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Transcription:

BASF Agricultural Solutions Markus Heldt President Crop Protection Division Sanford Bernstein Annual Agriculture Conference London March 10, 2015

1 Positioning & strategy 2 Financial results & targets Sales of > 500 million in 2020 3 Global Growth R&D levers: network 3.1 Portfolio development 2014:New Biostacked launches and global expansion 3.2 Growth in 2014 markets 3.3 Innovation & investments Broad product innovation on horizon 4 Summary & outlook 3

Population growth drives crop demand, triggering innovation in agriculture * Source: Stiftung Weltbevölkerung 4

Positioning & strategy Ι Financial results & targets Ι Growth levers Ι Summary and outlook Farmer Expenses Crop Protection represents only small share of overall costs Farmer expenses 2014F* in % Other 22% Crop Protection 13% Fertilizer 25% Farmer expenses in the U.S. U.S. Ag market has highest degree of technology adaption Seeds, fertilizers: Significant share of farmer expenses. Fertilizers very price volatile Crop protection cost portion is comparatively small Crop protection demand impacted by weather Energy 20% Seed 20% Crop Protection: small share of farmer expenses * Source: based on USDA ERS farm income statistics for US market 2014, includes farm-origin costs 5

Accelerated crop protection market growth * GDP: Annual percentage change of a country's GDP in constant prices. Agriculture industry: BASF analysis of FAO, IHS Global Insight and national statistics (e.g. Eurostat). Crop Protection: Phillips McDougall data 6

Crop protection: Six leading innovators BASF with top growth rates over 5-year time frame 2009-2014 FY sales 2014 5,446m CAGR* 8% $ 5,657m CAGR* 8% 6% $ 11,381m CAGR* 6% $ 5,115m CAGR* 3% 7,712m CAGR* 7% $ 3,686m CAGR* 9% Source: Crop protection sales, *CAGR 2009-2014 from corporate reports and BASF estimations 7

Positioning & strategy Evolution of crop protection innovators offering Crop protection has become a solutions business Market demand Broad use of modern crop protection Further increase of technology adoption Farmer as steward of the land 1970 1990 today IT Services future 8

Positioning & strategy Strategic positioning, product examples Disease control F500 Urban pest control Termidor Crop protection Weed control Kixor Insect control Fipronil Biologicals Plant health Soil management Financial services IT Services Innovation beyond crop protection BASF offering Traits & seed partnerships Seed treatment Standak Top Herbicide tolerant systems Clearfield Dicamba HT* * incl. Engenia TM: technologically-advanced dicamba formulation for use in dicamba/glyphosate tolerant cropping systems 9

1 Positioning & strategy 2 Financial results & targets Sales of > 500 million in 2020 Global R&D network 3 Growth levers 2014:New Biostacked launches and global expansion in 2014 Broad product innovation on horizon 3.1 Portfolio Development 3.2 Growth Markets 3.3 Innovation & Investments 4 Summary & outlook 10

Financial results We stick to our long-term EBITDA margin target of 25% million FY 2014 FY 2013 % Q4 2014 % Sales* 5,446 5,227 +4% 1,109 +25% EBITDA before special items 1,298 1,389-7% 177 +58% EBITDA before special items margin 23.8% 26.3% - 16% - EBIT before special items 1,109 1,222-9% 123 +84% EBIT before special items margin 20.4% 23.4% - 11.1% - Assets (as of Dec 31st) 7,857 6,777 +16% 7,857 +16% Capex 391 324 +21% 116 +22% Research and development expenses 511 469 +9% 133-5% Second best year ever despite tougher market environment and currency headwinds. * Sales drivers FY 2014: volumes +5%; prices +2%; currencies -3%; Q4 2014: volumes +22%; prices -3%; currencies +6% 11

Financial results A regionally balanced market presence 3 rd Party sales FY 2014 by region in million North America 1,574 (+5%) Asia Pacific 526 (+3%) 5,446 (+4%) Europe 2,046 (+5%) South America, Africa, Middle East 1,300 (+2%) 2014 Europe: Strong performance in Western and Central Europe, mainly with Xemium ; challenging market environment in Ukraine and Russia. North America: Sales grew, mainly driven by high demand for innovative herbicides Kixor and Dicamba South America: Growth with recent introductions Kixor and Xemium performing well Asia Pacific: High demand for fungicides, mainly F500, in China; successful direct business in Australia 12

Financial results A balanced portfolio, with new segment Functional Crop Care 3 rd Party sales FY 2014 by indication in million Fungicides 2,409 (+6%) Functional Crop Care 308 (+7%) 5,446 (+4%) Herbicides 1,884 (+5%) Insecticides/Other 845 (-4%) 2014 Fungicides: Growth in Europe driven by blockbuster fungicide Xemium, in Asia by F500 Herbicides: Increase with Kixor in Brazil, strong demand in North America Insecticides: Price pressure partly compensated by new product launches in North and South America Functional Crop Care: Growth in inoculants, seed coatings/ colorants and plant growth regulators 13

Financial results & targets Keeping the momentum towards 8 billion sales target in 2020 14

Financial results & targets Further profitable growth targeted with ~25% EBITDA (average) * before special items. 2004 onwards according to IFRS. 2006 onwards excl. corporate cost 15

Our growth levers Acquisitions Innovation pipeline Emerging markets Portfolio Services High profitability 23.8% EBITDA* margin in 2014 Technology Verbund Production Verbund** * before special items ** incl. backward integration 16

1 Positioning & strategy 2 Financial results & targets Sales of > 500 million in 2020 Global R&D network 3 Growth levers: 2014:New Biostacked launches and global expansion in 2014 Broad product innovation on horizon 3.1 Portfolio development 3.2 Growth markets 3.3 Innovation & investments 4 Summary & outlook 17

Portfolio development Blockbuster fungicide F500 18

Portfolio development New blockbuster fungicide Xemium continues to thrive. Xemium New carboxamide fungicide; one a.i. covers all market segments Registration proceeds swiftly: Status: > 70 crops in 50 countries Target: >100 crops in >70 countries In launch since Q4 2011, outstanding market reception Registration in Brazil and China in September 2013 Peak sales potential has tripled since launch, now > 600 million Xemium registered Next upcoming registrations 19

Portfolio development Continuing innovation in insecticides: E.g. Termidor systems Termidor success story (launches 2000-2013) Differentiating product innovations based on the a.i. fipronil Termidor has been the leading termite control product for over a decade Termidor HE: Technology which enhances dispersal of fipronil in treatment zone Easier handling: 1/3 viewer drills, 50% lower water use, 1/3 less labor 2000 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 20

Portfolio development Continued flow of new herbicide launches esp. in the Americas U.S. herbicide launches by BASF Integrity Treevix OpTill Sharpen Optill PRO Powered by Kixor Herbicide Armezon Herbicide Facet L Herbicide Zidua Herbicide Wheat Sharpen Powered by Kixor Herbicide Rice Outlook Herbicide Plus Optill PRO Powered by Kixor Herbicide Improved Residual Armezon Herbicide 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017-2020 Kixor Herbicide a.i. Zidua Herbicide Outlook Herbicide Cotton Engenia Herbicide Clearfield Plus Production System Varisto Herbicide Outlook Herbicide Sharpen Powered by Kixor Herbicide Alfalfa and Harvest Aid in Rice & Wheat Engenia Herbicide Soybean, Corn Zidua Herbicide New Herbicide a.i. New Rice Herbicide Increasing weed resistance drives demand for new weed control solutions. 21

Portfolio development Clearfield system for weed management Sunflower >5M ha Russia, Ukraine, Bulgaria, Hungary, Argentina Rice >2M ha US, Brazil, Central America, Malaysia High-yielding varieties with broad spectrum >10M herbicides ha Oilseed Rape / Canola >2.5M ha Central & Eastern Europe, Canada, Australia BASF sells imidazolinone herbicides to farmers and licenses own herbicide tolerance trait technology to >100 seed partners 22

Portfolio development Offering is moving towards integrated solutions Fallow / Burndown Seed Solutions Pre/Post Emergence Crop Care Soil Management 23

Portfolio development AgMusa TM : Game changer in sugarcane planting Sourcing Production and treatment Delivery excellence Nurseries Multiplication Treatment Planting AgMusa TM : Integrated, tailored solution to increase quality and yield of sugarcane Market launch in Brazil in 2013 Maximizing sugarcane yield by caring for its foundation: healthy seedling Disease free, pre-treated seedlings from nursery formation Biofabric operation in São Paulo Enhanced value creation for the farmer, significantly higher price level 24

Portfolio development Functional Crop Care Seed Solutions Seed treatment to enhance seed performance Crop Care Products to manage abiotic stress factors (heat, cold, nutrient deficiency) and thus enhance plant health Soil Management Products to enhance water and nutrient management in the soil 25

Portfolio development Functional Crop Care Target: > 500m sales in 2020 Functional Crop Care is a key growth field with significant investment (incl. acquisition of Becker Underwood in 2012) 2015: Launch of urease inhibitor Limus and biological fungicide Serifel TM Wave of product launches ahead (2 nd half of decade) 26

1 Positioning & strategy 2 Financial results & targets Sales of > 500 million in 2020 Global R&D network 3 Growth levers: 2014:New Biostacked launches and global expansion in 2014 Broad product innovation on horizon 3.1 Portfolio development 3.2 Growth markets 3.3 Innovation & investments 4 Summary & outlook 27

Increasing importance of growth markets Brazil now the largest crop protection market Crop protection markets in million Total 2013 CP market: ~ 41m. Source: Phillips McDougall, 2013 data 28

Increasing importance of growth markets Third-party sales in growth markets in billion 1.3 CAGR 10% 2008-2020 1.8 Latin America Other growth markets* 2.4 ~4.1 Success in growth markets Over-proportional sales increase in growth markets CAGR +11% for 2008-2014 2014: 42% of sales from growth markets (2008: 37%) Tailored business models as basis for further expansion Ongoing increase of resources and R&D investments Profitable business expansion in growth markets Consolidated margins globally on comparable level ~ 1 bn in EBIT bsi expected by 2020 * Eastern Europe, Africa, Asia (w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand) 29

Increasing importance of growth markets Growth market sales (indexed) * CAGR 2008-2020 30

Increasing importance of growth markets Local grower business models: Samruddhi Samruddhi in India Trained agronomists safeguard successful use of technology >220,000 farmers participating* Focus crops: soybean, potato, onion, groundnut Proven, tangible benefit for the farmer: more than 30% higher net profit** Roll-out in other growth markets ongoing (e.g. Indonesia) * Source: BASF, Samruddhi **audited by PWC 31

1 Positioning & strategy 2 Financial results & targets Sales of > 500 million in 2020 Global R&D network 3 Growth levers: 2014:New Biostacked launches and global expansion in 2014 Broad product innovation on horizon 3.1 Portfolio development 3.2 Growth markets 3.3 Innovation & investments 4 Summary & outlook 32

Innovation & investments Innovation involves internal and external partners Global R&D platform Innovation network Core of our business model: Innovative solution provider R&D involves BASF Research Verbund and external partners Commitment to high R&D intensity (~9% of sales): 2009-2013: ~ 2.0 billion 2014-2018: ~ 2.9 billion 33

Innovation process: 8-10 years Active ingredient discovery and development Synthesis Discovery phase Greenhouse tests Lab trials Field trials Development phase Field trials Formulation development Process development Regulatory studies for registration Registration Approval Production Dossier submission 80 90% chance ** Investment of more than 200 million from synthesis to market launch * Each bubble represents an individual approach/lead ** Industry-wide probability of success = launch (BASF estimate) 34

Innovation & investments Commitment to R&D is rewarded by strong pipeline growth in million R&D commitment is rewarded Total R&D expenditures Pipeline peak sales potential* 2,100 2,300 1,700 1,250 412 430 469 511 2011 2012 2013 2014 R&D expenditures money well spent ** Consistent growth and output of our R&D pipeline 2014: Peak Sales Potential of innovation pipeline increased by 200 million to 2.3 billion Increase boosted by innovations in all areas: New, especially highperformance insecticide Herbicide tolerance with the herbicide Engenia TM Functional Crop Care continues to show very promising development * Pipeline: market launches in 2010-2020 timeframe ** as shown in BASF Report 2014 35

Innovation & investments R&D commitment drives earnings growth 36

Innovation & investments A differentiator: High share of raws from Verbund sources Raw materials: Make or buy Make: Raws from the Verbund Security & flexibility of supply Market-based transfer pricing Typically 35-40% of the Top- 100 raws come from Verbund Buy: Sourcing synergies Economy of scale via joint BASF procurement * 2013 without AI tolling, 3rd party AI, formulants, packaging 37

Innovation & investments Intensive capex program across all regions Capex development in million 1,500 1,000 0,500 0 ~1,000 Capacity expansions Infrastructure, R&D ~1,200 2010-2014 2015-2019 Continued capex investment on a high level Capex 2010-2014 F500 : 3 rd plant expansion Kixor, Xemium and Dicamba: new production plants Formulation: new plants and expansions Agricultural Research Center Pune, India Planned capex 2015-2019 Further capacity expansion Xemium New formulation plants (e.g. Brazil, China) New active ingredient plant R&D site expansion (IND, USA) 38

Services AgIT: Farmers need to manage multiple decision parameters Financials Wheat prices Fertilizer prices Task management Fleet management Weather Documentation Field stress Certification 39

Services AgIT: Today s IT situation does not meet farmers needs Agriculture 2.0 Precise mapping of field conditions at farmer s finger tip 40

Financial services for farmers BASF balances farmers risk exposure BASF helps farmers to cope with uncertainties BASF offers financial services Financial programs with price guarantees Grain exchange programs Brazil: Major share of business with lower payment risk terms Financial services are key to mitigate BASF/farmers business risks Weather, FX & crop price volatility Farmer income Farmers challenges go beyond the farm gate 41

Working with farmers & food value chain partners Food value chain partnerships Sustainability goes beyond regulatory requirements Increasing consumer concern about food safety - globally BASF s solutions address changing requirements Partnerships with farmers as well as retailers to the benefit of the consumer Differentiator in competition EU, North America Asia Pacific South America 42

Clear commitment to sustainable agriculture Enable farmers to grow more quality food more efficiently Economy Support farmers to make a better life for themselves Ecology Society Never compromise on safety 43

Managing sustainable farming with Balance assessment Management tool supports sustainable farming 44

1 Positioning & strategy 2 Financial results & targets Sales of > 500 million in 2020 Global R&D network 3 Growth levers: 2014:New Biostacked launches and global expansion in 2014 Broad product innovation on horizon 3.1 Portfolio development 3.2 Growth markets 3.3 Innovation & investments 4 Summary & outlook 45

BASF Agricultural Solutions Capital Market Story 2014 46

BASF Agricultural Solutions Capital Market Story 2014 47