Quarterly Survey of Overseas Subsidiaries (Survey from July to September 2017) ~ Summary of the Results ~ December 27, 2017 Research and Statistics Department Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
1 About the Quarterly Survey of Overseas Subsidiaries (1) Outline of the Survey Ⅰ Purpose of the survey The purpose of this survey is to promote flexible policymaking for both the economy and industry, by understanding the dynamic changes in the overseas activities of Japanese companies. Ⅱ Legal basis of the survey The survey is conducted by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry with approval under the Statistics Act. Ⅲ Date of the survey The survey was based on the period ending on the last day of September 2017. (The deadline for submitting survey responses for this quarter was November 15, 2017.) Ⅳ Coverage of the Survey The survey covers Japanese companies that met all the following criteria as of the end of March 2017: All industries except finance, insurance, and real estate; companies with 100 million yen or more in capital; companies with 50 or more employees; companies with overseas subsidiaries. This survey also targets overseas subsidiaries of the above Japanese parent companies (including overseas subsidiaries that were established during the term of the survey) that meet all of the following criteria as of the end of the surveyed quarter: manufacturing companies; companies with 50 or more employees; companies with 50% or more of their capital coming from parent companies, including both direct and indirect funds (such as funds provided via local subsidiaries). Ⅴ Method of the Survey The survey was conducted via mail, using self-declarations submitted by Japanese parent companies. Ⅵ Survey Items The survey covers actual figures and Diffusion Index (business confidence) for sales, capital investment, and number of employees. Ⅶ Response Rate The responses to the survey for this quarter are summarized below: Number of companies covered by the survey (overseas subsidiaries) 5,305 Number of companies that responded 4,237 Response rate Response rate it was calculated by the valid responses (2) Notes on Use Ⅰ Adjustments to deal with gaps in reported values Comparisons between the current quarter and the corresponding quarter of the previous year are calculated and estimated by totaling the figures only for overseas subsidiaries (newly established companies included) continuously subject to the survey since the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Ⅱ Revisions to statistical data Statistical data for the current quarter are preliminary results. They are revised at the time of publication of the survey report for the next quarter. Annual revisions are conducted once a year at the time of publication of the survey report for the April June quarter. Statistical data for the previous year were retroactively revised and fixed. Ⅲ Tabulation method Data for all companies covered by the survey is tabulated after estimating the results for companies that did not submit responses, based on the following formula in each region and sector (the number of employees given in the previous quarter is used in the case of employees). All items are estimated except the capital investment. Estimated values for this quarter for companies not submitting data = Value for the corresponding quarter in the previous year for relevant companies Total values for this quarter for companies that submitted data both this quarter and in the same quarter of the previous year Total values for the same quarter of the previous year for comapanies that submitted data both this quarter and in the same quarter of the previous year 79.9% - 1 -
Ⅳ Classification of countries and regions ⅰ North America: the United States and Canada ⅱ Asia 1ASEAN4: Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, and Malaysia ASEAN10: Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, Cambodia, Singapore, Brunei, Vietnam, Myanmar, and Laos 2NIEs3: Singapore, Taiwan, and Korea 3China: including Hong Kong 4Other Asian countries: India, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Brunei, Vietnam, Myanmar, and Laos ⅲ Europe: Ireland, the United Kingdom, Italy, Ukraine, Austria, the Netherlands, Greece, Swiss, Sweden, Spain, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Turkey, Hungary, Finland, France, Bulgaria, Belgium, Poland, Portugal, Montenegro, Luxembourg, Romania, and Russia ⅳ Other: Argentina, Israel, Uruguay, Egypt, El Salvador, Australia, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Columbia, Saudi Arabia, Samoa, Swaziland, Tanzania, Tunisia, Chile, Nigeria, New Zealand, Paraguay, Brazil, Venezuela, Peru, South Africa, Mexico, and Morocco Ⅴ Regarding listed currencies Amounts listed in local currencies are analyzed by converting them into U.S. dollars at the average exchange rate for the quarter announced by the IMF. Exchange rates of major currencies against the U.S. dollars (average term rates published by IMF IFS ) FY2016 FY2017 Jul. Sep. Oct. Dec. Jan. Mar. Apr. Jun. Jul. Sep. Japan Yen 102.39 109.11 113.61 111.08 111.01 ASEAN4 Indonesia (Rupiah) 13134.0 13248.5 13348.4 13309.3 13329.1 Malaysia (Ringgit) 4.0500 4.3200 4.4500 4.3300 4.2600 Philippines (Peso) 47.060 49.110 49.990 49.860 50.840 Thailand (Baht) 34.840 35.390 35.120 34.450 33.390 NIEs3 Republic of Korea (Won) 1120.10 1155.70 1154.80 1130.00 1132.50 Singapore (Singapore dollar) 1.3500 1.4100 1.4200 1.3900 1.3600 Taiwan (New Taiwan dollar) 31.7280 31.7800 31.0990 30.2700 30.2830 China People's Public of China (Yuan) 6.6700 6.8300 6.8900 6.8600 6.6700 Hong Kong (Hong Kong dollar) 7.760 7.760 7.760 7.790 7.820 Europe United Kingdom (Pound) 0.760 0.800 0.810 0.780 0.760 Euro Area (Euro) 0.9000 0.9300 0.9400 0.9100 0.8500 Ⅵ Industrial Classification Industrial Classification is based on the Japan Standard Industrial Classification (JSIC). Based on sales, the four major industry sectors out of the total of 12 are "Chemicals", "General-purpose machinery (general-purpose, production, and business-oriented machinery)", "Electrical machinery", and "Transportation equipment". CHEMICALS CERAMIC, STONE AND CLAY PRODUCTS IRON AND STEEL Industry Classification FOOD AND TABACCO TEXTILES LUMBER, PULP, PAPER AND PAPER PRODUCTS NON-FERROUS METALS FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS GENERAL-PURPOSE, PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ORIENTED MACHINERY ELECTRICAL MACHINERY TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT MISCELLANEOUS MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES Manufacture of food (09), manufacture of beverages, tabacco and feed (10) Manufacture of textile mill products (11) Manufacture of lumber and wood products, except fourniture (12), Manufacture of pulp, paper and paper products (14) Manufacture of Chemical and allied products (16) Manufacture of ceramic, stone and clay products (21) Manufacture of iron and steel (22) Manufacture of non-ferrous metals and products (23) Manufacture of fabricated metal products (24) Manufacture of general-purpose machinery (25), Manufacture of production machinery (26),Manufacture of business oriented machinery (27) Electronic parts, devices and electronic circuits (28), Manufacture of electrical machinery, equipment and supplies (29), Manufavture of information and communication electronics equipment (30) Manufacture of transportation equipment (31) Japan Standard Industrial Classification(Code) Manufacture of furniture and fixtures (13), Printing and allied industries (15), Manufacture of petroleum and coal products (17), Manufacture of plastic products, except otherwise classified (18), Manufacture of rubber products (19), Manufacture of tanning, leather products and fur skins (20), Miscellaneous manufacturing industries (32) - 2 -
2 Overview Fig. 2-1 Long-Term Trends in Sales, etc. of Overseas Subsidiaries (billion U.S. dollars) 300 280 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Sales (left scale) Number of Employees (right scale) (billion U.S. dollars; million persons) 14 Capital Investment (right scale) 292.9billion u.s. dollars 7.58billion u.s. dollars 4.242million persons FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Fig. 2-2 Diffusion Index (DI) for Sales Forecast (Current DI and Next DI) 60 (DI for Sales Forecasts, % points) 40 20 Next DI 0-20 Current DI -40-60 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018-3 -
Fig. 2-3 Summary Table of the Survey Sales Capital Investment Number of Employees Results Forecasts Forecasts Results Forecasts Forecasts Results Current DI Next DI Current DI Next DI Forecasts Current DI Forecasts Next DI 2017 2017 End of Sep. 2017 2017 2018 2017 2018 Dec. 2017 Mar. 2018 Billion USD y/y % chg. %points %points Billion USD y/y % chg. %points %points Mil. Persons y/y % chg. %points %points All Regions 292.9 8.6 7.6 3.9 7.58 3.0 15.2 4.0 4.242 1.4 5.9 3.0 Chemicals 21.7 8.7 7.3 6.7 0.51-0.2 12.6 5.1 0.179 1.6 8.2 6.4 General-purpose machinery 25.9 7.3 17.3 12.5 0.47-6.7 11.6 5.0 0.464 3.5 10.5 10.1 Electrical machinery 44.7 6.0 6.7-0.6 0.97-1.6 15.6 0.1 1.063-0.6 3.6-1.4 Transportation equipment 158.1 9.4 2.4 2.8 4.22 5.2 20.3 3.0 1.635 2.9 4.8 3.5 North America 84.1-1.5 1.5 10.7 2.69 8.3 12.2 0.0 0.572 2.8 4.0 5.1 Chemicals 5.8 6.2 0.0 24.0 0.12 17.9 13.9-2.8 0.027 4.0 6.8 11.4 General-purpose machinery 8.9 10.2 21.2 7.8 0.19-16.2 10.4-5.3 0.071 30.0 12.3 12.5 Electrical machinery 6.4-3.7 8.3 14.6 0.06-40.0 7.3-7.3 0.053 0.1-1.9 1.9 Transportation equipment 49.9-4.2-8.5 10.3 1.82 12.8 15.5 2.6 0.267-2.3-2.4 2.5 Asia 148.5 12.2 8.3 1.5 3.40-7.0 16.1 5.8 2.954 0.5 6.6 2.9 Chemicals 9.5 12.5 9.0 2.9 0.26-6.2 13.3 7.1 0.115 1.4 9.6 6.7 General-purpose machinery 12.8 4.3 17.8 12.2 0.21 6.3 14.2 8.7 0.344-0.8 12.1 10.8 Electrical machinery 31.5 7.6 5.1-2.3 0.82-1.8 16.7 0.8 0.928-1.2 4.0-1.2 Transportation equipment 73.6 15.1 5.3-0.6 1.49-13.4 22.1 5.7 0.964 3.6 6.4 3.7 ASEAN 4 55.4 12.4 3.5 6.9 1.40 5.4 17.0 7.5 1.195 1.2 3.9 1.0 Chemicals 3.1 8.2 2.1 10.9 0.18 18.4 10.4 8.2 0.047 4.7 8.8 4.5 General-purpose machinery 3.4 6.6 10.7 22.7 0.05 27.5 11.1 12.9 0.121-2.1 6.6 10.6 Electrical machinery 10.9 4.9 9.1 1.7 0.30-11.5 20.6 4.6 0.382 2.6 3.9 2.2 Transportation equipment 29.6 14.0-2.9 5.6 0.63 20.3 21.8 6.9 0.402 1.4 1.2-0.8 NIEs 3 13.1 9.0 9.8 4.9 0.27-0.1 12.9 5.5 0.135 0.5 9.3 5.9 Chemicals 3.3 13.7 16.3 4.1 0.04-28.5 15.9 6.8 0.017 3.1 17.0 10.9 General-purpose machinery 1.5 0.8-2.8-14.3 0.02-6.2 25.8 0.0 0.022 3.5 13.9 8.3 Electrical machinery 3.9 10.1 2.3 4.4 0.06 7.2 2.3 4.6 0.037-0.9 2.1 2.1 Transportation equipment 1.9 13.1 12.9 10.3 0.06 0.6 0.0-16.0 0.018-0.5 0.0 0.0 China (incl. Hong Kong) 63.3 10.4 10.5-5.5 1.28 2.5 15.6 3.0 1.097-2.2 7.2 2.5 Chemicals 2.4 20.8 9.1-8.5 0.03-44.5 13.6 3.9 0.035-5.1 5.5 6.4 General-purpose machinery 6.9 2.9 22.3 10.2 0.11 4.8 8.3 6.1 0.147-2.7 12.9 8.3 Electrical machinery 15.1 7.4 3.8-6.8 0.42 12.5 19.2-1.2 0.398-3.8 4.6-5.6 Transportation equipment 30.5 12.9 14.3-10.8 0.54 0.3 23.9 3.6 0.307 1.0 11.1 7.8 Europe 35.1 9.8 11.1 13.8 0.91 16.3 8.5-0.8 0.404 4.2 6.3 1.3 Chemicals 6.1 4.8 4.7 15.8 0.13-7.3 11.1 3.0 0.033-0.1 5.0 5.4 General-purpose machinery 3.8 10.1 8.5 19.7 0.07 10.4 4.9-1.8 0.039 4.3 10.3 7.3 Electrical machinery 5.6 8.6 12.2 7.5 0.08 104.4 12.9 6.7 0.045 3.0 9.1-2.3 Transportation equipment 14.1 12.4 8.1 8.2 0.43 17.4 6.7-12.0 0.191 6.0 6.2 0.0 (Reference) ASEAN 10 65.2 12.2 6.2 6.4 1.61 3.8 16.7 8.4 1.570 1.3 4.7 1.6 Chemicals 4.2 10.0 4.2 8.7 0.19 18.5 11.4 8.7 0.055 4.1 10.5 3.5 General-purpose machinery 4.6 4.7 12.5 19.7 0.08 25.8 14.8 13.7 0.172-0.4 5.2 12.3 Electrical machinery 13.2 6.8 6.8 0.9 0.34-17.5 16.2 4.2 0.489 1.2 4.6 3.2 Transportation equipment 32.5 13.7 0.0 4.6 0.67 17.5 21.6 8.5 0.506 2.7 2.1 0.0-4 -
Questionnaire - 5 -
Inquires Enterprise Statistics Office, Research and Statistics Department, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry 1 3 1, Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda ku, Tokyo 100 8902 TEL: +81 3 3501 1831 FAX: +81 3 3580 6320 E MAIL: qqcebh@meti.go.jp Please use e mail for inquiries, if at all possible URL http://www.meti.go.jp/english/statistics/tyo/genntihou/index.html Time series tables for past data are available on the website at the above address.