KBC Securities London. December 2013

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Transcription:

KBC Securities London December 2013

Disclaimer This presentation is not an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. It is furnished to you solely for your information and use at this meeting. It contains summary information only and does not purport to be comprehensive or complete, and it is not intended to be (and should not be used as) the sole basis of any analysis or other evaluation. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained he rein. By accepting this presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of RTL Group S.A. (the "Company ) and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the Company s business. This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which the Company operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words believes, expects, predicts, intends, projects, plans, estimates, aims, foresees, anticipates, targets, will, would, could and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third-party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts which are uncertain and subject to risks and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend upon future circumstances that may or may not occur, many of which are beyond the Company s control. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company or any of its subsidiaries (together with the Company, the Group ) or industry results to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Actual events may differ significantly from any anticipated development due to a number of factors, including without limitation, changes in general economic conditions, in particular economic conditions in core markets of the members of the Group, changes in the markets in which the Group operates, changes affecting interest rate levels, changes affecting currency exchange rates, changes in competition levels, changes in laws and regulations, the potential impact of legal proceedings and actions, the Group s ability to achieve operational synergies from past or future acquisitions and the materi alization of risks relating to past divestments. The Company does not guarantee that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements in this presentation are free from errors and it does not accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation. The Company does not as sume any obligation to update any information or statements in this presentation to reflect subsequent events. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are made only as of the date hereof. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions of the Company with any of the recipients thereof shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since such date. This presentation is for information purposes only, and does not constitute a prospectus or an offer to sell, exchange or tra nsfer any securities or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, exchange or transfer any securities in or into the United States or in any other jurisdiction. Securities may not be offered, sold or transferred in the United States absent registration or pursuant to an available exemption from the registration requirements of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. 2

Agenda BROADCAST 2 Broadcast Update 1 INTRODUCTION Financial Update Strategic Update Financial & Strategic Update DIGITAL Digital Update 3 CONTENT 4 FremantleMedia 3

Q3 highlights REVENUE 4.0 billion REPORTED EBITA continuing operations 714 million EBITA MARGIN 17.6% CASH CONVERSION 110% NET DEBT 451 million NET RESULT 535 million SIGNIFICANT GROWTH IN PROFITABILITY 4

Significant financial headroom which results in an ability to invest and provide attractive cash returns USE OF FINANCIAL HEADROOM Investments to increase long-term shareholder value Excess cash: extraordinary pay-outs to shareholders FINANCIAL HEADROOM 1.0 Net debt to EBITDA 50-75% pay-out policy ORDINARY DIVIDEND Illustrative view 0.5 5

Managing RTL Group with a long-term focus Adaptable cost structure with tight control High-quality earnings and cash flow profile Efficient capital structure with full financial flexibility Attractive shareholder remuneration 6

RTL Group continues to lead in all its three strategic pillars BROADCAST CONTENT DIGITAL #1 or #2 in 8 European countries Leading broadcaster: 54 TV channels and 28 radio stations #1 global TV entertainment content producer Productions in 62 countries; Distribution into 150+ territories Leading European media company in online video Strong online sales houses with multi-screen expertise 7

We are on track delivering on our strategic goals BROADCAST CONTENT DIGITAL ENHANCE BROADCAST PORTFOLIO CREATE MARKET- LEADING CONTENT DRIVE DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION Strengthen family of channels Maintain leading position Expand non-linear services Grow non-ad business Rebalance portfolio Grow online ad and non-ad business Expand into high growth markets Deepen digital exploitation Enter multi-channel network business 8

Agenda BROADCAST 2 Broadcast Update 1 INTRODUCTION Financial Update Strategic Update BROADCAST DIGITAL Digital Update 3 CONTENT 4 FremantleMedia 9

Additional non-linear TV offers increase overall viewing time Linear OVERALL TV CONSUMPTION RTL GROUP S CORE MARKETS Daily viewing time in minutes Non-linear TV 200 2 198 +19 minutes 209 5 204 219 10 209 GER FRA NED US Non-linear as % of total viewing time 2012 ~ 6% ~ 4% ~ 5% ~ 14% 2008 2010 2012 UK ~ 14% Average of Germany, France, the Netherlands; including catch-up TV, VOD and PVR time-shifted; excl. short-form video; Source: ScreenDigest 10

Television beats online in terms of reach and time spent REACH OF POPULATION In % 100% Example Germany TV private / commercial TV total 50% Online total Facebook YouTube Twitter 0 20h 40h 60h 80h 109h AVERAGE TIME SPENT PER MONTH (IN HOURS) Source: AGF in cooperation with GfK, TV Scope 5.0, April 2013, ComScore (Home + Work), Age 6+, own calculations; IP Deutschland 11

Powerful #1 or #2 TV position in most attractive markets Audience share 30.7% 44.1% #1 TV net ad market share Audience share 22.7% 25.8% #2 TV net ad market share Audience share 32.3% 49.0% #1 TV net ad market share Audience share 36.3% 71.5% #1 TV net ad market share Luxembourg #1 Spain #2 Hungary #1 Croatia #2 2 FTA channels 30.7% 43.1% 37.5% 55.4% 27.5% 39.6% Q3/2013; RTL Group estimates for TV net ad market share 12

Growth potential: TV ad share especially in Germany underrepresented compared to other markets TV S AD SHARE IN MEDIA MIX 2012 In % of total ad spend 44% 38% Growth potential 22% 27% 28% 5 6 33% 11 16 22 GER NED UK FRA ESP USA Print ad share 43% 37% 24% 27% 24% 26% Source: Screen Digest 2012 13

Growth potential: Retransmission fees Additional revenue through subscriptions MG RTL DEUTSCHLAND HD SUBSCRIBERS In million +3.8m HD POTENTIAL IN GERMANY In million households 36.8 Analogue TV 9.4 0.2 2.0 4.0 Digital TV HD Subs 23.4 4.0 HD TECHNICAL POTENTIAL 2011 2012 2013 Q3/2013 Source: according to platform operators; AGF in cooperation with GfK, TV Scope 5.0, September 14

Growth potential: Geographic expansion into high growth markets 1 India 155m TV households #1 83% Pay-TV penetration 6.0bn TV market; 1.6bn FTA 2 South-East Asia* 113m TV households 26% Pay-TV penetration 4.5bn Pay-TV market *Market information for 8 initial launch markets: Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan 15

Agenda BROADCAST 2 Broadcast Update 1 INTRODUCTION Financial Update Strategic Update DIGITAL DIGITAL 3 Digital Update Digital Update CONTENT 4 FremantleMedia 16

Dynamic growth in pure online business PURE ONLINE REVENUE EXCLUDED FROM PURE ONLINE Online / Mobile Portfolio ONLINE REVENUE In million Ad Non-Ad 166 High-volume e-commerce and home shopping Transactional / Lead Generation 133 53% 25% 55% Mobile Virtual Network Operator (branded) Online Video 47% 45% Q3/2013 Q3/2013 Retransmission fees for digital TV 17

Thousands of channels emerging on new platforms 1990 2000 2010 FTA networks Cable networks OTT networks 18

We are #1 European media company in online video RTL GROUP MONTHLY VIDEO VIEWS In billion, average H1/2013 COMSCORE VIDEO RANKING* # COMPANY MONTHLY VIEWS (BILLION) REGION 3x 1.6 1 Google / YouTube 69.8 USA 2 Facebook 4.5 USA 3 VEVO 3.4 USA 4 AOL (post Adap.TV merger) 3.1 USA 5 Hulu 2.2 USA 6 Dailymotion.com 2.1 Europe 7 Viacom Digital 1.9 USA 0.5 8 CBS Interactive 1.7 USA 9 RTL Group (restated)** 1.6 Europe H1/2012 H1/2013 * ComScore Video Metrix, based on monthly average video views H1/2013; excluding Asia and Russia, ad networks and ad exchanges; ** RTL Group restated and grouped: internal figures H1/2013; includes recently acquired BroadbandTV and Divimove, pro forma 19 10 Microsoft Sites 1.2 USA

MCNs target niche audiences on a global scale OTT PLATFORM MULTI-CHANNEL NETWORKS VERTICALS CHANNELS* Entertainment Sports 21m views / 340k subscribers Lifestyle Music 590m views / 690k subscribers Gaming 170m views / 1.1m subscribers * Overall video views and subscribers as of September 2013 20

broadbandtv : sustainable and fast growing business ANNUAL AGGREGATED VIDEO VIEWS GLOBAL REACH 1.2 billion+ video views per month 0.5bn 1.3bn 9.0bn * 100 million+ channel subscribers 12 thousand+ content creators 2007 2009 2011 2013 TODAY Foundation One of first YouTube partners Break even First ever profitable MCN Sustainable Continued growth, month-on-month RTL Group Strategic partnership #3 MCN On YouTube Worldwide * TTM Oct 12 Oct 13 21

Agenda BROADCAST 2 Broadcast Update 1 INTRODUCTION Financial Update CONTENT DIGITAL 3 Strategic Update Digital Update Production, CONTENT Distribution & Digital 4 FremantleMedia 22

Long-running top brands that travel the world Territories Years ENTERTAINMENT 54 7 36 54 46 12 35 56 37 9 5 24 FACTUAL ENTERTAINMENT 29 12 8 120* SCRIPTED KIDS 28 11* 8* 2 *Incl. tape sales; Source: FremantleMedia Note: territories = maximum number of territories 23

FremantleMedia : priorities for 2014 and beyond 1 2 3 4 Maintain core business Diversify portfolio Grow and develop the network Build a scalable digital business Nurture shows on air Develop new formats and brands Digital extensions Increase drama capabilities Expand local businesses & portfolio Develop web original content and brands Get scale in mature markets Grow in emerging markets Enter new markets Develop digital distribution Expand digital production & properties Manage & scale production 24

Grow and develop the FremantleMedia network SCANDINAVIA Get more scale in mature markets USA UK ASIA TURKEY LATIN AMERICA SPAIN MIDDLE EAST Grow in emerging markets AUSTRALIA Enter new markets 25

Agenda BROADCAST 2 Broadcast Update 1 INTRODUCTION Financial Update Strategic Update WRAP-UP DIGITAL Digital Update 3 CONTENT 4 FremantleMedia 26

RTL Group will continue to strengthen its leading market positions Broadcast Leading family of channels Content Global brands, growth in digital Digital Worldwide online video presence 27

Q&A 28

KBC Securities London December 2013

Review of Results 30 September 2013, continuing operations (1/2) In million Nine months to September 2013 Nine months to September 2012 Per cent change REVENUE 4,048 4,111-1.5 REPORTED EBITA 714 671 +6.4 Reported EBITA margin (%) 17.6 16.3 +1.3pp Net result attributable to RTL Group shareholders 535 379 +41.2 UNDERLYING REVENUE 4,065 4,111-1.1 UNDERLYING EBITA 734 671 +9.4 30

Review of Results 30 September 2013, continuing operations (2/2) In million Nine months to September 2013 Nine months to September 2012 Per cent change REPORTED EBITA 714 671 +6.4 Impairment of investment in associates and amortisation and impairment of fair value adjustments on acquisitions Gain / (Loss) from sale of subsidiaries, joint ventures and other investments 65 (18) 5 (1) Net financial income / (expense ) 16 (11) Income tax expense (207) (192) PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD CONTINUING OPERATIONS 593 449 +32.1 LOSS FOR THE PERIOD DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS - (1) PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD 593 448 Attributable to: Non controlling interests 58 69 RTL Group shareholders 535 379 +41.2 31

Cash Flow Statement as of 30 September 2013 In million Nine months to September 2013 Nine months to September 2012 NET CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 694 563 Add: Income tax paid 180 277 Less: Acquisition of assets, net (91) (116) Equals: Reported free cash flow (FCF) 783 724 Acquisition of subsidiaries and JVs, net of cash acquired (73) 1 Disposal of subsidiaries and JVs, net of cash - (3) Other financial assets (deposit excluded), net 98 1 Net interest received / (paid) 22 (8) Transaction with non controlling interests (3) (12) Income tax paid (180) (277) Dividends paid (2,137) (875) CASH GENERATED / (USED) (1,490) (449) REPORTED EBITA (CONTINUING AND DISCONTINUED) 714 668 EBITA CONVERSION (FCF/EBITA) 110% 108% 32