SESSION 3: ENERGY AND TOURISM NOVEMBER 16 TH, 2016

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SESSION 3: ENERGY AND TOURISM NOVEMBER 16 TH, 2016

AGENDA 8:00 am Coffee and networking 8:30 am Sustainable Energy, followed by a group discussion 10:00 am Coffee and networking 10:30 am Sustainable Tourism and assessing your country s current situation 12:00 am Closing discussion & evaluation 12:30 am Closing lunch 2 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

SUSTAINABLE ENERGY Ruurd Schoolderman Robert-Jan Moons

ISLAND ENERGY SYSTEMS CHALLENGES & NEEDS 4 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

WHY RENEWABLE ENERGY? Reduce dependency fossil fuels Crude oil price per barrel in US$ Oil & electricity price Aruba 160 450 140 400 120 350 100 300 250 80 200 60 150 40 100 20 50 0 0 Crude oil [1] Electricity [2] Reduce risk induced by oil price volatility Avg. household electricity price Afl. Strengthen internal economy Reduce oil imports and keep energy in internal economy Strengthen balance of payments Reduce carbon footprint 5 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 5

AIMING TOWARDS GREATER SUSTAINABILITY Energy Efficiency Trias Energetica Renewable Energy Efficient use of fossil fuels Source: Roadmap Sustainable Aruba 2020, TNO-report, 2 April 2012 6 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 6

Sustainable Energy Road Mapping WEB ARUBA FUEL REDUCTION

ISLANDS DEMAND LOCAL SOLUTIONS 8 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ISLAND SUSTAINABLE ENERGY 101 Supply & Demand always have to be in balance Traditional generation offers greater control compared to renewables (intermittency) Renewables require spinning reserve or storage to balance supply and demand R.E. integration and reliability related cost increase as share of R.E. increases. 9 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

Sustainable Energy Road Mapping VALUE CHAIN INCREASINGLY COMPLEX

R.E. INCREASES SYSTEM COMPLEXITY Sustainable Energy Road Mapping

ISLAND SUSTAINABLE ENERGY 101 Small scale combined with isolation results in higher cost (redundancy for reliability, logistics) Small changes in R.E. can have big impacts on the system (technical, financial, social equity) Existing agreements and investments may have a major impact in terms of financial and/or technical lock-in Space, public land availability may be issue to develop R.E. resources 12 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

TAKE HOME MESSAGES ISLAND ENERGY Energy Balance: R.E. involves more than P.V. panels or windmills (integration & reliability). Local island situation impacts local Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) As R.E. share increases so does cost of integration (under current technology status) 13 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

WHY A ROADMAP? TO MANAGE RISKS Insular environment Implications No grid interconnections Independent energy system Relatively small energy system 14 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 Greater impact renewable energy Greater system dynamics Risk of high costs if done poorly 14

ROADMAP HOW? Finish Start 15 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 15

ROAD MAP QUESTIONS BEFORE YOU START What s your starting position? Where do you want to end up? What resources do you have to get there? Who are you bringing along (and what does that mean)? What is your timeframe? What are your expectations of the destination? 16 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

Sustainable Energy Road Mapping

ISLAND ENERGY ROAD MAP STEPS 1. Commit & convene 2. Establish a leadership & technical team 3. Establish guiding principles 4. Assess current system, trends & developments 5. Island resource assessment (R.E., $$, capacity etc.) 6. Scenario development (high level) 7. Scenario evaluation, adjustment and selection preferred scenario 8. Implementation & Monitoring Strategy 18 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 Resource: Energy Transition Initiative: Island Playbook

STEP 1: COMMIT & CONVENE Involve essential stakeholders Develop locally supported solutions Create an open innovation platform Create an adaptive system 19 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAP SUSTAINABLE ARUBA 20 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

STEP 2: LEADERSHIP & TECHNICAL TEAM Leadership team sets vision, requirements and general direction, decides Responsible minister, secretary or director Utility director(s) Private Independent Power Providers (if applicable) Technical team researches & analyses options based no direction; informs decision makers Utility technical and financial leads Policy lead External technical advisors 21 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

STEP 3: ESTABLISH GUIDING PRINCIPLES Interest Reliable Affordable Energy: A basic need Sustainable Projected demand growth Social equity Energy independence / Resilience 22 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 22

ENERGY TRANSITIONS, LIMITATIONS KEEPING IT AFFORDABLE AND RELIABLE 23 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 23

ENERGY TRANSITIONS, CONSIDERATIONS Most products or services Good Slow Expensive Pick 2 Energy Reliable Cheap Fast Affordable Sustainable Low Quality Dominant aspects so far Central question: what is the right balance for your situation between reliability, affordability and sustainability? 24 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 24

ENERGY TRANSITIONS, CONSIDERATIONS Ability to perform a certain function under specified conditions for as long as possible. Reliable Power system: provide continuous energy at a certain voltage (120Vac) and frequency (50Hz). Robust technology Long life time Local Storage of energy Lowest price possible Stable price Often regulated Affordable Sustainable Abundant source of energy Little waste of energy Little impact on environment 25 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 25

RAS ENERGY MIX DISCUSSION What are your current island s priorities within RAS? How does the energy system ambition level align with finding a balance? Reliable What are other important guiding principles for your island in shaping your energy system? Affordable Sustainable 26 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

STEP 4: ASSESS CURRENT SYSTEM & TRENDS Current production system (equipment & ownership, existing commitments) Demand profile and projection Project pipeline Regulatory & policy framework in place? Adequate? 27 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

STEP 5: ISLAND RESOURCE ASSESSMENT R.E. generation potential (wind profile, space, environmental considerations etc.) Grid infrastructure Human capacity (expertise & knowhow) 28 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

A TECHNICAL R.E. ROADMAP Grid Penetration of RE 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% - Starting Position - Desired End Position 2015 2015 2020 2025 29 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 29

AN ECONOMIC ROADMAP Investment needed $,, 150 120 90 60 30 - Starting Position - Estimated End Position 2015 2015 2020 2025 30 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 30

ROUTES TO A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SYSTEM 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 30Mw Vader Piet 31 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 - Green projects completed/in progress - Orange new projects/options 3.3 Mw Airport Solar 2.5 Mw School Solar WEB 30 Mw Urirama SWAC Bio-Diesel Turbines or Natural Gas? 2013 2015 2018 2020 Solar Plant Third Wind park 35% Consumer reduction >50% Renewable Energy System Strategic Question examples: - Integration Renewables: Storage / Demand-side - Grid-Upgrade requirements - Compatibility existing system/investments - Cost - Reliability implications

STEP 6: SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT INDICATIVE CAPEX (MM USD) 200 Scenario 100% R.E. (met HFO backup) 150 Gas (LPG) 100 Scenario 50% R.E. Wind Solar 50 Scenario Gas (LPG) Battery storage Pumped Hydro storage 32 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 40% R.E. 50% R.E. configurations 100% configurations % Share R.E. 32

STEP 7: PREFERRED SCENARIO SELECTION Change Production Cost Price Scenario Sustainable + 11 + 65 Scenario 100% Sustainable +5 ct/kwh Scenario Business as Usual + 4 +3 0-5 ct/kwh Scenario Gas -9 10% 50% 100% 33 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 % Share R.E. 33

STEP 8: IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY Document roadmap principles in agreement (MoU, joint statement ) Formalize partnership commitments Prepare an Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) which identifies detailed concrete projects and addresses any knowledge gaps identified in the road-map Assign clear leadership, roles and responsibilities to define and carry out the IRP, implement projects and coordinate among the stakeholders in order to implement the roadmap. 34 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

PROCESS SUMMARY Validation 35 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

LESSONS, PITFALLS AND CHALLENGES Competing & vested interests (resistance to change) Disconnect between political ambition and practical (techno-economic) reality Unique challenges of small island energy systems Unclear roles and responsibilities resulting in lack of or unclear leadership or mandate Lack of clear policy/regulatory framework or gaps Limited in-house/local capacity to design and retrofit sustainable energy systems Difficulties in the transition are in general less technology and more capacity, organisational and management driven. 36 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY DISCUSSION Discuss with your group where you are on this subject? What is going well and what challenges are you facing? What are areas where you would like to see technical assistance? 37 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

It s time for a break!

SUSTAINABLE TOURISM Alba Agustin / Jennifer Polman

TOURISM TOURISM HAS A GREAT IMPACT: SOCIAL, ECONOMIC, ENVIRONMENTAL POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE 40 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

IMPACT OF TOURISM 41 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

SOCIAL IMPACTS - Change or loss of indigenous identity and values - Culture clashes - Physical influences causing social stress - Ethical issues - Revaluation of culture and traditions - Employment creation, income redistribution (taxes) - Cultural Diversity - Facilities developed for tourism can benefit residents - Tourism as a force for peace 42 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

SOCIAL IMPACTS NEGATIVE Change or loss of indigenous identity and values Loss of authenticity Adaptation to tourist demands/ expectations Standardization of the place (e.g. with well-known fast-food restaurants and hotel chains) Culture clashes Economic inequality Irritation due to tourist behavior Job level friction Physical influences causing social stress Depriving local people of access Ethical issues Crime generation Child labour Prostitution and sex tourism 43 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016 POSITIVE Revaluation of culture and traditions Strengthening communities Employment creation, income redistribution and poverty alleviation through taxes Tourism encourages civil involvement and pride Cultural Diversity Facilities developed for tourism can benefit residents Tourism as a force for peace

ECONOMIC IMPACTS - Leakage - Enclave tourism - Infrastructure cost - Increase in prices - Economic dependence on tourism - Seasonal character of jobs - Contribution to local economies - Foreign exchange earnings - Stimulation of infrastructure investment - Contribution to government revenues - Employment generation 44 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ECONOMIC IMPACTS NEGATIVE Leakage Import leakage Export leakage POSITIVE Contribution to local economies Foreign exchange earnings Enclave tourism (e.g. all-inclusive, cruise ship) Other negative impacts Infrastructure cost Increase in prices Economic dependence of the local community on tourism Seasonal character of jobs Stimulation of infrastructure investment Contribution to government revenues Employment generation 45 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ENVIRONMENT IMPACTS Depletion of Natural Resources Pollution Physical Impacts Construction activities and infrastructure development Deforestation and intensified or unsustainable use of land Marina development Financial contributions Improved environmental management and planning Environmental awareness raising Protection and preservation Alternative employment Regulatory measures 46 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ENVIRONMENT IMPACTS NEGATIVE Depletion of Natural Resources Pollution Water resources Land degradation Air pollution and noise Solid waste and littering Sewage Aesthetic Pollution Physical Impacts Construction activities and infrastructure development Deforestation and intensified or unsustainable use of land Marina development Alteration of ecosystems by tourist activities (anchoring, snorkeling, sport fishing) POSITIVE Financial contributions Direct financial contributions Contributions to government revenues Improved environmental management and planning Environmental awareness raising Protection and preservation Alternative employment Regulatory measures 47 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

SUSTAINABLE TOURISM "Tourism that takes full account of its current and future economic, social and environmental impacts, addressing the needs of visitors, the industry, the environment and host communities (UNWTO http://sdt.unwto.org) 48 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

BALANCING THREE DIMENSIONS A balance must be established between these three dimensions for long-term sustainability Environment Social Economic Planet People Ecology Equity Profit Economy 49 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM How can you as the public sector promote Sustainable Tourism? 6 criteria s for Sustainable Tourism: 1. Management 2. Nature & scenery 3. Environment & climate 4. Culture & heritage 5. Social well-being 6. Business 50 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM 1. Management 2. Nature & scenery 3. Environment & climate 4. Culture & heritage 5. Social well-being 6. Business Planet 2. Nature & scenery 3. Environment & climate 1. Management People 4.Culture & heritage 5. Social well-being Profit 6. Business 51 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM How can you as the public sector promote Sustainable Tourism? 1: Management Commitment & support of an organizational structure Sustainability coordinator, a clear vision, involving public and private Tourism is carefully planned Baseline assessment of impact, tourism policy and action plan to minimize impact Monitoring and reporting Key indicators, review and evaluation, keeping records, public reporting Legal/ Ethical compliance Codes, fair competition, guideline against corruption 52 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM How can you as the public sector promote Sustainable Tourism? 2: Nature and scenery Nature and conservation Protection natural sites, habitats, wildlife protection, monitoring impact on nature Nature experience Tourism is respectful to nature and supports its protection, minimizing use of animal use in tourism Landscape and scenery Protection of scenic and rural views, minimizing landscape degradation 53 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM How can you as the public sector promote Sustainable Tourism? 3: Environment and Climate Landuse Land use planning, coastal zone planning, maritime spatial planning Water management Water quality, responsible resources management, minimizing usage, waste water treatment Waste & recycling Solid waste reduction, waste separation, waste disposal safely and sustainable Energy Reducing consumption, reduction use fossil fuels, reducing energy use for tourism mobility 54 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM How can you as the public sector promote Sustainable Tourism? 4: Culture and tradition Cultural heritage Traditional architecture, cultural important landscapes, archaeological sites, local arts and craft People and tradition Local life and culture, respecting the authenticity 55 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM How can you as the public sector promote Sustainable Tourism? 5: Social Well-Being Human respect Property rights, indigenous rights, protection of people Community participation Involvement in planning, inhabitant satisfaction, community empowerment Local economy Private sector contribution, promoting local products, socio-economic development in community Social impact Real estate exploitation, combat seasonality 56 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM How can you as the public sector promote Sustainable Tourism? 6: Business & Hospitality Business involvement Sustainability standards to comply, certification, equal fair employment, corporate sustainability strategy Information and marketing Respectful promotion, sustainability information, promotion as a green destination Hospitality and satisfaction Visitor satisfaction feddback, survey, disabilities accessibility 57 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM PLANET 2. Nature & scenery 3. Environment & climate WHAT Protection and preservation Improved environmental management and planning Environmental awareness raising HOW Financial contributions Protection and preservation Alternative employment Regulatory measures SDG related to Planet (ST) 58 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM PEOPLE 4.Culture & heritage SDG related to People (ST) 5. Social well-being WHAT Do employees earn a living wage? Equal fair employment? Do we promote culture/ authenticity? HOW Daily culture Extraordinary events/ Promotion of the country 59 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM PROFIT 6. Business WHAT Are we using resources efficiently? Do we promote local economy? Do we have a tourism management plan? HOW Promotion of Green business: Eco-certification Promotion of PYMES/ artisants Management of seasonality, capacity SDG related to Profit (ST) 60 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM MANAGEMENT Strategy: Culture and Green destination Involve communities / local stakeholders 61 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

BALANCING PEOPLE PLANET PROFIT EXERCISE STEP 1 Identify ST projects of your country. Write current or past project of your country on a post-it Categorize and stick these project under People/ Planet/ Profit. People Planet Identify imbalances Do the projects benefit more than one category? Which category is most covered with projects? Which category is lacking attention? Profit 62 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

BALANCING PEOPLE PLANET PROFIT EXERCISE STEP 2 Share your post-its in the columns: Column People Column Planet Column Profit People Planet Profit Get inspired by other countries. Identify inspiring initiatives to replicate. 63 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

ROADMAPPING FOR SUSTAINABLE TOURISM EXERCISE STEP 3 Identify goals Which scenario do you want to reach? What do you need to improve to reach your goals? Where do you need to put more effort? People Planet Come with concrete projects to get the balance Profit Get insight to develop a roadmap 64 COE Inaugural Training Session 3, November 16 th, 2016

CLOSING DISCUSSION & EVALUATION PLEASE SHARE YOUR FINAL THOUGHTS

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION