Southern Alberta: Growth of Import and Export Opportunities for West Coast Ports

Southern Alberta: Growth of Import and Export Opportunities for West Coast Ports

Stakeholders for the Study Port of Prince Rupert Province of Alberta Calgary Regional Partnership Calgary Economic Development Rocky View County Cando Rail Services

Reason to do the Study To look for opportunities to grow import and export business into and out of southern Alberta Determine what commodities can be exported through the west coast ports Look at further development of the Calgary Region as a major Distribution Hub Create a document that provides benefit to all stakeholders in growing their business opportunities

Five Phases of the Study 1. Growth Potential for Agricultural Back-Haul Containers 2. The Calgary Region as a Distribution Hub 3. Development and Growth of Reefer Business 4. Automotive Distribution Centre in Calgary Region 5. Development and Growth of Bulk Business (Liquid and Dry)

Growth Potential for Agricultural Back-Haul Containers

Market Overview Between 2010 and 2015: Export of Crops and Livestock up 65% Processed Food Exports up 35% Projected to continue to grow going forward

Alberta Crops Two largest components of crops for Alberta are wheat and canola Pulses are the next largest group of crops (and are growing quickly) Pulses, which are also described as part of the legume family, include: Dry beans Edible beans Lentils Chickpeas Other edible seeds Very high in protein and fibre and highly valued in Asia Canada is the largest exporter of pulse grains in the world

Supply Chain Today Traditional grains tend to move by rail hopper car to port where they are unloaded at a grain facility and then loaded into cargo holds in ocean vessels

Supply Chain Today Pulse grains also move by rail hopper cars from the country but instead are transloaded into ocean containers at a transload facility close to the west coast ports and are then trucked to the port to be loaded into ocean container vessels

Supply Chain Today

Opportunities for Back-Haul Agriculture Containers Strong growth expected in agricultural exports from Alberta including pulse grains Consolidate shipments for smaller shippers to fill containers more for finished products for consumption Availability of containers in Alberta as the province is a net importer of containers at this time Container stuffing facility at or closer to west coast ports to minimize the extra trucking costs and time to move the transloaded products to the export container ships Ray-Mont Logistics expansion project announced at Prince Rupert for transloading unit train grain trains into containers on Ridley Island at the Port of Prince Rupert

The Calgary Region as a Distribution Hub

Market Overview Location Inventory (sq. ft.) Notes for Each Location Calgary Region 151,294,594 Calgary North East and Balzac Calgary South East Region Calgary South West Region 43,317,556 64,756,446 Virtually none 70% is Distribution and Warehousing and remainder is in manufacturing. Expected to be largest opportunity for new developments, taking 2-4 years to complete a number of already planned sites. This area includes Conrich (CN Intermodal Facility). Highest concentration of manufacturing, closely tied to oil and gas, and therefore, will be harder to fill. Close to the CP Intermodal Facility where there is still some available land. This region has virtually large scale warehousing but with the planned ring road expansion around the Tsuu T ina Nation, and the good location based on the highways, there is potential for some new developments.

Market Overview Continued Count of DCs and Warehouses in Southern Alberta TABER 5 1 1 STRATHMORE 4 ROCKY VIEW COUNTY 1 5 RED DEER COUNTY 5 1 1 RED DEER 6 6 OLDS 3 2 OKOTOKS 2 1 1 MEDICINE HAT 9 2 1 LETHBRIDGE 14 7 3 2 LACOMBE 2 1 DUNMORE 2 2 1 CALGARY 142 64 22 11 5 BROOKS 6 1 1 AIRDRIE 4 2 1 General Warehouse/Storage Local Trucking-With Storage Major DC Refrigeration Warehouse/Storage Truck Terminal Facility

Market Overview Continued 45 Distribution of Industrial Real Estate Parks in Southern Alberta 40 35 30 Count 25 20 15 10 5 0

Supply Chain Characteristics Calgary Airport, CN Conrich, Canadian Pacific Railway, Kleysen, Arrow Some of North America s largest trucking organizations have terminals in the Calgary Region Bison Transport, H&R Transport, Mullen Group, TransX, CPX, Trimac, Transforce, CDS Some of the largest retailers in the world have distribution centres in the Calgary Region Walmart, Costco, Sears, Home Depot, Princess Auto, Amazon, FedEx, Purolator, GFS, Sysco, Sobeys/Safeway, Loblaws, Brookfield, The Brick, DHL, UPS, Lafarge, Canadian Tire, and many more

Opportunities Increased demand for supply chain services through domestic population growth and increased traffic through the Calgary Region as a hub to other final destinations. Increased export output from southern Alberta to Asian markets. More competitive supply chain access. Improved access from west coast ports with increased capacity, reliability and speed.

Development and Growth of Reefer Business

Market Overview Global shipments of reefers increased dramatically in 2016. Growth of 7% for chilled products and 4% for frozen products in the first half of 2016. This is largely due to population growth, as well as an increased globalization of markets and food distribution.

Market Overview Alberta As of 2014, over 70% of Canada s beef exports have been destined to the U.S. with the bulk travelling as live animals by truck. 2,500 2,000 Trade Balance for Canadian Beef and Veal Millions of Dollars 1,500 1,000 500 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 - October Exports Imports

Market Overview Alberta From 1990 to 2015, Canadian pork exports have grown from about 200,000 tonnes to over 1,150,000 tonnes. Millions of Dollars 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Trade Balance for Canadian Pork 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 - October Exports Imports

Supply Chain Overview Product stuffed into marine containers at inland location and then trucked or shipped by rail to a port where container get directly placed onto ship. If marine containers are unavailable, a domestic refer will be used, and then a transload will occur near the port to place product into a marine reefer.

Opportunities Strong Growth Potential in Animal Product Exports. Moderate Growth in Produce Imports. Source Loading from Southern Alberta. Consolidation of Reefer Imports to Calgary Region. Refrigerated Storage / Cross Dock Capacity.

Automotive Distribution Centre in the Calgary Region

Market Overview There has been sustained growth in automotive sales in Canada (2.59%, 2015) The Port of Vancouver moved approximately 400,000 units in 2015.

Supply Chain Overview

Opportunities Domestic and North American growth in demand for Asian manufactured vehicles. Increased distribution from centralized location. Increased volumes through rail access advantage into large North American markets (Toronto, Chicago etc.). Direct automotive trade with Mexico through short sea shipping.

Development and Growth of Bulk Business (Liquid and Dry)

Market Overview Alberta s most important export region outside of North America is Asia Pacific, which received 59% of Alberta s non-u.s. exports in 2015. Alberta accounted for 19% of Canadian exports in 2015. This has declined from a 25% share in 2014 due to the decline in oil and gas prices.

Market Overview Continued Alberta Exports by Categories to the World and Top Export Countries Products of the Chemical or Allied Industries ($M) Plastics / Rubber ($M) Wood and Articles of Wood ($M) Pulp of wood, paper or paperboard ($M) Base metals ($M) Machinery and Mechanical Appliances ($M) World 3990 4414 1083 1931 1521 3726 USA 3255 3808 1034 1014 628 2273 USA % 81.6% 86.3% 95.4% 52.5% 41.3% 61.0% China 640 151 1 512 94 135 China % 16.0% 3.4% 0.1% 26.5% 6.2% 3.6% Japan 5 8 34 169 112 8 Japan % 0.1% 0.2% 3.1% 8.7% 7.4% 0.2% South Korea 8 2 4 92 25 79 South Korea % 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 4.8% 1.7% 2.1% India 2 8 0 4 7 24 India % 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6%

Bulk Commodities Exported From Alberta Grains Wheats, canola Pulse grains Fertilizer products Oil and gas products such as propane (AltaGas announced expansion project on Ridley Island in Prince Rupert for an export facility) Turbo propellers and machinery

Supply Chain Overview

Opportunities Continued growth of traditional Grains and Specialty Crops. Propane and Butane new project at the Port of Prince Rupert. Continued demand worldwide for petroleum and gas products Strong demand in the search for higher crop yields worldwide. Rotor propellers, other oil and gas machinery Lumber, Wood Board, Pulp, Newsprint

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