France Milling Wheat Crop 2018 Jean-Pierre LANGLOIS-BERTHELOT France Export Céréales IAOM Nairobi, October 24th
A good start but drought by the end of Wheat growing season Good seeding conditions Correct wintering : very mild during december-january colder in february Favorable rain falls during march Satisfactory conditions during stem elongation Heading and flowering with wet weather : favourable for fungus diseases Grain filling period and ripening in dry and very hot conditions 2
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 PRODUCTION (Mt) RENDEMENT(q/ha) 2018 Milling Wheat Production 2018 Milling Wheat area : 4,9 Mha Stable 2018 Milling Wheat Yield : 6,97 T/ha Reduction 2018 Milling Wheat Production: 34,2 Mt Reduction Marketed 2018 Wheat crop Trend for Yield and Production of milling Wheat since 1996 100 40 30 20 10 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 0 10 0 Source: FranceAgriMer Production (Mt) Rendement (q/ha)
Very dry weather during harvest : Grain with low moisture Average wheat moisture : 12,5 % 7 63% 6 5 27% 32% 11% 13% 4% < 12 % 12-13 % 13-14 % 14 % Source : FranceAgriMer / Enquête qualité collecteurs 2018
Expected outlets for 2018 French Milling Wheat Crop 31.4 MT marketed 47 % on Domestic market : Food and industry, Feed industry, Ethanol, seeds etc.. 15.2 MT stable 53 % Exports : EU 47 % Food and Feed 8,1 MT Third countries 53 % mainly Food 9,0 MT EU Exports : Netherlands : Feed and Food Belgium : Food and Feed Spain, Italy, Portugal : mainly Food Third countries : Mainly for food Algeria Morocco Sub saharian Western Africa Egypt Saudi Arabia, Cuba and others
Good Test Weight Average 77,8 kg/hl when entering storage facilities 77 % over 77 kg/hl 35% 31% 26% 29% 25% 22% 22% 15% 14% 14% 16% 17% 9% 5% < 76 kg/hl 76-77 kg/hl 77-78 kg/hl 78-79 kg/hl 79 kg/hl Source : FranceAgriMer / Enquête qualité collecteurs 2018
Good protein content Protein content 12% on average 84 % over 11,5 % 6 5 5 37% 36% 16% 17% 12% 11% 7% 4% < 11,5 % 11,5-12 % 12-12,5 % 12,5-13 % 13 % Source : FranceAgriMer / Enquête qualité collecteurs 2018
Trend for French Wheat Protein content since 1996
Good protein content Protein content 12% on average 6 84 % over 11,5 % with Wet gluten of 24.7 on average 5 5 37% 36% 5 34% 44% 29% 16% 17% 12% 11% 7% 4% 2% 14% 17% < 11,5 % 11,5-12 % 12-12,5 % 12,5-13 % 13 % < 21 21-23 23-25 25 Source : FranceAgriMer / Enquête qualité collecteurs 2018
French Milling Wheat Big Kernels and low Ash content High TKW TKW : 38,7 on average 45% 36% 35% 26% 25% 22% 23% 15% 17% 15% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% <36 36-38 38-40 40-42 42-44 44 8 6 4% Low Ash content French wheat is well known for a low ash content which allows production of very pure flour with à high extraction rate 17% 35% 33% 44% <1,4 1,4-1,5 1,5-1,6 1,6 67%
Dry weather around harvest : Falling numbers are good 95 % with Falling number over 250 sec and 56 % with more than 300 sec 10 95% 9 8 75% 7 6 5 12% 13% 4% 1% < 200 s 200-250 s 250 s Source : FranceAgriMer / Enquête qualité collecteurs 2018
Good quality of proteins seen through parameters of Chopin Alveograph W average : 194 P/L average : 0,80 45% 35% 25% 16% 19% 39% 35% 29% 15% 8% 5% < 150 150-170 170-200 200 34% 18% 36% 35% 32% 31% 25% 15% 5% 25% 12% 11% < 0,6 0,6-0,8 0,8-1,0 1,0-1,2 1,2 9% 6% Source : FranceAgriMer / Enquête qualité collecteurs 2018
French Logistics Grain Storage Dunkerque Storage capacity: 8.6 Mt in port silos(river + sea) 50 Mt for storage companies 25 MT for on farm storage ROUEN Paris Nantes St-Nazaire La Rochelle Bordeaux Bayonne Port la nouvelle Sète Marseille Harbour Main sea harbours Average grain exports ( Mt) Storage Capacity ( Mt) Max vessel size ( T) Rouen 5-6 1,2 50 000 La Rochelle 2-3 0,4 100 000 Dunkerque 3-4 0,45 90 000 Bordeaux 1,1-1,3 0,455 40 000 Nantes 1,1 0,178 60 000
4 important ideas about 2018 French Milling Wheat High quantities available for export markets Good Protein content : Quantity and high quality protein Good baking value Performing logistics for exports
Thank You And many thanks to: ARVALIS Institut du végétal and FranceAgriMer For conducting the survey with the french collecting operators