maritime networks, port and hinterland future challenges Gordon Wilmsmeier Infrastructure Services Unit (ISU), Natural Resources and Infrastructure Division (NRID) UN-ECLAC, Santiago, Chile International Transport Forum 2015 Transport Outlook Session May, 2015
Lines of fracture, inversions, splits, rifts: there is, as it were a line beyond which, for every expanding system every system which, by dint of exponential growth, passes beyond its own end a catastrophe looms. (Baudrillard, 2005: 191) Wilmsmeier 2011
how is China s meat consumption related to the future challenges in the maritime and port sector?
changes and challenges geography of trade what are the repercussions and effects on shipping, ports and hinterland? industry concentration
peripherality competitiveness regional challenges and global repercussions network evolution market structure and competition centrality
star-shaped network structure, top 100 Liner Shipping Bilateral Connectivity Indices (LSBCI) Source: Author based on LSBCI data
star-shaped network structure, top 250 LSBCIs Source: Author based on LSBCI data
20,000 evolution of vessel sizes on global main routes, 2000-2015 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000,0 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 20002001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Asia - Europe max Asia - Europe avg NA - Europe max NA - Europe avg WCNA - Asia max WCNA - Asia avg Source: Wilmsmeier, based on CompairData, Lloyds List and Marine Traffic various years
20,000 evolution of vessel sizes on global secondary routes, 2000-2015 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000,0 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 20002001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Asia - Europe max Asia - Europe avg ECSA - Asia max ECSA - Asia avg WCSA - Europe max WCSA - Europe avg Source: Wilmsmeier, based on CompairData, Lloyds List and Marine Traffic various years
Tonnage: Length: Beam: Capacity: 197,362 DWT 395.4 m (1,297 ft) 59 m (194 ft) 19,224 TEU what is the effect on infrastructure and hinterland?
port hinterland impacts 1 9612 144 km for comparison: Suez Canal: 164 km Panama Canal: 77km Golden Gate Bridge: 2.7 km (53x)
port development rail infrastructure competitiveness road infrastructure port-hinterland integration logistics strategies
emerging issues to face future challenges integration in logistics chains strategies of market players sustainable and systemic vision of maritime, port and hinterland development proactive and integrated policies and regulatory frameworks
logistics strategy and planning infrastructure, transport and logistics, are mutually dependent and therefore produce complex issues require holistic analysis and integrated solutions. globalized and competitive markets, require continued improvements in the quality of the products and price, hence the importance of logistics planning. logistics strategies and planning in particular, often is still absent from public policy most countries still develop transport policies focus in one mode and not in terms of the overall competitiveness, efficiency and applying sustainability criteria very few countries monitor their progress and advances in logistics performance
main challenges to align the conception, design, implementation and monitoring of policies related to infrastructure and services to maximize their impact on development, requiring the review of its policies for infrastructure services to improve the policies related to infrastructure and logistics services to maximize their impact on development to integrate sustainability principles in current an future policies and strategies
many issues are about awareness, knowledge sharing, collaboration and cooperation the need to understand the why s and how s to make the right policy decisions and to shape the future of freight and logistics strategies
questions? contact: Gordon Wilmsmeier gordon.wilmsmeier@cepal.org www.cepal.org/drni Infrastructure Services Unit (ISU) Natural Resources and Infrastructure Division