Presented: June 25, 2015 By: Debra Mountenay

Presented: June 25, 2015 By: Debra Mountenay

One of the 26 Planning Board areas across the province that comprise The members of Workforce Planning Ontario are funded by:

Action: Creation of tomorrow s workforce web portal by the members of the Business Education Network Watch for the launch coming soon! Annual Student2Business event led by London Economic Development Corporation

Action: Employment and support services are mapped and updated for the Middlesex/London area by Employment Sector Council of London Middlesex Elgin and Oxford created directories of services as part of their Local Immigrant Partnerships and other community partnerships

Action: Improve online connections for employers and candidates Now available! www.skillsinternational.ca www.workinoxford.ca www.magnet.today

Actions: School boards continue to expand experiential learning opportunities Oxford Invitational Youth Robotics Challenge Post-secondary institutions are increasing opportunities for students and employers to connect Literacy programs have had good success in outreach to youth through some boutique, short-term programming

Action: Promotion of the Canada Ontario Jobs Grant by Employment Ontario agencies has been very effective in the local area

Action: Mental Health First Aid training offered locally Mental Health in the Workplace Conference hosted by Public Health

Action: Pilot for these meetings held June 18 Feedback being gathered from participants make adjustments to future sector meetings

Actions: Pilot series London and Area Works by CTV London.ctvnews.ca/works Labour market information website www.worktrends.ca

Actions: Oxford Workforce Development Partnership updated their labour force strategy Elgin Workforce Development Committee updated their labour force strategy Middlesex Workforce Development Committee will be updating their labour force strategy this year

Apprenticeship implementation plan created Actions being shared with potential lead organizations The Apprenticeship Network released their updated website www.theapprenticeshipnetwork.com

Action: Create a pilot project that gets clients ready to learn/look for work with a more holistic system to support them

Action: Offer enhanced training for frontline staff Exploring ways to work together efficiently and effectively for clients

And now to the labour market information presentation.

Labour market update Emilian Siman Data specialist Worktrends.ca Elgin, Middlesex and Oxford Workforce Planning and Development Board

Accessing talent 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Unemployment rates [%] in London Economic Region, 3-month moving average, unadjusted for seasonality 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Canada Ontario London, Ontario [3560] Linear (London, Ontario [3560]) Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0122

Accessing Talent 70 Participation rates [%] in London Economic Region, 3- month moving average, not adjusted for seasonality 68 66 64 62 60 58 56 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Canada Ontario London, Ontario [3560] Linear (London, Ontario [3560]) Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0128

Accessing Talent 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Participation rates [%] in London CMA by age groups, 3-months moving average, unadjusted for seasonality 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 15 to 24 years 25 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years and over Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0128

Accessing Talent Participation rate: Total labour force expressed as a percentage of the population aged 15 years and over. The participation rate for a particular group (for example, women aged 25 years and over) is the labour force in that group expressed as a percentage of the population for that group.

Accessing Talent - story Overall improvement of the labour market results in the region. However, An observable downward trend in the participation rate An observable seasonal effect added by the youth group Should we look closer to the regional demographics?

Understanding the Labour Market 80 "Not in the labour force" in London CMA by age group, 3-month moving average, unadjusted for seasonality (persons x 1,000) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 15 to 24 years 25 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years and over Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0128

Understanding the Labour Market 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years London Economic Region, population, 2006-2014 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 2014 Population 2006 Population Poly. (2006 Population) Poly. (2014 Population)

Understanding the Labour Market Population growth in LER Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 051-0060 Components of population growth 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 Change 2010-2014, [%] Deaths 4,921 4,976 4,933 5,118 5,298 7.66 Immigrants 3,169 2,551 2,579 2,706 2,600-17.96 Emigrants 1,093 920 1,061 1,113 1,125 2.93 Returning emigrants 748 722 664 707 707-5.48 Net temporary emigration 309 247 261 276 276-10.68 Net interprovincial migration -657-541 -832-1,423-1,597 143.07 Net intraprovincial migration 1,569 1,068 2,152 1,429 1,429-8.92 Net non-permanent residents 534-144 873 694 449-15.92

Understanding the Labour Market Among the 142 LER employers indicating that they hired during 2014, 64 ( or 45%) confirmed that they ve been challenged by hard-to-fill positions (search for workers takes longer than usual) Data source: EmployerOne Survey, 2015

Understanding the Labour Market Data source: EmployerOne Survey, 2015

Understanding the LM - story Population aging expected labour force contraction Employers are challenged by economic environment, technology and nature of work, and the available labour force What is the expected regional labour market demand?

Skills development Employment by NAICS in London Economic Region (persons x 1,000) North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change 2010-2014, [%] Change 2013-2014, [%] Total employed, all industries 319.2 319.6 322.7 323.7 324.8 1.75 0.34 Goods-producing sector 76.5 78.4 82.3 81.8 78.2 2.22-4.40 Agriculture [111-112, 1100, 1151-1152] 10.4 10.3 9 10 11.2 7.69 12.00 Forestry, fishing, mining, quarrying, oil and gas [21, 113-114, 1153, 2100] x x x x x x x Utilities [22] x x 2.5 2.2 1.7-32.00-22.73 Construction [23] 21.7 21.9 22.8 23.5 22.4 3.23-4.68 Manufacturing [31-33] 42.5 44 47.3 45.5 42.4-0.24-6.81 Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0125

Skills development Employment by NAICS in London Economic Region (persons x 1,000) Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0125 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change 2010-2014, [%] Change 2013-2014, [%] Total employed, all industries 319.2 319.6 322.7 323.7 324.8 1.75 0.34 Services-producing sector 242.7 241.3 240.5 241.9 246.7 1.65 1.98 Trade [41, 44-45] 46.6 47.8 47.5 48.5 48.7 4.51 0.41 Transportation and warehousing [48-49] 15.5 15 16.6 16.2 18.6 20.00 14.81 Finance, insurance, real estate and leasing [52-53] 22 22.7 21.3 20.8 20.6-6.36-0.96 Professional, scientific and technical services [54] 15.2 16.2 18.3 15.5 14.5-4.61-6.45 Business, building and other support services [55-56] 16.7 13.9 13.6 14.6 15.5-7.19 6.16 Educational services [61] 25.6 26.1 23.5 22.1 27.3 6.64 23.53 Health care and social assistance [62] 44.9 44.4 42.8 48 44.8-0.22-6.67 Information, culture and recreation [51, 71] 11.7 12.2 11.8 11.7 11-5.98-5.98 Accommodation and food services [72] 21.1 18.5 18.3 21.9 21.9 3.79 0.00 Other services [81] 14.3 16.2 15.1 11.1 11.5-19.58 3.60 Public administration [91] 9.3 8.4 11.8 11.5 12.3 32.26 6.96

Skills development Employment by NOC-S in LER (persons x 1,000) Change 2010-2014, [%] Change 2013-2014, [%] National Occupational Classification for Statistics (NOC-S) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total employed, all occupations 319.2 319.6 322.7 323.7 324.8 1.75 0.34 Management occupations [A] 27.8 21.8 27.3 25.2 24.9-10.43-1.19 Senior management occupations [A0] x x x x x x x Other management occupations [A1-A3] 27.2 21.3 26.2 24.9 24.4-10.29-2.01 Business, finance and administrative occupations [B] 54.5 57.6 55.4 55.3 52.1-4.40-5.79 Professional occupations in business and finance [B0] 7.2 8.4 8.9 10 8 11.11-20.00 Financial, secretarial and administrative occupations [B1-B3] 14.1 15.1 14.6 14.3 14.9 5.67 4.20 Clerical occupations, including supervisors [B4- B5] 33.2 34.1 31.9 31 29.2-12.05-5.81 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations [C] 16.4 15.8 18.6 16 15.7-4.27-1.88 Health occupations [D] 24.9 26.2 24.8 26.1 27.5 10.44 5.36 Professional occupations in health, nurse supervisors and registered nurses [D0-D1] 11.9 12.2 11.7 13.9 14.5 21.85 4.32 Technical, assisting and related occupations in health [D2-D3] 13.1 13.9 13 12.2 13-0.76 6.56 Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0127

Skills development Employment by NOC-S in LER (persons x 1,000) National Occupational Classification for Statistics (NOC-S) 2010 2011 2012 2013 Change 2010-20142014, [%] Change 2013-2014, [%] Occupations in social science, education, government service and religion [E] 29.5 29 29.5 27.7 30.5 3.39 10.11 Occupations in social science, government service and religion [E0, E2] 14.3 14.3 15.5 15.2 15 4.90-1.32 Teachers and professors [E1, E130] 15.2 14.6 14 12.5 15.5 1.97 24.00 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport [F] 8.7 7.8 8.3 8.2 7.9-9.20-3.66 Sales and service occupations [G] 74.9 78.7 74.8 78.6 78.3 4.54-0.38 Wholesale, technical, insurance, real estate sales specialists, and retail, wholesale and grain buyers [G1] 10.4 11.4 9.3 10.9 10.2-1.92-6.42 Retail salespersons, sales clerks, cashiers, including retail trade supervisors [G011, G2-G3] 19.3 19.1 17.9 21.4 19.3 0.00-9.81 Chefs and cooks, and occupations in food and beverage service, including supervisors [G012, G4-G5] 9 9.5 9.5 9.1 9.2 2.22 1.10 Occupation in protective services [G6] 3.8 3.2 5 4.4 5.1 34.21 15.91 Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0127

Skills development Employment by NOC-S in LER (persons x 1,000) National Occupational Classification for Statistics (NOC- S) Change 2010-2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014, [%] Change 2013-2014, [%] Childcare and home support workers [G8] 3 3.6 2.8 3.7 4 33.33 8.11 Sales and service occupations not elsewhere classified, including occupations in travel and accommodation, attendants in recreation and sport as well as supervisors [G013-G016, G7, G9] 29.5 31.9 30.3 29.1 30.4 3.05 4.47 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations [H] 48.1 46.8 49.6 50.1 51.9 7.90 3.59 Contractors and supervisors in trades and transportation [H0] 4.4 5.2 5.6 5.4 4.2-4.55-22.22 Construction trades [H1] 6.4 6.7 6.2 6.5 6.5 1.56 0.00 Other trades occupations [H2-H5] 18.5 16 16.9 16.9 17.9-3.24 5.92 Transport and equipment operators [H6-H7] 11.7 12 13.3 12.5 15.9 35.90 27.20 Trades helpers, construction, and transportation labourers and related occupations [H8] 7.2 6.9 7.6 8.8 7.3 1.39-17.05 Occupations unique to primary industry [I] 11.8 12.3 10.7 12.2 13.7 16.10 12.30 Occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities [J] 22.4 23.7 23.7 24.1 22.3-0.45-7.47 Machine operators and assemblers in manufacturing, including supervisors [J0-J2] 19.5 19.6 20.1 21.1 18-7.69-14.69 Labourers in processing, manufacturing and utilities [J3] 2.9 4.1 3.6 3 4.3 48.28 43.33 Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 282-0127

Skills development In long term (2010-2014): Overall, across all occupations the employment grew marginally in London Economic Region [3650] The following occupational groups gained in employment: health occupations [D], occupations in social science, education, government service and religion [E], sales and service occupations [G], trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations [H], and occupations unique to the primary industry[i] The following occupational groups suffered a loss in employment: business, finance and administrative occupations [B], natural and applied and related occupations [C], occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport [F] and occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities [J] In short term (2013-2014):?

System solutions Do these labour market outcomes tell us enough? Probably not labour market is complex To offer competent solutions: We need more information We have too look at the information from various perspectives (job seekers vs. employers, by gender, by age, by educational attainment, by industry, by occupation, etc.) We have to offer and use the information in a complete and simple manner

October December February April June August October December February System solutions 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Number of the internet job postings and unemployment rate in the London Economic Region 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 Unemployment rate (rate) Job Postings Data sources: www.vicinityjobs.com and Millier, Dickinson and Blais Inc. and CANSIM, Table 282-0122 Note: the labour force characteristics are 3-month moving average (monthly)

System solutions 16,000 London CMA, EI beneficiaries 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 All types of income benefits Regular benefits with declared earnings Linear (All types of income benefits) Regular benefits Regular benefits without declared earnings Data source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, Table 276-0033

System solutions Employment Ontario service outcomes in London Economic Region (persons) Length of time out of employment/training (persons) 45000 100% 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 0 39,008 41381 11,750 12,715 13116 13,325 13,325 13,325 2012-13 2013-14 2014-2015 Unassisted ES Clients Actual ES Assisted Clients Targeted # of ES Assisted Clients 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2767 3063 3104 1805 1631 1643 1846 1844 1914 5329 6177 6452 2012-2013 2013-14 2014-2015 Less than 3 months 3-6 months 6-12 months more than 12 months Data source: Employment Ontario Report, June 5, 2015

System solutions EO service - exit outcomes in LER (persons) EO service outcomes in LER Apprenticeship (persons) 100% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 2759 3120 2808 2075 1883 1910 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 526 209 26 1403 512 247 26 1333 4473 6276 40% 30% 6916 7712 8398 30% 20% 10% 457 194 26 1742 6669 20% 10% 0% 2012-13 2013-14 2014-2015 0% Number of CofAs Issued Number of Modular Training Registrations Average Age of Apprentices at Registration Number of New Registrations Number of Active Apprentices Employed Training/Educations Other 2012-2013 2013-14 2014-2015

System solutions Top ten Layoff occupation Service support and other service occupations, n.e.c. Labourers in processing, manufacturing and utilities Managers in customer and personal services, n.e.c. Sales representatives and salespersons - wholesale and retail trade Managers in food service and accommodation Trades helpers, construction labourers and related occupations Industrial, electrical and construction trades Senior managers - health, education, social and community services and membership organizations Senior government managers and officials Sales support occupations Employed occupation Managers in public administration Professional occupations in nursing Senior managers - health, education, social and community services and membership organizations Senior government managers and officials Industrial, electrical and construction trades Managers in agriculture, horticulture and aquaculture Assemblers in manufacturing Transport and heavy equipment operation and related maintenance occupations Processing and manufacturing machine operators and related production workers Managers in construction and facility operation and maintenance

System solutions Trades Apprenticeship New registrations Top 10 in London Economic Region Automotive Service Technician Electrician Construction and Maintenance Hairstylist Truck and Coach Technician General Carpenter Plumber Cook Industrial Mechanic Millwright Child Development Practitioner General Machinist

Systems solutions - story Improvement in EO employment service outcomes in 2015 Still a lot to do How do we improve more these results?