Parallelizing SWAT Calibration in Windows using SUFI2 Program,

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Parallelizing SWAT Calibration in Windows using SUFI2 Program, Lessons learned from Black Sea Catchment study Elham Rouholahnejad elham.rouholahnejad@eawag.ch 2012 International SWAT Conference July 16-20, 2012, Delhi, India

Content Introduction to the Black sea project BSC SWAT model - model set up - complication regarding river flows Calibration - Claibration Set up - Iteration 1 (rough decisions) - Iteration 2 a) parallelization b) parameterization

I. Black Sea Catchment

Black Sea

Black Sea Project, EnviroGrids The project aims at building: A high resolution calibrated water quantity and water quality model for the entire region accounting for agricultural activities and point source pollutions using SWAT.

Black Sea Model o Major challenges in calibration process o Lack of sufficient data o Large scale application o Calibration run time o Water managements in the basin o Inaccurate data (gauge locations) o Flow directions o Glacier and snow parameters

II. SWAT model of the Black Sea basin

Black Sea SWAT Model set up Arc SWAT 2009.93.7 was used to parametraize the whole area 2 Mkm2 drainage area 12982 subbasins 89202 Hrus About 600,000 SWAT input files CRU data sets were used as weather data Agricultural management for three major crops: wheat, Maize and Barely. ET Calculation based on Hargreaves Method Daily step SWAT run 36 yrs of simulation, 3 yrs warm up period (1970-2006)

Basin, Subbasin, Hrus Black Sea SWAT Model

Black Sea SWAT Model

Complication in flow directions BSC SWAT Model, Complications

Imprisice Basin mask or wrong rivers! BSC SWAT Model, Complications

DEM BSC SWAT Model, Complications

DEM BSC SWAT Model, Complications

DEM BSC SWAT Model, Complications

III. Calibration Of the hydrologic model of the Black sea basin

o SWAT Cup, SUFI2 Calibration_ SUFI2 algorithm

SUFI-2 algorithm Uncertainty Attributed to parameters Obtained by calibrating a set of parameter ranges against observed data (priors posteriors) Characterised by 95 % prediction uncertainty (95PPU) Dual aim: Maximise P-factor Minimise R-factor Process for each calibration iteration Calibration_SUFI2 Latin hypercube sampling of parameter space, model simulations, objective function evaluation and parameter updating

Observation stations Calibration_SUFI2

Calibration_First Run Set up First run 1970-2006, 3 years warm up period (34 years) Discharge (monthly, 125 stations) Default parameter 1 run- 37 hours

Observation station check_deleted Calibration_First Run

Observation station check_deleted Calibration_First Run

Observation station check_deleted Calibration_First Run

Calibration_First Run Observation station check_ kept to apply Elev band

Observation station check_deleted Calibration_First Run

Observation station check_dislocation Calibration_First Run

A few good satations Calibration_First Run

A few good satations Calibration_First Run

Calibration Set up_ Iteration 1 Iteration 1 Calibration and evaluation 1970-2006, 3 years warm up period, 34 years calibration Discharge (monthly, 87) Parameter selected based on sensitivity analysis, experience and litrature 23 parameters sensetive to flow_ global parameters, not paramerizd yet Initial parameter ranges from physically meaningful limits New ranges based on parameterisation with highest objective function 200 runs (Estimated run time in a single machine 350 days!!

Calibration_SUFI2 paralelization Running time issue Copy all files in TxtInOut to BACKUP directory SUFI2_LH_sample.exe par_inf.txt par_val.txt SUFI2_new_pars.exe BACKUP SWAT_Edit.exe no. of parallel processes Modified SWAT inputs swat2009.exe SWAT outputs SUFI2_extract_*.def SUFI2_extract_*.exe *.out observed.txt *.out SUFI2_goal_fn.exe SUFI2_95ppu.exe goal.txt 95ppu.txt Is calibration criteria satisfied? no yes stop

o parallel Sufi2 Spead up tested in Different projects Calibration_SUFI2 paralelization Speedup 25 20 15 10 Server1 Ideal Danube Alberta Test Speedup 8 6 4 PC 1 Ideal Danube Alberta Test 5 2 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Number of processors 0 0 2 4 6 8 Number of processors Speedup 3 2 1 PC 2 Ideal Alberta Test Speedup 3 2 1 PC 3 Ideal Alberta Test 0 0 1 2 3 Number of processors 0 0 1 2 3 Number of processors Speedup 3 2 1 Laptop 1 Ideal Alberta Test Speedup 3 2 1 laptop 2 Ideal Danube Alberta Test 0 0 1 2 3 Number of processors 0 0 1 2 3 Number of processors More details: E. Rouholahnejada, K.C. Abbaspoura, M. Vejdanib, R. Srinivasanc, R. Schulind, A. Lehmanne: A parallelization framework for calibration of hydrological models Environmental Modelling and Software, 2011.

o parallel Sufi2 Efficiency tested in Different projects Calibration_SUFI2 paralelization Efficiency (%) Efficiency (%) Efficiency (%) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Ideal Danube Alberta Test Server 1 0 5 10 15 20 25 Number of processors Ideal Alberta Test Ideal Laptop 1 Alberta Test PC 2 0 1 2 3 Number of processors 0 1 2 3 Number of processors Efficiency (%) Efficiency (%) Efficiency (%) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Ideal Ideal Laptop 2 Alberta Test PC 1 Danube Alberta Test 0 2 4 6 8 Number of processors Ideal Alberta Test PC 3 0 1 2 3 Number of processors 0 1 2 3 Number of processors More details: E. Rouholahnejada, K.C. Abbaspoura, M. Vejdanib, R. Srinivasanc, R. Schulind, A. Lehmanne: A parallelization framework for calibration of hydrological models Environmental Modelling and Software, 2011.

o parallel Sufi2 Efficiency tested in Different projects Calibration_SUFI2 paralelization 100 Server 1 100 PC 1 CPU Usage (%) 80 60 40 20 0 Danube Alberta Test 0 5 10 15 20 25 Number of processors CPU Usage (%) 80 60 40 20 0 Danube Alberta Test 0 2 4 6 8 Number of processors CPU Usage (%) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 PC 2 Alberta Test 0 1 2 3 Number of processors CPU Usage (%) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 PC 3 Alberta Test 0 1 2 3 Number of processors 120 Laptop 1 120 Laptop 2 CPU Usage (%) 100 80 60 40 20 0 Alberta Test 0 1 2 3 Number of processors CPU Usage (%) 100 80 60 40 20 0 Alberta Test 0 1 2 3 Number of processors More details: E. Rouholahnejada, K.C. Abbaspoura, M. Vejdanib, R. Srinivasanc, R. Schulind, A. Lehmanne: A parallelization framework for calibration of hydrological models Environmental Modelling and Software, 2011.

CERN super computer center Calibration_Gridification

Gridification on CERN Grids Calibration_Gridification 1th Parameter Set 2nd Parameter Set CERN Center SWAT RUN 3rd Parameter Set... nth Parameter Set.. SWAT RUN SWAT RUN SWAT RUN Output Collection

Calibration_Gridification Gridification scheme 200 runs_estimated run time in a single machine 350 days!! 200 runs using the parallel processing and Grid infrastracture 8days!! (4 blocks of 50 worker node)

Snow melt, glaciers, elevation band Calibration_Parameterization

Calibration_Parameterization Model consistently over pridicts the flow High Surface flow Solutions - Curve number for different land uses- decrease (CN in *.mgt) - Soil available water- increase (SOL_AWC in *.sol) - Soil evaporation compensation factor- increase up to 1.0 (ESCO in *.sub

Calibration_Parameterization Model consistently over pridicts the flow High base flow Too little evapotranspiration Solutions Increase deep percolation loss (adjust threshold depth of water in shallow aquifer required for the base flow to occur) (max 100 mm, GWQMN in *.gw) Increase grouindwater revap coefficient (max of 0.4, GW_Revap in *in.gw) Decrease threshold depth of water in shallow aquifer for revap tp occur (min of 0.0, REVAPMN in.gw)

Calibration_Parameterization Simulated flow follows the observed pattern but lags the actual flow consistently Time of concentration is too long Less than actual slope for overland flow Over estimated surface roughness Snow melt parameters Flood routing coefficients Solutions: Increase slope (up to 20%) for overland flow (SLOPE) Lower Manning`s roughness coefficient (OV_N) Lower the value of overland flow length to 4-10 m, if necessary (SLSUBBSN)

Calibration_Parameterization New parameter set

What comes next? Once the model is calibrated, the impcat of climate change and landuse change on water resources will be evaluated.

Acknowledgments This project has been funded by the European Commission s Seventh Research Framework through the envirogrids project (Grant Agreement n 226740).