Improvements in Landsat Pathfinder Methods for Monitoring Tropical Deforestation and Their Extension to Extra-tropical Areas

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Improvements in Landsat Pathfinder Methods for Monitoring Tropical Deforestation and Their Extension to Extra-tropical Areas PI: John R. G. Townshend Department of Geography (and Institute for Advanced Computing Studies) University of Maryland

Objectives Objectives To assess whether the overall approach successfully used in Landsat Pathfinder for the humid tropics can also be used in other regions to satisfy the needs of the Global Observations of Forest Cover To carry out large scale prototyping of several advanced processing procedures, including pre-processing to reduce atmospheric and MTF effects, multi-temporal unsupervised processing, application of decision-tree methodologies, mixture modeling and other advanced procedures developed under previous research.

Objectives Objectives To assess the improvements introduced by advanced processing procedures using data from areas in the Pan- Amazon and Central Africa that were part of the previous Landsat Pathfinder work. Investigate how the original Landsat Pathfinder methodology and the enhancements proposed operate in selected areas throughout the globe. Paraguay, southern Africa, central Asia, Eastern United States, selected sites in the boreal forest.

Science Implications Science Implications The Landsat Pathfinder project has demonstrated the feasibility of monitoring forest cover change over very large areas using Landsat data. To extend this approach to satisfy the needs of the Global Observations of Forest Cover will require an assessment that the overall approach successfully used in Landsat Pathfinder for the humid tropics can also be used in other regions and that more automated procedures are used.

NASA Landsat Pathfinder Humid Tropical Deforestation Project A collaborative effort between the University of Maryland at College Park s Geography Department, Michigan State University and NASA Goddard Space Flight Center s GIMMS Group. The goal of this work is to map global deforestation for the humid tropics. Heritage Data sets from both the TM and MSS of Landsat have been used for three time periods, the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s. The project has focused on - the Amazon Basin, Central Africa, and Southeast Asia, which are the three regions where most of the tropical deforestation in the world has occurred. The Pathfinder project includes about 75% of the tropical rain forest areas. The University of Maryland has had responsibility for the non-brazilian Amazon Basin (also known as the Pan-Amazon) along with central Africa (Details can be found at http://www.geog.umd.edu/tropical/main.html) and Michigan State University has responsibility for the Brazilian Amazon Basin and Southeast Asia.

Heritage Landsat Pathfinder Procedures for Classification Utilize existing automated methods Utilize the skills of the human interpreter to refine the classification Multispectral/ Multitemporal approach

Landsat Pathfinder Procedures for Classification Heritage Landsat Pathfinder produces simple but accurate maps of the humid tropical forest - nonforest boundary based on Thematic Mapper (TM) data from the Landsat satellites. This information can be used to detect changes in forest cover, for modeling global climate change or for other research purposes. Pathfinder uses isodata clustering image processing algorithms to produce thematic maps from Landsat imagery. Spectral data from two coregistered scenes are processed simultaneously so that areas of change can be readily identified. The example presented here uses a small portion of Landsat scenes of the northwest Democratic Republic of Congo from 1987 and 1994. 0 5 km 0 5 km February 1987 Path 179 Row 058 An 800 x 800 pixel subset of Landsat 5 TM bands 4,5,3 (R,G,B) December 1994 Path 179 Row 058 An 800 x 800 pixel subset of Landsat 5 TM bands 4,5,3 (R,G,B)

Landsat Pathfinder Procedures for Classification Heritage Masks of cloud, shadow, water and land cover are created from the data. Data under cloud, shadow or water masks are not processed further. An unsupervised classification process is applied to data under the land cover masks. Iterative isodata clustering produces large numbers of clusters or groups of pixels based on the spectral data from both images. Forest Nonforest Degraded forest Water Forest to Nonforest (Deforestation) Forest to Degraded Forest (Degradation) Nonforest to Degraded Forest (Regrowth) Degraded forest to Nonforest 0 5 km Composite Map Each cluster is assigned a color which represents a particular land cover type or land cover change between the two images, e.g., forest to nonforest (deforestation), nonforest to forest (regrowth), etc. A modeling program classifies each pixel based on the color assigned to its cluster. The result is a composite map of land cover which includes change between the two scenes.

Landsat Pathfinder Procedures for Classification Heritage The composite map may require editing to reclassify those pixels which are spectrally very similar but represent different cover types. In the example shown here, the plantation areas which appeared as forest are reclassified as nonforest according to the project definitions of cover type. Forest Nonforest Degraded Forest Water Forest to Nonforest (Deforestation) Forest to Degraded Forest (Degradation) Nonforest to Degraded Forest (Regrowth) Degraded forest to Nonforest 0 5 km Edited Change Map

Landsat Pathfinder Procedures for Classification Heritage The edited composite change map is split and filtered into thematic maps for each scene. The thematic maps are georegistered and mosaicked into a country wide product for a specific time period. Forest Nonforest Degraded Forest Water 0 5 km Thematic Map 1987 Thematic Map 1994

Landsat Pathfinder Procedures for Classification Spectral bands time 1 Spectral bands time 2 Composite map Edited composite map Heritage Thematic map time 1 Thematic map time 2

Heritage Landsat Pathfinder Procedures for Classification The current system is producing a very consistent and accurate product as is indicated by the fact that little, or no thematic corrections are ever necessary when adjacent classified scenes are joined together. Mechanisms are in place where, as further auxiliary information is made available, the classification can be improved.

Heritage Results from Landsat Pathfinder Results from Landsat Pathfinder project have produced delimitations of tropical deforestation in the Pan-Amazon with unprecedented accuracy for most areas. Figure 1 shows in summary the distribution of the main hot spots in the Pan-Amazon, but this gives only a very superficial impression of the detailed data base that has been created.

Pan-Am Hotspots

Heritage Results from Landsat Pathfinder Large parts of the Pan-Amazon are being deforested. We have documented a spatially-concentrated "deforestation zone in Santa Cruz where >60% of the Bolivian deforestation is occurring at an accelerating rate in areas of tropical deciduous forest

Heritage Results from Landsat Pathfinder Results of large area classifications are significantly changing views of the rates of tropical deforestation. For example in Bolivia the total closed canopy forest cover extent, including tropical deciduous forest, totaled 472,000 km 2. The area deforested totaled 15,000 km 2 in the middle 1980s and 28,800 km 2 by the early 1990s. The rate of tropical deforestation in forest zone of Bolivia with >1,000 mm y -1 precipitation was 2,200 km 2 y -1 from 1985-1986 to 1992-1994. Our estimates of deforestation are significantly lower than those reported by the FAO, but are higher than in-country estimates since the mid-1980s (Steininger et al. 1999).

Table 1. Summary of deforestation estimated for Bolivian forests, based on digital analysis of Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) and Multispectral Scanning System (MSS) images. All areas are in km2 and rates are in km2 y-1. Data from the 1980s are from 1984 to 1987, the 1990s are from 1992 1994. All forest in the >1000 mm precipitation zone were mapped (Steininger et al. 1999). Department Potential Forest Forest Non- Forest Deforested by the 1980s* Deforested By the 1990s Deforestation 1980s 1990s Water Cloud Nodata Total Area Ben 92,277 87,712 105,699 816 2,909 2,093 9,564 3,030 2,646 211,560 Cochabamba 26,390 20,322 27,834 1,520 2,774 1,255 492 3,346 2,964 57,732 La Paz 64,351 56,318 37,422 1,238 2,869 1,627 849 6,781 24,391 128,626 Pando 58,789 55,999 1,726 665 1,541 876 773 1,264 2,103 63,405 Santa Cruz 218,914 199,373 125,179 10,835 18,616 7,782 2,051 1,390 20,552 367,160 Chuquisaca 11,039 10,842 24,756-91 91 62 151 14,982 50,884 Sum 471,760 430,566 322,615 15,073 28,801 13,724 13,791 15,961 67,638 879,367 *Areas deforested by the middle 1980s were only mapped below 1000 m elevation; 1,645 km2 of the total deforestation between the time periods were in areas over 1000 m above sea level.

Heritage Results from Landsat Pathfinder In Africa rates of deforestation are much less than the Amazon Few very large areas of clearance observed Land cover changes that occur are often associated with previously cleared degraded forests, which have regrown

Results from Landsat Pathfinder Heritage

Methods Methods Preprocessing of Landsat data Mixture Modeling Improved Landsat Pathfinder Procedures Supervised Approaches Application of Coarse Resolution Data Products

Methods Preprocessing of Landsat TM data Automated co-registration Previously tested algorithms (Fonseca and Manjunath 1996). Atmospheric correction. Dark target approach (Kaufman et al. 1988). Algorithm has been successfully implemented on our SP-2 high performance computer

Methods Preprocessing of Landsat TM data MTF Effects Assess the optimal pixel size Explore the development of a non-linear filter Assess the implications of enhancing noise due to this procedure Assess the extent to which these problems impact Thematic Mapper data

MTF table Table 2 Standard Errors of the Estimate (SEE) * of MODIS Simulated Data for 250m Pixels (at the 90% Confidence Limit) for the Reflective Bands, Namely Bands 1 to 5 and 7 (B1 B5 and B7) of the Thematic Mapper for Partially Forested Test Site in Central Maryland. The Final Column Shows the SEE for the Estimated Vs. The Actual Percentages of Land Cover. The Results Indicate the Major Impacts of the MTF of the Sensor and Reductions in Their Impacts by Pixel Enlargement and deconvolution (Townshend Et Al. 1999). Pixel size (m) and procedure for generating images B1 (DN) B2 (DN) B3 (DN) B4 (DN) B5 (DN) B7 (DN) Land Cover % Error 1. 250m, derived by simple averaging 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2. 250m, MTF simulation 3.19 2.99 5.08 2.97 4.58 2.13 11.00 3. 500m, aggregated from 2 1.19 1.14 1.93 1.03 1.68 0.80 4.16 4. 250m, MTF deconvolved 1.44 1.40 2.38 1.20 2.01 0.97 5.11 5. 500m, aggregated from 4 0.62 0.63 1.06 0.44 0.85 0.42 2.24

Methods Mixture Modeling Intend to apply mixture modeling to assist in classifying areas of partial tree cover. Two approaches will be tested. Characterize each scene as a mixture of basic components to assist in the labeling of the clusters in the unsupervised classification Derive proportions of scene components and then derive differences in proportions between adjacent time periods

Methods Improved Landsat Pathfinder Procedures The most time-consuming part of the work for the human analyst is the assigning the hundreds of spectral clusters labels of the land cover classes. Instead we will implement a hybrid unsupervised and supervised classification.

Methods Improved Landsat Pathfinder Procedures This approach will rely on an unsupervised statistics based clustering algorithm to iteratively create several hundred cluster classes. Clusters will then be automatically assigned to output classes based on training bitmaps created by the human analyst.

Methods Improved Landsat Pathfinder Procedures Where a cluster is included in more than one of the land cover classes, bit maps will automatically be created over all pixels belonging to those classes throughout the scene Subsequent unsupervised classification will then be carried out until all clusters are only associated with a single land cover class. Analyst input will still be needed but this procedure has been shown to reduce their level of effort by a factor between approximately 2 and 3 dependent on the scene being analyzed.

Methods Improved Landsat Pathfinder Procedures Analyst first identifies polygon bitmaps on image which are assigned to a vegetation or change class. Forest Deforestation Non-Forest

Methods Improved Landsat Pathfinder Procedures Unsupervised clustering algorithm is run independently of the training sites. Clustering output Forest 2 3 6 7 Non-Forest 7 12 15 25 Deforestation 33 50 120 200 We have developed a program to compare the training site bitmaps and the output clusters from the unsupervised classification.

Methods Improved Landsat Pathfinder Procedures Clustering output Thematic Map Automatic Modeling Those clusters belonging solely to a single land cover class will be automatically labeled and will not need to be examined further by the analyst. Where a cluster is derived which includes more than one of the land cover classes, then bit maps will automatically be created over all pixels belonging to those classes throughout the scene and subsequent unsupervised classification will then be carried out until all clusters are only associated with a single land cover class.

Methods Supervised Approaches Increasingly improvements in our understanding of spectral classes and ground conditions means that a more directed supervised approach becomes feasible in many areas. We will evaluate the following approaches. Neural nets Multi-layer perceptron (MLP) - Three layer network structure (input, hidden and output) Decision Tree Classifiers

Application of Coarse Resolution Data Products We will examine the extent to which we can use multi-temporal sequences of MODIS data, especially the NDVI and its improved vegetation indices to assist the characterization of forest types especially in relation to leaf type and duration.

Extension to Other Regions Sub-tropical forests in South America including the Chacoan Forests Woodlands and wooded grasslands of Eastern Africa including woodland types such as miombo and mopane woodlands Deciduous and mixed temperate forests in Maryland. Boreal forests from central Asia in Mongolia, Russia and Alaska.

Assessment of Procedures Assessment of Procedures Two main approaches will be adopted in assessing the performance of the various procedures Carefully characterized ground sites based on field work Previously well characterized complete scenes based on field work and previous Landsat Pathfinder classification

Ground sites based on field work by collaborators Assessment of Procedures These sites will be used primarily to assess the accuracy of the procedures that are developed Southern Santa Cruz, Bolivia - Dr. Tim Killeen Noel Kempf National Park, Bolivia - Dr. Tim Killeen Venezuela - Dr. Otto Huber of the University Simon Bolivar, Caracas Manaus, Brazil - Dr. Marc Steininger Southern Africa Woodlands MODIS validation team Boreal Forests - Dr. Eric Kasischke of ERIM, Dr Clyde Goulden of the Institute of Mongolian Biodiversity & Ecological Studies 3 sites in Maryland MODIS

Assessment of Procedures Previous Landsat Pathfinder Classifications Sites in the tropics will be used primarily to assess the extent to which Landsat Pathfinder results involving intensive human intervention can be reproduced with much less intervention. Sites include: 230-072 near Santa Cruz 006-055 in Venezuela 231-062 in Brazil Central African image TBD

Path 006 Row 055 Nov. 1 1987 Apr. 26 1999

Assessment of Procedures Extra-Tropical Test Sites We intend to develop similar thoroughly checked scenes in temperate forests in Paraguay and in boreal forests in Mongolia, Russia, and Alaska. The scenes and reference sites from outside of the tropics will be used to assess the extent to which Landsat Pathfinder methodology and the proposed enhancements to this approach can be extrapolated to other regions

Hovsgol

Data Plan Data Plan New Methods Testing Landsat 4 & 5 TM images acquired through Landsat Pathfinder Project Extension to New Regions Landsat 7, EarthSat Geo-registered dataset, Landsat 4 & 5 Selected Ikonos scenes and other ultra-high resolution images

Data Plan Data Plan Landsat Images and classification products will be stored and distributed through the Global Land Cover Facility.

Work Schedule Work Schedule -Year 1 Landsat Pathfinder methods will be first tested in those extra-tropical areas most similar to the areas in tropical areas characterized by large scale clearance such as the clearance types in Paraguay discussed above. Test automated co-registration techniques and implement the most accurate and robust techniques based on our evaluation.

Work Schedule Work Schedule -Year 1 (cont d) Implement the pre-processing procedures associated with atmospheric correction and test the MTF effects for TM data to decide the pixel size to be used and whether deconvolution should be implemented. The improvements in unsupervised procedures will be tested and implemented.

Work Schedule Work Schedule -Year 2 Test the mixture modeling and supervised components of the approach to assess whether they bring substantial additional benefits. Assess Landsat Pathfinder methods including enhancements in test sites in the boreal zone.

Work Schedule Work Schedule -Year 3 The most spatially and temporally complex areas will be examined to assess whether processes provide sufficiently reliable performance. Investigate the contribution of coarser resolution data sets for improved characterization of forest types in terms of leaf type and duration. Participate with GOFC activities providing advice on how to improve the characterization and monitoring of forest cover.

Paraguay example

Tierras Bajas, Bolivia

Cochabamba, Bolivia

References