TOWARDS THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY INDICATORS: NEW METHODOLOGY AND FIRST RESULTS

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NATIONAL COMMITTEE ON STATISTICS of the REPUBLIC of BELARUS TOWARDS THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY INDICATORS: NEW METHODOLOGY AND FIRST RESULTS Deputy Chairperson of the National Committee on Statistics of the Republic of Belarus, Dovnar О.А.

February 1, 2012 January 31, 2016 is the period of implementation of the technical assistance project INOGATE Technical Secretariat and Integrated Programme in Support of the Baku Initiative and the Eastern Partnership Energy Objectives

April 10, 2013 Energy Statistics Action Plan for the Republic of Belarus development and improvement of the legal and institutional framework improvement of data collection, compilation and analysis in line with international and European standards assistance in energy balance compilation development of the energy efficiency indicators

September 9-13, 2013 the 1 st INOGATE technical assistance mission to the Republic of Belarus on implementation of the approved Energy Statistics Action Plan Improvement of methodologies for the collection, processing, quality control and dissemination of energy statistics Adaptation of the existing surveys to energy consumption surveys aimed at improving the final energy consumption balance Energy efficiency indicators Energy indicators of sustainable development: experience of Belarus Importance of reliable and comparable energy statistics and energy efficiency indicators in the national policy

In consideration of the received recommendations the National Committee on Statistics: has established the Standing Interagency Working Group on Energy Statistics; has developed a draft methodology of compilation of the fuel and energy balance using the physical content method and calculation of the final energy consumption; has developed the system of energy efficiency indicators by sectors of final consumption; has identified approaches to conducting surveys of energy consumption in households in the Republic of Belarus; has established the column Energy statistics on the website of the National Committee on Statistics; has introduced additional activities aimed at improving energy statistics into the Development Strategy of national statistics of the Republic of Belarus until 2017.

DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY OF NATIONAL STATISTICS OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS UNTIL 2017: Art.63. DEVELOPING AND INTRODUCING CALCULATION METHODOLOGY OF FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY INDICATORS BY INDUSTRY SECTORS (PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION 2013-2015) Art.64. IMPROVING METHODOLOGICAL APPROACHES IN ENERGY STATISTICS IN LINE WITH INTERNATIONAL RECOMMENDATIONS ON ENERGY STATISTICS BY THE UNSD (2011) (PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION 2014-2016) Art.65. INTRODUCING METHODOLOGY OF ADJUSTMENT OF TIME SERIES BY CLIMATE FACTOR INTO THE PRACTICE OF ENERGY STATISTICS (PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION 2015) Art.66. INTRODUCING SAMPLING SURVEY OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN HOUSEHOLDS INTO STATISTIAL PRACTICE (PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION 2014-2016).

In February 2014 INOGATE Technical Secretariat prepared the Report on the 1 st TA mission to the Republic of Belarus. In consideration of the recommendations the National Committee on Statistics: has introduced changes into the draft methodology of fuel and energy balance compilation; has done pilot calculations of gross consumption of fuel and energy resources and final consumption using the method of physical content; has partially reviewed state statistical reporting forms; has developed a questionnaire and guidelines on how to fill it in for surveys of energy consumption in households

October 21-23, 2014 the 2 nd INOGATE technical assistance mission to the Republic of Belarus on implementation of the approved Energy Statistics Action Plan Organising and conducting surveys of energy consumption in households Recommendations by ITS experts on development of guidelines for interviewers during surveys of the household sector Development of Energy efficiency indicators in the household sector Recommendations by ITS experts on development of energy balances

Following the 2 nd ITS mission the National Committee on Statistics: has developed the tools for conducting surveys of energy consumption in households; has conducted the 1 st stage of surveys of energy consumption in the households collection of annual data; has refined the draft of methodology of compilation of the fuel and energy balance harmonised with the international standards; has refined the system of energy efficiency indicators by final consumption sectors; has calculated the fuel and energy balance of the Republic of Belarus for 2013 using the new methodology which together with the draft new methodology of fuel and energy balances compilation are sent to consideration by the governmental agencies considered; has development a draft methodology of calculating the climate factor to smooth time series of energy indicators based on the calculation of the share of energy consumption related to changes in the temperature regime.

Current status: Works on switching to the new methodology of energy balance compilation harmonised with the international standards starting from 2016 are being completed; Developed a methodology of climate factor calculation to smooth time series of energy data with a view of eliminating an impact of the temperature regime; Improved forms of governmental statistical reporting on energy statistics in terms of expanding the list of RES and indicators of their consumption; Developed system of energy efficiency indicators; On-going the 2 nd stage of survey of energy consumption in households quarterly data collection

Methodology of energy balance compilation Recalculation of 2012 and 2013 energy balances, calculation of 2014 energy balance considering both the new methodology and switching to NACE 2 version starting from 2016. Works on adjusting the model of energy balance compilation developed by the ITS experts Preparation of draft methodology of fuel and energy balances compilation and coordination with all the stakeholders concerned Approval of the methodology December 2015. Official switching to the new format starting from 2016 Development of approaches to defining calorific values of different fuels based on statistical reporting data

Comparison of the old and new energy balance format Old energy balance format New energy balance format Number of commodity balances 17 22 Number of balance sheet items 18 52 In the transformation sector 3 14 Final consumption 3 27 Method of secondary energy conversion (heat and electricity) Partial substitution method Physical method Number of calculated energy efficiency indicators on the basis of energy balance data 1 about 40

List of key energy efficiency indicators palled to be calculated on the basis of the data of new energy balance Title of indicator Section GDP energy intensity Efficiency of energy production Energy intensity by economic activities Energy intensity of production of most energy intensive production (works) Energy intensity in transport Energy consumption per one employee in the service sector Energy consumption per capita Energy element Неэнергетическая составляющая By categories of energy units and fuel types Types of economic activities About 20 types of production (works) By types of transport By subsectors By fuel and energy types

Methodology of climate factor calculation Preparation of draft methodology of climate factor calculation for smoothing time series of energy data Works on pilot calculations for smoothing time series since 2000 Preparation of draft methodology December 2015

Methodology of climatic factor calculation 29000 28000 27000 26000 25000 24000 23000 22000 21000 20000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Конечное потребление, тыс. тут Конечное потребление ТЭР с учетом КФ

Decision on conducting surveys on energy consumption in households Ministry of Economy Основное Ministry of обследование Energy домашних хозяйств National Academy of Sciences of Belarus National Statistics Committee Department on Energy Efficiency

Key targeted areas for surveys on energy consumption: Heating Hot water supply Cooking Power consumption of household appliances Power consumption of lighting Availability of energy efficient lighting devices

Surveys on energy consumption in households Annual survey on composition and living conditions in households 6 000 households Main survey on households Quarterly survey on expenditures in households

Surveys on energy consumption in households 1.08 2014 15.02 2015 1.03 2016 1.06 2016 Development of tools Polling (collection of annual data) Polling (collection of quarterly data) Integration of polling Основное results and обследование calculation of energy домашних efficiency хозяйств indicators

List of additional energy efficiency indicators in the household sector: Indicator title Energy consumption per heating of living area unit Energy consumption of hot water supply per capita Energy consumption of household appliances per household Energy consumption of lighting per household Energy consumption of cooking per household

Model of EE indicators calculation by sectors of final consumption, prepared by ITS experts Household sector Service sector Transport sector Industry

PLANS for 2016: To complete a survey on energy consumption in households (February 2016); To refine the model of calculation of EE indicators with ITS experts assistance and calculate these indicators (June 2016); To do the calculation on smoothing time series of energy data in the household and service sectors by the climate factor (late 2016); To recalculate the 2015 energy balance using the new methodology harmonised with the international standards (late 2016); To refine and officially approve the system of EE indicators by sectors of final consumption (by the end of 2016); To complete a review of forms of governmental statistical reporting in light of introduction of the new methodology of energy balance compilation (August 2016)

THANK YOU!