Henry Bart Brandon Kaysen Melissa Maggass Hyemin Park Owen Watson

Henry Bart Brandon Kaysen Melissa Maggass Hyemin Park Owen Watson

2013 Spring 2015 Winter 2015 2025 We are the University of California, and there is no reason that UC can't lead the world in this quest, as it has in so many others. - UC President Janet Napolitano We recognize the urgent need to act now and avoid irreversible costs to our global community s economic prosperity and public health. - UCSB Chancellor Henry T. Yang

Natural Gas Combustion Scope 1 Purchased Electricity Scope 2 Embodied Carbon Footprints Scope 3 Data Source: UCSB Climate Action Plan (2015)

MTCO 2 /year 4.4 M ft 2 8.7M ft 2 60,000 40,000 20,000 Scope 2 Emissions Scope 1 Emissions 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year

STEP 1 Reduce Energy Demand STEP 2 STEP 3 STEP 4 Procure Renewable Energy Cost Implications and Financing Options Deployment Schedule

Hot Water Loop Monitoring-Based Commissioning Smart Lighting 6 Major Technologies HVAC Retrofits Behavior Change Smart Lab

$8.2M Capital Cost $0.2M Utility Savings 4,500 MtCO 2 e Savings

$7M Capital Cost $0.8M Utility Savings 3,000 MtCO 2 e Savings

$1.4M Capital Cost $0.5M Utility Savings 2,000 MtCO 2 e Savings

$19M Capital Cost $1.6M Utility Savings 4,500 MtCO 2 e Savings

$0.1M Capital Cost $0.3M Utility Savings 400 MtCO 2 e Savings

$19M Capital Cost $2.3M Utility Savings 4,500 MtCO 2 e Savings

MTCO 2 /year 8.7 M ft 2 10.0 Mft 2 50,000 Without RPS 40,000 30,000 Scope 2 Emissions 20,000 10,000 - Scope 1 Emissions 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

11% 4% 11% 7% 10% 1% 45% 2025 BAU 42,000 (MtCO 2 e) Residual 23,000 (MtCO 2 e)

STEP 1 STEP 2 STEP 3 STEP 4 Reduce Energy Demand Procure Renewable Energy On-Campus Off-Campus Cost Implications and Financing Options Deployment Schedule

MAXIMIZE ON-SITE SOLAR PV Residual Electricity Consumption 74% 107 GWh Total Currently Installed 1% Planned PPA 8% Potential Rooftop 7% Potential Parking Lot 10%

25% PVWatts Calculator Example: NREL: DC System Size (kw): 169.9 SunPower: Energy Yield (kwh/kw-dc) = 1,608 169.9 * 1,608 = 273,199 kwh

26% Green Electricity 85% Green Electricity 107 GWh Total 76% 53% Reduced Energy Demand 24% 57 GWh Total

VIABLE OFF-CAMPUS OPTIONS: Local Generation Community Solar Gardens Community Choice Aggregation Direct Access PPA Virtual PPA Purchased Power 100% Renewable Option?

STEP1 STEP 2 STEP 3 STEP 4 Reduce Energy Demand Procure Renewable Energy Cost Implications and Financing Options Deployment Schedule

11% 4% 11% 7% 10% 1% 45% 2025 BAU 42,000 (MtCO 2 e) Residual 23,000 (MtCO 2 e)

11% 4% 11% 7% 10% 1% 14% 59% 2025 BAU 42,000 (MtCO 2 e) Residual 17,000 (MtCO 2 e)

STEP 1 STEP 2 STEP 3 STEP 4 Reduce Energy Demand Procure Renewable Energy Cost Implications and Financing Options Deployment Schedule

Cost LIFE CYCLE COST ANALYSIS TOOL Initial Cost Operating Cost Total Cost Options

Cost (Millions $) Thousands MTCO 2 e 60 Life Cycle Cost & Life Cycle GHG Emission 120 50 100 40 80 30 60 20 40 10 20-0 Baseline LED LED + Control Design Options Energy Non-Energy Initial Costs Life Cycle GHG Emissions

Capital Cost $19M $19M $0* $7M $1.4M $0.1M $9M $55.7M *PPA: No upfront cost for the University

2.3M Annual Utility Budget $12M 1.6M 1.0M 0.8M 0.5M 0.4M 0.2M $6.8M $5.5M Capital Cost $19M $19M $0* $7M $1.4M $0.1M $9M $55.7M

FINANCING STRATEGY Green Revolving Fund: $$$ Utility Budget Surplus State Budget Allocation Green Donors Fund Energy Efficiency Projects AB32 Allowance Sales $

59% Offsets Renewable Energy Portfolio (RECs) 2025 BAU 42,000 (MtCO 2 e) Residual 17,000 (MtCO 2 e)

Challenges Price Volatility Tradeoffs Additionality vs. Cost

STEP 1 STEP 2 STEP 3 STEP 4 Reduce Energy Demand Procure Renewable Energy Cost Implications and Financing Options Deployment Schedule

CONSTRAINTS TO IMPLEMENTATION Capital Funding Planning & Approval Regulation Implementation Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3

Phase I Phase II Phase III GHG Mitigation Strategies 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Smart Lighting 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hot Water Loop (I) 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MBCx 0.01 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HVAC Retrofits 0 0 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Smart Lab 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1 0 0 0 0 0 Solar Hot Water 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Onsite Solar PV 0 0.1 0 0 0.17 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0 0 Zero-Net Energy Buildings 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Behavior Change 0 0 0.5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Hot Water Loop (II) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 0 0

GHG Emissions (MTCO 2 e/year) 60,000 60,000 50,000 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 BAU without RPS 50,000 40,000 MBCx Smart Lighting HVAC Retrofit Smart Lab 40,000 30,000 ZNE + Solar Water Heater + Behavior 30,000 20,000 Remaining Scope 2 Emissions On site Solar PV Hot Water (Phase 1 only) 20,000 10,000 Offset 10,000 Remaining Scope 1 Emissions - - 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Fiscal Year

UC Leadership Resiliency Air Quality Compliance Marketing

On-Site Combustion (Scope 1) Institutional Debt Limit Planning Period & Labor Availability Solar Capacity Max ~25 MW Offset Prices

Sangwon Suh Project Advisor David Auston Executive Director, Institute for Energy Efficiency Jordan Sager UCSB Energy & Utility Services David McHale Associate Director, Utility & Energy Services Karl Brown Deputy Director, California Institute for Energy and Environment (CIEE) Mo Lovegreen Executive Officer, Department of Geography & Director, Campus Sustainability Jewel Snavely Sustainability Coordinator Katie Maynard Event Manager; Sustainability Coordinator Mark Rousseau Housing & Residential Services Bruce Tiffney Chancellors Sustainability Committee, Co-Chair 2015 CNI Fellows Max Stiefel & Claire Dooley

UCOP - Deep Energy Efficiency and Cogeneration Study Findings Report (2014) UCSB Climate Action Plan (2010 2014) UCSB Utility & Energy Reports UCSB EEM Software NREL PV Watts Calculator HWL Engineering Study SEP Program Bren 2015 Group Project CNI Fellow Reports SunPower Solar PV PPA Study Nextility Solar Thermal Study 20 Year Project Timelines 5% Discount Rate $0.60 per Therm $0.11 per kwh $0.12 per kwh (PPA Rate) $0.15 per kwh (Avoided Cost for PPA) No Avoided Cost Included

Emissions Per Building GSF 400,000 Emissions for UC schools: Total & Per GSF 0.015 Emissions MT CO 2 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 UC Merced UC Santa Cruz UC Santa Barbara UC Riverside UC Berkeley UC San UC Irvine Francisco UC San Diego UC Davis UC Los Angeles 0.01 0.005 0 Scope 1 Scope 2 Emissions Per Gross Square Foot

3-PHASE IMPLEMENTATION PLAN CRITERIA Phase 1 (2016 2020) Phase 2 (2020 2025) Phase 3 (2025 2030) Implementation Easy Moderate Difficult Simple Payback < 6 Years 6 9 Years > 9 Years GHG Abatement Potential 5% - 15% 1% - 5% <1% Regulations Immediate Anticipated Potential Maturity Yes Yes No

Consumption (kwh) 1200.00000 1000.00000 800.00000 600.00000 400.00000 200.00000 Emission Factors [lbs/mwh) for Purchased Electricity 120,000,000 100,000,000 80,000,000 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 Campus Electriity Use 0.00000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015-1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year Main Campus Only Total