Example of using detailed statistics: The case of poplar markets in EU Arvydas Lebedys FAO Forestry Officer (Statistics) Eurostat Forestry Statistics Working Group Meeting, Luxembourg, 16-17 November 2011 Introduction FAO Forestry Department unit hosting International Poplar Commission (IPC) approached FAO Forest Products Statistics Group to give a presentation about poplar markets in 2010. Two presentations were prepared. IPC (www.fao.org/forestry/ipc) is one of FAO technical statutory bodies on forestry, aims to promote the cultivation, conservation and utilization of poplars and willows. Established in 1947, the IPC comprises 37 member countries. It has had an important role in the development of national forest sectors, largely through the transfer of knowledge and breeding material. The IPC is the only forum that brings together managers, users and researchers of poplars and willows to discuss topics of common interest in a cross-disciplinary way. The IPC carries out its mandate by supporting research and management activities through six working parties: (1) harvesting and utilization; (2) diseases; (3) insect pests; (4) genetics, conservation and improvement; (5) production systems and (6) environmental applications.
Global areas of poplar 2007 World (1000 ha) China (1000 ha) % of global in China Natural forests 71,079 3,060 4 Planted forests 5,393 4,347 81 Agroforestry systems 2,630 2,500 95 79,102 9,907 13 Total FAO 2008: reports of IPC member countries Area of productive poplar plantations by region, 2007 Area in China is 4 times larger than in Europe 717 FAO 2008: reports of IPC member countries EU-27
Consumption of poplar (in roundwood equivalents): 7 EU countries FAO 2008: reports of IPC member countries; www.peupliersdefrance.org Poplar use (in roundwood equivalent) in selected European countries China: Ven.&Plywood = 49 M m³(r) Sawnwood = 3 M m³(r) Part.&Fibreboard = 18 M m³(r) Woodpulp = 9 M m³(r) FAO 2008: reports of IPC member countries; www.peupliersdefrance.org
Estimated proportion of poplar raw material in forest industry products (2007) Non-coniferous sawnwood Veneer & Plywood Particleboard & Fibreboard Woodpulp France 15% 70% n.a. n.a. Italy 10% 30% <5% 0% Spain 10% 50% <5% 0% Germany <5% 5% <1% 1% Romania 10% <5% <1% 15% Bulgaria 10% 30% 5% 0% Belgium 50% 100% <1% 10% Croatia 0% 100% 10% 10% China 10% 60% 30% 40% FAO 2008: reports of IPC member countries; www.peupliersdefrance.org Cleaning Eurostat s export statistics, (2008-2010) Only 3 monthly figures revised for Jan 2008-Aug2010 DS-016890-EU27 Trade Since 1995 By CN8 POPLAR LOGS EXPORT 1000 M3 REPORTER/PERIOD Jan. 2009 Feb. 2009 Mar. 2009 Apr. 2009 May. 2009 Jun. 2009 Jul. 2009 Aug. 2009 Sep. 2009 Oct. 2009 Nov. 2009 Dec. 2009 Jan. 2010 Feb. 2010 Mar. 2010 Apr. 2010 May. 2010 Jun. 2010 Jul. 2010 Aug. 2010 AUSTRIA 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 0 3 2 3 3 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 0 BELGIUM (and LUXBG -> 1998) 6 3 3 7 4 2 1 1 6 7 2 3 6 1 7 5 6 7 3 4 BULGARIA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 CYPRUS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CZECH REPUBLIC (CS->1992) 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 GERMANY (incl DD from 1991) 9 8 5 6 3 6 5 4 11 10 9 3 6 8 6 8 4 7 5 2 DENMARK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ESTONIA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SPAIN 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 FINLAND 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 FRANCE 12 17 20 21 21 26 23 17 24 22 21 17 19 19 28 30 25 30 27 11 UNITED KINGDOM 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREECE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HUNGARY 6 8 9 4 8 6 7 7 10 12 11 6 10 12 12 7 6 5 6 4 IRELAND 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ITALY 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 LITHUANIA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LUXEMBOURG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LATVIA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MALTA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NETHERLANDS 3 4 2 3 2 2 1 3 1 4 2 4 3 4 2 5 2 7 2 2 POLAND 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PORTUGAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ROMANIA 0 1 2 0 3 6 11 2 1 3 4 1 3 1 2 3 3 3 2 2 SWEDEN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SLOVENIA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SLOVAKIA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total top exporters 42 44 45 44 43 50 50 34 56 60 52 39 51 48 61 60 48 60 48 25
1000 m³ Exports and imports of poplar logs in poplar producer EU countries Top importers and exporters of poplar logs in EU (2009) Importers Exporters
Trade flow of poplar logs & sawnwood in Central-West-South Europe Trends in poplar log prices in Europe
Summary This was just an example how it is possible to derive trends and conclusions about forest products by pulling together various international and national sources. This presentation would not be possible without having detailed 8-digit CM statistics in Comext. Perhaps Eurostat receive undeserved criticisms about their data quality, it provides a great amount of detailed raw data that can be tailored to user needs Future work and proposals FAO: International Poplar Commission meeting in India in 2012 (including poplar data collection before it) Workshop on JFSQ in China in late 2012 (target to realign officially reported roundwood removals statistics) Eurostat (proposals): Carrying out user survey would be useful to know who, how often, what for use your forestry statistics (e.g. FAO did in 1996, in 2005 and will repeat 2015) Consider changing Poplar to Aspen and poplar in the text of the following CN codes: 44039910 & 44079991
Thank you!