Akiko Suzuki. The Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites CGMS-45 Plenary 15 June 2017

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The Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites CGMS-45 Plenary 15 June 2017 Akiko Suzuki Associate Senior Chief Officer of Satellite Applications

JAXA Activities Space Transportation Human Space Activities Satellite Program Lunar & Planetary Exploration Program Aviation Program Space Science 1

Current Situation Global Issues: Tackle common challenges; Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), Sendai Disaster Prevention Framework and Paris Agreement Japanese Government Policies in Science & Technology: 1. Sustainable growth and self-sustaining regional development 2. Ensure safety and security for our nation and its citizens and a highquality, prosperous way of life Disaster Risk Management Using Satellite Data and Applications: ALOS-2 3. Respond to global challenges and contribute to global development Contribution to understanding of Climate Change Using Satellite and Applications: GOSAT, GCOM-W, GCOM-C, GPM and EarthCARE Contribution to Paris Agreement 4. Sustainable creation of intellectual property 2

JAXA s Current Earth Observation Satellites Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT) Global Change Observation Mission - Water (GCOM-W) Launched in 2009 Observes CO2 and Methane (CH4) globally once every 3 days Launched in 2012 Observes Wind, SST, Water Vapor, Precipitation for understanding of water cycle Used for weather forecasting Advanced Land Observing Satellite-2 (ALOS-2) Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) onboard GPM Core Observatory Launched in 2014 Capable of observing day and night, and in all weather conditions Contributes to disaster risk management and forest monitoring Launched in 2014 Measures three-dimensional rainfall structure and intensity for better understanding of global precipitation Courtesy of NASA 3

GOSAT Scientific Outcomes (1/3) Acquires 56,000 data of GHG concentration on the entire surface of the earth once every 3 days Monitored that the whole-atmospheric CO2 mean exceeded 400ppm in December 2015 Understood trends of 8-year GHG concentrations of 100 sites of large cities and major emission sources all over the world Anthropogenic CO2 concentrations in global mega-cities estimated from GOSAT data well agreed with those estimated from emission inventories Found that the monthly-averaged CH4 concentration marked a record high of 1815ppb in January 2017 4

XCO 2 (ppm) GOSAT Scientific Outcomes (2/3) Trends of 8-year GHG Concentrations of 100 sites of Large Cities & Major Emission Sources CO 2 long term trend ACOS B7.3 is the level 2 product version released in Jan. 2017. The same algorithm as OCO-2 V7. OCO-2 V8 will be released summer 2017. 415 Long term GOSAT TANSO-FTS CO 2 (ACOS B73) 410 http://www.eorc.jaxa.jp/gosat/co2_monitor/index.html 405 400 395 390 Long Beach Pasadena Los Angeles 385 380 2010/1 2011/1 2012/1 2013/1 2014/1 2015/1 2016/1 2017/1 Month 5

GOSAT Scientific Outcomes (3/3) CH4 Emissions Estimated from Each Category of Emission Sources July 2010 CH 4 emission (Gg/year) https://mirador.gsfc.nasa.gov/ Coal Livestock Oil /Gas Fire Rice Waste Wetland Other Total 6

Future Launch GOSAT-2 Continuous Observation of CO2 &CH4 by GOSAT/GOSAT-2 for Long Period More Accurate Estimation of CO2 Emissions by Measuring CO Launch: JFY2018 Gases: CO2, CH4 and CO Accuracy: 0.5 ppm (CO2) and 5 ppb (CH4) at 500-km mesh over earth s surface Nominal Operation Period: 5 years Mass: Approx. 2,000Kg Launch Vehicle: H-IIA

[Image Credit] OCO-2: NASA; Sentinel-5P: ESA/ATG medialab; MetOp: ESA/Eumetsat; McroCarb: CNES/Illustration Oliver Sattler 2015; TanSat: TanSat collaboration; FLEX: ESA/ATG medialab 8 Contribution to Paris Agreement by Satellite GHG Observation Data Support accuracy of national GHG inventory reporting Satellite-based GHG Data Cross-calibration and Validation Provide highly accurate and quality-controlled data set through cross-calibration and validation GOSAT OCO-2 IASI/MetOp TanSat GOSAT-2 TROPOMI/Sentinel-5P MicroCarb FLEX

GPM and GCOM-W Scientific Outcome Monitoring of Global Precipitation on Real-time & Contribution to Disaster Risk Management Integrated data: GPM core observatory, microwave radiometers/sounders and infrared radiometers of geostationary satellites Global Rainfall Watch (GSMaP_NRT/MVK) Realtime Rainfall Watch (GSMaP_NOW) Champi Olaf Patricia GSMaP observing hurricane Patricia and Olaf and Typhoon Champi: 2015/10/20~2015/10/24(hourly animation) JAXA Global Rainfall Watch (4-hr delay) : http://sharaku.eorc.jaxa.jp/gsmap JAXA Realtime Rainfall Watch (Himawari-area): http://sharaku.eorc.jaxa.jp/gsmap_now 9

Current Status and Future of GCOM Mission Nominal Operation Period of GCOM-W was successfully completed in May 2017. GCOM-W s condition is extremely well. Extended Operation was determined. GCOM-C will be launched in latter half of JFY 2017. GCOM-C & W will contribute to understanding of Climate Change. Study on the capability of AMSR2 s successor sensor onboard GOSAT-3 was stipulated in the Roadmap for the Basic Plan on Space Policy which has been effective since April 2017, and JAXA has started its study. 10

11 Future Launch GCOM-C Launch in latter half of JFY 2017 Observes Radiation Budget and Carbon Cycle VNR X(Flight Direction) Y Z(Earth Direction) IRS GCOM-C Satellite PFM @ JAXA Tsukuba Space Center

Essential Climate Variables Covered by GCOM-C & W Surface Upper-air Composition Air temperature Temperature Carbon dioxide Wind speed & direction Wind speed & direction Methane Water vapour Water vapour & other longlived GHGs * Pressure Precipitation Surface radiation budget Atmospheric Cloud properties Earth radiation budget (including solar irradiance) Ozone & Aerosol supported by their precursors ** * including N2O, CFCs, HCFCs, SF6, PFCs ** in particular NO2, SO2, HCHO, CO Total Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) (ECVs largely dependent on satellite observations identified by CEOS and GCOS are shown in bold.) ECVs covered by GCOM-W and GCOM-C 21 50 River discharge Water use Groundwater Lakes Snow cover Glaciers and ice caps Ice sheets Permafrost Albedo Land cover (including vegetation type Fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FAPR) Leaf area index (LAI) Above-ground biomass Soil carbon Fire disturbance Soil moisture Terrestrial Surface Sea-surface temperature Sea-surface salinity Sea level Sea state Sea ice Surface current Ocean colour CO2 partial pressure Ocean acidity Phytoplankton Oceanic Sub-surface Temperature Salinity Current Nutrients CO2 partial pressure Ocean acidity Oxygen Tracers

13 Thank you for your attention. Thank you for your attention.