An Up-to-Date Analysis of Future Workforce Needs in Transit

Transcription

1 An Up-to-Date Analysis of Future Workforce Needs in Transit Jack Clark and Xinge Wang Transportation Learning Center October 2014 Draft data not for citation without authors permission. 1

2 With 63 percent of workforce above age 45, retirements will loom large in transit. Transit Workforce Age Distribution <24 4% % % % % 2

3 Transit has the highest percentage of older workers among all transportation sectors < >65 Transportation 5% 40% 29% 19% 5% Trucking 5% 41% 30% 19% 5% Transit 4% 33% 28% 23% 12% Air 6% 41% 32% 18% 3% Highway 8% 44% 28% 16% 4% Rail 5% 38% 27% 26% 3% Maritime 7% 44% 27% 18% 4% All US Industries 10% 44% 23% 17% 6% 3

4 Women continue to be underrepresented in transit, especially in technical positions e.g. mechanics 4

5 African-Americans and Hispanics are underrepresented in higher paid and skilled transportation jobs 2013 Employment in Transportation Jobs by Race & Ethnicity Generally Higher Wages, Skills & Career Potential Aircraft pilots White Black or African American Hispanic or Latin American Asian 88% 3% 5% 4% Highway maintenance 81% 9% 10% 1% Bus and truck mechanics 77% 6% 16% 1% Aircraft mechanics 74% 8% 9% 9% Truck drivers 64% 15% 19% 2% Bus drivers 57% 27% 14% 2% Generally Lower Wages, Skills & Career Potential Laborers Vehicles cleaners All US Workforce 43% 56% 68% 21% 18% 11% 23% 33% 16% 3% 3% 6% 5

6 Growth and separations will generate 4.6 million total job openings in transportation , 1.2 times the current workforce 2014 Employment 4 Million Growth 0.4 Million Total Projected Transportation Job Openings: Separations 4.2 Million 4.6 Million x 2014 Employment 6

7 Transit job openings in 10 years are estimated at 1.25 times its current employment Estimated Percentage of Total Job Openings due to Growth and Separations (Ranked) Estimated Job Openings due to Separations Growth & Separations = 150.8% Estimated Job Openings due to Industry Growth 11.8% 125.1% 12.2% 119.4% 10.7% 113.0% 12.4% 102.8% 4.2% 101.7% 8.4% 139.0% 112.9% 108.7% 100.6% 98.6% 93.3% Highway Transit Maritime Trucking Air Rail 7

8 Bus drivers, mechanics, dispatchers, and first-line supervisors has the highest long-term job demand in transit Top Transit Jobs by Projected Total Job Openings due to Growth and Separations Transit and Intercity Bus Drivers 199,727 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 31,227 Dispatchers 28,510 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation Machine and Vehicle Operators 23,996 Projected Job Openings (Growth and Separations) 8

9 Operations and maintenance jobs account for 95% of the projected transit job openings Top Transit Jobs based on Projected Total Job Openings Share by Career Area Other 3% Central Services & Admin 2% Maintenance 5% Operations 90% 9

10 Annual Median Wages Transit jobs in high demand pay above national median wages, provide good benefits and career pathways/ladders opportunities Top Transit Jobs by Projected Total Job Openings: Median Wages vs. Edu/Work Exp./Training Requirements $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30, Title 10 Yr Job Median Openings Wages 1 Transit and Intercity Bus Drivers 199,727 $36,938 Bus and Truck Mechanics and 2 Diesel Engine Specialists 31,227 $41,458 3 Dispatchers 28,510 $35,679 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation Machine and 4 Vehicle Operators 23,996 $53,123 National Median Wage $34,750 $20,000 $10,000 Size of the bubbles represents total job openings Edu/Work Exp./Training Requirements $0 Little/No Some Medium Considerable Extensive 10

11 Transit Operations & Maintenance Career Pathways and Ladders Vehicle Operations Bus Maintenance Rail Maintenance Facilities Maintenance Bus and Rail Operations Manager Master Technician Master Technician Master Technician Bus and Rail Operations Supervisor Maintenance Technician Maintenance Technician HVAC, Electrical/ Electronics, Escalator/ Elevator Specialist Bus and Rail Dispatchers Maintainer Maintainer Maintainer Bus Drivers and Rail Operator Apprentice Apprentice Apprentice Bus Driver, Rail Operator Trainee Cleaner, Laborer, Hostler, Fueler Cleaner, Laborer, Hostler, Fueler Janitor, Cleaner 11

12 Projected annual job openings are 68% larger than annual completions of related educational programs in selected transportation jobs Projected Annual Job Openings Related Educational Program Annual Completions 27,680 23,040 % Shortfall 86% 59% 67% 38% 97% 33% 3,829 9,461 9,430 3,071 14,080 8,684 11,920 5,610 3, Dispatchers and Cargo Agents Bus and Truck Mechanics Airline Pilots Aircraft Maintenance Rail Transportation Workers Captains, Mates and Ship Engineers 12

13 DOL Competency Model on Transportation, Logistics & Warehousing

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15 Next Steps Rail Car Training Consortium Training Transit Maintenance Trainers and Mentors Registered Apprenticeships: Bus operators Bus maintenance Rail car technicians Signals technicians El/Es technicians Career Pathways and CTE

16 Contact Us Jack Clark, Deputy Director Xinge Wang, Director of Research