Three Actions for LCSs

Transcription

1 Three Actions for LCSs Tokyo Institute of Technology Hiroto Takayama Kazufumi Takashina Kou Morimoto Tasuku Hasegawa Chie Tanabe Oct. 31, 2008

2 Narrative Scenario Annual Growth rate : Approximately 2% of GDP per capita growth rate Technology development rate : High 140 Market : Reducing regulation 120 Primary: 100 Decrease in Share 80 Increase in import dependency 60 Secondary: Tendency to heighten the added value 40 Globalization of production basis 20 Service: 0 Increase in share Increase in productivity m illion Population Projection over 15~64 0~14

3 Policy Residential sector (HEMS and BEMS) HEMS and BEMS are the technology of improving energy efficiency in residential sector. Freight transport sector (modal shift) Modal shift is a change in the proportion of trips by different types of freight transport. Energy sector (natural energy) We assume that we introduce the technology of natural energy.

4 Residential Sector

5 HEMS & BEMS Use IT technology to promote and facilitate a system that supports the energy demand management at home (HEMS) for business (BEMS) Source: Energate Inc

6 Options Cost down Need to invest Development of cost performance High cost Need to invest Development of usability HEMS & BEMS Lack of appeal Conveniences Connection between the makers Electrical appliances Lack of knowledge of HEMS &BEMS Advertisements Lack of information about house and building energy saving Education of environment Change legal or Impose tax

7 When should we start the options Advertisement Development (cost performance and usability) Electrical appliances Cost down Education Conveniences Change legal l or Impose tax

8 Result CO2 Reduction Mt-c BEMS light BEMS warm BEMS cool HEMS appliances HEMS light HEMS warm HEMS cool BAU

9 Transportation Sector (Freight)

10 Japanese Jp Railway System Passenger railway company Freight Ril Railway company Japanese Freight Railway Company hire railway track from Passenger RailwayCompany.

11 barriers Freight railway company can`t make flexibility Now, they lag increasing demand When disaster happen,recovery of freight rail diagram is veryslow Limit of burden is strict EG Japan; Maximum loading weight is 1300t Korea; Maximum loading weight is more than 2000t Equipment of freight train get older Government place more emphasis on road and less on rail.

12 Options Differentiated service to other means Increasing rail transport Improve through transportation Energy saving train remain competitive New raw to remain competitive Introduce the carbon tax Improve speed of transport Built bullet train for Vertical separation 40ftcontainer cargo transport Improve alternate route securing of financing New raw to sub serve cost Rise weight limits Improve existing infrastructure Improvement port

13 What is vertical Separation? Department of train monitoring (new construction) Monitoring safety Monitoring competition Railway companies (operate trains) Use fees of rail truck Lending rail truck Rail truck companies (operate rail truck) EG. Réseau Ferré de France Network Rail (UK)

14 What is Tokaido Freight Shinkansen Now, line capacity between Tokyo and Osaka is full We can not increase Freight train. There is a plan to built freight line median strip on the new high way

15 When should we start the options Energy saving train Built bullet train for cargo transport New raw to remain competitive Improve alternate route New raw to sub serve cost Introduce the carbon tax Improve existing infrastructure Vertical separation 40ft container Improvement port

16 Result~Transportation mode~ 350 process of transportation mode B t-km Small freight vehicle Large freigt vehicle Freight train Freight ship Freght air

17 Change of CO2 emission building bullet train Change of CO2 emission (MtC) reduction of car transportation by bullet train renewal of freight train equipment making effcient locomobile MtC

18 Energy Supply Sector

19 Power production for local consumption by local renewable resource Fuel shift to renewable energy Energy loss in electricity transmission Reducing Low penetration rate of transmission loss renewable power equipment improvement of electricity transmission infrastructure Water, land right constraints Law reforming High-cost relative to existing electricity Expanding renewable energy purchasing system Low purchasing price for renewable energy Lack of information about renewable energy based power system Enhancing R&D Subsidies for installation of renewable power system Announcement for stakeholder

20 When should we start the options Announcement for stakeholder Law reforming Expanding renewable energy purchasing system Fuel shift to renewable energy improvement of electricity transmission infrastructure Reducing transmission loss Enhancing R&D

21 Result Efficient renewable power plant Fuel shift to renewable energy BAU emission [Mt-C] 300 CO

22 All Actions Residential and Commercial sector HEMS, BEMS diffuse 320 Freight transportation sector The Tokaido Shinkansen for commodity distribution begin service (2020~) 0 Spread railway networks CO2 emissio n [MtC] Improve the efficiency of trains Energy supply sector Energy shift (2015~) renewable energy BAU HEMS warm HEMS appliances BEMS warm bullet train for cargo transport Rail infrastructure development decrease shipping Efficient renewable power plant HEMS cool HEMS light BEMS cool BEMS light car reduction Efficient locomotive building Fuel shift to renewable energy

23 Discussion Uncertainties Is there other options or barriers? Mindset, incentives Our inputs for BCM is correct? To stimulate stakeholders participation in actions, more effective options are needed.

24 ご清聴ありがとうございました