Gas Enables New Energy Eco- Systems Vaasa Gas Exchange 17 th of March, 2016 Professor Kim Wikström Åbo Akademi University and PBI Research Institute 1
Content Why is gas an interesting enabler How do we create and change ecosystems Examples of energy eco-systems with gas: Local biogas-based transportation LNG in stranded locations Short Sea shipping Summarized 2
Gas boosting sustainability from an ecosystem view Success of gas fuels and technologies measured from the overall ecosystem and its functionality. Gas enabler for a larger systemic change. Maximizing stakeholder value across the business ecosystem require reconfiguring the way ecosystem actors collectively create value. 24.3.2016 Copyright Åbo Akademi University and PBI Research Institute 3 24.3.2016 3
Challenges in switching to gas energy Focus on technology and efficiency within narrow limitations Inability to create self-enabling systems around gas Neglecting regulations, lock-ins and monopolies within existing systems Source: Tsvetkova A., 2014. Designing sustainable industrial ecosystems: the case of a biogas-for-traffic solution. Doctoral dissertation. Åbo Akademi University. 4
What can we learn from Silicon Valley and the Bay? 19.000 start-ups combined with the giants like, Google, Facebook, Linkedin, Twitter, Uber, AirBnB, Tesla 5
Process for redesigning ecosystems Stage 1. Current ecosystem and company position Stage 2. Future ecosystem and company position Stage 3. Strategy Stage 4. Signal system What is the problem or opportunity in the current ecosystem? What is the position of the company in this ecosystem? What is the envisioned, more efficient ecosystem? What is the position of the company in this ecosystem? How can the company lead the change and realize desired strategic position? How can the company monitor that the strategy is implemented and ecosystem change is achieved? Map of current ecosystem: - Main functions - Actors fulfilling the functions - Analysis of problems and opportunities in value creation logic - Company s current position Map of the future ecosystem - Functions and actors fulfilling them - Roles and responsibilities - Business and governance models - Roadmap for realization - Replicability and expansion potential Strategy for the company to realize their ecosystem position: - Strategy as activity system - Required organization, collaboration, resources, skills, tools, etc. Envision the required change Implement the change l Signal system for monitoring strategy implementation: - Success of internal changes - Success of ecosystem change - Success of replicating and expansion 6
Biogas enabler of sustainable local transportation and nutrient rotation ecosystem ü Local transport system based on local renewable fuel ü Improved nutrient rotation in the area through better waste management and advanced farming ü Local jobs ü Less greenhouse gas and particle emissions ü Less dependency on imports 7
Biogas requires a different business ecosystem Biofuels have a fundamentally different business logic compared to fossil fuels. Raw materials for biofuels have a low energy content which implies short transportation distances. Need for small local production plants and integration with local companies outside of the traditional energy business: waste management and food production industry Need to establish multiple local ecosystems - expansion of biofuel business to new locations will require several local production plants (as opposed to one centralized). For more details see: 1. Tsvetkova A., Gustafsson M., Wikström K., 2014. Business model innovation for eco-innovation: developing a boundary-spanning business model of an ecosystem integrator. In Azevedo, S., Brandenburg, M., Carvalho, H., Cruz-Machado, V. (Eds.), Eco-innovation and the Development of Business Models: Lessons from Experience and New Frontiers in Theory and Practice. Greening of Industry Networks Studies, Vol. II, pp. 221-241. Springer Verlag. 2. Tsvetkova A., Hellström M., Gustafsson M., Sjöblom, J., 2015. Replication of industrial ecosystems: the case of a sustainable biogas-for-traffic solution. Journal of Cleaner Production 98, pp. 123 132. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.08.089 8
LNG for stranded locations Copyright Åbo Akademi University and PBI Research Institute
LNG for stranded locations Largescale LNG export Largescale LNGC Floating HUB Small/midscale LNGC Import terminal Regas On-land transport Pipeline Regas PP offtake Smallscale LNG export Small/midscale LNGC Storage Ship offtake Export & liquefaction Transport Storage & distribution Transport Import, on-land transport/distr. & regasification Endconsumers 10
LNG ecosystem Ecosystem integrator LNG supplier Ship owner & operator Strategic planning Engineering and construction Operation LNG flow coordination LNG flow maintenance Ship (LNGC) Navigation function provider Propulsion function provider 3.1 Ship construction HUB TERMINAL LNG tank supplier FSU supplier FSU owner & operator Import terminal owner & operator Ports (unloading) 2. Plan LNG infrastructure 3.2 Hub construction 3.3 Terminal construction 5. Supply of LNG at competitive price 6. Ensure availability and reliability of LNG supply On-land distribution Land infra supplier Land infra owner & operator 3.4 Land infra construction Other entities Authorities Financers Off-take Power-plant off-take Ship off-take 1 Off-take development 4.1. Converting and building new PPs 4.2 Converting and building new LNG ships 7. Guaranteed OPEX level 8. Ensured revenue capacity 11
Short Sea shipping ecosystem: current state Technology suppliers ü ü ü ü Industry with a long tradition Established roles in the ecosystem, governance structures and value creation and distribution logic Actors with different level of innovativeness Many solutions proposed to ensure compliance with Sulphur directive are, in fact, unsustainable Fuel suppliers 15 24.3.2016 12
Future short sea shipping ecosystem ü Cooperation between key players to achieve business ecosystem renewal ü System investment of > 850 M shared by companies and investors ü Ambition: create world s leading logistics system Land logistics operators Port operators Development of port infrastructure 10 ports in Finland, 20 in Europe Total investment of 300M Ports Customers Export/Import Ship building and operating alliance Financiers Shipowners Ship operator Technology suppliers Shipyard New efficient vessel fleet 20 short sea bulkers based on MegaUnit technology Total investment of 400M ICT and digitalization Electronic spot market, Slot and queuing system, etc. Total investment of over 50M 13
LNG as part of Short Sea shipping ecosystem LNG-driven ships: Cleanest option for marine fuel Compliance with the emission regulations coming in the nearest and more distant future Transportation of LNG in MegaUnits: The possibility to transport fuel in smaller batches Storage in MegaUnits allows accessing almost any coastal place that requires fuel The new short sea shipping ecosystem can enable a new infrastructure and logic for LNG distribution in the Baltic Sea (ref: Revolutionizing the Short-Sea, 2016, Report from Åbo Akademi University) 14
Learning from the cases Importance of system integrator Create boundary spanning business models Key enabling technologies, combining and integrating to possible other ecosystems 15
Thanks! kim.wikstrom@abo.fi 16