INDUSTRY 4.0 AND ITS EFFECTS ON URBAN LOGISTICS Martin Stockmann Witten, Fraunhofer Slide 1

Transcription

1 INDUSTRY 4.0 AND ITS EFFECTS ON URBAN LOGISTICS Martin Stockmann Witten, Fraunhofer Slide 1

2 Digitalization is an Important Driver for Retail Logistics with Exponential Growth Rates Technologies Digital devices such as smartphones, tablets, for identification and communication Information / Big Data Information, availability, and transparency Mobile Enables the fusion of the physical and virtual world Social Networking in new dimensions and high impact Fraunhofer Slide 2

3 The Impact in Logistics is Enormous The World is Moving: Physically and Virtually Pictures: Fraunhofer IML Fraunhofer Slide 3

4 Retail Logistics 4.0 Pioneer USA: Digital interactions affect 65% of all sales At the same time, new technologies only slowly find application in logistics On- and Offline merge together and must be handled uniformly! Fraunhofer Slide 4 Pictures: Fraunhofer IML

5 Urbanization in Europe and Germany Today, almost 80% of the European population live in cities Europe does not have mega cities in the extent of Tokyo or Mexico City but there exist urban areas around the large cities, which form»metropolitan regions«europe: 120 metropolitan regions each with more than 500,000 inhabitants Germany: 11 metropolitan regions with a total population of 44 million more than half of the total population Fraunhofer Slide 5

6 What are the Consequences of this Development for Urban Areas? Increasing individualization of production and trade logistics Omnichannel, changes in structures, renaissance of the inner city Smaller-scaled deliveries Growing customer requirements also of an aging population Crowd delivery services in the city How do these developments change the traffic in a city? Fraunhofer Slide 6

7 Impact of ecommerce on Traffic in Urban Areas Example of Bochum What impact does ecommerce have on traffic? How does changed customer traffic affect the volume of traffic? How does the delivery traffic of the stationary retailers change the traffic volume? What are the burdens of the road infrastructure network in and around the»innenstadtring«of Bochum? On behalf of Pictures: IHK, Fraunhofer IML Fraunhofer Slide 7

8 Approach of the Study ecommerce displaces the stationary retailers from the city Scenario 1 Estimation of factors for traffic development by 2019 and 2025 Calculation of possible vehicle passages in the two scenarios Online and stationary retailers vitalize the city Scenario 2 Company Questionnaires Citizen Questionnaires Study Research»Retailers create delivery traffic which become more frequent and smaller-scaledthe majority of Bochum citizens will also continue to shop in the future«traffic Model Bochum»Current studies confirm the questionnaires«real traffic data: Car transits in 24h * Passenger car data were updated in July 2015, the truck values in 2008 Study has adjusted truck values based on current development figures Pictures: Fotos@boulevardbochum.de;bochum.ihk.de Fraunhofer Slide 8 * Verkehrsmodell Stadtplanungs- und Bauordnungsamt der Stadt Bochum

9 Results of the Scenario Approach ecommerce displaces the stationary retailers from the city Online and stationary retailers vitalize the city Scenario 1 By 2019 car trips are reduced by about per 24 hours By 2025, the traffic volume will be reduced by -27,800 cars per 24 hours Even if private car traffic is declining, supply traffic will rise Qualitative requirements for transport infrastructure will not be significantly reduced Scenario 2 In scenario 2, an increase of 8,531 cars per 24 hours will occur by 2019 By 2025, the traffic volume will increase by cars per 24 hours In addition to the growth in private traffic, the supply traffic also increases, so does the need for urban transport infrastructure Fraunhofer Slide 9

10 Urban Logistics Solutions of the Future Cooperation in the last mile Hybrid retail and customer delivery Hybrid goods transfer systems Stationary and virtual assortments Pictures: Fraunhofer IML Fraunhofer Slide 10

11 Urban Retail Logistics Fraunhofer Slide 11 Pictures: Fraunhofer IML

12 Motivation Behind the Project Increasing traffic load Increase in delivery frequencies Change of the vehicle mix due to lower quantities delivered Congestion Increase in diesel price Use of alternative vehicles (electric trucks) Pictures: Fraunhofer IML Fraunhofer Slide 12

13 Results of Cost Simulation for Future Scenarios 2020 and 2030 Given future conditions, the existing supply system will become increasingly expensive Delivery via»urban Hub«will also be economically competitive in the long term Delivery from DC Delivery from Urban Hub Fraunhofer Slide 13

14 GeNaLog Low Noise Nighttime Distribution Fraunhofer Slide 14 Pictures: Fraunhofer IML

15 Aim of the Project 8am 4am Developing a service based logistics concept to reduce noise pollution, traffic, and congestion Shifting transports into nighttime Using electronical commercial vehicles and low-noise loading aids in order to observe strict noise limits Investigating acceptance by direct integration of residents, employees, and communities Technical feasibility has been proven Fraunhofer Slide 15

16 Urban Logistics Offers a Range of Solutions to the Future of Cities Digital commerce will significantly change the cities and thus traffic The stationary retailer has a great influence on its own role and position in ecommerce Logistics concepts and approaches help shape the cities of the future All actors (industry, trade, LSPs, municipalities, citizens, etc.) must cooperate In the end every city has to design urban logistics for its individual needs! Fraunhofer Slide 16

17 Thank you very much for your kind attention! Martin Stockmann Fraunhofer Slide 17