1 BRIEFING THE PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE PRESENTATION TITLE ON Progress regarding implementation of drought intervention measures Presented by: Name Surname Directorate Date Presented by: Ms Margaret-Ann Diedricks Director-General 16 March 2016
Table of Contents Part A: Progress Report on Climate Change Part B: Departmental strategies and interventions in respect of drought interventions Part C: Progress on the disbursement of drought relief funding to provinces Part D: Interventions by Department of Agriculture, Forestry & Fisheries 2
PART A Progress Report on Climate Change 3
What is El Nino, La Nina, ENSO? El Nino: an extreme climatic event that occurs every 2 to 7 years, caused by the warming of the eastcentral equatorial Pacific Ocean La Nina: caused by the cooling of the sea surface waters of the Pacific (characterised by the wetting conditions). La Nina is the opposite of an El Nino. ENSO: El Nino Southern Oscillation is periodic fluctuation in sea surface temperature (El Niño) and the air pressure of the overlying atmosphere (Southern Oscillation) across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. It is a general term used to describe both the El Nino and the La Nina 4
The Oceanic Nino Index is an indicator for monitoring the El Nino and La Nina 5
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Impact of El Nino The El Nino occurs when the sea surface temperature in the east central equatorial Pacific exceeds 0.5ºC (for La Nina less than -0.5ºC) The El Nino/La Nina events have historically occurred as a result of natural climate variability, with increasing frequency under a changing climate The 97/98 El Nino which is the El Nino of the century was greater than the current yet the impact in terms of drought was less - may be attributed to The contribution or impact of climate change to the current drought That El Nino was preceded by the La Nina and followed by a moderate to strong La Nina The current El Nino, is still one of the strongest on record Only 10% of El Nino events were followed by another El Nino. Prospects are good, about 40% that there will be a La Nina in 2016/17, or neutral conditions (~ 50% chance) 7
Current drought is due to climate variability, change and El Nino El Nino peaked in December and is decaying during autumn and winter Neutral by May June July In other words, warming is gradually decreasing. However, it is still strong Potential La Nina conditions in Spring El Nino is reaching a neutral state Due to Climate Change, temperatures in SA are likely to increase by at least 1.5 times the global average rate 8
As the warming decreases from late summer, the wetting is projected to gradually increase 9
Rainfall 3 Month Forecast After Starkey, 2015 Temps Below normal rainfall; with above normal in late autumn to early winter Gradual decrease in warming despite persistent high temperature in autumn 10
Systems (i.e. hydrological) response High temperatures lead to high evaporation rates that in turn reduces runoff and groundwater recharge This means less water available to fill the dams and to replenish groundwater storage Less water in dams, rivers, soil means Less water available for energy generation, food security, poverty eradication, livelihoods or for economic growth Increased degradation of water quality due to increased concentration of dissolved materials DWS contributes to addressing these challenges through the development of supply systems and/or management of demands (or requirements) 11
Hydro-climatic Zones of South Africa 12
Zone Observed Rainfall (1960 2010) Significant reduction in rainfall & number of rainy days high in autumn (MAM) Overall decrease in rain days in DJF and MAM and in the annual mean. Increase trend in precipitations for southern part of the region (along Drakensberg Mountains) in SON. 3: Vaal Increased rainfall in the west and decreased rainfall in the east in DJF. Decreased precipitation in MAM. Decrease in rain days in MAM and in annual mean of about 6 and 13 days, respectively, are observed over the 50 year period 4: Orange Trends indicate some increase in precipitation and rain days along the parts 1: Limpopo, Olifants & Inkomati 2: Pongola Umzimkhulu of EC, reduction in precipitation and rain days in FS and NC 5: Mzimvuvhu Tsitsikamma Significant increase in precipitation & rain days especially around the Drakensberg and the Southern coastal areas in all season. 6: Breed- Gouritz and Berg Olifants The annual mean rain days has decreased significantly by 11 days over 50 year period. Increase in rain days in the Western coastal region. 13
Zone Projected Rainfall (2040-2060) 1: Limpopo, Olifants & Inkomati 2: Pongola Umzimkhulu Under business as usual (i.e. RCP 8.5 without mitigation) scenario there are no clear pattern of drying Rainfall anomalies projected exhibit a clear pattern of drying under business as usual scenario 3: Vaal Rainfall anomalies projected exhibit a clear pattern of drying under business as usual scenario 4: Orange Rainfall projections under business as usual scenario remain within the realm of the present day climate 5: Mzimvuvhu Tsitsikamma Clear trends of drying under worst case scenario 6: Breed- Gouritz and Berg Olifants Clear trends of drying under worst case scenario 14
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Zone Observed Temperature (1960 2010) 1: Limpopo, Olifants & Inkomati) Significant increase in maximum temperature occur in JJA (0.022 0 C/year) and in annual mean (0.018 0 C/year). 2: Pongola Umzimkhulu The average maximum temperatures highest for MAM (0.02 0 C/year and 0.012 0 C/year for the annual mean). 3: Vaal There is a strong warming trends in maximum temperatures of almost 2 0 C (0.034 0 C/year) in MAM and almost 1.5 0 C (0.029 0 C/year) in JJA. 4: Orange Significant increase in maximum temp of between 0.025 0 C/year and 0.039 0 C/year in all seasons 5: Mzimvuvhu Tsitsikamma Significant increase in maximum temp at a rate of 0.017 0 C/year to 0.03 0 C/year in all season except for summer 6: Breed- Gouritz and Berg Olifants Significant increase in maximum temp from 0.015 0 C/year to 0.027 0 C/year in all season. Significant warming has worsened over the past 10 12 years with persistent above average temperatures 16
Zone Projected Temperature (2040-2060) 1: Limpopo, Olifants & Inkomati Umzimkhulu Annual temp: 2015 2035, increase of up to 2 0 C. From2040-2060, increase of between 1 and 3 0 C. From 2080 to 2100 drastic increase of between 3 and 6 0 C. This is based on worst case scenario. Annual Temp: 2015-2035 to reach 1 and 2 2: Pongola 0 C. Between 2040-2060 average annual temp will increase by up to 4 0 C. From 2080-2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 3 to 6.5 0 C. Annual temp to reach values of 1 and 2.5 3: Vaal 0 C between 2015-2035. Between 2040-2060 average annual temp will increase by between 1 and 5 0 C. From 2080-2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 3 to 8 0 C. Annual temp to reach values of 2,5 4: Orange 0 C between 2015-2035. Between 2040-2060 average annual temp will increase by between 1 and 3 0 C. From 2080-2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 3 to 5.5 0 C 5: Mzimvuvhu Tsitsikamma 6: Breed- Gouritz and Berg Olifants Annual temp to reach values of 2 0 C between 2015-2035. Between 2040-2060 average annual temp will increase by between 1 and 2 0 C. From 2080-2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 2 to 5 0 C Annual temp to reach values of 1,5 0 C between 2015-2035. Between 2040-2060 average annual temp will increase by between 1 and 2 0 C. From 2080-2100 annual averages temperature will increase by 2 to 4 0 C. 17
Interventions or measures The Department collaborate with relevant research institutions (e.g. WRC, SAWS, CSIR, UCT, ARC, UP...) on climate observation, forecasts and projections on continuous basis For instance vulnerability assessment tools developed through the WRC has been taken up by DWS Climate forecasts and prediction tools are used to inform adaptation The Water Conservation and Demand Management Flagship Programme The implementation of the National Water Conservation and Water Demand Programme is being implemented in the industry, mining, power generation, agriculture and water services sectors collaboratively with the DEA The accelerated provision of rainwater harvesting tanks in rural and low-income settlements DWS s programme on War on Leaks Strengthening institutional capacity for demand management and water use efficiency 18
Interventions or measures (2) Monitoring and analysis of data and information to track changes (e.g. dam and groundwater levels, temperature trends) The hydrological data from DWS as well as rainfall and temperature data and information from SAWS are used to track changes in the system Development, review and implementation of the operating rules to inform course of action (e.g. water use restrictions) The operating rules are reviewed as climatic conditions change Diversification of water sources Enhanced use of unconventional water sources such as groundwater, desalination of brackish water, rainwater harvesting, water reuse DWS has lately sited, drilled and equipped an unprecedented number of boreholes to supply water to stressed areas Increasing the size of the current reservoirs e.g. Raising the wall of Clanwilliam Dam to increase capacity 19
Changes in water losses due to water conservation and demand management Municipality Non Revenue Water % June 2011 June 2013 June 2014 June 2015 June 2017 (target) City of JHB 39.76 37.5 40.9 40.2. 30.9 City of Tshwane 33.5 23.6 23.5 25.7 23.5 Ekurhuleni 38.5 40.3 37.8 36.1 31.1 KZN Metro 35.4 39.8 42.6 40.8 30 City of Cape Town Nelson Mandela Metro 19.6 20. 21 22.3-40.2 41.7 42.3-32 Mangaung 30.98 37.1 31.4 39.99 20 20
In summary so far The current drought cannot only be attributed to the El Nino, but also to climate variability and change and other factors (e.g. increased water use) The model projections are in agreement that the warming (El Nino) is gradually decaying and may reach neutral state during winter, yet temperatures are likely to remain high for some time There is also a likelihood of above normal rainfall in spring The hydrological responses include inadequate water available for filling dams and replenishing groundwater storage Interventions include water conservation and demand management measures, use of relevant decision support tools including forecasts and operating rules to inform decisions underpinned by monitoring data and information Diversification of water sources and resizing of storage capacity are also important adaptation measures used by the DWS 21
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2015 confirmed as the driest year on record for SA (since 1921) 23
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National Status of Dams as at 07 March 2016 Total storage slightly down on 7 March, at 53,5% (0.5% down on last week) after the steady period due to the rain 2 weeks ago Total storage last year at this time was 80% All provinces show slightly reduced levels of water in storage. Western Cape (36,6%) and North West (46,4%) are reporting very low levels Voëlvlei Dam in the Western Cape is of particular concern at 22,2% Hazelmere Dam (33,2%) and Vaal Dam (48,6%) are slightly lower Sterkfontein Dam is holding steady at 88% Katze (63,8%), Gariep (53,9%), Pongola (46,2%) are holding steady 25
Province Summary of Water in Storage per Province FSC in 10 6 m^3 07/03/15 Last Year % 26 29/02/16 Last Week % 07/03/2016 This Week% Eastern Cape 1 826 76,5 73,0 72,8 Free State 15 971 83,9 54,0 53,5 Gauteng 115 98,0 82,6 81,4 Kwazulu-Natal 4 669 72,7 52,2 52,0 Lesotho* 2 376 71,8 50,4 50,4 Limpopo 1 508 89,4 59,2 58,6 Mpumalanga 2 538 91,5 59,5 58,8 Northern Cape 146 87,2 63,7 61,7 North West 825 65,3 46,9 46,4 Swaziland* 334 96,9 31,0 29,6 Western Cape 1 853 56,2 38,2 36,6 Total 32 162 80,0 54,0 53,5
PART B Departmental strategies and interventions in respect of drought interventions 27
Drought Declarations Kwa-Zulu Natal: 1st notice 28 November 2014 and gazette on 17 December 2014; 2nd notice 11 November 2015, drought declared in ethekwini Metropolitan Municipality, in 7 District Municipalities and 29 Local Municipalities; 3rd notice 8 Feb 2016, North West: (8 May 2015, gazette on 24 July 2015), Provincial State of drought disaster; Free State: (14 and 28 August 2015 and gazette on 4 Sept 2015), drought declared in Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality, 4 District Municipalities and 18 Local Municipalities; Limpopo: (4 November 2015), drought declared in 5 District municipalities and 24 Local Municipalities; 28
Drought Declarations Mpumalanga: (25 November 2015), drought declared in 14 Municipalities Western Cape: (25 November 2015), drought declared in two districts Eastern Cape: ( 4 and 11 December 2015, and 04 March 2016), drought declared in four districts Northern Cape: (18 December 2015 and 29 January 2016), drought declared in 5 Districts 29
Communities Affected by Moderate to Extreme Drought (1) Province District Municipalities Affected Settlements Affected Households Affected Population Kwa Zulu- Natal Umkhanyakude, ilembe, uthukela, Ugu, uthungulu, umzinyathi, umgungundlovu, Harry Gwala, Zululand, ethekwini & Amajuba. 9095 2 066 345 12 373 857 North West Ngaka Modiri, Ruth Mmapati, Bojanala & Kenneth Kaunda. Free state Thabo Mofutsanyana, Fezile Dabi, Xhariep, Lejweleputswa & Mangaung Metro. 1 252 945 294 3 553 467 290 796 825 2 768 737 Limpopo Capricorn, Mopani, Sekhukhune, Waterberg & Vhembe. 1 534 723 136 3 039 681 30
Communities Affected by Moderate to Extreme Drought (2) Province District Municipalities Affected Settlements Affected Households Affected Population Mpumalanga Ehlanzeni, Nkangala & Gert Sibande Western Cape Central Karoo, West Coast, Cape Winelands, City of Cape Town & Overberg 602 870 089 4 215 691 1 062 1 286 489 5 075 181 Eastern Cape Northern Cape Joe Gqabi, Amathole, OR Tambo, Alfred Nzo & Chris Hani Francis Baard, John Taolo, Gaetswe, Pixley kaseme, Namakwa & Mgcawu 4782 449 089 2 006 237 266 197 006 807 140 TOTAL 18883 7 334 273 33 839 991 31
Short-term mitigation measures Water conservation and water demand management (War on Leaks) Surface water resource management (optimised operation of the Vaal River System) Manage and use groundwater resources (drilling and equipping boreholes) Re-use and desalination of water Eradication of invading alien plants/catchment care (WfW programme by DEA) Eradication of illegal water use (enforcement in the Vaal River System) Development of surface water resources (raising of the following dams in progress, Hazelmere and Clanwilliam) Water Transfers (emergency transfers from Tugela to Goedetrouw, and Othangathi River transfer to Hazelmere) Rainwater harvesting (provision of tanks in selected areas) Provision of static storage tanks at strategic locations and the carting of water by tanker 32
Medium-term to long-term measures Medium term measures: domestic rain water harvesting, hydro-census on current groundwater utilization and possible future use, integrating groundwater and surface water use in the future, small scale emergency desalination, further water transfers, dolomitic aquifer abstraction and recharge Long term measures: review all state owned reservoir operating rules, incorporate all municipal and privately owned dams into the management system for future, further transfer schemes to improve drought resilience, large scale desalination options, institutionalise the conjunctive use of surface and ground water, water quality management with initial focus on WWTW, construction of new dams/reservoirs, long term solution for AMD 33
Drought Interventions by tankers & boreholes Water tankering to critically affected communities is procured by DWS, Municipalities, CBOs and NGOs as an emergency measure to deal with the drought situation (details shown in the next slide below) This is done based on a needs assessment and business plans drawn up to resource the intervention accordingly. Although 458 tankers have already been procured, because of the increasing severity of the drought it is estimated that a further 742 tankers will be required. DWS is working towards securing more funds to support this growing need Groundwater resource is more resilient to drought. A programme of increasing groundwater use is being implemented, entailing refurbishment of existing boreholes and drilling & equipping new ones as shown below 34
Drought Intervention By Tankers Province Number of Tankers By DWS Municipalities Others Total Kwa-Zulu Natal 53 10 96 hired 159 Free State 12 65 1 GotGs 78 Limpopo 0 78 * 78 Mpumalanga 0 54 * 54 North West 20 * * 20 Eastern Cape 13 44 * 57 Northern Cape 0 10 * 10 Western Cape 0 2 * 2 Gauteng 0 * * 0 TOTAL 98 263 97 458 * No information available. GotGs: Gift of the Givers 35
Drought Intervention Boreholes Province Number of Boreholes Refurbished Newly Drilled Total Working Kwa-Zulu Natal 236 29 265 Free State 22 19 41 Limpopo 1 692 6 1 698 Mpumalanga 40 168 208 North West * * 0 Eastern Cape 30 * 30 Northern Cape * 21 21 Western cape * * 0 Gauteng * * 0 TOTAL 2 020 243 2 263 * No information available. 36
Province No. Local Municipalities Assisted (1) Assisted (1) Kwa-Zulu Natal 35 53 DWS tankers & 10 municipal tankers deployed, 81 hired and 589 tanks installed, Boreholes: 149 drilled, 12 equipped, 85 repaired. Water transfer from Uthukela to umhlathuze catchment, Othongathi transfer to Hazelmere Dam, Mpambanyoni emergency scheme for South Coast, release of water from Ntshingwayo Dam, Excavator put in Umfolozi River, Deployment of engineers to struggling municipalities Free State 14 Mantsopa, Setsoto, Mantsopa, Dihlabeng, Nketoana, Maluti-A- Phofung, Masilonyana, Tokologo, Ngwathe, Mafube, Moqhaka, Naledi, Mohokare, Letsemeng & Kopanong Water release from Katse & Sterkfontein, 65 municipal & 12 DWS water, 1 by Gift of the Givers trucks providing tankering services, 32 boreholes equipped & connected, assessment of boreholes done Limpopo Magalies Water directed to intervene in Modimolle with the reinstatement of capacity of the Donkerhoek water Treatment works and reinstatement of vandalized boreholes. Currently undertaking a total assessment of groundwater situation to assist in focussing the interventions. Mpumalanga 6 Msukalingwa, Lekwa, Thembisile Hani, Dr J.S Moroka, Mkhondo, Bushbuckridge. (168 MIG) 15 boreholes drilled, refurbishment of 40 boreholes, 54 Municipalities Tankers, 112 water storage tanks installed, refurbishment of Suidkaap WTW 37
Province Number Local Municipalities Assisted (2) Assisted (2) North West 7 LMs: Ramotshere Moila LM, Kgetlengrivier LM, Mamusa LM, Ratlou LM, Madibeng, Moretele LM Interventions Intensifying WCWDM, Emergency borehole drilling, 20 DWS Tankers Eastern Cape 28 Nyandeni, ingquza Hill, Mhlntlo, Port St Johns, King Saba Dalindyebo, Mbizana, Ntabankulu, Matatiele, umzimvubu, Intsika Yethu, Engcobo, Inxuba Yethemba, Emalahleni, Inkwanca, Lukhanji, Mbashe, Mnquma, Interventions: 28 operational boreholes, 41 municipal water tankers, 13 DWS tankers. Water release from Katse to Aliwal North Northern Cape 4 Desalination of brackish and saline water from boreholes, 10 municipal water tankers deployed, drilling of boreholes & improved telemetry system Western cape Water restrictions currently in place on various municipalities and the City of Cape Town Metro. Media Campaigns on water conservation, rainwater harvesting. Groundwater Studies for the determination of potential and yields in advanced planning stage. Gauteng - Assistance mainly provided by agriculture through provision of feedlots TOTAL 94
Special Programmes and Projects (1) Province Name of Programme/Projects Progress Made Kwa-Zulu Natal Free State Installation of restrictors Static Tanks Drop a Block Policing Restrictions War on Leaks 16 000 installed in ethekwini, ugu, Zululand & umzinyathi 589 installed Provincial programme launched Mangaung Metro dealt with 123 transgressions Leaks repaired on Smithfield pipeline Limpopo Groundwater Assessment Total assessment of groundwater situation underway using GRIP database WTW Refurbishment Works at Suidkaap WTW completed in Aug 2015 Mpumalanga RPF & RHP Resources Poor Farmers and Rainwater Harvesting programmes for 2015/6 almost completed WCWDM Intensification of Water Conservation and Water Demand Management underway Steel Installed Water-tanks At Dr JS Moroka 39
Province Special Programmes and Projects (2) Name of Progress Made Programme/Projects Eastern Cape War on Leaks Mass leak repairs in Aliwal North North West Repair Borehole Pumps DWS, Sedibeng and Magalies Water assisting LMs Campaigns In media on water conservation, rainwater harvesting, being planned. Western Cape Groundwater Studies Desalination Plant(s) Recycling of Waste Water Determination of potential and yields being planned Planning being done. Investigation into viability for coastal towns, Durbanville & Malmesbury plants working for agricultural use. Gauteng War on Leaks Refurbishment WTW Programme underway in Mogale City Work on Randfontein WTW underway 40
Special Programmes and Projects (3) Province Name of Programme/Projec ts Fraserburg Monitoring Plan Progress Made Completed and approved for implementation. Northern Cape Groundwater Monitoring Assessment and Several programmes underway for the intensive monitoring of borehole and aquifer assessments to determine trends and water quality. 41
Intervention by restrictions & shedding Restrictions is applied to stop supplying less critical uses in order to avoid emptying the water resource completely. For urban use, critical use include water for the house, unlike gardening, swimming etc. Restrictions are gazetted by Minister or as delegated and if implemented, lasts until the drought is broken. Status of restrictions on schemes countrywide are summarized in slides below. 42
Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (1) Province System Dams 29/02/2016 (%) Mpumalanga Ohrigstad dam Mkhombo Dam Restriction (s) 8.0 90% for irrigation 27 20% for domestic Comments Sekhukhune DM Not Gazetted yet. Buffelskloof 31 35% for Irrigation Not Gazetted yet. (Crocodile River System) Kwena Dam 50 Lomati Dam 18 Primkop dam, 15 Sabie river system (Injaka dam) 64 60% for irrigation 20% for domestic 20 % for domestic 20 % for domestic 60% for irrigation 20 % for domestic 40 % for irrigation Nkomazi Notices issued by IUCMA to water users Umjindi Notices issued by IUCMA to water users Notices issued by IUCMA to water users Bushbuckridge Notices issued by IUCMA to water users 43
Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (2) Province System Dams (%) Restriction (s) Comments Western Cape Western Water System Cape Supply 38 Domestic 20% Voluntary restrictions implemented by local authorities in Matzikam, Cederburg, Bergrivier, Swartland, Drakenstein, Stellenbosch, Witsenberg, Prince Albert Clanwilliam Dam 24 Irrigation 40% Lower Olifants WUA Northern Cape Groundwater Supply Restrictions implemented in: Brandvlei, Loeriesfontein, Williston, Vanwyksvlei, Victoria West and Loxton Water shedding: water supplied from 17:00 to 21:00 Namakwa DM, Pixley ka- Seme. 44
Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (3) Province System Dams (%) 29/02/16 Kwa-Zulu Natal Hazelmere Dam 34 Goedetrouw Dam 25 Klipfontein Dam 21 Hluhluwe Dam 18 Middle South Coast System Umzinto & EJ Smith Restriction (s) Domestic 50% Irrigation - 100% Domestic 30% Irrigation - 70% Industry -10% Domestic 15% Irrigation 50% Domestic 10% Irrigation 40% 95 Domestic 25% Lake Merthley 17 Domestic 30% Ixopo Farm Dams Chrystal Dam Springs Mgeni System 59 Domestic 50% Irrigation 100% Domestic - 50% Domestic & Urban 15% Irrigation 50% Comments Ilembe Gazetted 03 July 2015/38924 New Gazette submitted Uthungulu Gazetted 03 July 2015/38924 New Gazette submitted Zululand DM, Abaqulusi LM Gazetted 03 July 2015/38924 New Gazette submitted Umkhanyakude Gazetted 03 July 2015/38924 New Gazette submitted Ugu DM Gazetted 03 July 2015/38924 New Gazette submitted Umzinyathi DM Not Gazetted yet Harry Gwala DM Not Gazetted yet Not Gazetted yet ethekwini Metro, umgungundlovu DM 45 Not Gazetted yet
Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (4) Province System Dams 29/02/2016 (%) Restriction (s) Comments KwaZulu-Natal Free State Buffalo System (Zaaihoek, Ntshingwayo, Preston, Donald McHardy) Tugela River downstream Driel Barrage & Spioenkop Mangaung System: Rustfontein, Knellpoort, Welbedacht & Groothoek Zaaihoek 59%, Ntshingwayo 56%, other dams 0% Domestic 30% Irrigation 100% 635 Domestic 15% Irrigation 40% 30 Armenia 10 Domestic 20% 12 February 2016/39679 Irr=50% on 14/03/2014-37421 Domestic 10% Irrigation 65% Sand-Vet WUA Not Gazetted yet. Krugersdrift 7.0 Irrigation 25% Not Gazetted yet. Kalkfontein 6.0 Groothoek and Tierpoort Dams at 0% Irrigation 100% Domestic 40% Gazetted 19 February 2016/39718 Allemanskraal 14 Irrigation 92% Gazetted 12 February 2016/39679 Erfenis 8.7 Irrigation 85% Gazetted 12 February 2016/39679 D=40% recommended. 46
Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (5) Province System Dams 15/02/2016 (%) Restriction (s) Luphephe 13 Irrigation - 50% Comments Limpopo Nwanedi 38 Irrigation 55% Nzhelele 34 Irrigation 10% Mutshedzi 33 Domestic 35% Middle- Letaba Nsami 15 Tzaneen 31 26 Irrigation 65% Domestic 20% Irrigation 60% Irrigation 35% Domestic 10% Vhembe DM Gazetted 2 September 2015/39159 Gazetted 2 September 2015/39159 Mopani DM Gazetted 2 September 2015/39159 Modjadji Domestic 20% Gazetted 2 September 2015/39159 Glen Alpine 11 Irrigation 70% Submitted in Feb 2016 47
Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (6) Province System Dams 29/02/2016 (%) Restriction (s) Comments Koster 35 Domestic 50% Irrigation 100% Sehujwane 77 Domestic 70% Marico Boveld 16 Irrigation 54,3% Kgethleng LM November 2013/Not published Ramotshere Moira LM Not Gazetted yet Not Gazetted yet Kromellenbogen 14 Irrigation 9,7% Not gazetted yet North West Swartruggens 0.7 Domestic 100% Pella 39 Domestic 65% Molatedi 6.7 Domestic 50% Irrigation 75% Kgethleng River LM Not Gazetted yet Pella Not Gazetted yet Ngaka Modiri Molema Not Gazetted yet Madikwe 26 Domestic 20% Not Gazetted yet Wenzel Domestic 40% Mmamusa Not Gazetted yet Johan Neser, Lindleyspoort and Swartruggens Dams are at 0% 48
Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (7) Province System Dams 29/02/2016 (%) Restriction (s) Comments Eastern Cape Algoa System 95 Domestic 15% Mhlanga Dam 13 Domestic 20% Corana Dam 31 Domestic 15% Nqadu 50 Domestic 20% Belfort Dam 100 Domestic 30% Ntenetyana Dam 41 Domestic 10% Xilinxa Dam 28 Domestic 10% Toleni Dam 46 Domestic 10% Ncora Dam 75 Nqweba Dam 41 Domestic 10% NMBM, Kouga LM Not Gazetted yet. ORT DM Gazetting proposed Not Published yet ORT DM Gazetting proposed Not Published yet ORT DM Gazetting proposed Not Published yet ANDM Gazetting proposed Not Published yet ADM Gazetting proposed Not Published yet ADM Gazetting proposed Not Published yet ADM Gazetting proposed Not Published yet No hydro power Chris Hani District Municipality generation below Gazetting proposed Not Published yet 50% Camdeboo LM Gazetting proposed Not Published yet 49
Province Western Cape Intervention by Restrictions & Shedding (7) Number of Dams with Restrictions: Notices Published Notices in Draft - - Voluntary 2 (incl 1 system) Notices Issued by CMAs Groundwater - - Mpumalanga - 3 2 4 - Northern Cape - - - - 7 KwaZulu-Natal 5 (incl 1 system) 11 (incl5 system) - - - Freestate 6 (incl 1 System) - - - - Limpopo 7 1 - - - North West - 8 - - - Eastern Cape - 10 (incl1 system) - - - TOTAL 18 (incl 2 systems) 33 4 (incl 1 system) 4 7 50
The Role of Civil Society Since the beginning of 2016, we have witnessed an unprecedented humanitarian support from civil society South Africans from all walks of life, from very young school children, adults, community based organisations and business are coming forward and making financial contributions and donations of 5 litre bottled drinking water for distribution to needy communities across the country by amongst others, Operation Hydrate and Gift of Givers supported by Nelson Mandela Foundation and Proudly South African 51
What can you do to protect our scarce resource? Consumers need to be conscious of the consequences of actions with regard to water use. Some tips for water saving are: o Fix leaking taps, toilets and pipes; o Re-use water for flushing toilets and gardening; o Collect water from rainfall; o Plant indigenous plants; o Don t leave taps running; o Don t leave the tap running when brushing teeth. 52 52
PART C Progress on the disbursement of drought relief funding to provinces 53
Context It should be noted that only Kwa-Zulu Natal received dedicated funding for drought interventions Other provinces are using funds which are reprioritised in DWS budget Funds prioritized according to need, level of stress (criticality), expected effectiveness, viability & speed of interventions, and numbers of households being affected 54
Funding for drought relief interventions An initial amount of R352.4 million was reallocated to drought relief programme (R154.5 million was funded from WTE whilst R197.7 million was funded from Main account A further R185 million was allocated from WTE during 2015/16 financial year resulting in a total allocation of R340 million from WTE National Treasury has disallowed roll over of R46 million and Water Services Operating Subsidy of (WSOS) of R50.5 million Reprioritisation of R61.5 million had to be done from other programmes A total allocation of R502 million
DWS-KZN Support Per WSA SUB-PROJECTS Budget Amount Invoiced Recommended/ Pending with Finance Amount Paid Spent % Spent R R 11 035 508.81 R 11 188 838.81 48% R R 33 129 439.84 84% R R 78 067 429.81 R 82 981 711.70 74% R R 67 629 786.95 85% R R 28 320 366.55 R 28 445 676.28 89% R R 21 278 438.22 46% R R 27 859 336.67 R 34 422 673.46 87% R R 20 295 956.87 R 22 651 424.28 91% R R 13 386 837.60 57% R R 7 957 977.83 76% R R 46 780 454.49 82% R R 1 771 350.47 R 1 873 964.69 43% R R 7 942 786.90 88% R R 365 455 671.01 R 379 670 011.05 76% HARRY GWALA R 23 312 279.20 R 15 018 676.38 153 330.00 ILEMBE R 39 393 279.20 R 35 551 147.48 33 129 439.84 UMKHANYAKUDE R 112 811 395.00 R 97 039 732.70 4 914 281.89 UMZINYATHI R 79 920 224.00 R 82 478 535.74 67 629 786.95 UGU R 31 913 122.20 R 29 337 046.04 125 309.73 UTHUNGULU R 46 038 213.80 R 21 278 438.22 21 278 438.22 ZULULAND R 39 693 000.00 R 36 914 710.21 6 563 336.79 UMGUNGUNDLOVU R 25 000 000.00 R 25 000 000.12 2 355 467.41 UTHUKELA R 23 503 197.60 R 23 401 101.42 13 386 837.60 AMAJUBA R 10 500 000.00 R 7 957 977.83 7 957 977.83 UMGENI WATER R 56 847 971.00 R 56 838 878.74 46 780 454.49 PROGRAMME MANAGEMENT R 4 388 868.09 R 1 873 964.69 102 614.22 MHLATHUZE WATER R 8 982 876.24 R 9 962 664.22 7 942 786.90 Grand Total R 502 304 426.33 R 442 652 873.79 14 214 340.04 56
Overall Financial Progress PROJECTS APPROVED BUDGET AMOUNT INVOICED Spent % Spent Boreholes 42 010 100 34 273 698 23 913 523 57% Refurbishment & Upgrade 168 484 511 125 071 820 104 962 411 62% Spring protection 14 152 360 12 709 792 7 725 796 55% Water Tanker Rental 30 981 000 31 310 742 30 790 434 99% Water Tanks 9 284 000 8 813 312 8 753 084 94% Programme Management 4 388 868 1 873 965 1 873 965 43% Ops 3 618 000 3 940 433 3 368 418 93% NWRI Water Tanker Procurement 66 934 188 66 934 188 66 934 188 100% Phase 2-Drought Interventions 9 019 224 9 533 831 8 173 225 91% Phase 2-Interim Water Tankering 95 054 204 91 352 215 76 394 512 80% Phase 2-Water Tanks 1 530 000 0 0% Phase 2- Umgeni Water Emergency Schemes 56 847 971 56 838 879 46 780 454 82% Grand Total 502 304 426 442 652 874 379 670 011 76% 57
Tanker Purchase Additional rented tankers deployed 23 December 5 Umkhanykude DM 3 Zululand DM, Abaqulisi LM WSA Number Budget Tankers Delivered Drivers Water Delivered to date Average hh served per month Ugu DM 8 11 899 411 8 10 25 656 000 486 Uthukela DM 9 13 386 838 9 9 42 209 000 878 Umkhanyakude DM 15 22 311 396 15 19 49 336 000 544 Uthungulu DM 7 10 411 985 7 5 16 752 000 463 Ilembe DM 3 4 462 279 3 3 14 509 000 486 Harry Gwala 3 4 462 279 3 3 15 552 000 375 66 934 188 45 49 164 014 000 3 233 58
Water tank installations WSA Number of Tanks Budget Tanks installed Storage (l) Progress Ugu DM 144 2 160 000 114 720 000 Complete - 30 tanks temporarily utilised in the Mzimkhulu emergency situation Umkhanyakude DM 81 2 000 000 95 405 000 Complete Ilembe DM 350 4 724 000 350 1 750 000 Complete Harry Gwala 30 400 000 30 150 000 Complete 605 9 284 000 589 59
Refurbishment and Upgrades PROJECTS APPROVED BUDGET AMOUNT INVOICED SPENT % SPENT Refurbishment & Upgrade R 168 484 511.00 R 125 071 819.77 R 104 962 410.74 62% HARRY GWALA R 9 800 000.00 R 2 153 250.48 R 1 522 102.41 16% ILEMBE R 3 199 000.00 R 1 037 713.40 R - 0% UGU R 8 340 000.00 R 8 272 604.04 R 8 272 604.04 99% UMGUNGUNDLOVU R 25 000 000.00 R 25 000 000.12 R 22 651 424.28 91% UMKHANYAKUDE R 51 746 827.00 R 42 781 592.89 R 31 780 868.19 61% UMZINYATHI R 24 845 000.00 R 27 419 296.09 R 23 487 113.00 95% UTHUKELA R 1 162 800.00 R 1 159 063.93 R - 0% UTHUNGULU R 24 690 884.00 R - 0% ZULULAND R 19 700 000.00 R 17 248 298.82 R 17 248 298.82 88% Uthungulu allocation to now be funded from unspent MWIG allocation Umkhanyakude contracts awarded late Projects not completed by mid-march will be funded from WSAs grants 60
Spring protection WSA Approved Budget Progress Claimed to Date Paid by DWS Ugu DM 2 500 000 Approximately 80 springs protected. 2 220 121 1 713 550 Uthukela DM 1 395 360 16 Springs throughout the district have been identified and assessed. All materials have been delivered at the specific sites, project on finalization stage. 1 297 000 0 Zululand DM Ilembe DM Harry Gwala 4 320 000 The total of 13 springs were completed. Planned numbers of households to be served: 206 Planned number of jobs to be created: 88 837 000 JOAT carried out spring protection at the following areas: Ndwedwe - Shaka, Mayekeni, Edamini, Kwadeda, Enkivane, Kwadukuza - Ashville, Maphumulo - Mambedweni, Nombokojwana, Ntombiyehlulunina, Esiqhoqhweni. This works is undertaken as part of the WCDM contract by JOAT to speed up the process. 5 100 000 15 spring protection projects are currently underway. 14 of these schemes are more than 98% complete and contractors are busy with snags. The remainng Ohlabeni Spring under Ingwe is still under construction. Communities are already benefiting from these schemes. - 95 % completion is the overall progress. 2 132 830 1 315 525 811 980 0 3 907 791 1 977 462 61
Boreholes WSA Planned Approved Budget Sited Drilled Equipped Repaired Uthukela DM 21 7 558 200 95 16 275 Zululand DM 77 11 550 000 64 64 44 Umkhanyakude DM 70 17 101 900 70 70 23 Ilembe DM 9 2 250 000 4 4 Harry Gwala DM 12 3 550 000 12 12 12 189 42 010 100 245 166 79 275 Uthukela in process of equipping Harry Gwala busy with snagging Umkhanyakude and Ilembe progress delayed due to delays in payment of the service provider 62
PART D Interventions by Department of Agriculture, Forestry & Fisheries 63
Province FOOD ACCESS BY PROVINCE & NUMBERS Population Inadequate access to food Percentage Western Cape 6 130 791 1792838 29,2% Eastern Cape 6 655 658 2237401 33,6% Northern Cape 1 172 624 383727 32,7% Free State 2 757 924 603523 21,9% KwaZulu-Natal 10 560 000 3481881 33,0% North West 3 649 660 1594274 43,7% Gauteng 13 000 000 2052802 15,8% Mpumalanga 4 181 594 1276556 30,5% Limpopo 5 585 234 637925 11,4% South Africa 53 693 485 14 060 927 26,2% Source: StatsSA GHS 2014 64
IMPACT ON MAIZE PRODUCTION [ARABLE LAND IN SA] NB: The drought has affected mostly high arable land in SA. Area planted for maize has been reduced by 25.90% South Africa will produce 7 256 million tons and expected imports of 3 900 million tons Therefore RSA will have sufficient stock levels of maize, until end of April 2017 65 Source : Crop Estimate Committee 2016
Prov. Prov. Requests FS R102,5 million KZN R142 million Agricultural Drought measures Equitable share R10 692 million R69 million Areas Fezile Dabi Lejweleputswa Mangaung Metro Xhariep Thabo Mofutsanyane. UMgungundlov u, ethekwini, ilembe, uthungulu, Zululand, Amajuba, umzinyathi and uthukela, Harry Gwala, UMkhanyakude No. Assisted Farmers Catego ry 2907 Subsist ence and smallho lder farmers 4750 Small, medium and Large scale farmers 66 Type of assistance 50 kg bags of Protein based pellets Registered licks, ruminant drought pellets, registered dairy meal, salt, Multi vitamins, vaccines, dip and water harvesting equipment CASP approved allocation R 29 million R 45 million CASP funding progress Implementation has commenced in Thabo Mofutsanyane District Municipality for drilling and equipping of boreholes. Phase1-R36 million: Farmers assisted with livestock feed and water harvesting equipment materials. Phase2-R9million livestock Deworming: to commence in January 2016 Livestock water resource needs 132 boreholes 75 dams 52 boreholes
Prov. LP MP Prov. Requests R51 million R71 million NW R 3,4 billion Equitable share R3 million R1,8 million Agricultural Drought measures Areas Capricon, Mopani, Vhembe, Waterberg, Sekhukhune Nkomazi and Bushbuck Ridge No. Assisted Farmers 1392 farmers assisted from provincial Equitable share. 5649 farmers to be assisted under CASP. Category Small and subsistenc e communal farmers 144 farmers Communal farmers Type of assistance 40 kg bags of Mix concentrat e 350 kg Round bales None None None None 25 kg bags of drought meal or pellets CASP approve d allocatio n R 51 million R33,6 million R 33,9 million CASP funding progress Orders issued for livestock feed to vale of R21,4 million. Orders issued for livestock water infrastructure and work has commenced in the Vhembe Province inviting quotations from service providers Implementation progress in Dr. Ruth Segomotsi Mompati & Ngaka Modiri Molema - hardest hit. 1278 farmers assisted with drought meal and pellets. Livestock water resource needs 125 boreholes 52 boreholes and windmills 328 projects 67
Prov. Prov. Requests Equitable share Agricultural Drought measures Areas No. Assisted Farmers Category Type of assistance CASP approved allocation CASP funding progress Livestock water resource needs NC Not yet available R7,6million Leeurisfontein; Brandvlei; Calvinia 257 farmers 212 Commerci al 45 Communa l Drought Pellets; Lucerne, Maize Not available Not yet available Not available GP R18,8 million R21 million West Rand District, City of Tshwane, Germiston, Sedibeng 469 farmers small scale farmers Total Mix ratio R12 846 000 Not yet available 10 boreholes, 100 tanks and stands, 450 drinking troughs EC R127 980 000 R339 770 Joe Gqabi Chris Hani Alfred Nzo OR Tambo Amathole Not yet available Not yet available Provision of feed and water Not yet available Not available yet Not available WC R62 827 385.84 None Central Karoo and West Coast None None None None Not available 68
Food Security and Nutrition (FSN) Drought response immediate interventions Intervention Programme Social Relief of Distress (SRD) What needs to be done (Key Activities) Emergency food relief to reach about 821 692 vulnerable and affected people in drought areas estimated @ R1217 / food parcel Time Frame Budget (R) Institution Start Date End Date Apr 2016 Sept 2016 1 billion DSD Community Nutrition Development Centre (CNDCs) Expand coverage of CNDCs Apr 2016 Sept 2016 45 832 800 DSD Establish new CNDCs GRAND TOTAL 1 045 832 800 NB: The immediate interventions will require just above R1 billion to cushion to the poor and vulnerable individuals against the projected 12.5% food prices inflation as a result of drought. 69
FSN Drought response: short to medium term interventions Intervention Programme What needs to be done (Key Activities) Vegetable packs - Procurement of vegetable seeds and seedlings Garden equipment and tools - Procurement of garden tools Time Frame Budget (R) Institution Start Date End Date May 2016 Mar 2017 5 100 000 DAFF May 2016 Mar 2017 15 110 000 DAFF MAFISA Soft Loans assistance Reintroduce No Name maize meal - Provide relief for indebted MAFISA beneficiary farmers - Introduce low-cost maize meal May 2016 Mar 2017 45 000 000 DAFF May 2016 Mar 2017 17 000 000 DTI National School Nutrition Programme - Provision of nutritious cooked food to pupils over weekends in affected areas May 2016 November 2016 TBD DBE 70
FSN Drought response : short to medium term interventions Intervention Programme Relocation of Livestock to PLAS farms Communal Water Resource Reservoir monitoring, Water restrictions and tankering Rain water harvesting What needs to be done (Key Activities) - Identify PLAS farms for relocation - Drilling boreholes for community sharing - Monitor water resources and advise on strategies - Provision of water tanks to households Time Frame Budget (R) Institution Start Date End Date June 2016 Nov 2016 47 407 191 DRDLR June 2016 Mar 2017 15 000 000 DRDLR June 2016 Mar 2017 10 500 000 DWS June 2016 Mar 2017 18 000 000 DWS Monitoring disease impacts - Surveillance of disease incidents June 2016 Ongoing Budgeted for by DOH DoH Food Supplementation Programme - Fortify food to enhance nutrition June 2016 Mar 2017 Budgeted for by DOH DoH 71
FSN Drought response: short to medium term interventions Intervention Programme Small stock (indigenous goat) What needs to be done (Key Activities) - Breeding and supply of indigenous goat Time Frame Budget (R) Institution Start Date End Date May 2016 Mar 2017 22 057 000 DAFF Indigenous chicken - Breeding and supply of indigenous chicken May 2016 Mar 2017 7 000 000 DAFF 15-Tonne Grain silo s - Construction of grain silos May 2016 Mar 2017 50 000 000 DAFF Drought-tolerant seeds - Coordination and distribution of drought-tolerant seeds Agri-Insurance - Government-run insurance product for smallholder farmers Aug 2016 Mar 2017 37 000 000 ARC Jun 2016 Mar 2017 Policy intervention GRAND TOTAL 289 174 191 DAFF 72
Conclusion If the drought continues SA can expect contraction in Agricultural economy on grain & grain related industries Imports on maize will increase Moderate increases on food inflation can be expected As import grows, there will be pressure to address import requirements in terms of domestic legislation and infrastructure Intensive measures for both relief and recovery will be required 73
THANK YOU! 74