Enabling the deployment of industrial CCS clusters globally and in Europe

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Enabling the deployment of industrial CCS clusters globally and in Europe GCCSI European CCS Forum Session 1: Meeting the Paris Agreement the importance of CCS hubs and clusters 26 th October 2017 Element Energy Ltd Emrah.Durusut@element-energy.co.uk

Key enablers to unlock private investment in industrial CCS globally 1 2 3 Addressing carbon leakage Margin certainty for industrial emitters Decoupling the business chain 4 Public-private risk sharing Investment in industrial CCS Source: Element Energy analysis for IEAGHG and IEA (2017) 2

Short-term funding options for industrial CCS clusters in Europe Can be leveraged for the construction phase with the right guarantees; however, equity, debt and associated returns should be paid back during the operation phase Private investment (debt & equity) Could be significant and included in the project cash-flow if accompanied with government guarantees/subsidies EU ETSrelated revenues (sales or cost avoidance) Existing and future European funds Important European funding opportunities including Innovation Fund and Structural Funds may be available to support industrial CCS clusters in Europe; however, funding availability before 2020 is likely to be limited Member State and other funds Grant to fill the funding gap until 2020; operational subsidies; and risk mitigation instruments (incl. loan guarantees, operational guarantees, and sharing storage liability) Source: Element Energy and i2-4c, Deployment of an industrial CCS cluster in Europe: A funding pathway (2017) Available at: http://i2-4c.eu/financing-industrial-ccs/ 3

Tension between long-term ambition and short-term investment decisions in Europe: How can we justify investment in CCS now? AMBITION DISAPPOINTMENT RECOVERY UK Netherlands Norway Source: Element Energy 4

Key messages for European policy-makers Clarify unique role(s) of CCS in Europe considering decarbonisation pathways and timeline Power: Flexible gas generation CCS AND renewables rather than CCS OR renewables Industrial CCS clusters to decarbonise energy-intensive industries in addition to low-hanging fruit CCS & hydrogen and bio-ccs to achieve negative emissions Justify public support for CCS in the short-term by focussing on value Treasury and government bodies do not tend to use energy-system modelling to make policy decisions Most European governments currently focus on 2020 and 2030 targets 2050 messages are too long-term Using the right metric is important industrial CCS can be cheaper than offshore wind using /tco 2abated Consider target audience, regional priorities and public perception of these values Use limited public funding to deliver benchmark CCS projects and enabling infrastructure Consider unique role(s) of CCS in Europe and significant storage appraisal requirement Identify low-cost opportunities for CO 2 infrastructure (e.g. re-use T&S infrastructure) Make use of other public funding options including European funds and EU-ETS related revenues Collaboration to enable timely deployment of CCS? International/European collaboration to deliver archetypal/benchmark CCS projects on budget, on time Public-private collaboration to implement successful CCS policies and business models (4 enablers) Similar to international collaboration on CCS R&D Source: Element Energy 5

Element Energy is a leading low carbon energy consultancy working in a range of sectors including carbon capture and storage, low carbon transport, low carbon buildings, renewable power generation, energy networks, and energy storage. Element Energy works with a broad range of private and public sector clients to address challenges across the low carbon energy sector. For further information please contact: emrah.durusut@element-energy.co.uk Element Energy Ltd www.element-energy.co.uk