Implementation Status & Results Tanzania Development of a National Statistical System for Tanzania (P107722)

Transcription

1 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Tanzania Development of a National Statistical System for Tanzania (P107722) Operation Name: Development of a National Statistical System for Tanzania Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 4 Status: ARCHIVED Archive : 31-Jan-2014 (P107722) Country: Tanzania Approval FY: 2011 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: AFRICA Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): Key s Board Approval 24-Mar-2011 Original Closing 31-Oct-2016 Planned Mid Term Review 21-Oct-2013 Last Archived ISR 07-Jun-2013 Effectiveness 09-Aug-2011 Revised Closing 31-Oct-2016 Actual Mid Term Review Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To develop a national statistical system that effectively and efficiently delivers reliable and timely statistics in accordance with international standards and best practice. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? Yes No Component(s) losure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Component Name Component Cost Institutional Development and Legal Reform 0.80 Human Resource Capacity Development 3.20 Development of Statistical Infrastructure 6.10 Data Development and Dissemination 8.90 Physical Infrastructure and Equipment Project Management 1.00 Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Implementation Status Overview The International Development Agency (IDA), the World Bank, is supporting the implementation of the Tanzania Statistical Master Plan through a credit of US$30 million. Page 1 of 5

2 The IDA-credit, which became effective on 9 August 2011 and closes on 31 October 2016 is being implemented in a 'basket fund' arrangement with the UK Department for International Development (DfID) and the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development, Canada (DFATD). The basket fund is fully planned, executed and accounted for by the Government of Tanzania through the National Bureau of Statistics in close consultation with the three basket fund partners. In addition to the basket fund partners, other partners such as the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), the International Labor Organization (ILO), the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) and the European Union (EU) are contributing to the TSMP through parallel streams of financing and technical assistance of selected activities. The project consists of five components addressing issues such as the legal, institutional and organizational framework for statistics in Tanzania, training and skills development, development of statistical infrastructure, data development and dissemination and investments in ICT equipment and new office space for the National Bureau of Statistics and the Office of the Chief Government Statistician of Zanzibar. As of 31 December 2013, US$7.4 million or approximately 25% of the IDA-credit had been disbursed. All components of the project are currently active except for Component E, which contains the construction activities of the project. Architectural drawings and technical specifications for the two planned buildings will be developed this fiscal year and actual construction activity is planned to begin in the next fiscal year. Furthermore, progress on the agreed reform of NBS' legal status, which is a condition for the financing of the construction work, is expected to be met by the end of December Overall, the project has achieved significant improvements particularly within statistical infrastructure development and data production and dissemination. However, overall performance is rated as moderately satisfactory due to the failure to meet a few ambitious targets. The missed targets pertain primarily to delivery of statistical products and services in accordance with the pre-announced annual release calendar, implementation of the annual training plan and the planned organizational restructuring of NBS. However, noteworthy accomplishment have been achieved including: implementation of the planned surveys as per the ten-year survey calendar, archiving and documenting micro-data sets in the National Data Archive, Parliament discussions of a draft statistics bill to reform the legal framework for statistics in Tanzania and development of a quality assurance framework for official statistics. It is a close call whether or not the realized gains should trigger a satisfactory rating. It could be argued that the targets were too ambitious and while they have not fully been met, real accomplishments should not go unnoticed. Thus, the overall rating of moderately satisfactory. During the upcoming Mid-Term Review in February 2014 possible changes to the results framework to take this into account will be discussed. Locations Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Tanzania Zanzibar Urban/West Region Zanzibar Tanzania Not Entered Unguja Ukuu Tanzania Dar es Salaam Region Dar es Salaam Region Tanzania Not Entered Dar es Salaam Results Project Development Objective Indicators Page 2 of 5

3 Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target User satisfaction with statistical products and Percentage Value services of the national statistical system 2nd User-Satisfaction Survey currently being taken. New estimate of user-satisfaction will be available in February Planned statistical products published on time Percentage Value No baseline - Release Calendar was started in Target for FY13 was 75 percent. Actual achievement of 57.5 percent is below target and lower than FY12. Trend has to be reversed and vastly improved to meet final target of 90 percent. Implementation of planned census and surveys Percentage Value percent of planned surveys in were implemented percent of planned surveys in were implemented. This was above target of 75 percent. Target is to be able to deliver at least 90 percent of annually pre-announced publications on time. Target is full implementation of the planned surveys for as per survey calendar. Intermediate Results Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Organizational restructuring and HR reform process on track Text Value Preparatory work for organizational restructuring and HR reform initiated A consultant report on future organizational structure are being discussed by NBS and OCGS governing bodies. Further progress on restructuring has been put on hold until NBS' legal status has changed as part of the legal reform. 20-Dec-2013 Organizational restructuring and HR policy reform complete. Performance Management System in use Page 3 of 5

4 New legal framework developed and implemented Text Value Current statistics law is being renewed and cabinet policy paper developed. Draft Statistics Bill will go for 2nd reading in Parliament in December Dec Jun-2015 Annual staff training plan implemented Percentage Value No baseline - training needs assessment in progress. Training plan will be discussed and approved by Dec Use of updated statistical concepts, definitions and classifications # of micro datasets accessible online through NADA Data on Financial Performance (as of 22-Oct-2013) Financial Agreement(s) Key s Text Value A number of concepts, definitions and methodologies used are outdated. In FY13, 59 of 87 (68%) in NSS (excluding Zanzibar) received training. The numbers for Zanzibar were 9 of 59 (15%). Total training plan implementation rate: 47%. Quality Assessment Framework being developed including documentation of concepts, standards and definitions. 20-Dec-2013 Number Value Dec-2013 Target for FY15 is 13 archived and documented sets of survey microdata. This target has been achieved almost two years ahead oftime. New Statistics Act enacted and regulations to promulgate the new Statistics Act approved by the Minister and operationalized. The target is that NBS and OCGS will be able to deliver 100 percent of the training plan annually. A compendium of statistical concepts, definitions and standards in use. GFSM2001, ISIC rev. 4 and BPM5 in use. SNA 2008 adopted andna compiled using ISIC rev 4. Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Signing Effectiveness Original Closing Revised Closing P IDA Effective 24-Mar May Aug Oct Oct-2016 Disbursements (in Millions) Page 4 of 5

5 Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P IDA Effective XDR Disbursement Graph Key Decisions Regarding Implementation Specific procurement notices for contracts to be bid under the World Bank's international competitive bidding (ICB) procedures and for contracts for consultancy services will be announced, as they become available, in UN Development Business and dgmarket. All questions related to procurement under this project should be directed to NBS TSMP Coordinator, Mrs Joy Sawe, joy.sawe@nbs.go.tz. Restructuring History Level two Approved on 09-Jul-2013 Related Projects There are no related projects. Page 5 of 5