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= = = 9 = 3!"#$% 2013 5 PROGRESSUS INQUISITIONES DE MUTATIONE CLIMATIS Vol. 9 No. 3 May 2013 doi:10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2013.03.010,,.!"#$%&'()*+,-./01233456789:=[j].!"#$%, 2013, 9 (3): 216-222!"#$%&'()*+,-./012!"#$%&'!==!"#$%$&'()*+,- L!"#$%&'()*=TPMMMM =!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()*+,-./01,23456789:;<=>?@AB!!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=+>?@A!"#$ %&'!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'()*+,-./01!"#$%&'()*+,-./0'(!"#$%&'()*+,!"#$%&'()*+,-./01234-56789!"#$!"#$%&'()*+,!"#$%&'()*+,-./!"#$%&'!"#$%&'!"!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'()*+,-./012!"#$%&'()!"#$%!!"!"#!"#! = ====!"#$%&'()*+,-)./0!"!#$%&'()*+,-./0!"#$%&'()*+, ")!"#$%&'() x1-4z!"#$!"#$%&'()'*+,-./01!"#$%&'()*+,-!!"#$!"#$%&!"#!"#$%&'()* x5z!!"#$%&'()*+,-./012!"#$%&'()*+,!" J!"# x6z J!!"!"#$%&'()*!!"#$%!"#$%&'()*+!"#$%&'()*+,-. x7z!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123!"#$%&'()*!"#$!"#$%!"#$%&'()*+!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123!"#$%&'()*!"#$!"#$%&'()*+,-!"#!"#$%!"#$%&'()*+!"#$%&'()*+,-./0 x8z! 2012-10-12; =! 2012-11-23!!"#$%&OMNPjRPMQPS!"#$%41171053I 41121001!"#$%$&'()*+,-./0! ===========!"#$%&'(SKLCS2011-04!!!!"#$%&'()*+,-./xiaohanjin@126.com

3!!"#$%&'()*+,-./01233456789: 217!"!"#$%&'()*+,-.!"#$%&'( x9z ====!"#$%&'()$%*+,!"#$!"#$%&'()!"!"#!"!"#$%&'( x10-11z!"#$!"#$%&'()*+, x12z!!"!"#$!"#$%&'!"#!!"#$%&!"#$%& x13z!"#$%!"#$%&'()!"#$%&'!"!"#$%&'!"#$!"#$%&'()*+,!-./01!"#$%&'(%)*+,-.!!"#$%&'()*+, x14z!!"#$%&'()*+,-./01!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()!"#$%&'()!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()*+,-./01!"#$%&'()*+,-./012 N== ====!"#$%&'()*+!"#!"#$%&'()*+! 5596 m! 2400 m!"#$%&'()*+!"#$%&!"#$%"&'()!"#$%&'()*+,5 10!"#!"#$%!"& 70%!"#$%&'()*+, 20 km!"#$%&'() 200 km!"#$%&$'()*+,-%./01!"#$%&'()'*+,-./!!"#$%&'()*+,!!"#$%&'()2011!"#$%&'()*+, 27.33 62.68 21.57 14.28 19.918.14!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'()* 3200 m30 m 2680 m2460 m 2370 m!"!! "!"#$!!"!"!"#$%!"#$%&'()*+,- 1 O==!"#$%& OKN==! ====!"#$%&'()*201056!"#$%&!"#$!"#!!"#$%&'()*+,-./!"#$%&'(!"#!" 1==! 5!"#$%&' Table 1 Characteristics of the five villages visited in the Mt. Yulong!" (A) (B) (C) 1 (D) 3 (E) /m 2370 2460 2680 30 3200!!! /km 3 6 15 25 35!!!!"# /hm 2 1.65 1.48 2.00 0 0.20!" / 26 20 1576 1800 10 80 70 52 40 42 40 30 32

= = = 218!"#$% 2013!"#$!"!"#$!"!"!#$%&'(!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123!"#$%&!"#$%&'!"#$!"#$% 1! 3!"# ABCDE!"#$%! 403032!"#$%!"#$%&67.0%71.0%77.0%75.0% 76.2%!"#$%&' 1 ====!"#$%&'&"#()*+,-!"#$%&'()*+,-!"#!"#$%&'()!"#$%!!"#$ 202! 202 100%!"#$%&'(!" 2!"#$%&'(!"!"#!"#$%&'Cronabach`s!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'(!" Cronabach`s 0.81!"#0.80!"#$%&'()*0.70!"#$!"#$%&'()*+!"#$%&'(!"Likert!" 15!"#$%!"# 5!"#$4!"3!"# $%&!2!"1!"#!"#$!"#$!"Likert!"#$% 1.02.4!"#$2.53.4!"#$ 3.55.0!" x15z!"#$%&'(!"#$%&' 3!!" S1S8S9S17S18S22!"#$!"#$%&'()SPSS17!"#!"#$%&'()*!"#$%&!"#$%&'()*+,-./!"#$%&'()*+,-./!"#$%&!'()*+,-,./#01!"#$%&'()*+,-"./ OKO==! ====!"#$% 202 2!" 55.4%!"44.6%!"#$!"#!"#$#%&'() 25!"#$% 5.9%2635 12.9%36 21.8%51!"#$!59.4%!10000!"36.6% 1000020000!"#$%& 49.5% 2==!"#$%&'()*+,- Table 2 Demographic characteristics and frequency distribution of the informants in the survey sample /% /% A 24.8!" 10000 74 36.6 B 24.8 1000020000 100 49.5 C 40 19.8 2000030000 24 11.9 D 30 14.9 30000 4 2.0 E 32 15.8 157 77.7 112 55.4 1 90 44.6 7 3.5 18 1 29 14.4 1825 16 5.4 8 4.0 2635 21 12.9!!" 0 36 44 21.8! 22 10.9 5159 53 26.2 68 33.7 60! 67 33.2! 112 55.4

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m!"#5 10!"#$%& x16z!" D E!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()!"#$%&'()*P 5!S1S8!"#$%&'(!"#$%&&'(! 1!!" ====!"#$%&'()*+,-.!"#$%&'()*!"#$%&!"#$%&'1951 19681989 2008!"#$%&'()*+,-./ 0.41 99.5%!"#$%&'()*+!"#$%& 1980!"!!"#$%!"#$%&!"!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'(!!"#$%&19791992! 3==!"#$%&'()* Table 3 Residents perception and knowledge on climate change! /% /% /% S1 E!"#$!"F 4.85 0.37 99.5 S2 E!"F 4.83 0.38 10 S3 E!"#F 4.84 0.37 10 S4 E!"#F 4.72 0.49 98.0 2.0 S5 E!"!"#$%F 3.80 0.82 55.5 44.1 0.4 S6 E!"F 3.89 1.06 53.5 39.1 7.4 S7 E!"#$%F 4.59 0.60 96.6 3.5 S8 E!F 4.71 0.74 84.7 15.3!!"#!!"#$% I!!"#!!"#$%&

= = = 220!"#$% 2013 4.73 m 3 /s19932006 6.81 m 3 /s2.08 m 3 /s!"#$%& '()*+,-!"#$%&'98.0%!"#$%&!"#55.5%!"#$%&'!"#!"#$!"#!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123!"#$%&'()*+,-./0!"#$%&' 2008!"#!"1!"#$4320 m 1997 125 m12!"#$% 280 m x17z PKO==!"#$%&'() ====!"#$%&'()*+,-!!"#$%&'()!"!"!"!"!"#$%&!"#$%&'()*+,-!"#!"#$%&'()*+,-./! S9!"#$%S11!!S12!"#$%&'() 47.1%38.6%17.8% 4!!"!!"#$%& '()!"#$%&!"#$%&' S10!"# 60.9%!!""#$%&'()*+,-.)/01!!"#$%&'()*+,-,. x18z!"!"#$%&!"#!!"#$!"!"#s13!" 7.9%!"#83.2%!"#$%&!"!"#$%&'()*+,-!"#!"#$%&'()*+,-./0!"#$%&S14!"S15!!"#$ 91.6% 98.0%89.6%!"#$%&'()*+,-./0 S1699.0%!"#$%&'()*!"#$%&'()%*+,-./ S17!"#$%&'()*+,-.! ====!"#$%&'()*+,-./01!!"#$%&'()!"#S9S11S12!"#$S14!!"#$%&'()*S17!"#$%&'()*+,-.P5!"#$%&'S10!" S15!"#$%&'()*+,-./ P5!"#$%&S9 S12S14S15S17!"#$%&'()!"#$%P1!S13!"#$%&'(!S16!!"#$%&'()*+,-.P5 4==!"#$%&'()*+ Table 4 Residents perception and knowledge on climate change impacts! /% /% /% S9 E!"#$F 3.67 1.05 47.1 41.1 11.8 S10 E!"#!F 3.90 1.13 60.9 24.8 14.3 S11 E!"#$%&'F 3.10 1.32 38.6 9.9 51.5 S12 E!!"#$%F 2.42 1.07 17.8 6.9 75.3 S13 E!"#$%&'F 3.00 0.46 7.9 83.2 8.9 S14 E!"#$%&'()*+,-.F 4.40 0.67 91.6 7.4 1.0 S15 E!"#$%&'()*+,F 4.54 6 98.0 1.5 S16 E!"#$%&!"#F 4.12 8 89.6 9.9 S17 E!"#$%&'()*+,-F 4.63 0 99.0 1.0

3!!"#$%&'()*+,-./01233456789: 221 PKP==!"#$%&'()*+,-./ ====!!"#$%&'()!!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()*+,-./)0!"65.4%!"#$%&'(!"#$%&!"#$%&'()!"#$%S18 33.7%!! 5F!"#$% S19S21 S22!"#$!4.35!" 89.0%!"#$S20!"#$ 3.08!"#$%&' 85.1%!"#$%&'()*+,-./!"#$%&!"#$%! S18S22!"#$ %&'()* P 1!"#$%&'() P 5 5==!"#$%&'()*+,-./ Table 5 Residents attitudes and measures to adapt to climate changes and their impacts! /% /% /% S18 E!"#$%&!"#$%F 3.79 0.69 65.4 33.7 1.0 S19 E!"#$!"!"#$%&'F 4.49 0.69 89.1 10.9 S20 E!"!"!" #$%&'(F 3.08 1 9.4 85.1 5.4 S21 E!"#$% &'(!"#$%&F 4.36 6 96.0 4.0 S22 E!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123F 4.47 0.61 95.1 4.5 Q==! ====!"#$%&!"#$%&'!"!"#$%&!"#$%&'()*!"#$%&!"#$%&'(!"#$%!"#$%&'($)*+,-.!!"#$%&'()*+,-./012!"#$%&'()!"#$!"#$%&'()*+,-./0123!"#$%&'!"#$%!!"#$%&'()*+,-./!"#$%&'()*+,!"#$!"#$%& ====!!"#$%&'()!"#!"#$!"#$%&'(!!"#$%&!"#$%&'()*!"#$%&'()*+,-./012!"#$%&'($%)*+,-!!"#$%!"#$%&'()*!"#$%&'()*+,-.!"#$%&'()*+,-!"#!"#$%&'()*+!"!"#!"#$!"#$%&!"#!"#$%&'()*+,-!"#$%!"#$%&'()(*!"#$! [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Barry R G. Mountain cryospheric studies and the WCRP climate and cryosphere (CliC) [J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2003, 282 (1-4): 177-181 Biesbroek G R, Swart R J, Timothy R C, et al. Europe adapts to climate change: comparing national adaptation strategies [J]. Global Environmental Change, 2010, 20: 440-4 Brasseur G. 3rd IGBP congress overview [N]. Global Change Newsletter, 2003, 55: 1-3 Lambin E F. Conditions for sustainability of human-environment systems: information, motivation, and capacity [J]. Global Environmental Change, 2005, 15: 177-180 Byg A, Salick J. Local perspectives on a global phenomenon: climate change in Eastern Tibetan villages [J]. Global Environmental Change, 2009 (19): 156-166 IPCC. Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability [M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007: 717-743 Kloprogge P, van der Sluijs J P. The inclusion of stakeholder knowledge

= = = 222!"#$% 2013 and perspectives in integrated assessment of climate change [J]. Climatic Change, 2006, 75: 359-389 [8] Leiserowitz A, Kates R W, Parris T M. Do global attitudes and behaviors support sustainable development? [J]. Environment, 2005, 47 (9): 22-38 [9] Krupnik I, Jolly D. The Earth is faster now: indigenous observations of Arctic environmental change [M]. Fairbanks, AL: Arctic Research Consortium of the United States, 2002: 13-53 [10],.!"#$%&'() [M]. :!, 2002: 49-61 [11] Yao T D, Thompson L, Yang W, et al. Different glacier status with atmospheric circulations in Tibetan Plateau and surroundings [J]. Nature Climate Change, 2012, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1580 [12] Zhang X, Yang D, Zhou G, et al. Model expectation of impacts of global climate change on biomes of the Tibetan Plateau [M] // Omasa K, Kai K, Taoda H, et al. Climate change and plants in East Asia. Tokyo: Springer- Verlag, 1996: 25-38 [13] Du M Y, Shigeto K, Seiichiro Y, et al. Mutual influence between human activities and climate change in the Tibetan Plateau during recent years [J]. Global and Planetary Change, 2004, 41 (3-4): 241-249 [14] Jonah S. Intangible ecologies: sacred mountain landscapes in a changing climate [J]. Mountain Forum Bulletin, 2008: 3-4 [15],,.!"#$%&'()*+,-. [J].!, 2011, 4 (5): 93-97 [16],,,.!"#$%&'()*+,- [J].!, 2012, 37 E 1F: 188-190 [17].!"#$%&'()*+,- [D]. :!, 2011: 11-18 [18] Ahas R, Jaagus J, Aasa A. The phonological calendar of Estonia and its correlation with mean air temperature [J]. J Biometeorol, 2000, 44 (4): 159-166 Mountainous Residents Perceptions and Attitudes on Climate Change, Its Impacts and Adaptations A Case Study of Mt. Yulong in Southeastern Tibetan Plateau Wang Shijin, Li Man, Tan Chunping State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China Abstract: This paper explores residents perception and knowledge of local climate change and its impacts, and examines their attitudes to adapt to climate change impacts by means of a detailed questionnaires survey of 202 farm households in the Mt. Yulong region, southeastern Tibetan Plateau. The results indicate that, overall, residents perception intensity of temperature, snow cover, glacier and phenophase changes is highly consistent with scientific research in the region. Residents perception intensity of climate change impacts on the agriculture system is not very strong, and the residents think that climate change does not affect crops growing and their yields, however, they hold a favorable opinion to crop pests increasing slightly and crop growth period s extending. Residents perception intensity of climate change and its adaptation shows a significant correlation with elevation on the whole, yet their perception intensity of climate change and its impacts is significantly correlated with their ages. Climate change has already forced residents to adjust industrial structure, develop water-saving agriculture economy, participate actively in the mountain tourism, and work in cities in order to adapt to climate change and make up for meager farm income. At the same time, they also expect that the government can provide them some compensation and relief for the disasters (e.g. drought and late spring coldness). Key words: climate change; impact and adaptation; residents perception and attitude; Mt. Yulong