WIDE-SCALE MODELLING OF WATER AND WATER AVAILABILITY WITH EARTH OBSERVATION/SATELLITE IMAGERY

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WIDE-SCALE MODELLING OF WATER AND WATER AVAILABILITY WITH EARTH OBSERVATION/SATELLITE IMAGERY Ferreira F 1, Goudriaan R 2, Gibson LA 3, Jarmain C 4, Kemp JN 6, Mashimbye E 5, Münch Z 6, Pauw T 6, Stephenson G 6, Van Niekerk A 6 1 GeoTerra Image 2 eleaf Competence Center 3 CapeNature 4 Independent consultant & Centre for Geographical Analysis, Geography & Environmental Studies, Stellenbosch University (cjarmain@gmail.com) 5 Agricultural Research Council 6 Centre for Geographical Analysis, Geography & Environmental Studies, Stellenbosch University (avn@sun.ac.za) WRC-SA-GEO Workshop, Pretoria, 16 March 2016

Wordle.net WRC Project No. K5/2401//4 WIDE-SCALE MODELLING OF WATER AND WATER AVAILABILITY WITH EARTH OBSERVATION/SATELLITE IMAGERY

Aims (primary) 1. Update the total area used for irrigated agriculture in South Africa 2. Update the estimated total amount of water used by irrigated agriculture in South Africa 3. Quantify the water used by selected irrigated crops in selected areas 4. Demonstrate how water accounting can be employed to determine water use and water availability over large catchments

Aims (secondary) 1. Develop capacity in EO and other geospatial techniques, specifically those relating to water use estimations, land cover and crop type mapping, as well as water accounting 2. Engage with industry to stimulate participation, increase awareness of crop water use and availability and encourage adoption of new technologies and datasets

Knowledge do exist, but is outdated E.g. Area under irrigated agriculture Best estimate for 1996: 1.6m ha (Backberg, 2003) Potential irrigable land 1 573 482ha 1994/5 actual irrigable land 1 589 884 ha (Nell&Van der Berg, 2001) Most recent estimates according to WARMS (Van der Stoep and Tylcoat): 2008: 2014: 1 675 822 ha of registered irrigation area 1 399 221 ha of annually irrigated area 1 440 748 ha of registered irrigation area 1 252 601 ha of annually irrigated area New technology and innovative ways exist Additional pressure on resources New developments and allocation Policy changes

2014/15 update Reference year Area under irrigated agriculture Water used by irrigated agriculture Water use (evapotranspiration) per main irrigated crop Water available for new developments and allocations

Generate new country wide data sets related to ET, land cover / land use and others Vegetation water use Land cover / land use

Build on from existing data sets & data basis *where available

Remote sensing datasets Use Innovative ways Data, models and frameworks GIS data sets ETLook MODIS / VIIRS ASCAT/MODIS-LST FEWS/TRMM Optical Thermal Active (microwave) Image classification methods MOD16 Available land cover / land use Water accounting +

PHASE 1 Existing maps & LANDSAT/SPOT imagery & Ancillary data Land cover map Land use map+ PHASE 2 PHASE 3 MODIS imagery ET dataset+ Irrigated area map+ Crop type maps*+ Rainfall data PHASE 4 Water used by irrigation Water used by specific crops* PHASE 5 * Dataset to be produced for selected areas only + Dataset to be used in water accounting (PHASE 5) Water Accounting Completion date: March 2018

Progress Land use & cover mapping Rainfall data collection ET (crop water use) modelling Impact of coarse resolution data ET-based irrigated area mapping

Focusing on ET data sets

The ETLook Model

ETLook: Static Inputs Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Land use/cover map (LULC) Latitude map Water mask

ETLook: SRTM DEM - Roughness - Solar radiation energy

ETLook: South African Land Cover 2013-14 - Roughness - Stomatal Resistance - Light use efficiency GEOTERRAIMAGE 2015

ETLook: Daily Inputs NOAA & ARC Meteorological Station Data Air Temperature Relative Humidity Wind Satellite Based MODIS NDVI, Albedo & LST MSG Transmissivity ASCAT Topsoil moisture GSMaP Precipitation

ETLook: Meteorological Inputs 166 NOAA Stations 73 ARC Stations

ETLook: Meteorological Inputs Point measurements of Air Temperature and Relative Humidity and Wind interpolated using the Daymet model (Thornton et al., 1997) 27 december 2014 27 december 2014

ETLook: Atmospheric Transmissivity - Determines the fraction of solar radiation that reaches the Earth s surface and can be used for evapotranspiration - Gained from the MeteoSat Second Generation (MSG) - Cloud cover data provided as part of the Cloud Physical Properties (CPP) algorithm from the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)

ETLook: GSMaP Precipitation - Precipitation input data is used for the calculation of interception evaporation - Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation in Near-Real- Time (GSMaP_NRT) from JAXA - The hourly product was used and summed to daily values

ETLook: ASCAT Top Soil Moisture - Soil moisture products based on the ASCAT sensor - Relative soil moisute content in the surface layer (~3 cm) between 0 to 100% total saturation - Main driver for evaporation calculation within ETLook - Daily product in global swaths covering the globe

ETLook: MODIS Inputs - M*D09GQ product used as NDVI input - M*D09GA product used as Albedo input - Composites are based on a 10-day weighted average

ETLook: Soil Moisture Stress - Based on MODIS Land Surface Temperature - Determine subsoil moisture content (based on Yang et al., 2015) - Calculate associated soil moisture stress (based on Scott et al., 2003) - Soil moisture stress maps are composited following the same methodology as NDVI and albedo maps - Essential input for calculation actual transpiration and actual biomass production

Some preliminary results related to water use FLYSAA

Annual PiMapping Data

Monthly Actual Evapotranspiration (Etact)

ETact in the Western Cape

ETact: Examples of Irrigated Agriculture Fish river canyon Vaalharts Irrigation Scheme

ETact: Irrigated Sugarcane Mpumalanga July 2015 January 2015

ETact: Rainfed Agriculture Limpopo Free State North West

Irrigated area map v1

Pieces of the puzzle coming together

Phase # Component # Year (subdivided into three-month terms) Associated deliverable number 2014 Q 2 1 2014 Q 3 2&3 2015 Q 1 2015 Q 2 4 2015 Q 3 5 2015 Q 4 6&7 2016 Q 1 2016 Q 2 2016 Q 3 8 2016 Q 4 9&10 2017 Q 1 2017 Q 2 2017 Q 3 11 2017 Q 4 12&13 1 1 Land cover mapping 2 Land use mapping 2 1 Rainfall data collection 2 ET modelling using ETLook 3 Impact of coarse resolution data products 3 1 ET-based irrigated area mapping 2 Alternative methods for irrigated area mapping 3 Crop type mapping 4 1 Overall water used by irrigated agriculture 2 Estimation of water used by specific crops 5 Water accounting

To conclude Earth observation and geospatial data used to generate water related information Innovation New update on irrigated agricultural water use in South Africa for 2014/15 New knowledge Guidelines for repeating process Innovation

Thank you! Please contact us at avn@sun.ac.za cjarmain@gmail.com WRC Project No. K5/2401//4 WIDE-SCALE MODELLING OF WATER AND WATER AVAILABILITY WITH EARTH OBSERVATION/SATELLITE IMAGERY