Climate Resilient Communities and ADAPT. Brian Holland, AICP, Climate Program Manager May 2 nd,

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1 Climate Resilient Communities and ADAPT Brian Holland, AICP, Climate Program Manager May 2 nd,

2 Evolution of ICLEI adaptation program History In 2005 members articulated need for a process to begin preparing for climate change Conducted successful pilot planning process in 2007 and formally launched Climate Resilient Communities program 2011 released the ADAPT tool Today continually building resources to support local governments Today expanding international efforts with World Bank, Resilient Cities conference, and ICLEI-Japan partnership

3 Climate Resilient Communities Program

4 Five Milestones of Climate Adaptation

5 Milestone One: Conduct Vulnerability Assessment Assess how regional climate is expected to change Identify systems that could be impacted (+/-) from forecasted changes in climate Assess regional/community impacts predicted from these changes in climate Identify how systems are already impacted by weather/climate Conduct climate vulnerability assessment (sensitivity x adaptive capacity) Identify key vulnerabilities

6 Milestone Two: The 5 Milestone Adaptation Planning Process Establish Preparedness Goals Analyze results of vulnerability assessment Establish goals for the systems that have the highest vulnerability Consider short, medium, and long-term goals Consider alignment with existing community goals

7 Milestone Three: The 5 Milestone Adaptation Planning Process Create Preparedness Plans Review goals established for vulnerable systems Identify policies and actions that capitalize on opportunities and reduce key vulnerabilities Evaluate and prioritize policies and actions Adaptation Plan or integrate into existing plans

8 ADAPT IS: Online, interactive management tool Process based and user-friendly (supported by users guide) Designed by local governments for local governments A database that stores user input allowing ICLEI to better understand the needs of local communities What can ADAPT help you assess: Community-wide vulnerability Sectoral vulnerability Internal operations vulnerability Priority vulnerabilities

9 How is ADAPT used: Process based and user-friendly (supported by users guide) Supported by technical assistance from ICLEI s Regional Offices and National Climate Team Living and iterative tool

10 The 5 Milestone Adaptation Planning Process Vulnerability to Climate Change The degree to which a system is susceptible to (sensitivity), and unable to cope with (adaptive capacity), adverse effects of climate change (exposure) including climate variability and extremes

11 Vulnerability Three Components Exposure Sensitivity Adaptive Capacity

12 The 5 Milestone Adaptation Planning Process Assessing Exposure Exposure is a determination of whether the system as a whole or parts of the system will experience a specific changing climate condition.

13 The 5 Milestone Adaptation Planning Process Assessing Sensitivity The degree to which a built, natural, or human system is directly or indirectly affected by changes in climate conditions or specific climate change impacts.

14 The 5 Milestone Adaptation Planning Process Assessing Adaptive Capacity The degree of built, natural, or human system s ability to adjust to climate change, to moderate potential damages, to take advantage of opportunities.

15 Adaptive Capacity Examples Economic Environmental Governance Social Technology / Infrastructure Low No legal authority to raise funds No strong tax base to call upon No private sector interest No dune system providing storm protection All habitat is isolated and disconnected from other natural areas No interagency collaboration No support from higher levels (county, state, etc.) No public participation Many poor and disenfrachised citizens Lack of community & aide organizations Limited access to information Use of outdated materials and structural codes No system for integrating new knowledge into changes High Special fund exists to raise funds Very strong tax base to call upon Heavily involved private sector Highly functioning dune system regularly provides storm protection Habitat systems are connected allowing for species and sediment to flow Many interagency collaborative processes Work closely with higher levels (county, state, etc.) Heavily involved citizenry Citizens are heavily involved in their communities Many community & aide organizations Citizens have access to knowledge Most things are new and have used the latest materials and structural codes New knowledge is regularly integrated into purchasing agreements

16 Vulnerability Combining Two Factors Sensitivity Adaptive Capacity Low vulnerability Lower Priority High vulnerability Higher Priority

17 Example 1 Example 2 System Potentially Impacted Water Water - ground water Context Changing Climate Condition Temperature Temperature Amount of Expected Change Plus 5 F by 2050 Plus 5 F by 2050 Who or what could be impacted Pipes, reservoirs, groundwater, industry Aquifer 1, Aquifer 2, etc. Exposure How Do Weather and / or Climate Currently Affect this System and / or Components of the System Heat causes evaporation (loss of water) Heat causes loss of water in aquifer 1, not 2 Description of Potential Climate Change Impact Less water available in summer during heat wave Ongoing depletion of Aquifer 1, more use of 2 Sensitivity What Additional Non-Climate Factors Currently Affect This System and / or Components of the System Sensitivity Ranking Industrial use, fires, aging infrastructure S3 Contamination sites, aging infrastructure S2 What Does This System and / or Components of the System Currently Have That Will Help it to Adapt Governance Structure, Technology High quality monitoring Adaptive Capacity What Does This and / or Components of the System Need in Order to Adapt Of These Needs, Which are of the Highest Priority Reduction in excessive use, finances $$$$ Protection for contamination Adaptive Capacity Ranking AC 2 AC 2 Vulnerability Vulnerability Ranking V3 V2

18 Other Adaptation Resources

19 ICLEI USA s Climate Adaptation Guidebook Preparing for Climate Change: A Guidebook for Local, Regional and State Governments Created in partnership with The Climate Impacts Group and King County, WA Launched in 2008 Provides detailed guidance on how to plan for climate change adaptation

20 Other Adaptation Resources Case Studies CRC Pilot Communities Fact Sheets Mitigation-Adaptation Connection: Milestones, Synergies and Contradictions Financing Climate Change Adaptation Preserving Assets in At-Risk Municipalities: Financial Strategies for Climate Change Adaptation Other Resources Adaptation newsletter Adaptation blog posts Public health webinars Webinar series on adaptation Adaptation talking points Link to climate adaptation resources from around the nation

21 Questions? Brian Holland Climate Program Manager ICLEI USA