United s Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service Small Grains 4 Summary September 4 ISSN: 94962X
All wheat production totaled 2.04 billion bushels in 4, down 5 percent from the revised 3 total. Area harvested for grain totaled 46.5 million acres, up 3 percent from the previous year. The United s yield is estimated at 43. bushels per acre, down 3.3 bushels from the previous year. The levels of production and changes from 3 by type are winter wheat,.3 billion bushels, down percent; other spring wheat, million bushels, up 2 percent; and Durum wheat, 57. million bushels, down 2 percent. Oat production is estimated at 70.5 million bushels, up 9 percent from the revised 3 total but represents the fourth lowest production on record. Yield is estimated at 67. bushels per acre, up 3.7 bushels from the previous year. Harvested area, at.04 million acres, is 3 percent above last year. This is the third lowest acreage harvested for grain on record. Barley production is estimated at 0 million bushels, down 7 percent from the revised 3 total. Average yield per acre, at 73.4 bushels, is up 2. bushels from the previous year and represents a record high for the United s. Producers seeded 2.9 million acres in 4, down 6 percent from last year. Harvested area, at 2.46 million acres, is down 9 percent from 3. This report was approved on September 30, 4. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson James M. Harris Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4) 3
Contents Oat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24... 6 Barley Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24... All Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24... Winter Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24... 2 Other Spring Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24... 4 Durum Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24... Wheat Production by Class United s: 24... Winter Wheat Production Distribution by Class s: 3 and 4... 6 Other Spring Wheat (excluding Durum) Production Distribution by Class s: 3 and 4... 7 Winter Wheat Heads per Square Foot Selected s: 4... Rye Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24... 9 Small Grain Annual Summary Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units United s: 34... Small Grain Annual Summary Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units United s: 34... Crop Comments... 2 Statistical Methodology... 23 Information Contacts... 24 4 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
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Oat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Area planted Area harvested 2 3 4 2 3 4 (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 2 230 55 70 30 30 5 0 55 50 70 40 2 50 2 45 70 35 45 5 7 6 5 5 30 7 2 9 55 Maine... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 29 50 90 45 70 40 0 70 2 50 240 30 50 0 35 2 50 32 50 230 45 90 55 33 235 55 2 35 35 50 3 46 26 30 5 4 22 46 3 35 3 40 3 6 40 7 39 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 35 2 500 30 2 30 30 95 2 450 40 5 3 30 90 2 0 450 5 30 9 65 50 3 4 6 30 6 7 3 50 9 40 5 2 5 5 45 3 3 5 40 7 United s... 2,7 2,90 2,723,045,009,039 See footnote(s) at end of table. continued 6 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Oat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 (continued) Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Yield Production 2 3 4 2 3 4 (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 55.0 0.0 90.0 70.0 53.0 76.0 70.0 33.0.0 73.0 0.0.0 73.0 69.0 7.0 66.0 42.0 90.0.0.0 54.0 9.0 0.0 74.0 64.0 56.0 5 2,0 4,0 9,5 350 3,770 990,0 5,0 70,00,095,7 7 3,9 40 9 7,000 540,00,365 2,000 740 3,5 40 Maine... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio....0 52.0 45.0.0 56.0 67.0 53.0 54.0 67.0 70.0 70.0 69.0 0.0 67.0 73.0, 2,,370 46,026 3,0 9 6, 2,576,742, 5,95 742,,6 3,02 9,370,5 2,70 2,7 7, 45,040,0 2,5,39,395 2,457 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 45.0 95.0 6.0 54.0 6.0 76.0.0 2.0.0 36.0 3.0.0 59.0 77.0 46.0 70.0 6.0 3.0 5.0 5.0 93.0 3.0 70.0 7.0 70.0 55.0 450,05 3,965 3,400 3,6 22 300 492 7,00 26 266,300 3, 53 9,240,40 3 40 340 6, 570 30,530 3,40 6 9,300,7 2 234 350,60 35 United s... 6.3 64. 67. 64,024 64,642 70,4 Includes area planted in preceding fall. Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4) 7
Barley Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 Arizona... California... Colorado... Delaware... Idaho... Kansas... Maine... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Area planted Area harvested 2 3 4 2 3 4 (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 4 5 3 6 7 95 63 43 650 7 90 36 0 57 4 5 6 3 70 47 0 55 34 590 7 6 40 9 69 42 5 33 6 7 52 9 32 54 3 5 2 45 7 Montana... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 900 23,0 56 65 34 44 65 5 33 990 9 7 63 37 40 72 5 33 5 9 2 6 40 70 2 32 56 26 0 790 7,0 53 53 22 26 37 30 4 7 50 9 30 44 95 6 6 7 540 30 50 7 2 5 6 63 United s... 3,637 3,52 2,9 3,244 3,040 2,45 See footnote(s) at end of table. continued Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Barley Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 (continued) Arizona... California... Colorado... Delaware... Idaho... Kansas... Maine... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Yield Production 2 3 4 2 3 4 (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 5.0 55.0 23.0 4.0 9.0 59.0.0 2.0 4.0.0.0 33.0 7.0 93.0 47.0 53.0 5.0 52.0 69.0.0 73.0 26.0 6.0 95.0 35.0 6.0 77.0 53.0 52.0 4,935 4,400 6,765 2,56 53,690 43 9 3,20 432 5,700,42 3,0 7,74 2,574 57,6 57 90 4,4 46 5, 4,000, 6,04 2,666 4,9 350 6 3,465 37 3, Montana... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 53.0 47.0 6.0 72.0 6.0 36.0 0.0 2.0 72.0 44.0 9.0 52.0 52.0 67.0 64.0 70.0 6.0 54.0 7.0 2.0 72.0 9.0 59.0 47.0 7.0 69.0 50.0 7.0 52.0 6.0 79.0.0 47.0 7.0 4,70 376,07 6,6 3,6 3,4 792 2,00 3,034 2,0 6 5,340 43, 46 93 46,00 3,500 4,00,026 2,340 3, 4,040 74 6,052 45,7 376,065 37,2,500 3,550 4,7 2,22 6,300 2 6,74 United s... 67.9 7.3 73.4 2,24 26,745 0,427 Includes area planted in preceding fall. Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4) 9
All Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Area planted Area harvested 2 3 4 2 3 4 (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 2 550 0 2,363 5 290,33 6 3 7 60 690 2,3 5 430,32 0 5 465 495 2,9 0 300,27 740 90 2 450 445 2,2 0 230,3 645 4 6 394,639 7 9 3,26 40 2 79 395 2 2,35 230,96 670 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 350 9,400 50 3 570,390 370 790 4 30 9,500 700 265 345 6,227 400,00 390 26 9,0 630 340 570,262 230 0 300 3 9,000 470 2 2 540,347 345 690 435 2,450 6 5 2 590,4 35 95 335,00 5 0 0 45,22 2 740 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... 5,00,30 26 33 450 30 7,40 500 5,400 5,400,470 3 34 440 990 6,5 6 5,0 5,95,550 2 33 30 30 7,9 6 5,300 5,6,300 3 27 90 5 0 7,7 450 4,300 5,65,40 29 9 6,0 640 3,400 5,6,450 5 95 770 7,565 545 2,00 Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 5 65 235 2,405 4 5,700 5 20 2,2 265 0 0 5 20 2,494 640 6,300 3 335 2,2 9 3 0 30 5 230 2,54 530 6,000 30 290 2,3 295 40 7 45 2 2,235 340 3,000 37 240 2, 4 245 6 5 265,39 5 2,350 24 290 2, 7 265 0 2 2,364 4 2,0 7 2 2,0 7 0 United s... 55,666 56,236 56,22 4,92 45,332 46,476 See footnote(s) at end of table. continued Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
All Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 (continued) Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Yield Production 2 3 4 2 3 4 (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 59.0 93.9 55.0 9. 34.3 74.0 4.0 7.2 69.0 99.4 2.5.3 64.0 59.0.0 2.2 67.0 69.0.0 4. 3. 72.0 39.0 7.4 67.0,2,5 24,0 40,5 74,4 5,9 6,270 9,006 40,635 9,665,34 37, 32,500 4,4 4,992,2 2,0 3,592 56,20,5,692 24,5,0 9,2 5,400 390,270 93,77 44,90 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 67.0 53.0 42.0 6.0 76.0 56.9 73.0 52.0 3.0.0 5.0 67.0.0 56.7 5.0 76.0 2.0 7.0 70.0 74.0 54. 5.0 5.0, 69 37,000 29,40 3,4 4,20 4,040 76,705 9,665 39,330 3,5,092 32, 45,0 4,790 7,4 44,0 67,2 22,330 56,45,4 735 246,400 36,2 9,300 7,500 35,90 66,46 2,470 42,9 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... 34. 4.0.9 56.0 27.0 43.7 69.0 36.0 39.0 35.0 7.0 54.0 44.0 6.0 45.4 70.0 3.0 37.7 5.0 53.0 2.0 5.0 46.5 74.0 7.0 95,590 53,300 97,52 2,430 5,355 42,0 339,2 3,050 4,00,635 39,900,305,566 4,400 7, 52,7 273,343 44,00 5,400 23,240 7,050,050,3 2,940 5,95 44,6 35,970 40,330 47,0 Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 65.6 53.0 45. 32.0 45.4 67.3.0.0 62. 6.0 54.0 42.2 7.0 29.0 44.2 66.9 52.0 5.0 24.0 54.3 52.0 55.5 66.0 30.0 50.3 6.0 4.2 64.0 3.0 57,576 9,4,6 2,435 2,4 96,000 6,224,0 46,345 2,3 3,000 53,904,540 4,3 77,55 40, 6,0 5,44 7,90 45,530 364,370 2,0 44,444 9,0,440 3,2 3,350 67,500 5,2 7,60,4 44 6,0 4,0 United s... 46.3 47. 43. 2,266,027 2,34,979 2,035,373 Includes area planted in preceding fall. Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Winter Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Area planted Area harvested 2 3 4 2 3 4 (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 2 550 6 2,350 5 290 70 6 3 2 60 6 2,300 5 430 70 0 5 465 4 2,0 0 300 70 740 90 450 3 2,70 0 230 740 645 6 345,630 7 9 3 740 40 2 7 395 0 2,350 230 730 670 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 350 9,400 50 3 570 40 370 790 4 30 9,500 700 265 345 6 27 400,00 390 26 9,0 630 340 570 42 230 0 300 3 9,000 470 2 2 540 37 345 690 435 2,450 6 5 2 590 24 35 95 335,00 5 0 0 45 32 2 740 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... 2,300,30 33 450 30 0 500 5,400 2,000,470 23 34 440 990 2 6 5,0 2,500,550 33 30 30 70 6 5,300 2,70,300 27 90 5 0 730 450 4,300,900,40 2 29 9 0 640 3,400 2,240,450 9 5 95 770 555 545 2,00 Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 790 65 235,3 4 5,700 40 20,700 265 0 790 5 20,300 640 6,300 335,700 9 3 0 0 5 230,2 530 6,000 290,700 295 40 45 2,2 340 3,000 24 240,670 4 245 70 5 265 670 5 2,350 290,670 7 265 740 0 2,00 4 2,0 9 2,640 7 0 United s... 4,224 43,230 42,399 34,734 32,650 32,304 See footnote(s) at end of table. continued 2 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Winter Wheat Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 (continued) Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Yield Production 2 3 4 2 3 4 (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 59.0 0.0 55.0 5.0 34.0 74.0 4.0 0.0 69.0 0.0 0.0.0 64.0 59.0.0 6.0 67.0 69.0.0 0.0 3.0 72.0 39.0 0.0 67.0,2 640 24,0 26,350 73,70 5,9 6,270 59,0 40,635 9,665 00 37, 27,0 40,0 4,992,2 2,0 63,640 56,20,5 700 24,5 4,400 9,300 5,400 390,270 5,400 44,90 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 67.0 53.0 42.0 6.0 76.0 55.0 73.0 52.0 3.0.0 5.0 67.0.0 43.0 5.0 76.0 2.0 7.0 70.0 74.0 5.0 5.0, 69 37,000 29,40 3,4 4,20 4,040 2,035 9,665 39,330 3,5,092 32, 45,0 4,790 7,4 44,0,032 22,330 56,45,4 735 246,400 36,2 9,300 7,500 35,90,56 2,470 42,9 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... 39.0 4.0 77.0 56.0 27.0 55.0 69.0 36.0 43.0 35.0 90.0 54.0 44.0 6.0 43.0 70.0 3.0 4.0.0 53.0 2.0 5.0 74.0 7.0 4,630 53,300 47,52 2,430 5,355 42,0 40,0 3,050 4,00,700 39,900,00,566 4,400 7, 52,7,0 44,00 5,400 9,40 7,050 990,3 2,940 5,95 44,6 27,95 40,330 47,0 Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 66.0 53.0 50.0 32.0 46.0 7.0.0.0 6.0 54.0 39.0 7.0 29.0 44.0 69.0 52.0 5.0 24.0 55.0 52.0 55.0 66.0 30.0 50.0 6.0 52.0 64.0 3.0 5, 9,4,6,500 2,4 96,000 5,704,0,570 2,3 3,000 4,3,540 4,3 26,30 40, 6,0 4,40 7,90,230 364,370 2,0 40,700 9,0,440 59,400 3,350 67,500 5,450 7,60 5,20 44 6,0 4,0 United s... 47.3 47.3 42.6,64,272,542,902,377,526 Includes area planted in preceding fall. Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4) 3
Other Spring Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 Colorado... Idaho... Minnesota... Montana... Nevada... North Dakota... Oregon... South Dakota... Utah... Washington... Area planted Area harvested 2 3 4 2 3 4 (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 3 5,350 2,950 6 5,0 95,00 5 530,0 2,950 5, 90,90 5 9 40,2 3,050 6 6,0 0,300 6 2 500,3 2,900 2 5,700 93,0 3 505 9 5, 2,30 3 5,0,65 4 505 455,0 2,990 6,90 7,20 6 United s... Colorado... Idaho... Minnesota... Montana... Nevada... North Dakota... Oregon... South Dakota... Utah... Washington... 2,29 Yield,6 3,0 2,055 Production,344 2 3 4 2 3 4 (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 9.0 76.0 33.0 70.0 45.0 4.0 40.0 55.0 2.0 77.0 37.0.0 46.5 44.0 46.0.0 64.0 76.0 55.0 36.0.0 47.5 4.0 56.0 54.0 3.0,06 3,000 74,670 95,700 40 6,500 5,766 4, 5 27,7 73 39,270 66, 4,7 2 235,290 5,544 5,2 644 30,300 2,00 52 34,50 64,900 7,640 294,0 3,744 7,60 432 23,0 United s... 45.0 47. 46.9 54,959 534, 0,3 4 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Durum Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 Arizona... California... Idaho... Montana... North Dakota... South Dakota... Area planted Area harvested 2 3 4 2 3 4 (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 5 40 3 550,340 5 70 450 790 4 73 35 435 40 4 4 35 3 545,330 5 74 49 435 765 4 72 35 430 4 United s... Arizona... California... Idaho... Montana... North Dakota... South Dakota... 2,3 Yield,400,39 2,32 Production,33 2 3 4 2 3 4 (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 95.0 5.0 2.0 32.0 23.0 2.0.0 35.0 3.5 42.0.0 5.0 67.0 32.0 37.5 45.0 9,0 4, 06,2 42,5 7,54 4,900 62,2 29,453 6,372 7,992 3,6 737 3,7 30,0 0 United s... 3. 43.3 4.6 2,796 57,976 57,094 Wheat Production by Class United s: 24 [Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both surveys and administrative data] Crop 2 3 4 Winter Hard red... Soft red... Hard white... Soft white... (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels),000,005 49,0 3,7,295 747,373 56,4,0 2,9 737,937 455,297,490 72,02 Spring Hard red... Hard white... Soft white... Durum... 504,5,465 2,974 2,796 490,629,5 32,947 57,976 56,,943 30,552 57,094 Total... 2,266,027 2,34,979 2,035,373 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Wheat Class Percentage Estimates The following percentages are the basis for the United s wheat production by class estimates each year. These estimates are based on the latest varietal or class survey data available. These endofseason percentages will be used during the forecast season. However, if an unusual situation significantly distorts a s usual distribution, then updated percentages will be used to forecast the production by class. Winter Wheat Production Distribution by Class s: 3 and 4 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Hard red Soft red Hard white Soft white 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 4 (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) 9 95 2 56 9 95 4 22 99 96 40 5 43 7 5 3 79 4 7 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 56 9 2 56 97 99 2 44 6 9 4 99 69 9 99 2 2 2 32 3 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... 99 3 99 99 3 99 7 9 Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... Represents zero. 5 94 74 2 3 2 99 6 94 3 2 3 99 9 6 97 97 9 6 9 97 95 26 94 7 6 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Other Spring Wheat (excluding Durum) Production Distribution by Class s: 3 and 4 Colorado... Idaho... Minnesota... Montana... Nevada... North Dakota... Oregon... South Dakota... Utah... Washington... Represents zero. Hard red Hard white Soft white 3 4 3 4 3 4 (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) 57 45 37 59 42 69 40 32 49 32 27 23 4 4 23 22 5 5 6 32 62 37 54 3 67 46 63 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4) 7
Winter Wheat Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in winter wheat estimating s during 4. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields were visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Winter Wheat Heads per Square Foot Selected s: 4 2 3 4 Colorado July... August... Final... (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) 47.3 4.6 4.6 45.3 45.0 45.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 32. 3.9 3.9 42.4 43.2 43.4 Illinois July... August... Final... 44.5 44.5 44.5.0.. 56.5 56.5 56.5.9 6.2 6.2 63.5 63.7 63.7 Kansas July... August... Final... 44.6 44.6 44.6 42.2 42.2 42.2 46.5 46.7 46.7 50.4 50.4 50.4 36.4 36.4 36.4 Missouri July... August... Final... 39. 39.2 39.2 50.7 4.9 4.9 49.9 49.9 49.9 54.6 55. 55. 5.2 50.9 50.9 Montana July... August... Final... 44.7 44.7 45.0 44.3 46.7 46.9 44. 44.7 45.0 43.7 45. 45. 43.4 44.2 44.2 Nebraska July... August... Final... 47. 4. 4. 54.3 54.6 54.6 50.7 50.7 50.7 3.5 3. 3. 4.2 4.2 4.2 Ohio July... August... Final... 62. 62. 62. 56. 56.2 56.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 53.0 54.0 54.0 5. 5.4 5.4 Oklahoma July... August... Final... 36.5 36.5 36.5 37.7 37.7 37.7 47.7 47.7 47.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 34.9 34.9 34.9 Texas July... August... Final... 35.9 35.9 35.9 32.7 32. 32.9 34.3 34.3 34.3 33.3 33.3 33.0 32. 32. 33. Washington July... August... Final... 40.2 39.2 39.2 4.3 4.5 4.4 37.3 36.6 36.9 3.0 3.6 3.6 32.3 32. 32.3 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Rye Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production s and United s: 24 Georgia... Oklahoma... Area planted Area harvested 2 3 4 2 3 4 (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 230 0 90 2 70 240 40 0 55 Other s 2...,00,024 63 3 United s... Georgia... Oklahoma...,300 Yield,45,434 24 Production 2 3 4 2 3 4 (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 22.0 2.0 27.0.0 27.0 9.0 550,2 27,00,0 540 495 Other s 2... 3.5 3.3 33.6 5,34 4,946 6,4 United s... 2.0 27.4 Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2 Other s include Illinois, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, and Wisconsin. 27.9 6,944 7,626 7,9 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4) 9
Small Grain Annual Summary Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units United s: 34 Crop Barley... Oats... Rye... Wheat, all... Winter... Durum... Other spring... Crop Barley... Oats... Rye... Wheat, all... Winter... Durum... Other spring... Area planted Area harvested 3 4 3 4 (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 3,52 2,90,45 56,236 43,230,400,6 Yield per acre 2,9 2,723,434 56,22 42,399,39 3,0 3,040,009 27 45,332 32,650,33,344 Production 3 4 3 4 (bushels) (bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 7.3 64. 27.4 47. 47.3 43.3 47. 73.4 67. 27.9 43. 42.6 4.6 46.9 26,745 64,642 7,626 2,34,979,542,902 57,976 534, 2,45,039 46,476 32,304,372 2,00 0,427 70,4 7,9 2,035,373,377,526 57,094 0,3 Small Grain Annual Summary Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units United s: 34 Crop Barley... Oats... Rye... Wheat, all... Winter... Durum... Other spring... Crop Barley... Oats... Rye... Wheat, all... Winter... Durum... Other spring... Area planted Area harvested 3 4 3 4 (hectares) (hectares) (hectares) (hectares),427,0,5,90 57,2 22,,0 7,494,0 566,570 4,696,30 Yield per hectare,3,950,,970 50,330 22,995,300 7,,450 565,7 5,27,090,230,2 40,330 2,500,345,4 3,23,30 54,40 4,590,00 Production 3 4 3 4 (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) 3.9 2..72 3. 3. 2.74 3.7 3.95 2.43. 2.95 2.7 2.0 3.6 4,79,070 93,20 93,7 5,4,6 4,990,9,577,50 4,535,50 994,730 4,470 4,4,0,370 3,073, 555,230 5,0,030 3,92,330,022,7 2,6 55,393,70 37,490,,553,40 6,349, Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Crop Comments Oats: The 4 production is estimated at 70.5 million bushels, up 9 percent from the revised 3 total but represents the fourth lowest production on record. Yield is estimated at 67. bushels per acre, up 3.7 bushels from the previous year. Harvested area, at.04 million acres, is 3 percent above last year. This is the third lowest acreage harvested for grain on record. Record low acres were harvested in California, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, and Utah. Favorable growing conditions in the Northern Great Plains and the Ohio Valley promoted significant yield increases compared with 3. Drought conditions in Texas led to a large decline in yield from last year. Record high yields are estimated in Alabama, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Virginia. During early spring, planting and emergence of the oat crop was behind the normal pace. By April 3, producers Nationwide had sown 9 percent of this year s oat crop, 29 percentage points behind last year and 3 percentage points behind the 5year average. Despite more favorable conditions during the middle of the April, which led to planting progress advancing 22 percentage points in Iowa and 39 percentage points in Nebraska during the week ending April, National progress remained well behind normal by the end of April. Forty percent of this year s oat crop was seeded by May 4, sixteen percentage points behind last year and 3 percentage points behind the 5year average. Planting progress was furthest behind in the upper Midwest, 45 percentage points behind the 5year average in Minnesota and 4 percentage points behind normal in Wisconsin. Throughout June, crop development remained behind normal in most major oatproducing s. As of June 29, sixtynine percent of the oat acreage was headed, 4 percentage points behind the 5year average. By the beginning of August, 40 percent of the oat acreage was harvested, 9 percentage points behind the normal pace. By August 3, eighty percent of the oat acreage was harvested, 3 percentage points behind the 5year average. Barley: Production is estimated at 0 million bushels, down 7 percent from the revised 3 total. Average yield per acre, at 73.4 bushels, is up 2. bushels from the previous year and represents a record high for the United s. Producers seeded 2.9 million acres in 4, down 6 percent from last year. Harvested area, at 2.46 million acres, is down 9 percent from 3. Barley seeding was ahead of normal in Idaho by midapril, while poor field conditions delayed progress in Minnesota and North Dakota. By May 4, seeding Nationwide had advanced to 46 percent complete, 4 percentage points ahead of last year and 2 percentage points ahead of the 5year average. Barley seeding continued to advance ahead of the normal pace in Montana and the Pacific Northwest throughout May. By May, thirtyseven percent of the crop had emerged, 3 percentage points ahead of last year but 3 percentage points behind the fiveyear average. Nationwide, 93 percent of the barley crop was seeded by June, eleven percentage points ahead of last year and 4 percentage points ahead of the 5year average. By June 22, a majority of the crop had reached the heading stage in Idaho and Washington, while the crop had just begun heading in Minnesota and North Dakota. Seventeen percent of the Nation s barley crop was at or beyond the heading stage by June 22, slightly ahead of last year and 4 percentage points ahead of the 5year average. Overall, 6 percent of the barley crop was reported in good to excellent condition on June 29, equal to the same time in 3. Harvest had begun in the Pacific Northwest by the middle of the July. By August 3, twelve percent of the barley crop was harvested in Idaho, 34 percent was harvested in Oregon, and percent was harvested in Washington. In the middle of August, rain was increasing the level of disease and mold in many barley fields in Idaho, with barley sprouting in the heads decreasing the quality of the crop. By August 3, fiftyeight percent of the barley crop was harvested, percentage points behind last year and percentage points behind the 5year average. Barley rated in the good to excellent categories dropped 4 percentage points over the month of August, reported at 52 percent on August 3. By September 4, ninetyone percent of the barley crop was harvested, 4 percentage points behind last year but slightly ahead of the 5year average. Winter wheat: Winter wheat production for 4 totaled.3 billion bushels, down percent from the revised 3 total. The United s yield, at 42.6 bushels per acre, is down 4.7 bushels from 3. Area harvested for grain is estimated at 32.3 million acres, down percent from the previous year. Planted acres were up from 3 in most of the major Hard Red Winter (HRW) growing s. Particularly large acreage increases occurred in Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, and North Dakota. Conversely, Oklahoma and Texas had large decreases in planted acres from the previous year. Harvested acres were up across the HRW region, with large Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4) 2
increases in Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, and the Dakotas. A record high yield is estimated in Nebraska, South Dakota, and Wyoming. Nationally, HRW production totaled 73 million bushels, down percent from 3. In the Soft Red Winter (SRW) growing area, planted and harvested acreage decreases from 3 were experienced throughout the region. Record high yields were realized in Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. SRW production totaled 455 million bushels, down percent from 3. White winter production totaled 4 million bushels, down 9 percent from the previous year. Harvested acreage in the Pacific Northwest (Idaho, Oregon, and Washington) was below what was harvested in 3. Yields were also down from last year in all Pacific Northwest s. Other spring wheat: Production for 4 is estimated at million bushels, up 2 percent from the revised 3 total. Harvested area totaled 2. million acres, up 3 percent from last year. The United s yield is estimated at 46.9 bushels per acre, down slightly from last year. Of the total production, 56 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, up 4 percent from last year. Record high yields are estimated in the Dakotas. By May 4, producers had sown 26 percent of the spring wheat crop, 5 percentage points ahead of last year but percentage points behind the 5year average. Following the trend of other small grains, planting progress started the month well behind normal but caught up to the 5year average by the end of the month in most estimating s. Delays in planting progress were most evident in Minnesota and North Dakota, where producers were not able to make significant planting progress until midmonth. Nationally, producers had sown percent of the spring wheat crop by June, eight percentage points ahead of last year but equal to the 5year average. Fortyseven percent of the spring wheat was at or beyond the heading stage by July 6, six percentage points ahead of last year but equal to the 5year average. Spring wheat progress remained well ahead of normal in the Pacific Northwest but behind the 5year average pace in the Northern Great Plains. Thirtyeight percent of the spring wheat crop was harvested by August 3, twentythree percentage points behind last year and 27 percentage points behind the 5year average. At the end of the month, spring wheat harvest in Minnesota was nearly 3 weeks behind the 5year average. Durum wheat: Production for 4 is estimated at 57. million bushels, down 2 percent from the revised 3 total. Grain area harvested totaled.37 million acres, up 3 percent from the previous year. The United s yield is estimated at 4.6 bushels per acre, down.7 bushels from 3. Production in North Dakota, the largest Durumproducing, is up 4 percent from last year. A record high yield is estimated in South Dakota. Due to excessive moisture this season, crop development has progressed significantly behind normal in Montana and North Dakota, the two largest Durumproducing s. As a result, harvest progress in North Dakota and Montana as of August 3 was well behind last year and the 5year average. Rye: Production for 4 is estimated at 7.9 million bushels, down 6 percent from the revised 3 total. Harvested area totaled,000 acres, down,000 acres from 3. The United s yield, at 27.9 bushels per acre, is up 0.5 bushel from the previous year. Drier weather conditions in the Southern Great Plains and the Southeast led to decreases in harvested acres from a year earlier. 22 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
Statistical Methodology Survey procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted to gather information on small grain acreage, yield, and production. The objective yield survey was conducted in s that accounted for over percent of the 4 winter wheat production. Early in the growing season, farm operators were interviewed to seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. Throughout the growing season, counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were collected from these plots. The plots were revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads were clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator harvested the sample field, enumerators revisited the sample to obtain harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal interviewer. Approximately 66,000 producers were interviewed between August 24 and September 6 and asked questions pertaining to planted and harvested area as well as yield and production. Estimating Procedures: National and level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared with previous years. Each Regional Field Office submits an estimate and written analysis for their to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data, administrative data, and the analysis to prepare the estimates published in this report. Revision Policy: Estimates contained in this report may be revised in the Crop Production Annual Summary report published in January should new information become available. Previous year acreage, yield, and production estimates can be revised in the Small Grain Summary published the following year, if new information is available that would justify a change. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: The surveys used to make the acreage, yield, and production estimates contained in this report are subject to sampling and nonsampling type errors that are common to all surveys. Reliability of the objective yield and farmer survey must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are different. The objective yield indications are subject to sampling variability because all acres of winter wheat are not included in the sample. The farm operator survey indications are also subject to sampling variability because all operations with small grains are not included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the National level, is approximately.4 percent for winter wheat, 4.7 percent for Durum wheat, and 2.9 percent for other spring wheat. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of that survey estimates for production will be within plus or minus 2. percent for winter wheat, 9.4 percent for Durum wheat, and 5. percent for other spring wheat of the value that could be developed by averaging the estimates produced from all possible samples selected from the same population and surveyed using the same procedures. The relative standard errors for barley, oats and rye are 3.3, 3., and.7 percent, respectively. Survey indications are also subject to nonsampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4) 23
Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Email inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch... (2) 7227 Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section... (2) 7227 Brent Chittenden Oats, Rye, Wheat... (2) 706 Angie Considine Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum... (2) 944 Tony Dahlman Crop Weather, Barley... (2) 7762 Chris Hawthorn Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet... (2) 79526 James Johanson County Estimates, Hay... (2) 690533 Anthony Prillaman Peanuts, Rice... (2) 7227 Travis Thorson Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds... (2) 77369 24 Small Grains 4 Summary (September 4)
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USDA Data Users Meeting Monday, October, 4 Crowne Plaza ChicagoMetro Chicago, Illinois 66 32295000 The USDA s National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and the World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users Meeting, see the NASS homepage at http://www.nass.usda.gov/meeting/ or contact Rose Armstrong (NASS) at (2) 7396 or at rose.armstrong@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users Meeting precedes the Industry Outlook Conference that will be held at the same location on Tuesday, October 2, 4. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For registration details or additional information for the Industry Outlook Conference, see the conference webpage on the LMIC website: http://www.lmic.info/ioc/. Or call the Livestock Marketing Information Center (LMIC) at (303) 234.