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Carnegie Mellon University Process Maturity Profile Software CMM CBA IPI and SPA Appraisal Results 2002 Year End Update April 2003 We could not produce this report without the support of the organizations and lead appraisers who reported their appraisal results to the SEI SM. Our many thanks for their continuing cooperation with our data collection and analysis efforts. Software Engineering Measurement and Analysis Initiative The is a federally funded research and development center sponsored by the U.S. Department of Defense and operated by Carnegie Mellon University CMM and Carnegie Mellon are registered in the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office by Carnegie Mellon University SM SEI is a service mark of Carnegie Mellon University April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 1

Outline Introduction Current Status Community Trends Organizational Trends Summary April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 2

Introduction - 1: Purpose and Source Characterize the process maturity of the software community This briefing uses information from: CMM based Appraisals for Internal Process Improvement (CBA IPIs) and Software Process Assessments (SPAs) Please visit: http://www.sei.cmu.edu/sema/profile_about.html for additional information or questions you may have about this briefing April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 3

Introduction - 2: Data Description CBA IPIs and SPAs conducted since 1987 through December 2002 and reported to the SEI by January 2003 2,616 appraisals 2,132 CBA IPIs 484 SPAs 1,978 organizations 632 participating companies 504 reappraised organizations 10,867 projects Please refer to: Terms Used in this Report on page 30 April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 4

Introduction - 3: Briefing Contents This briefing includes three primary sections: 1. Current Status - Snapshot of the software community based on the most recent appraisal, since 1998, of reporting organizations 2. Community Trends - Global distribution of appraisals - Growth in the number of appraisals performed - Shifts in the maturity profile over time 3. Organizational Trends - Analysis of Key Process Area (KPA) satisfaction - Time to move up in maturity April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 5

Current Status Appraisals conducted from 1998 through December 2002 1,345 organizations 508 participating companies 6,765 projects 47.1% offshore organizations Please refer to: Terms Used in this Report on page 30 April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 6

Reporting Organization Types Commercial/In-house 71.8% DoD/Fed Contractor 23.8% Military/Federal 4.4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% % of Organizations Based on 1,345 organizations April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 7

Types of Organizations Based on Primary Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) Code Retail Trade 0.4% Wholesale Trade 0.8% Transportation, Communication, Electric, Gas and Sanitary Services 7.3% Business Services 33.3% Public Administration (Including Defense) 8.3% Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 8.9% Services 46.1% Primary Metal Industries 0.1% Manufacturing 28.1% Furniture And Fixtures 0.1% Food And Kindred Products 0.1% Engineering & Management Services 11.6% Health Services 0.6% Membership Organizations 0.3% Chemicals And Allied Products 0.3% Printing And Publishing 0.6% Fabricated Metal Products 1.0% Industrial Machinery And Equipment 5.4% Services, Nec 0.3% Educational Services 0.1% Instruments And Related Products 8.0% Transportation Equipment 6.6% Electronic & Other Electric Equipment 5.8% Based on 709 organizations reporting SIC code. For more information visit: http://www.osha.gov/oshstats/sicser.html April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 8

Organization Size Based on the total number of employees within the area of the organization that was appraised 1001 to 2000 1.8% 2000+ 0.6% 501 to 1000 5.8% 25 or less 11.3% 301 to 500 7.9% 201 to 300 9.8% 201 to 2000+ 26.1% 25 to 50 17.1% 1 to 100 51.2% 101 to 200 22.8% 51 to 75 12.4% 76 to 100 10.4% Based on 1,309 organizations reporting size data April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 9

Organization Maturity Profile 100% 90% 80% 70% % of Organizations 60% 50% 40% 30% 43.2% 24.6% 20% 16.9% 10% 8.0% 7.3% 0% Initial Repeatable Defined Managed Optimizing Based on most recent appraisal, since 1998, of 1,345 organizations April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 10

Maturity Profile by Organization Type 100% 90% 80% 70% % of Organizations 60% 50% 40% 30% 28.8% 45.9% 34.4% 47.5% 38.4% 20% 17.2% 13.8% 20.7% 13.6% 10% 0% 8.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 5.6% 1.7% Initial Repeatable Defined Managed Optimizing Commercial/In-house DoD/Fed Contractor Military/Federal Based on most recent appraisal, since 1998, of 1,345 organizations April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 11

Maturity Profile by Organization Size Based on the total number of employees within the area of the organization that was appraised 100% 90% 80% The number of organizations for the 2000+ category is small which inflates the maturity level bars. Please see page 9 and take this into account. The purpose of this chart is to indicate that all size categories contain most, if not all, maturity levels. % of Organizations 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 21.6% 60.1% 15.5% 1.4% 1.4% 19.6% 54.0% 20.5% 3.6% 2.2% 19.1% 42.6% 25.3% 20.6% 50.7% 18.4% 8.0% 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 15.1% 37.5% 28.4% 12.7% 6.4% 9.4% 42.2% 31.3% 8.6% 8.6% 9.6% 37.5% 39.5% 29.8% 9.6% 13.5% 11.8% 18.4% 11.8% 18.4% 20.8% 16.7% 12.5% 16.7% 33.3% 62.5% 25 or fewer 26 to 50 51 to 75 76 to 100 101 to 200 201 to 300 301 to 500 501 to 1000 1001 to 2000 2000+ 12.5% 25.0% Initial Repeatable Defined Managed Optimizing Based on 1,309 organizations reporting size data April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 12

USA and Offshore Organization Maturity Profiles 100% 90% 80% 70% % of Organizations 60% 50% 40% 30% 21.8% 47.1% 38.9% 23.0% 26.4% 20% 10% 11.4% 5.5% 10.9% 2.7% 12.5% 0% Initial Repeatable Defined Managed Optimizing USA Offshore Based on 712 U.S. organizations and 633 offshore organizations April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 13

Community Trends Appraisals conducted from 1987 through December 2002 2,616 appraisals 1,978 organizations 632 participating companies 504 reappraised organizations 10,867 projects Please refer to: Terms Used in this Report on page 30 April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 14

Countries Where Appraisals have been Performed and Reported to the SEI Argentina Australia Austria Barbados Belgium Brazil Canada Chile China Colombia Cyprus Denmark Egypt Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Hungary India Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea, Republic of Malaysia Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Pakistan Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Puerto Rico Russia Saudi Arabia Singapore South Africa Spain Sweden Switzerland Taiwan Thailand Turkey United Kingdom United States Uruguay Venezuela Vietnam April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 15

Number of Appraisals and Maturity Levels Reported to the SEI by Country Country Number of Appraisals Maturity Level 1 Reported Maturity Level 2 Reported Maturity Level 3 Reported Maturity Level 4 Reported Maturity Level 5 Reported Country Number of Appraisals Maturity Level 1 Reported Maturity Level 2 Reported Maturity Level 3 Reported Maturity Level 4 Reported Argentina 10 or fewer Malaysia 10 or fewer Australia 27 Yes Yes Yes No No Mexico 13 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Austria 10 or fewer Netherlands 13 Yes Yes Yes No No Barbados 10 or fewer New Zealand 10 or fewer Belgium 10 or fewer Norway 10 or fewer Brazil 16 Yes Yes Yes No No Pakistan 10 or fewer Canada 59 Yes Yes Yes No Yes Peru 10 or fewer Chile 10 or fewer Philippines 10 or fewer China 73 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Poland 10 or fewer Colombia 10 or fewer Portugal 10 or fewer Cyprus 10 or fewer Puerto Rico 10 or fewer Denmark 10 or fewer Russia 10 or fewer Egypt 10 or fewer Saudi Arabia 10 or fewer Finland 10 or fewer Singapore 17 Yes Yes Yes No Yes France 110 Yes Yes Yes Yes No South Africa 10 or fewer Germany 30 Yes Yes Yes No No Spain 10 or fewer Greece 10 or fewer Sweden 10 or fewer Hong Kong 10 or fewer Switzerland 10 or fewer Hungary 10 or fewer Taiwan 10 or fewer India 238 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Thailand 10 or fewer Ireland 10 or fewer Turkey 10 or fewer Israel 28 Yes Yes Yes No No United Kingdom 119 Yes Yes Yes No No Italy 26 Yes Yes Yes No No United States 1671 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Japan 77 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Uruguay 10 or fewer Korea, Republic of 22 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Venezuela 10 or fewer Vietnam 10 or fewer Maturity Level 5 Reported Please visit: http://www.sei.cmu.edu/sema/profile_far.html and review the information provided about this slide before contacting the SEI directly for additional information April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 16

Number of Appraisals Reported to the SEI by Year 500 450 400 Number of Appraisals 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 First Appraisal Reappraisal * Based on 2,616 appraisals conducted through Dec 2002 and reported to the SEI by Jan 2003 * April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 17

Number of Appraisals Reported to the SEI by Organization Type and Year 350 300 Number of Appraisals 250 200 150 100 50 0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Commercial/In-house DoD/Fed Contractor Military/Federal Based on 2,607 appraisals reporting these organization types April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 18

Trends in the Community Maturity Profile 100% 90% % of Organizations 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 80.3% 64.4% 60.2% 54.3% 47.9% 42.0% 37.3% 32.3% 12.1% 21.9% 22.7% 27.1% 30.6% 32.9% 34.0% 35.7% 7.6% 12.0% 14.4% 14.8% 15.8% 17.5% 20.0% 20.8% 1.4% 2.1% 3.1% 3.7% 4.3% 4.5% Year 1987-1991 1992-1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Initial Repeatable Defined Managed Optimizing 6.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 2.0% Orgs 132 635 792 964 1,178 1,420 1,657 1,978 3.3% 4.2% 5.2% Based on a cumulative view of the most recent appraisals of organizations up through the year indicated. This accounts for the difference from the figures on page 10. April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 19

Organizational Trends Appraisals conducted through December 2002 1,377 Key Process Area (KPA) profiles - satisfaction of KPAs by maturity level for organizations appraised at levels 1 and 2 504 reappraised organizations - accounting for 1,152 appraisals - although some organizations conducted multiple reappraisals, only the first and latest appraisals were used in creating the charts on pages 23 & 24 Please refer to: Terms Used in this Report on page 30 April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 20

Key Process Area Profiles - 1 Organizations Appraised at Level 1 Repeatable RM SPP PTO SSM SQA SCM Defined OPF OPD TP ISM SPE Software Subcontract Management (SSM) is not applicable/not rated in many assessments. Please take that into account when interpreting its Fully Satisfied rating. IC Managed Optimizing PR QPM SQM DP TCM Fully Satisfied Rated PCM 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% % of Appraisals Based on 521 CBA IPI appraisals April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 21

Key Process Area Profiles - 2 Organizations Appraised at Level 2 Defined OPF OPD TP ISM SPE IC PR Managed QPM SQM Optimizing DP TCM Fully Satisfied Rated PCM 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% % of Appraisals Based on 856 CBA IPI appraisals April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 22

Maturity Level of First and Latest Appraisal 100% 90% 80% 70% % of Organizations 60% 50% 40% 30% 49.2% 35.3% 30.0% 40.3% 20% 10% 8.7% 8.7% 6.3% 9.5% 11.5% 0% Initial Repeatable Defined Managed Optimizing 0.4% First Latest Based on 504 reappraised organizations using their first and latest appraisal April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 23

Reappraisals Change in Maturity Level Level 2 to 5 1.0% Level 3 to 4 3.4% Level 3 to 5 3.4% Level 4 to 5 6.2% No Change 12.1% Moved Down 2.8% Level 1 to 1 6.5% Level 2 to 2 4.0% Level 3 to 3 1.2% Level 4 to 4 0.2% Level 5 to 5 0.2% Level 2 to 4 4.0% Level 2 to 3 24.6% Level 1 to 2 25.6% Level 1 to 3 14.3% Level 1 to 5 0.8% Level 1 to 4 2.0% Based on 504 reappraised organizations using their first and latest appraisal April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 24

Time to Move Up 100 Number of months to move to next maturity level 75 50 30 Recommended { time between appraisals 18 0 Time Period of Initial Appraisal 39 40 Pre-1992 22 21 25 1992 to Present 25 23 28 15 15 All (1987 to Present) Largest observed value that is not an outlier 75th Percentile Median 25th Percentile Smallest observed value that is not an outlier Level Orgs 1 to 2 2 to 3 25 12 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 152 176 41 36 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 177 188 43 36 April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 25

Maturity Summary - 1 Current Status Increase in appraisals reported to the SEI as compared to prior releases of this briefing A greater portion of this increase were from offshore organizations Commercial and in-house organizations reporting most appraisals Of U.S. organizations, the services and manufacturing industries reported most appraisals Half of the organizations reporting size have 100 or fewer software personnel April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 26

Maturity Summary - 2 Community Trends Overall community profile continues to shift toward higher maturity Trend toward higher maturity profile for offshore organizations compared to U.S. organizations continues April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 27

Maturity Summary - 3 Organizational Trends Software Quality Assurance is the least frequently satisfied level 2 KPA among organizations* appraised at level 1 Integrated Software Management is the least frequently satisfied level 3 KPA among organizations* appraised at level 2 Higher maturity has been reached among those organizations reporting reappraisals *Adjusted for number of organizations rating the KPA April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 28

Maturity Summary - 4 Organizational Trends (continued) For organizations that began their CMM-based SPI effort in 1992 or later, the median time to move from: maturity level 1 to 2 is 22 months maturity level 2 to 3 is 21 months maturity level 3 to 4 is 25 months maturity level 4 to 5 is 15 months April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 29

Terms Used in this Report Appraisal Company - The appraisal methods used in this report are the Software Process Assessment (SPA) and CMM-Based Appraisal for Internal Process Improvement (CBA IPI). We do request and receive other Software CMM-based appraisals such as Software Capability Evaluations (SCE) and Interim Profiles. As our sampling size of these other methods increase, they will be reported here. - Parent of the appraised entity A company can be a commercial or non-commercial firm, for-profit or not for-profit business, a research and development unit, a higher education unit, a government agency, or branch of service, etc. Organization a.k.a. Appraised entity The organization unit to which the appraisal results apply. An appraised entity can be the entire company, a selected business unit, units supporting a particular product line or service, etc. Offshore - Appraised entity whose geographic location is not within the United States. The parent of the appraised entity may or may not be based within the United States. April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 30

Report your Appraisal Results to the SEI The briefing is only possible due to the cooperation of organizations and individuals sending in their appraisal results to the SEI In order to provide this information and service in the future, it will depend on this continued cooperation Please visit: http://www.sei.cmu.edu/sema/report.html for forms, information, and instructions on how to report appraisals to the SEI April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 31

Contact Information Please visit: http://www.sei.cmu.edu/sema/profile_about.html and review the information provided before contacting: SEI Customer Relations (412) 268-5800 SEI FAX number (412) 268-5758 Internet Address customer-relations@sei.cmu.edu Mailing Address Customer Relations Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890 April 2003 Process Maturity Profile - Page 32