Agicultual Tade Developments and Futue Pospective in China D. Zuo Changsheng Deputy Diecto Geneal Agicultue Tade Pomotion Cente Ministy of Agicultue, P. R. China
Contents I. Agicultual Development II. Agicultual Tade Development III. Futue Pospective
I. Intoduction of Agicultual Development in China
Agicultual Development m m m m m m Agicultual esouce constaints Agicultual poduction capacity Stuctual change Quality impovement Incease of ual income Agicultual Policy
Resouce constaints China has 120 million ha aable land, accounting fo 9% of wold total, pe capita land less than 0.1 ha, 40% of wold aveage. China has 2.4 tillion cubic metes wate esouce pe capita possession 1861 cubic metes, 1/4 of wold aveage
Resouce constaints: aable land
Resouce constaints: wate
Total output inceased significantly
Output of Majo Agicultue Poducts
Output of Majo Agicultue Poducts
Composition of Agicultual output
Planting Stuctue of Majo Cops
Output Stuctue of Livestock Poducts
Food safety impovement Pomotion of geen foods, oganic foods and cetified safe foods. The intoduction of new laws and egulations with egad to food safety contol. Enhanced official safety inspection and publication of esults. Taining and extension of new technology and pactices
Quick incease of ual household income
Agicultual Policy Cental Govenment Expenditue fo Agicultue, Rual Community and Fames RMB billion yuan 2002 190.5 2003 214.4 2004 262.6 2005 297.5 2006 339.7 2007 431.8 2008 595.6 2009 725.3 2010 858.0 2011 1228.7
Fou Majo Types of Agicultual Subsidies
Agicultual Science and technology The Aggegate level of mechanization in plowing, sowing and havesting acoss the county eached 54.5% in 2011; The contibution ate of science and technological pogess to agicultue eached 53.5%.
Impovement in opeation scales By 2010, 220 million household-based land contacts signed and 12.47 million hectaes of land management ight has been tansfeed, which account fo 14.7% of total contacted aable land.
Development of Industialized Opeation By 2010, 250,000 industialized agicultual oganizations, involved107 million fame households Fames pofessional coopeatives eached 379.1 thousand, with 29 million ual households membes, accounting fo 11% of China s total ual households.
II. Agicultual Tade Development Agicultual Tade Policy Agicultual Tade changes FTA & Agicultual Tade
Taiff and Quota Afte enteing WTO in 2001, China has substantially educed the impot taiff of agicultue poducts. Aveage impot taiff of agicultue 15.2%, only ¼ of wold aveage.
Taiff ates of Agicultual Poducts
China s TRQ aangement Items MFN(%) In Quota Rate(%) Quota(thousand ton) Wheat 65 1-10 9,636 Maize 65 1-10 7,200 Rice 65 1-9 5,320 Suga 50 15 1,945 Wool 38 1-3 287 Cotton 40 1 894
Agicultual Tade Development Rapid gowth of agicultual tade, 2001-2011 annual gowth ate 18.7% (impot 23.1%, expot 14.2%) Highe impot gowth ate leads to inceased agicultual tade deficits since 2004
Tade volume change
Impot stuctue
Expot stuctue
Majo makets Geneal tends: --divesification in expot makets --concentation in impot makets
Top ten expot maket in 2011
The shae of top ten expot makets of China s agicultue poducts
Top ten impot souces in 2011
The shae of top ten impot maket
The Shae of FAT Patnes in China s Total Agicultual Tade Value
FTA & Agicultual Tade Stat 2005.07 2007.7 2006.10 2008.10 2009.01 2009.03 2010.04 2010.06 2009.10 2009.10
Agicultual Tade Value Between China and FTA Patnes
Potential FTA Patnes FTA unde Negotiation
III. Futue Pospective
Challenges Resouce constaints and small fams impede long tem competitiveness Open maket and highly distoted wold tade Impact of non-taditional factos on agicultue and tade Multi-national companies have big monopoly powe in global agicultual poduct supply chain, which theaten small fame suvive.
stategies Coodinated domestic and intenational maket m m m Based on gain self-sufficiency to ensue food secuity is a basic policy. Some bulk poducts need impot, but a easonable level of self-sufficiency is impotant. Pomote advantage poducts expot
stategies Enhance agicultue competiveness m m m Acceleate the tansfomation of agicultual development patten. Incease the investment in agicultue, especially in R&D. Pomote industialization of agicultue.
stategies Impove macoeconomic egulation and ovesight m m Agicultual tade development plan Monitoing and ealy waning system Ceate a fai tade envionment m m Multilateal and bilateal negotiation Tade emedy
Thank you! Contact: 86-10-59194799 zuochangsheng@agi.gov.cn