piggable project Expected to complete in December 3 AM # AFD Rerun Dec 6 DQA rejected in Sept Expected results in January

24 New Facilities Compressor Station 206A Install new 22,000 HP unit, replacing 5 existing units at Compressor Stations 310 and 311 System benefits Replace ~15,000 HP with new HP Add incremental 7,000 HP Increased system flexibility and reliability Increased ability to optimize Loudon storage withdrawals 24

25 New Facilities Compressor Station 312 Install new 30,000 HP unit System benefits Provides 238,000/Dth/day of incremental firm transportation service to Chicago area markets Increased system flexibility and reliability 25

26 Winter Checklist Compression Test run all compression units prior to increased demand due to colder weather Incorporate 206A and 312 into the compression plan Storage Achieve market storage plan by Nov 1 Field storage is currently 99% full Pipeline Maintain linepack targets by area Maintain throughput targets Maintain pressures for key areas Field ops to man key sites Scheduled Maintenance Limit planned maintenance activities to those required by regulation or policy Customer Communication NGPL posts system capacity and outage information NGPL scheduling representatives and Account Directors available for questions 26

27 HP Readiness Checklist Amarillo All mainline stations tested and are ready. Gulf Coast All mainline stations tested and are ready. La Line 343 Unit #9 (15000 HP) overhaul completed by Nov 20. Market Area All stations tested and are ready (113, 114 & 116). Storage All HP and related facilities have been tested and are ready. 27

28 NGPL 2016/2017 Contact List Gas Control Emer hr Trennis Curry Cell Bill Weidlein Cell Kenny Robbins Cell Transport and Stor Services TSS Hotline 24 hr Richard Williams Cell Gene Nowak Cell Account Services Dave Weeks Cell Donette Bisett Cell Jim Brett Cell Field Operations Gary Countryman Cell Dee Bennett Cell Bob Montgomery - W. Region Ext 225 Cell Ken Grubb VP OPS Cell Danny Ivy Gary Buchler COO Cell Ray Miller Cell Houston TX Office Louisiana St Houston, TX Downers Grove IL Office Lacey Rd Suite Cell Downers Grove, IL