Strategic Vision for Transportation Planning In Egypt & GNSS Application Needs Assessment Dr. Ahmed Mosa Ministry of Transportation Advisor for Transportation Planning Associate Professor of Transportation Planning and Intelligent Transportation Systems The German University in Cairo (GUC) 1
Issues The growing dominance of road cargo transport leads to stagnation in the other transport sectors. Main roads are confronted with more congestion, increasing delays and environmental degradation. Rail transport is under-utilized and is beginning to suffered from the lack of consideration as a serious transport alternative. Road infrastructure receives the highest investment priority but the utilization of this valuable asset is weak due to less-than-optimum management (and policing) as well as poor transport equipment (outdated and badly maintained) and abysmal safety practices. Operational efficiency and available capacity of railway transport is low, which leads to continued and possibly irreversible structural deterioration of the sector due to high maintenance and operating costs. The IWT and railway sectors are limited in their capacity to capture cargo because of a wide range of hindrances, lack of intermodal systems, 2 regulatory frameworks and inability to operate in a competitive market
The Policy 3
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Pillars of the Transport Vision Future of the Nation: The longer-term spatial Pillars of the Transport Vision objectives of the Republic and requisite strategic transport corridors to serve anticipated demand. In other words The intrinsic linking of transport systems with the form and extent of the national as well as urban fabric, thus catalyzing a dynamic interaction between transport and the nature of Egypt s social as well as economic evolution. Balanced Transport System: The equitable and realistic allocation of demand, for passengers and cargo, among the various modes. That is The development of an integrated and multi-modal transport concept within broader contexts such as Egypt Vision 2050, while retaining sensitivity towards local norms, expectations and modal requirements inherent to the movement of persons and goods. 5
Policy Components Improved mobility for all peoples of Egypt. Ensure transport policy supports national development. Shifting the balance among road, rail and inland waterway. Turn intermodal transport into reality. Improve quality, safety and security for all modes. Increasing reliance on user pays and market principles. Develop environmental objectives which underpin transport. Increased role for private sector. 6
The Spatial Policy Structure 7
SOCIO-ECONOMIC EVOLUTION & Framework 8
National Population 2010-2027 National Population Years 2010-2027 ( Million) Year 2010 Year 2027 33.2 19.8 24.4 22.5 20.2 26.4 14.0 16.8 0.2 0.9 2.1 0.9 1.8 0.5 0.4 1.8 Cairo Eastern Delta New Valley Upper Egypt Red Sea Sinai Western Delta Western Desert 9
Population Spatial Distribution 10
National Employment Years 2010 and 2027 Region Year 2010 (Million Persons) Primary Secondary Tertiary Year 2027 (Million Persons) Primary Secondary Tertiary Cairo 0.3 1.57 4.41 0.36 2.10 5.85 Eastern Delta 1.15 0.81 2.05 1.29 1.12 2.91 New Valley 0.03 0.01 0.05 0.10 0.02 0.25 Upper Egypt 2.65 1.03 1.99 2.96 1.54 5.28 Red Sea 0.01 0.05 0.15 0.05 0.08 0.52 Sinai 0.04 0.01 0.09 0.23 0.02 0.49 Western Delta 2.42 1.18 2.24 2.65 1.59 4.12 Western Desert 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.11 0.04 0.48 Total 6.63 4.69 11.04 7.74 6.51 19.91 11
Historic and Forecast Relative Trend in National GDP The Policy 12
National Travel Demand 13
Trend of registered vehicles 2002 to 2008. 14
National Travel Demand Daily Person Trip generation (Inter city) (2010) Region number Region name Daily Trips 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total Cairo Western Delta Eastern Delta Upper Egypt Red Sea Western Delta New Valley Sinai 5,959,784 3,576,573 2,817,112 4,796,241 491,217 387,775 109,872 393,124 18,531,698 Shared Taxi, 32.2% Long Distance Bus, 27.3% Private Car, 33.8% Railway, 6.7% Passenger Transport Modal Share (2010) 15
Cairo Travel Demand Motorized Motorized Travel Travel 22.41 18.33 Mill Mill Trips/Day Trips/Day Public Transport 62.8 % Taxi Taxi 6.9 6.9 % 25.61.9 Million Trips/Day (Unlinked trip) 22.41Million Via motorized Modes. Passenger Passenger Cars 62.8% are made by public Cars 16.4 transport. 16.4 % Non-motorized Motorized Travel Travel 3.12 18.33 Mill Mill Trips/Day Trips/Day 16 Other Other 1.3 1.3 % Motorcycle Motorcycle 0.7 0.7 Percent Percent School/Employer Motorized Travel Bus 6.8 18.33 % Mill Trips/Day 16
Egyptian Passenger Modal Split (Daily Volume, Year 2010) 17
Daily Passenger Trips Years 2010 and 2027 18
Trend in Egyptian Cargo Activity (Thousand annual tonnes and mode %) 19
Egyptian Cargo Modal Split (Daily Volume, Year 2010) 20
Daily Cargo Activity Years 2010 and 2027 21
Modal Share of Daily Cargo Excluding Pipeline (2010) Modal Share Of year 2010 Daily Cargo Trips ( Excluding Pipeline) Rail, 1.90 IWT, 1.70 Light Truck, 10.60 Medium Truck, 14.00 Heavy Truck, 71.90 22
National Transport Network SECTOR OVERVIEW 1. Road Sector 23
Road Classification and Extension in Egypt 2009 Facility Expressway Primary Road Secondary Road Total GARBLT Responsibility(KM) 395 15002 8189 23586 Governorate Administration 59481(Paved)+16903(Un paved) 59481+16903 24
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List of Toll Road in Egypt as of 2007 Toll Rate (L. E.) Length (KM) Passenger car Mini Bus Small Truck Large Bus Large Truck Trailer Cairo Alexandria Desert Road Cairo Ismailiya Port Said Road 228 4 6 10 20 224 4 6 10 20 Cairo Sokhna Road 135 5 10 15 25 Cairo Fayoum Road 105 2 5 10 15 Cairo Belbis Road 52 2 3 6 9 Wadi Natrun Alamein Road 135 2 5 10 15 Kafr Zayat Defrah Road 27 3 5 10 15 Suez Canal Bridge 9 2 3 5 10 26
Issue 1: Road Safety 27
Number of Accidents and Casualties on the Top 15 Roads with Highest Number of Accidents in 2008 28
Overloading Excessive axle loads and high tire pressures lead to premature and rapid deterioration of existing and new roads in the form of cracking, rutting and potholes; Premature damage accelerates and increases the road maintenance budget; Public transport, such as overloaded buses may not be a source of damage to roads, but, together with overloaded commercial vehicles, they are the major safety road hazard and are involved in most accidents; Transport time is lost by trucks being off road for repairs due to overloading. Revenue is lost to the owner from down time and repair costs are borne by them; Marginalization of profitability of the trucking industry due to the overloading fines. 29
River Transport 30
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CONDITIONS FOR WATERWAY CLASSIFICATION 32
GNSS Needs Assessment 33
Key Stakeholders Responsibility GARBLT (General Authority For Roads Bridges and Land Transportation) ENR (Egypt National Railways) Cairo Metro GDT (General Department of Traffic/Traffic Police) Ministry of Interior GCTRA (Greater Cairo Transport Regulatory Authority) Planning, construction and maintenance of national roads Planning, construction, operation and maintenance of railways Planning, maintenance and operation of Cairo Underground metro Traffic enforcement and control Planning and regulation for public transport in Greater Cairo 34
Stakeholder Ranked Challenges Traffic congestion on urban roads Air Quality High rates of traffic violations due to bad traffic behaviour Over-loaded vehicles on intercity roads Safety, High rates of traffic incidents Need for adequate public transport service 35
Overall Ranking of Issues Response GARBLT ENR Cairo Metro Traffic Police GCTRA A B C D E F Enhance management of the transportation system to improve maintenance and operations efficiencies. H H H M H Improve the safety, efficiency and reliability of transportation system. H H H M M Improve traveller mobility. L H M H Secure/develop a continuing commitment to ITS deployment by utilizing public-public and public-private partnerships L H Develop a sustainable framework for developing, procurement, building, operating and maintenance of ITS deployments. L M Provide improved traveller information and access to the information. L L 36
Research Initiatives 37
38 ITS Centre of excellence Goal 1: To lead and pioneer research in key ITS areas and to serve as a main hub of ITS research in Egypt Goal 2: To design, implement and execute professional development certificates as well as suite of training programs in the field of intelligent transportation systems. Goal 3: Create and Respond to Market needs in coordination with Relevant Industry and Private Sector Companies through the Information Technology Industry Development Agency (ITIDA) Goal 4: Establish Partnerships/Network to Support and advocate for ITS
Current Research Projects 39 enav: Integrated Real time Navigation for Heavy Vehicles Management and Navigation. Intelligent Real Time Traveller information System FANAR
Thank You!! 40