Climate Change & the Built Environment

Transcription

1 Climate Change & the Built Environment

2 We are at 385 ppm Increasing at +2.5 ppm annually At 450 ppm CO2 we will trigger potentially irreversible glacial melt & sea level rise out of humanity s control Earth s Surface Temperature We will reach 450 ppm in F 6 C +2.7 F 1.8 C Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

3 As CO2 increases CO2 Emissions i (Billion tons per year) CO2 Concentration ti (ppm in atmosphere) Carbon Dioxide 1200 Carbon Dioxide 100 Emissions 1100 Concentrations Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

4 Temperature & sea-level rise Greenland 5m Temperature Change C O Sea Level Rise meters (m) Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

5 threatening the ocean conveyor belt Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

6 threatening the ocean conveyor belt Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

7 U.S. Energy Consumption 140 Quadr rillion Bt tu (QBtu u) CFPPs now +34% 34 QBtu +237 CFPPs Sources: Architecture 2030, U.S. Energy Information Agency & CalStar analysis

8 750,000 Toyota Prius drivers save 2.35M MT of CO2 per year 1 CFPP in 1 year Sources: U.S. EPA, Toyota, CalStar analysis

9 Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative NY, ME, VT, NH, MA, CT, RI, PA, NJ, DE, MD reducing CO2 emissions to 1990 levels by CFPPs in 1 year Source: Architecture 2030

10 Wal-Mart investing $500M in 7 years to reduce energy & CO2 by 20% 1 CFPP in 1 month Source: Architecture 2030

11 Home Depot planting 300, trees to absorb CO2 1 CFPP in 10 days Source: Architecture 2030

12 World Energy Demand 700 Quadr rillion Bt tu (QBtu u) CFPPs now +62% 276 QBtu CFPPs Sources: Architecture 2030, U.S. Energy Information Agency & CalStar analysis

13 toast manna

14 Climate Change is the single largest opportunity for this country since the mobilization for World War II. USGBC GreenBuild Nov. 2007

15 Agreed: We Must Mitigate CO2 emission (Billion tons CO2) Global temperature change ( C) Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

16 $1+ Trillion/Year Needed llars s of Do Billion $1T +6 C +2 C +3 C +4 C 750 ppm 650 ppm 550 ppm 450 ppm CO2 Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

17 Green is the New Red, White & Blue Source: USCAP Tom Friedman Alcan Alcoa American International Group Boston Scientific Corporation BP America Caterpillar Chrysler ConocoPhillips Deere & Company Dow Chemical Duke Energy DuPont Environmental Defense Exelon Corporation Ford Motor Company FPL Group,

18 The Built Environment

19 The Built Environment 51% 55% Total U.S. Total U.S. energy CO 2

20 U.S. Energy Demand 51% 27% 22% Built Environment Transport Industry Source: EIA, CalStar analysis

21 U.S. Energy Built Environment 51% Residential Commercial 22% 17% Operations 39% Buildings Infra 9% 3% Materials 12% Source: EIA, CalStar analysis

22 Half of USA Electricity from Coal Building Operations 76% of USA electricity Industrial 23% Source: Freedonia Group, World Cement to 2010 (2006) Transportation 1%

23 The Problem Food & Water 19% Light 18% Heat & Cool 38% Other Appliances 12% 13%

24 % Reduction in energy Carbon-neutral by 2030 Source: Ed Mazria, 2030 Challenge

25 Turnover 75% by Bn sf Demolish 50Bn sf Remodel 150Bn sf Build new 150Bn sf Bn sf 75% U.S. Building Inventory

26 Eliminate 27B tons of CO2 Water heating Lighting systems Insulation Sources: Vattenfall, McKinsey & Co.

27 4B tons of CO 2, negative cost Cum Gt CO2 eliminated /t CO2 Building envelope Lighting Windows A/C Appliances Washers/ dryers Water heater New-build insulation green building materials & technologies Sources: Vattenfall, McKinsey & Co.

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29 CHINA 350 million urbanizing by 2030

30 126 B tons coal reserves 2 B tons consumed per year 2 new CFPPs per year

31 Harmonious Society th Energy century efficient path path

32 USA

33 CHINA

34 INDIA

35 DUBAI

36 72 billion people

37 Green Cube Family of Companies

38 Vision Group of affiliated companies that can dramatically effect climate change on a global scale by focusing on the built environment. Mission Eliminate 1 billion tons of CO 2.

39 Cubist Network Key Advisors Investors Entrepreneurs Scientists Technologists Developers Attorneys Officials Research institutes Universities Regulators

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41 Reinventing Drywall U.S. market $12B 200 trillion BTUs natural gas/year #3 GHG emitter, 12M tons CO2 Industry stuck Same since 1917

42 Same/better cost Same/better performance Superior sustainability Scalable globally

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44 Cement Portland cement, 8% of CO2 2.5 billion tons/year $150B world market Industry stuck Same since 1824

45 Cement Industry Is at Center of Climate Change Debate Source: NYT, October 26, 2007

46 CHINA 49% of world cement

47 HELIOTRICITY

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50 Net Zero Energy, $100/sf Low energy demand Distributed power supply Clean materials

51 Shading Photovoltaics Solar thermal High-performance windows Air recirculation Ultra insulation Thermal recycling Passive cool & heat Thermal mass Heat storage Heat pump

52 MATERIALS Cement & Concrete Drywall Glass Steel OPERATIONS Air Cooling, Heating & Quality Appliances Efficiency Energy - Distributed Utility Insulation Walls & Roof Lighting - Lights & Daylighting Photovoltaics Quiet Solar Thermal - Air & Water Water - Reprocess & Catchment Windows - Thermal & Quiet Zero Energy Operations CalStar Cement Serious Materials TBD TBD TBD TBD Suntegrity TBD TBD Heliotricity Serious Materials TBD TBD Serious Materials ZETA Communities

53 Everything in the built environment can be reinvented

54 Make a Difference Thank You Marc Porat