Power Integrated Resource Plan Progress Update

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Power Integrated Resource Plan Progress Update Municipal Services Committee September 12, 2017 Item 4A

Overview Provide a Progress Report on the 2015 IRP Next Steps for the 2018 IRP 2

Power Integrated Resource Plan Progress Update PROGRESS REPORT ON THE 2015 IRP 3

2015 IRP Update Recommendation 2015 IRP Goal Status Renewable Energy: RPS Coal Power Displacement Upgrades to Existing Generation New Local Gas Fired Generation 40% by 2020; meet/exceed mandated level Eliminate coal from portfolio no later than 2027 Continue to maintain and upgrade Glenarm Unit ( GT ) 2 Replace Broadway power plant with comparable new combined cycle plant by 2015 4 On track; Expect 32.5% for 2017; Expect to meet 40% by 2020 Additional procurement ongoing IPP coal facility will convert to a natural gas facility as early as 2025. Entered into a renewal agreement with IPP on 1/16/17 Feasibility study for GT 2 repairs is complete. Staff recommends repairing the unit. GT 5project came online December 2016 71 MW (gross) & 68.8 MW (net)

2015 IRP Update Recommendation 2015 IRP Goal Status GHG Emissions Reductions Energy Savings Additional Demand Response Renewable Energy: Local Solar Renewable Energy: Feed in Tariff for Renewable Resources Inside the City Reductions of at least 60% from 1990 levels by 2030 Reductions of 1% of annual net energy load Add 2.3 MW per year Community Solar Pilot Project by the end of 2016 5 MW by 2020; 10 MW by 2027 Establish Feed in Tariff by end of 2016 On track, with 39% reductions as of 2016 On track to meet reductions Project on hold, due to cost and implementation hurdles Project on hold, due to cost and implementation hurdles Project on hold, due to cost and implementation hurdles 5

Power Integrated Resource Plan Progress Update PROGRESS TO DATE 6

Adopted RPS 7

Retail Supply Mix Over Time 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Percent of Retail Sales Unspecified Nuclear Natural Gas 50% 40% 30% 70% 67% 65% 60% 61% 54% 56% 44% 52% 48% 34% 40% Large Hydro Coal 20% 10% 0% 2% 2% 8% 8% 9% 16% 24% 24% 27% 28% 29% 32% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Renewable 8

2016 Retail Supply Mix Percent of Retail Sales 7% 5% 12% 4% 40% Coal Renewable Hydro Gas Nuclear Other 32% 9

PWP s IPP Coal Energy Use IPP Generation Use (GWh) 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0-100 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Calendar Year Wholesale Sales T/D Losses Retail Sales Reduction Path 10

PWP GHG Emissions CO2e Metric Tons (000 s) CO2e, Metric Tons (X 1,000) 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 - Net Market Purchases Magnolia Gen Imports Local Generation 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Calendar Year 11

Cumulative Energy Savings (MWh) 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 Codes & Stds Behavioral Programs Efficiency Programs Goal 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 projected 12

Cumulative Solar Capacity (kw) Annual PV Capacity Installed Cumulative PV Capacity 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Prior to PSI Non Residential Residential Cumulative 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 13

Power Integrated Resource Plan Progress Update 2018 IRP 14

2018 IRP - Scope SB 350 Compliance Establish Balance of Economic, Reliability, Operational and Environmental Factors Load Forecast, Energy Efficiency and Demand Management Coal Replacement Options and Timing Renewable Resource Goals and Options Local and Distributed Generation Options 15

2018 IRP- SB 350 Compliance IRP must be approved by City Council before 1/1/2019 Update due every 5 years Time Horizon: 11 years (2018-2030) Documents Due by 1/1/2019 > IRP Report Show compliance towards/ methodology to comply» 50% RPS, 40% GHG Reduction by 2030» Address Diverse Procurement of Resources > 4 Tables > Supporting Documentation 16

2018 IRP Tentative Schedule MILESTONE TIMING PWP 2018 IRP KICKOFF MEETING SEPTEMBER 2017 2018 IRP VENDOR SELECTION FALL 2017/EARLY WINTER 2018 FORM COMMUNITY STAKEHOLDER GROUP FALL 2017/ EARLY WINTER 2018 COMMUNITY STATEKHOLDER GROUP MEETINGS WINTER/ EARLY SPRING 2018 PUBLIC MEETINGS SPRING/SUMMER 2018 IRP DRAFT OUTLINE SPRING 2018 IRP COMPLETE FALL 2018 FINAL IRP PRESENTATION TO EAC, MSC AND CITY COUNCIL NOV/DEC 2018 17

Power Integrated Resource Plan Progress Update THE END 18