STATE TRANSPORTATION COMMISSION PUBLIC HEARING 2013 TRANSPORTATION PROGRAM UPDATE 2010 2011 2012 Jim Saylor, SEDA-COG RPO Amy Kessler, North Central RPO Tom Zilla, Centre County MPO Mark Murawski, Williamsport MPO (Lycoming County) PennDOT Engineering District 2-0 PennDOT Engineering District 3-0 MAKING CHOICES Altoona, PA August 11, 2011
REGIONAL MAP Square Miles 10,917 (24% of state) Population - 870,176 (7% of State) 79.7 people per square miles
REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION INFORMATION 4,204 state bridges (>8 feet) 836 local bridges (>20 feet) Local bridges (8-20 feet) Williamsport (101), North Central (276) 4 major interstates 465 Miles 797 miles of NHS highways 576 traffic signals 5 fixed route transit operators (ATA, CATA, DUFAST, LATS and RVTS) 24 airports (general aviation and commercial) 1,073 miles of rail 608 grade crossings
OUR COLLECTIVE FOCUS IS ON SYSTEM MAINTENANCE Core Highways Bridges Pavement cycles Safety Multi-modal investments Transit vehicles Rail facilities Aviation infrastructure Fully utilizing our resources Bridge preservation Department Force Work Retroactive reimbursement for local bridges Flexing funds to bridges Seal coating vs. paving Department Force Work (crack sealing, resurfacing, rehabilitation, bridge rehab, etc.)
State-owned bridges and locals greater than 20 feet UNPROGRAMMED ANNUAL BRIDGE GAP 100 97.2 Millions $ 50 0 62.3 23.1 20.9 27.4 27.7 3.4 4.9 SEDA-COG N.Central Centre Lycoming Total Needs Annual Program Total Needs based on Dec. 2010 Asset Mgmt calculation by county Annual Program based on 2013 TIP Financial Guidance (Federal & State bridge funding categories)
State-owned roadways only UNPROGRAMMED ANNUAL HIGHWAY GAP Millions $ 200 100 0 157.8 130.1 21.8 18.4 50.7 35 7.3 6.6 SEDA-COG N.Central Centre Lycoming Total Needs Annual Program Total Needs based on Dec. 2010 Asset Mgmt calculation by county Annual Program based on 2013 TIP Financial Guidance (NHS, STP, STA HGHWY, CMAQ, & ACT 44 categories)
PAVEMENT NETWORKS OUT OF CYCLE 3500 Non-Interstate State-owned Roadways 3000 355.5 2500 321.3 2000 Miles 1500 1000 2214.9 2523.9 Miles out of cycle Miles in cycle 500 64.1 490.5 107.8 642.4 0 Centre Lycoming North Central SEDA-COG Based on 2010 Performance Measures Annual Report -- by Planning Partner
PAVEMENT NETWORKS OUT OF CYCLE 200 Interstate Roadways 180 160 28.4 140 120 10 Miles 100 80 60 33.6 121 143.3 Miles out of cycle Miles in cycle 40 20 91.6 0 39 0 Centre Lycoming North Central SEDA-COG Based on 2010 Performance Measures Annual Report -- by Planning Partner
BRIDGE CONDITIONS BUILDING ON PREVIOUS IMPROVEMENTS 50% SD Bridge Rate 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% State SD 2008 State SD 2011 Local SD 2008 Local SD 2011 20% 15% 10% 5% Current National Local Rate Current National State Rate 0% Centre Lycoming North Central SEDA-COG National Structurally Deficient Bridge rate based on NBIS Inspection is currently 8% for Stateowned bridges and 15% for locally-owned Only depicts State-owned bridges and locals greater than 20 feet Based on 2010 Performance Measures Annual Report -- by Planning Partner
REGIONAL PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION RIDERSHIP 9.8 9.6 9.64 9.71 Millions of Riders 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.81 9.16 10.22% Gain 8.6 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Source: PennDOT Bureau of Public Transportation Annual Performance Report
REGIONAL PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION FLEET SIZE 380 370 7.31% Gain 367 Number of Vehicles 360 350 340 330 342 359 343 320 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Source: PennDOT Bureau of Public Transportation Annual Performance Report
FIXED ROUTE OPERATORS STATE CAPITAL FUNDING Millions of Dollars 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 5.27 2.66 1.77 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Source: PennDOT Bureau of Public Transportation Annual Performance Report
INCREASED COST OF DOING BUSINESS = LESS PROJECTS Inflation Indices 1987-2009 Average Increase Over 1987 base 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 Bid Price Index (BPI) Consumer Price Index (CPI) Construction Cost Index (CCI) 3% Trend Line 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Calendar Year PA State Transportation Advisory Committee (2010). Transportation Funding Study: Final Report. 31.
AN EVER GROWING LIST OF TRANSPORTATION NEEDS Statewide needs PA State Transportation Advisory Committee (2010). Transportation Funding Study: Final Report. 98.
DECLINING TRANSPORTATION REVENUES 45 40 35 30 Estimation of Federal Highway and Transit Obligations Through 2017 Based on Current Trust Fund Revenues Highway Obligations $42.0 $42.5 $42.2 $42.8 Transit Obligations $33.5 $34.0 $34.7 $35.4 ($ billions) 25 20 15 10 $10.4 $11.9 $11.9 $12.0 $12.8 $7.9 $7.9 $8.0 $8.6 5 $12.2 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jack Basso (2011) AASHTO Transportation for America Congressional Briefing. www.transportation.org/sites/aashto/docs/basso-2011-02-23.pdf PDF file
FINANCIAL CRISIS AND FISCAL REALITIES A band-aid approach to maintenance is not sustainable! Influx of ARRA Funds Started to make a dent in SD Bridges with ARRA and bridge bonding revenue Increased maintenance demands and loss of funds leads to uncertainty in the very near future like walking off a cliff 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
MAKING THE TOUGH CHOICES NOW WHAT DO WE CUT? Reduction in TIP Funding 2011 to 2013 Organization 2011-2014 TIP $ 2013-2016 TIP $ % Reduction North Central RPO $207,834,000 $166,040,000-21% Centre County MPO $53,668,000 $46,413,000-14% SEDA-COG RPO $218,174,000 $190,728,000-13% Williamsport MPO $56,668,000 $49,440,000-13% Financial Assumptions Zero percent growth in federal highway and bridge funding and in federal transit funding Declining revenues, the discontinuation of the bridge bonding program, and debt service Annual Inflation factor of 3%
MAKING TOUGH CHOICES NOW Actual Spending for TIP 100% TIP Spending Statewide 90% 80% 70% 60% Maintenance Projects ( % of the total program) 50% 40% 30% 20% Capacity Adding Projects ( % of the total program) 10% 0% 2001-2004 2003-2006 2005-08 2007-10 2009-12 2011-14
FINANCIAL CRISIS NOW AND FUTURE 2011: CURRENT FUNDING LEVELS Band-aid approach to holding the system together Line Item for Bridge Preservation Line Item for Local Bridges Use Bridge Assessment Tool proper treatment at proper time i.e. Bridge painting Take care of the immediate needs Local Bridge Asset inventory More Seal Coat Treatments 2013: DECLINING FUNDING LEVELS Uncertainty ahead What bridges do we have to close vs replace? Delayed maintenance on already out of cycle pavement Increased congestion due to lack of new mitigation projects Sustain the number of structurally deficient bridges to national average (with exception of District 3 who is already below National Average) Safety Concerns
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? Public Transportation Options CATACOMMUTE RIDESHARE PROGRAM NEW REGIONAL TRANSIT SERVICE SEDA-COG TRANSIT NEEDS STUDY CCMPO/NORTH CENTRAL MOSHANNON VALLEY PARK AND RIDE STUDY + ATA/CATA CLEARFIELD TO STATE COLLEGE REGIONAL TRANSIT SERVICE
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? Centre MPO SYSTEM MAINTENANCE INVESTING IN FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC GROWTH Vehicle Storage + CATA Operations and Maintenance Facility Expanison Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Fuel Tank Replacement Transit Vehicle Replacement
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? Centre MPO SYSTEM MAINTENANCE INVESTING IN FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC GROWTH Old Route 322 Repaving + North Atherton Street Signal Coordination/ITS Project Bridge Rehabilitation in Port Matilda Site of Future Route 322 Safety Improvements
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? Centre MPO SYSTEM MAINTENANCE INVESTING IN FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC GROWTH Route 350 Truck Pull-Off + I-99 Exit 71 - Waddle Road Interchange Reconstruction Route 26 Truck Escape Ramp Bicycle/Pedestrian System Improvements
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? North Central RPO SYSTEM MAINTENANCE INVESTING IN FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC GROWTH State & Local Bridge Maintenance/Replacements + SR 219/879 Intersection Grampian Borough Roadway Maintenance Downtown Congestion relief
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? North Central RPO SAFETY & SYSTEM MAINTENANCE INVESTING IN FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC GROWTH SR 120/SR 155 Intersection Safety Project + DuFAST Transit Bus Shelter and Pedestrian Improvements SR 948/66 Safety Improvement DuBois Intermodal Facility Oil & Gas Piping
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? SEDA-COG RPO SYSTEM MAINTENANCE INVESTING IN FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC GROWTH +
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? Williamsport MPO SYSTEM MAINTENANCE INVESTING IN FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC GROWTH I-180/US 15/US 220 Interchange Major Highway Restoration + Bulk Transfer Facility Newberry Yard New DuBoistown Bridge Susquehanna Riverwalk
WHAT IS THE RIGHT MIX OF PROJECTS? Williamsport MPO SAFETY INVESTING IN FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC GROWTH US 15 Median Barrier + Airport Runway Extension SR 42 & 118 Intersection Safety Improvement Trade and Transit Centre
PROJECTS OF REGIONAL SIGNIFICANCE Completion of Appalachian Development Highway System Route 322 Corridor O-1 I-99/I-80 High Speed Interchange (Centre County) Route 220 Corridor P (Complete I-99) Route 15 Corridor U-1 (New York) Route 15 Corridor P-1 Central Susquehanna Valley Transportation Project
IMPACT OF MARCELLUS SHALE Status of Permits
LAND USE CONTROLS VARY WIDELY
IMPACT OF MARCELLUS SHALE Changes to the Area Aerial of multiple drill sites off a state route in Bradford County Year round 24/7 Drilling Drill site well burn off Water trucks used for drilling operations Local Impacts to Transportation Congestion, Safety Concerns, Heavy Hauling Permit Enforcement, Lack of Uniform Local Posting & Bonding Permit Issuances, the Sheer # of Trucks
IMPACT OF MARCELLUS SHALE Extraction Jobs Mining, Quarrying & Extraction Jobs between 2002-2009 - OnTheMap Application. Longitudinal-Employer Household Dynamics Program
2011 MARCELLUS ACTIVITY 245 Marcellus wells drilled in region Our region represents 25% of wells drilled in PA Permits issued for 358 more Marcellus wells Our region represents 29% of new well permits Within our region, Lycoming County has most activity with 326 wells drilled and 514 new well permits since 2008
IMPACT OF MARCELLUS SHALE AVIATION Williamsport Regional Airport 33% of total passenger enplanements at Williamsport Regional Airport now directly related to gas industry. US Airways now bringing in larger 50 seat planes. 17% increase in enplanements in last 6 months. Over 60% of corporate aircraft based at airport Fixed Base Operator attributed to shale companies. Airport Authority negotiating with Skywest for direct commercial air service between Williamsport and Houston - Chicago using 50 seat regional jet. Bradford Regional Airport 25% of total passenger enplanements at Bradford Regional Airport now directly related to oil and gas industry. DuBois Regional Airport 25% of total passenger enplanements at DuBois Regional Airport now directly related to oil and gas industry.
IMPACT OF MARCELLUS SHALE RAIL Lycoming Valley Railroad increase in short-line Marcellus rail freight o o o o o Frack sand, piping, drilling equipment are main items transported by rail to serve gas industry Increase in Marcellus Shale related carloads from 80 in 2008 to 6,000 in 2010 In 2011: 9,000 carloads are anticipated New rail sites are in short supply $10M TIGER 2 Grant approved by US DOT to construct 7 miles of new rail sidings in Lycoming, Union, Northumberland, Snyder, Centre and Blair Counties Newberry rail yard nearly fully occupied Frac Sand Newberry Yard DuBois Intermodal Facility, serviced by the Buffalo & Pittsburgh, is at full capacity DuBois Intermodal Facility Oil & Gas Piping
MARCELLUS SHALE UNFUNDED NEEDS More frequent traffic counts for the state and local system to better assess growth Assessment of stress on state and local transportation system with increase in traffic (examine pavement life cycle reductions; who pays for more maintenance???) Assessment of roadway network needs to support rail expansion Assessment of aviation system impacts Consistent inventory of locally owned transportation system Condition assessment of locally owned <20 span bridges. Administration costs to manage program Lycoming County is only county in PA with complete inventory and NBIS level inspections on all 101 small bridges with 45% of bridges structurally deficient What is overall financial impact of drilling on PennDOT/municipal budgets?
QUESTIONS? A hundred years after we are gone and forgotten, those who never heard of us will be living with the results of our actions. - Oliver Wendell Homes, U.S. Supreme Court justice