AEC + BIMSTEC EC : ASEAN Economic Community + Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation

Transcription

1 AEC + BIMSTEC EC : ASEAN Economic Community + Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation

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3 (GDP) 3

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5 Low Carbon Economy: 450 ppm scenario 5

6 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, / / 3% 17% 44% % % 31% 81% 34% 69% 69% 19% 15% p P 85% / (%)

7 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000, , , ,000 1,293, , p 2,128, , , ,959 32,797 / P (%) /

8 Agriculture 5% Transport 36% Industry 37% 8 Commercial 7% Residential 15% ,000 /

9 Based on the reserves (3P) mmscf(tcf) :. 4,046 7% 9 9

10 CO 2 CO 2 CO 2 (..) : CO (2009) 2553 (2010) 2554 (2011) (%) (%) CO CO2 41% 26% 24% 8% 10

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12 (Energy Intensity) APEC 12 12

13 Alternative Energy Development Plan (AEDP: ) 25%

14 AEC

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16 Generation System Transmission System Substation Power Plant Transmission Line Distribution Line Distribution System 16

17 Policy Government Regulate ERC 17

18 The Cabinet National Energy Policy Council (NEPC) Ministry of Energy Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) Ministry of Interior -Energy Policy and Planning Office (EPPO) -Department of Mineral Fuel (DMF) -Department of Energy Business (DOEB) -Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency (DEDE) -Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) -Metropolitan Electricity Authority (MEA) -Provincial Electricity Authority (PEA) 18

19 ( ) Residential 21.1% Others IND : 4.1% Utiilities 42.0% Business 25.4% IND : SPP 7.3% 49.3% ,271 GWh

20 Summer Weekday Summer Sunday Winter Weekday Winter Sunday Megawatt 00:00 01:00 02:00 03:00 04:00 05:00 06:00 07:00 08:00 09:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 00:00 20

21 33,000 31,000 29,000 Megaw watt 27,000 25,000 23,000 21,000 19, Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 21

22 GDP Growth Energy Growth Growth (Percentage) Q1Y03 Q3Y03 Q1Y04 Q3Y04 Q1Y05 Q3Y05 Q1Y06 Q3Y06 Q1Y07 Q3Y07 Q1Y08 Q3Y08 Q1Y09 Q3Y09 Q1Y10 Q3Y10 Q1Y11 Q3Y11 Q1Y12 Q3Y12 22

23 . Total Capacity SPP 8.0% 32,786 MW IPP 38.6% EGAT 46.1% Import 7.4% 23

24 2556 Diesel 0.3% Renewable 1.7% Other Hydro 0.2% 9.4% Coal 19.0% Gas 68.4% Fuel Oil 1.1% Energy Generation and Purchase 179,756 GWh 24 Peak Demand 27,076 MW

25 Fixed and variable cost Fuel cost Variable O&M cost Energy Payment (Baht/kWh) 25 Equity Debt repayment Interest payment Fixed O&M cost Return 25 Availability Payment (Baht/kW/Hour) Energy Payment.

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27 Policy Organization Other requirement Other requirement Policy, Regulation Royal Irrigation Department Operate Weekly released water plan EGAT Operate Released water Irrigation Water Power 27

28 (Must Run Unit) - Single Contingency

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30 360,000 1) PDP2010 : 3 320,000 EGAT-TNB 280, , , , ,000 15% 15% 14% 14% 14 % 14% 15% 16% 18% 59% 18% 18% 60% 59% 18% 18% 59% 60% 18% 60% 18% 18% 59% 57% 18% 55% 18% 18% 58% 56% 80,000 40, % 66% 68% 67% 64% 63% 62% 61% 9% 9% 9% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9% 9% 9% 11% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 12% 12% 10% 9% 12% 13% 13% 12% 9% 9% 8% 7% % 4% 5% 5% 5%

31 System Control and Supporting Functions Operational Planning Emergency Plan Generation Operation Planning Emergency Prevention Plan System Restoration Plan Investment Planning Power System Study Power System Control Transmission Operation Planning Protection System Control Centers Computer Control Center Technology 31 Contracts Management Statistical and a Index Calculation Event Analysis Post Control Management and Analysis

32 Incentive for managing availability Pay ment : Average e (%) Mon-Sat : Peak Mon-Sat : OFF- Sunday and peak Holiday Summer Rainy Witer 32

33 Dispatching with Constraints Must Run Unit from Transmission System Constraints Water Release based on Irrigation Requirement Gas Limitation from Gas Supply and Pipe Line Constraints Fuel Mix and Load Control from Environmental Restriction Must Take Unit from Minimum Take PPA ex.spp, Laos Hydro Must Take Unit from Minimum Take Fuel ex. Myanmar Must Take Unit from Government Policy ex. Renewable, LPG 33 33

34 AGC Function modules BASEPOINT TRACKING MODULE Net area generation requirement Spinning reserve requirement Raw ACE Integral ACE Dynamic deadband filter Control Economic Dispatch CED BL, BP, AV PLCs : basepoints MAN PLCs actual generation Proportional component Integral comp. + + Basepoint adjustment Normalized regulation participation factor PLC basepoint -Controlled economic dispatch -Manual base point -Base point schedule -Average PLC desired generation PLC regulation component PLC CONTROL MODULE + - PLC controller Actual PLC generation S C A D A Local controls PLANT Actual unit generation AREA CONTROL MODULE 34

35 Real-time monitoring Generation Dispatching Transmission data and and State Estimator Real Time NETwork analysis (RTNET) Real Time Time Contingency Analysis (RTCA) Real Time Security Enhancement (RTSENH) Wide Area Monitoring (WAM) System adjustment Feed back to generation planner Feed back to transmission planner 35

36 Risk Management Loss of Capacity Transmission Fuel Methodology - Replaced by reserve -Power flow via other transmission system -Replace by secondary Fuel -Replace by other generation System Preparation -Primary Response -Spinning p g Reserve -Quick-start Reserve -Standby Reserve -Contingency system study -N-1 N 1 Criteria -Protection Scheme -Must Run Unit -Mitigation Plan -Coal days non-active stocks Capability Checking Check the frequency response qualities -Fuel switching test 36

37 MW Generation on peak day classified by fuel Peakin Spinning Reserve hrs on 26 Apr

38 MW Generation on peak day classified by fuel Peaking Load Spinning Reserve Intermediate ginterme Load diate Base Load 24!!! 38

39 MW Generation on peak day classified by fuel SPPs, IPPs Peaking Load Spinning Reserve Intermediate ginterme Load diate Base Load 24 39

40 Fleet Management Environment Demand Supply Process Governance/ Regulation

41 Fleet Management Peaking Load Environment Demand Process Supply Governance/ G / Regulation

42 Fleet Management Environment Intermediate Load Demand Supply Process Governance/ Regulation

43 Fleet Management Environment Base Load Demand Process Supply Governance/ Regulation / Fuel Cost Management

44 ( /kwh) Base Load Fuel Cost Management Interme diate Load Peaking Load A B C D E F G H

45 ( /kwh) Base Load Fuel Cost Management Interme diate Load Peaking Load A B C D E F G H

46 ( /kwh) Base Load Fuel Cost Management Replacement Energy Interme diate Load Peaking Load A B C D E F G H

47 Key Performance Index Fuel Gain : (Economic Profit : EP) 2554

48 ,,, (3 ),,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ( : ppb) ( : ppb) (.. : g/m 3 ) 300 ppb 170 ppb 120 g/m :

49 Green Power Plant Demand

50 Question & Answer Thank you for you attention Contact: t th parichart.su@egat.co.th 50

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