The Top-ten multi-benefits of monitoring energy efficiency

Transcription

1 The Top-ten multi-benefits of monitoring energy efficiency EEUMD workshop, Buenos Aires, February 2018 Dr Didier BOSSEBOEUF (EEUMD co-chair, ADEME, France) Dr Bruno Lapillonne (Enerdata, France)

2 M.B of EE Organization of information Understanding trends Dissemination of results Long-term impact 10 Benefits of BIEE indicators Market insight Benchmarking Policy monitoring Target monitoring Target setting

3 1a. Organizing the scattered information (1/3) Brazil

4 1a. Organizing the scattered information (2/3) Mexico

5 1b. Organizing scattered information (3/3) Región Verano extremo % %SC =%AC+% vent Región templada 3.1% Región Tropical 22.5%

6 1c. Organize scattered information (3/3) Interactive internet national BIEE data bases Case of Mexico 6

7 2. Energy efficiency markets insights (1/2) Knowledge of energy markets and energy efficiency equipments market are useful for utilities, ministries, equipment manufacturers, analysts Brazil Chile Food 9% 29% 6% 6% 9% 28% 1% 12% Textile Paper Chemicals Cement Ceramics Metals Others Calefacciòn 2% Lavadora 4% Aspiradora 5% Computador 5% Cocina 6% Otros 20% TV 12% Refrigerador 30% Iluminación 16%

8 2. Energy efficiency markets insights (2/2) Knowledge of energy markets and energy efficiency equipments market are useful for utilities, ministries, equipment manufacturers, analysts 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 - Penetration of solar water heaters: Brazil Installed m²/1.000 inhabitants % household with SWH 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%

9 Mtoe 3. Understanding trends Factors of the energy consumption variation in transport: Mexico ( ) Consumption variation Activity Technical savings Modal shift Other savings Source: CONUEE, ADEME, AFD project Energy consumption in transport was almost at the same level in 2014 as in 2010: energy savings (-3.7 Mtoe) and to a lower extent modal shift to less energy intensive modes of transport (-0,6 Mtoe) balanced the effect of the growth in traffic in passengers or goods (4.5 Mtoe). 9

10 GJ/ton cement 3,92 3,57 3,48 4,39 3,58 3,99 Ç1 Ç2 Ç3 Ç4 Ç5 Ç6 Ç7 Ç8 Ç9 Ç10 Ç11 Ç12 Ç13 Ç14 Ç15 Ç16 Ç17 Ç18 Ç19 Ç20 Ç21 Ç22 Ç23 Ç24 Ç25 Ç26 Ç27 Ç28 Ç29 Ç30 Ç31 Ç32 Ç33 Ç34 Ç35 Ç36 Ç37 Ç38 Ç39 4a. National Benchmarking (1/3) Usefull for policy design 0,00 3,61 4,23 4,11 3,57 3,84 4,35 3,88 3,92 4,03 0,00 3,89 4,48 4,34 3,90 4,22 3,78 4,59 4,01 3,58 3,66 0,00 3,86 4,30 3,92 0,00 3,66 3,78 0,00 3,48 3,53 3,66 0,00 Cement Specific Consumption in Turkey (2004) 6,00 3,83 0,00

11 toe/t 4a. International Benchmarking (2/3) Useful for E.E. potential assessement Comparison of specific consumption for steel should be made at similar process mix as non electric steel is roughly 3 times more energy intensive than the non electric process Average energy consumption per ton of steel (2013) Australia China Russia Japan Brazil G20 France UK Germany Canada EU South Korea Argentina USA Italy India Mexico Turkey Indonesia 0.0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% % electric steel orange line: world best practice Source: WEC

12 4b. Benchmarking LAC s The BIEE comparison tool (2/3)

13 5. National or sectoral targets monitoring Plan Nacional de EE (Uruguay) 5% Energy savings (NEEAP, France) Final energy intensity (EEDP, Thailand)

14 6: Monitoring the NEAAP through indicators: acse of Mexico (3/3) 14

15 Mtoe Mtoe Long term impact assessment of the energy efficiency potential: Mexico % Baseline Manufacturing Const./mining Household Services Agriculture Transport Efficiency % 0 Baseline Manufacturing Const./mining Household Services Agriculture Transport Efficiency 15

16 MtCO2 8. Assess the contribution of EE in NDC s 80 Case of Tunisia EE contribution -21% NDC target -38% Baseline scenario INDC scenario Contribution of EE Source: based on an on going UNDP study (draft)

17 9a. Disseminate the results: BIEE Data mapper

18 9b. BIEE regional report

19 9c. BIEE national reports

20 10: Assessing the Multi-benefits of EE (1/3) Impact of Energy efficiency on: GDP Job assessment Trade balance Public deficit Carbon and energy efficiency prices Energy bill Households expenditures

21 10: Assessing the Multi-benefits of EE (2/3) Energy transition is good for economic growth Impact on GDP of the 3 energy and ecological scenarii (France Shared vision 2050)

22 10 : Assessing the Multi-benefits of energy efficiency Energy transition is good for job creation Impact on employment of the 3 energy and ecological scenarii (France Shared vision 2050)

23 Conclusions The BIEE program has already provided inputs about the 10 benefits of energy efficiency indicators. The 2018 BIEE program will allow to enhance the results already achieved through: Exchange of information on good practices (regional meetings, dialogo) Capacity building (regional meetings, on job assistance) Tools updating (energy indicator data base, data mapper, comparison tool) Dissemination (Regional and national reports and workshops) New developments in BIEE (2018), in particular on the link between indicators and bottom up ex-post (bottom-up) policies evaluations BIEE can document the link between indicators and forecasting